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BCS Bowl Projections and Predicted Point Spreads

James BrownSenior Analyst IDecember 1, 2010

BCS Bowl Projections and Predicted Point Spreads

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    The college football season is winding down and that means a full slate of bowl games are right around the corner.

    The best bowl games are always the BCS bowl games because they usually provide the best games between the best teams. This year the National Championship will be decided in Glenndale, Arizona, but that is the only fact that is guaranteed when it comes to bowl games.

    The bowl games are surrounded by speculation and are often decided in the last week of the college football season.

    Here is my latest BCS Bowl Projections with predicted point spreads for each venue.

Fiesta Bowl

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    Oklahoma Sooners vs. Stanford Cardinal

    The Big 12 Champion automatically goes to the Fiesta Bowl so it will come down to either Nebraska or Oklahoma and I will give the nod to the Sooners with the way they are playing down the stretch.

    The second team in the Fiesta Bowl is an at-large-bid and the Fiesta bowl would love to have the Stanford Cardinal. They can put up points in bunches and they will be somewhat close to home allowing fans to travel out to see this contest.

    Stanford is much better than taking the Big East Champion.

    Two quality teams with two quality coaches will provide for an entertaining game.

    Projected Point Spread: Oklahoma -2 over Stanford

    Alternate Projected Point Spread: Nebraska -1 over Stanford

Orange Bowl

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    Virginia Tech Hokies vs. UConn Huskies

    The ACC Champion is tied to the Orange Bowl and Virginia Tech has all of the momentum to win this weekend. Florida State is vastly improved under Coach Jimbo Fisher but they are not ready to take the next step as of yet.

    The Orange Bowl gets the next selection after the Sugar Bowl and while Stanford is the better team, bowl selection is often about dollars more than sense. The Orange Bowl will grab the Big East champion due to location and the draw of a closer fan base.

    The Connecticut Huskies get the nod as Big East Champions as they seem to have the easiest path and just need to beat South Florida. This may be the last chance for UConn to win the conference for a while with TCU coming to the Big East.

    The Hokies are on a roll and the Big East gets no respect and that should over inflate this line.

    Projected Point-spread: Virginia Tech -8 over UConn

    Alternate Projected Point Spread: Florida St -6 over UConn

Rose Bowl

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    Wisconsin vs. TCU

    TCU will get the nod for the Rose Bowl; although I am sure the BCS assumed Boise State would be at this game.

    BCS rules state until January 2014, the first year the Rose Bowl loses a team to the National Championship game, that non-AQ team will play in the Rose Bowl. The assumption is that the Rose Bowl will lose Oregon to the National Championship and that will leave the door opened for the Horned Frogs.

    The Badgers won the three way tiebreaker in the Big Ten and is arguably one of the best teams in the country at the moment. They can move the ball on offense and are putting up huge numbers on the scoreboard.

    The defense of the Horned Frogs will be a true test for the Badgers and TCU will be playing for the respect of the country.

    Projected Point Spread: TCU -1 Over Wisconsin

Sugar Bowl

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    Arkansas vs. Ohio St

    The SEC Champion belongs to the Sugar Bowl but the assumption is that Cameron Newton and the Auburn Tigers will be going to the big game. After beating LSU, the obvious choice is the Arkansas Razorbacks.

    Ryan Mallett and the Hogs will face the Ohio State Buckeyes. Jim Tressel and the Buckeyes are used to this type of stage and Terrelle Pryor is always fun to watch in bowl games. The Sugar Bowl could also take Michigan State in this spot but the Buckeyes will bring the most money to the Big Easy and money drives the selections in the bowl games.

    The experience of Ohio State in BCS bowl games will be what drives this line.

    Projected Point Spread: Ohio State -4.5 over Arkansas

    Alternate Projected Point Spread: Ohio State -6 over South Carolina (if Gamecocks win the SEC)

BCS National Championship Bowl

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    Auburn vs Oregon

    While I understand that an argument will be made against Auburn beating South Carolina, the chances are they will win the SEC. No one outside of Oregon State’s campus can make an argument that the Ducks will lose, so for argument sake I am selecting the Oregon Ducks to play the Auburn Tiger in the BCS National Championship Game.

    A loss by either team would throw a wrench into this bowl game and just about every other BCS bowl game so instead of listing the countless scenarios, I will stick with the game that everyone wants to see.

    SEC teams fare very well in the BCS title game and Cameron Newton is the talk of the town, all of these factors will play a role in setting the point spread for this game.

    Projected Point-spread: Auburn -3 over Oregon

    Matt Regaw is a B/R Featured Columnist and the founder of BookieBlitz.com, your one-stop shop for sports articles, previews and predictions. Feel free to contact Matt at mregaw@gmail.com.

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