Auburn has their ticket to the SEC Championship Game. That's set in stone. What is still up in the air is whether or not the Tigers will get to go to the BCS Championship Game. The answer to this question will most likely be answered this week when Auburn takes the field against their rival Alabama.
The Tigers are about to run into an Alabama buzz saw. Not only will Auburn's dream of an undefeated season come to an end, but their dreams of a national championship will also come crashing down to Earth on Friday.
This clash of two top 10 teams is a little deceptive at first look. The average football fan may expect the No. 2 Tigers to have little problem taking care of business against the No. 9 Crimson Tide. After all, Alabama has been defeated twice already this year.
Well, not everything is as it first seems. As with most things, one has to look below the surface to get the whole picture, and what the facts show does not look pretty for the Auburn Tigers.
Let's take a look at the bottom line—the stats:
Auburn is ranked No. 6, with 505 yards per game.
Alabama is ranked No. 26, with 435 yards per game.
Auburn is ranked No. 50, giving up 356 yards per game.
Alabama is ranked No. 7, giving up only 293 yards per game.
Auburn is ranked No. 3, averaging 308 yards per game.
Alabama is ranked No. 31, averaging 185 yards per game.
Auburn is ranked No. 11, only giving up 112 yards per game.
Alabama is ranked No. 22, only giving up 125 yards per game.
Auburn is ranked No. 77, averaging 197 yards per game.
Alabama is ranked No. 37, averaging 250 yards per game.
Auburn is ranked No. 100, giving up a whopping yards 244 per game.
Alabama is ranked No. 14, giving up only yards 169 per game.
Strength of schedule is fairly close with Alabama ranked No. 6 and Auburn ranked No. 15.
So what do all these stats actually boil down to? Alabama spoiling the Tigers season. The stats seem to indicate a pretty close game. That is until you get to the passing game, where Auburn's lack of balance becomes evident.
Auburn's pass defense is terrible. And their offensive passing stats are not much better. While Auburn's passing attack and pass defense both look very weak, Alabama's look just as strong as the rest of their game.
This will give Alabama the edge that they need to ruin Auburn's hopes of a BCS championship. The Alabama defense will not be threatened by Auburn's below-par passing attack. In turn, the Crimson Tide defense will be able to stack the line and contain Cam Newton.
Look for an exciting Iron Bowl, as usual. But in the end, expect the Tigers season to come crashing down to Earth. There is no satisfaction more prized, in a rival game such as this, than to snatch an undefeated season, and possible BCS championship away from your arch rival.
This is exactly what Nick Saban and the Crimson Tide are about to do to their in-state rival, the Auburn Tigers. The Cam Newton controversy, along with the Tigers' cheap shots on the field, may suddenly take a backseat to which team will replace Auburn in the BCS Championship Game.
Things are about to get very interesting in the BCS...
Bohdi Sanders ~ www.TheWisdomWarrior.com