Predicting Boise State’s Record with the Top 25 Teams’ Schedules

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Predicting Boise State’s Record with the Top 25 Teams’ Schedules

If a team were to return 20 of 22 starters from an undefeated, BCS bowl-winning season, it seems logical they would be an overwhelming favorite for the BCS National Championship.

But that team is Boise State, the country’s beloved underdog turned overrated wannabe, thus doubts and questions regarding their status as an elite team abound.

Ever since Boise State catapulted in the national spotlight after the 2007 Fiesta Bowl, it has been harshly scrutinized for its weak schedule, because playing in the lowly WAC pales in comparison to the more powerful programs of the BCS conferences.

Boise State pundits conclude the Broncos only face one or two ‘real’ football programs each season, and shouldn’t be considered as a powerhouse until the schedule has a full slate of tough games.

With three undefeated regular seasons and two Fiesta Bowl victories in the past four years, Boise State appears to dominate its opponents on a yearly basis, but what if they had to play the same schedule as the other Top 25 teams? Would the blowouts and double-digit wins continue?

It’s time to find out.

Note: The following predictions are NOT regarding the ranked team, but rather Boise State with that team’s schedule. For the games in which the ranked team plays Boise State (Oregon State and VT), that team will fill in for Boise State (or else it’s just a scrimmage, right?).  Conference championships and bowl games will not be included. All rankings are from the Coaches Poll.

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