Humanitarian Bowl: Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State Predictions ATS411

Joe DuffyAnalyst IDecember 17, 2010

Will Fresno State hand bettors a cover?
Will Fresno State hand bettors a cover?Otto Kitsinger III/Getty Images

It’s Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State in the Humanitarian Bowl intel. Here is the official college football betting preview. Sportsbooks have the odds for this game at Northern Illinois -2 with a total of 58.

NIU enters with a 10-3 straight up, 9-3 against the spread mark. Fresno State is 8-4 outright, but just 5-6 in the back pocket.

Northern Illinois is spectacular running the ball, getting 6.2 yards per rush versus teams that normally allow just 4.6. They are solid in the air, averaging 7.8 passing yards per attempt to defenses that permit just 7.4. Overall, they get a full 1.0 more yards per play than their opponent normally allows.

NIU allows 4.0 yards per carry to offenses getting an average of 3.8. They permit 6.4 yards per pass to squads that normally accumulate 6.5 and 5.2 yards per play to 5.1.

Fresno State averages just 4.1 yards per rush to defenses that permit 4.5, but 7.9 yards per pass to 7.5. Overall, they get just 5.7 yards per play to squads usually permitting 5.9.

On defense, they permit 4.4 yards per carry to teams normally getting 4.5, also holding teams to 0.4 passing yards per attempt below their normal average. Overall, they allow 5.5 yards per play to 5.7. 

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Northern Illinois is 9-1 in their last 10, but 0-6 on neutral fields. Fresno is 5-16 after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.

Over/under trends:  Bulldogs have gone over 8-1 off straight up win.

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