2010 NCAA Football Preview: The Preseason 25
Here it is, one of the most unofficial preseason college football polls you will ever see:
|RANK||TEAM||2009 RECORD||2009 RANK|
Prolouge: As usual, this poll is based on how good I believe the teams to be at this moment, not where they will finish. Just like every year, I will strive to maintain this philosophy for the entire season.
I will struggle against the perceived transitive properties of college football. I will trust my subjective ability to evaluate teams that are rounding into shape while others are demonstrating a pronounced ability to come unglued.
It is not entirely unusual for there to be teams with two losses that look much better than a handful of undefeated teams.
As the faithful reader(s) know, I rank the teams based on how well I believe them to be at this moment, not at the end of last season, and not how I think they will finish.
Schedules are not taken into consideration, but the natural off-season development is relied upon. For me, the test is whether I believe a team would defeat the team immediately ahead of them on a neutral field this weekend.
Also, and this sounds obvious, someone has to be ranked in each spot. There are no ties. Even though I have team X four spots ahead of team Y, the spread may be very narrow in my mind.
I know there are vagaries that make it difficult to determine who is truly better than whom, but remember these rankings are subjective.
Finally, the rankings are always subject to change. Teams may jump five or ten spots in one week, or may drop even when they win. Likewise, teams may rise when they lose.
I take injuries and suspensions into consideration, so a team may win its game and lose its best player (see Oregon 2007) and drop in my poll. This poll will not reward teams simply for winning. Again, these rankings are subjective.
Sexy Outs: There are a lot of sexy squads out there that garner trendy votes. South Carolina, Arizona, Notre Dame and Washington immediately jump to mind. Reasons exist to hit the "buy" button for those teams but honestly, the smart money has been on "sell" for a long time.
I understand that 5-10 of the teams I have placed in my lineup will promptly plummet out within a matter of weeks.
Keep checking back throughout the season to see how my top 25 progresses.
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