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Consensus: TCU wins its 20th straight regular season game, pummeling an out manned Cougar team.
Why it will be closer than expected: The spread on this game is thirty points, and I expect BYU to make the game considerably closer than that. Sure they started the season with a win then four straight losses, but last week BYU got on track. Facing San Diego State's 23rd ranked rushing attack, the Cougars yielded only 53 yards on the ground. They will need that same effort to contain TCU's 7th ranked rushing attack.
Offensively, BYU has its work cut out for them against TCU's top ranked defense. Again, however, BYU was able to rush for 271 yards last week and will need to duplicate this kind of production to have any hope of hanging with TCU.
Also, don't underestimate the danger of looking ahead. TCU has games against Air Force and Utah after this one, and they may be caught looking ahead to next week rather than focusing on BYU.
Prediction: 41-24 TCU overcomes a slow start and dominates in the second half. Is this close? Not really, but closer than most people predict.