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Pac-12 Football Predictions: Which Teams Win in Week 10?

Michael TierneyAnalyst IAugust 17, 2011

Pac-12 Football Predictions: Which Teams Win in Week 10?

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    USC travels mile-high to visit Colorado on a Friday night, Oregon is at Husky Stadium and Stanford faces the coaching of Mike Riley.

    Other games: Arizona State at UCLA; Washington State at California; Utah at Arizona

    Previous Predictions

    Week 9 Predictions

    Week 8 Predictions

    Week 7 Predictions

    Week 6 Predictions   

USC at Colorado

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    USC at Colorado

    Friday, Nov. 4, 6:00 PM (PST) on ESPN2

    Game Prediction: USC 42, Colorado 17

    Six days after playing Stanford, USC travels to Boulder, Colorado to meet the Buffaloes for a Friday night game. Folsom Field is a mile above sea level and thinner air will have any visiting defense huffing and puffing by the second quarter.

    USC is facing what could be considered the second-best offensive line in the Pac-12 despite the loss of All-American left tackle Nate Solder to the NFL. The Buffs bring experienced seniors in quarterback Tyler Hansen and running back Rodney Stewart, who is one of the best backs in the Pac-12.

    Colorado's defensive secondary has entirely questionable cornerbacks, but decent safeties. The Buffs have a veteran defensive line and a fairly good group of linebackers.

    The problem for Colorado is that they don't have all the pieces, lack depth and are going through a complete coaching staff change (like Stanford and UCLA). Colorado will be ranked about 75th in the country while USC is a Top 25 team. The Trojans will pull away in the third quarter for the win.

    Traveling to Boulder for the game? Then the Ralphie Report is a must-read.

Oregon at Washington

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    Oregon at Washington

    Saturday, Nov. 5, 12:30 PM (PST) on ABC (probable)

    Game Prediction: Oregon 42, Washington 17

    In 2009, Oregon beat Washington 43-19 at Husky Stadium. In 2011, Oregon will return to Husky stadium ranked No. 3 in the country while Washington defends their home turf ranked No. 48.

    Yes, everyone knows that running back Chris Polk will account for 70 percent of Washington's game plan. However, Oregon has new players in a significant amount of their defense. This is a cause for concern. They have an entirely new defensive line—almost. And almost an entirely new set of linebackers. And an entirely new set of cornerbacks (without Harris). I don't think I need to mention Oregon's issues at wide receiver or O-line.

    Listen, Oregon fans: The first step to recovery is admitting that your defense is powerless against quality running backs. Well, maybe not powerless, but less than powerful, and this will be exposed on September 3rd. The short passing game will give the Ducks defense fits as well. Oregon has quite a few talented replacements, but not enough. My best prediction for Oregon: Safety John Boyett will lead the team in tackles.

    Polk will be able to gain good yardage on Oregon, but the Ducks defense will make some stops too. As for the Ducks offense, Washington just won't keep up. Oregon will win on the road by more than double.

Arizona State at UCLA

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    Arizona State at UCLA

    Saturday, Nov. 5, 3:30 PM (PST) on FSN (probable)

    Game Prediction: Arizona State 28, UCLA 13

    Even with the loss of all-conference shutdown cornerback Omar Bolden (ACL), their senior leader on defense (with all respects to Burfict); and even with the loss of their deep-threat wide receiver T.J. Simpson (ACL); and even with one of their best starting linebackers, Brandon Magee, (Achilles tendon) out (again, with all respects to Burfict); and even with losing DT Guy Lawrence early to the NFL...

    And even with starting quarterback Steven Threet and his backup, Samson Szakacsy, both quitting football because of head injuries; and even with losing starting star WR Kerry Taylor, starting DT Saia Falahola, starting CB LeQuan Lewis, to graduation; and even with starting DE James Brooks transferring to Alabama...

    Arizona State, ranked No. 31 in the nation, will beat UCLA, ranked No. 72 in the nation, by a healthy margin.

Utah at Arizona

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    Utah at Arizona

    Saturday, Nov. 5, 7:30 PM (PST) on FSN (probable)

    Game Prediction: Arizona 28, Utah 27

    In 2004, Utah beat Arizona 23-6, and that was at Arizona. Utah, ranked No. 32 in the nation, travels back to Arizona, ranked No. 49 in the nation, for a game that may determine their finish in the Pac-12 South standings.

    This time Arizona comes out on top because this is not the same strong Utah team of a few years ago. But it will be a very entertaining game. Arizona's offensive line questions are just as big an enigma as Utah's. The difference is that Nick Foles is a much better quarterback than Jordan Wynn. Foles has better targets to hit (Criner is one of the best), and Antolin can outrun Utah's true freshman Langi.

Stanford at Oregon State

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    Stanford at Oregon State

    Saturday, Nov. 5, TBD PM (PST) on TBD

    Game Prediction: Stanford 31, Oregon State 21

    In 2009 Oregon State beat Stanford at home 38-28. Stanford, over-ranked in the Top 10 this year, travels back to Oregon State, probably over-ranked at 55th in the country, to show why Andrew Luck is much better than Ryan Katz.

    The Beavers will battle, but Stanford succeeds. Stanford tight ends Coby Fleener, Zach Ertz and Levine Toilolo will put on a show. These are the three best tight ends in the Pac-12, without a doubt.

Washington State at California

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    Washington State at California

    Saturday, Nov. 5, TBD PM (PST) on TBD

    Game Prediction:California 21, Washington State 13

    In 2009, Cal beat Washington State 49-17 in Berkeley. Once again, woeful Washington State, ranked No. 92 in the country, will take a loss to California, ranked No. 58 in the country, but it won't be in Berkeley. It will be in San Francisco. That is where Paul Wulff and Jeff Tuel will leave their hearts.

    After this game, Tedford will only need one more win to be bowl-eligible. With this loss, the Cougar fans will be looking at 2-7 for the season and searching for Wulff's replacement.

Week 10 Projected Pac-12 North Standings

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    Projected Pac-12 North Standings After Week 10
    Team P-12 North P-12 Conference Overall
    Oregon 3-0  6-0  8-1 
    Stanford  3-0  6-1  8-1 
    California
    2-1 3-3
    6-3
    Oregon State   1-1  2-4
    3-6
    Washington  0-3
    1-5
    3-6
    Washington State 0-4
    0-6
    2-7

Week 10 Projected Pac-12 South Standings

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    Projected Pac-12 South Standings After Week 10
    Team P-12 South P-12 Conference Overall
    USC  4-0  6-0  9-0 
    Arizona State  3-1  4-2 6-3 
    Arizona  2-1  4-3 5-4
    UCLA  0-2
    1-5
    2-7
    Colorado  0-2
    1-5
    2-8
    Utah  0-3
    3-3
    5-4

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