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College Football Preseason Top 25: Conference Predictions, Preview

Joel BarkerSenior Writer IAugust 29, 2010

College Football Preseason Top 25: Conference Predictions, Preview

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    Alabama may just have enough to repeat as National ChampionsKevork Djansezian/Getty Images

    We are officially less than one week away from the start of the three-month long party known as college football's regular season.

    Players are practicing for it. Coaches are agonizing over it. Fans can literally feel it.

    The next week will be as good as it gets for many football programs. The time when hope springs eternal; the time for hype; the time when anyone of the top 15 teams generally "has a shot" to be special is right now. Once the teams step foot on the field, however, those hopes, dreams, and wishes could be completely dashed in a matter of one Saturday afternoon.

    The media feeds into those expectations by putting these preseason previews together. Many times they never pan out. Every once in a while, though, we strike gold and end up looking like we actually know what we're talking about.

    Hopefully, you'll have a much better idea about your team after these next few slides.

     

Where They Should Start: Preseason Top 25

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    TCU might end up where many expect Boise State to be, come JanuaryJed Jacobsohn/Getty Images
    25.West VirginiaIf QB issues can be settled quickly, the Mountaineers can win the Big East this year.
    24.GeorgiaDefense is the biggest question mark. Even bigger than a redshirt freshman QB.
    23.Georgia Tech12 starters return for the reigning champs of the ACC. Why no national love?
    22.ArizonaCan QB Nick Foles and Co. take advantage of a wide-open Pac 10?
    21.North CarolinaThe Tarheels would be much higher if not for the agent scandal.
    20.WashingtonThe Huskies have the top QB/O-Line combo in the Pac 10.  Now, where's the D?
    19.Miami'Canes have the talent to become "The U" again. Schedule is a killer, though.
    18.AuburnOne of the top O-line's and the easiest schedule in the SEC makes this a top 20 team. Better hope the "D" is better though.
    17.StanfordQB Andrew Luck and the O-Line will make Toby Gerhart's departure easier to take.
    16.Florida StateFSU could bring championship football back to Tallahassee in 2010.
    15.UConn16 returning starters and a favorable schedule make the Huskies the class of the Big East.
    14.ArkansasDefensive questions and a tough schedule could keep Arkansas from cashing in on the preseason hype.
    13.OklahomaNo problem at all on offense. The defense lost a lot of talent, though.
    12.MissouriBlaine Gabbert is the best QB in the Big 12. Two-team race in the Big 12 North.
    11.Virginia TechAn incredibly talented offense has the Hokies near the top of the ACC again. Big losses on defense, though.
    10.NebraskaNo Suh, no problem. QB Zac Lee must improve greatly for the 'Huskers to win it all.
    9.WisconsinRB John Clay will be a Heisman finalist in December. 
    8.TexasThe 'Horns lost a lot of talent, but Texas always reloads. This team could end up in the BCS title game again this season.
    7.OregonThe Ducks welcome back 17 starters. Back-to-back Pac 10 titles is the goal.
    6.IowaThe Hawkeyes could have the nation's best defense in 2010.
    5.FloridaNo Tebow for the first time in four years. QB Brantley will be one of the SEC's best passers.
    4.TCUAn easy schedule, a top defense, a senior QB, and a talented O-Line make the Horned Frogs an elite team in 2010.
    3.Ohio StateThey host Miami, and travel to Iowa and Wisconsin. Schedule too much to overcome.
    2.Boise State20 starters return, including a Heisman candidate at QB. They must beat Virginia Tech in Week One to realize their dreams.
    1.AlabamaThey're No. 1 'til they lose, which could very well happen a couple of times in 2010.

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    

ACC

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    Quarterback Tyrod TaylorScott Halleran/Getty Images

    Atlantic Division

    Florida State93
    Boston College93
    Clemson84
    North Carolina State66
    Maryland48
    Wake Forest39

    Coastal Division

    Virginia Tech111
    Miami (Florida)102
    Georgia Tech84
    Duke48
    North Carolina48
    Virginia210

     

    Offensive Player of the Year: Virginia Tech QB, Tyrod Taylor

    Defensive Player of the Year: Florida State CB, Greg Reid

    Storyline to Follow: North Carolina's football program is an absolute mess right now. With the academic fraud investigation on top of being the epicenter for the agent-gate scandel, Butch Davis will have his work cut out for him to avoid all the distractions this season. There's no way the 'Heels can avoid the gigantic elephant in the room this season. A 4-8 prediction is bold, but with everything going on in Chapel Hill, it could be right on the money.

    Conference Champion: Virginia Tech--The Hokies are just too talented on the offensive side of the ball for this not be their season. Miami will have a lot of talent back as well, and the 'Canes do host the Hokies in late November. But Miami will have to make it out of Atlanta without a loss the week before that against Georgia Tech.

    Florida State and Boston College are a cut above the rest in the Atlantic Division. The two team play in mid-October at Tallahassee. The 'Noles, led by first year head coach, Jimbo Fisher, should be much improved from last year. With all five offensive line starters returning and a potential Heisman candidate quarterback, Christian Ponder, the 'Noles should stay in the top 25 all season long.

     

     

     

     

Big 12

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    Nebraska coach, Bo PeliniJamie Squire/Getty Images

    North

    Nebraska111
    Missouri93
    Iowa State57
    Kansas State57
    Colorado48
    Kansas210

    South

    Oklahoma111
    Texas102
    Texas A&M84
    Texas Tech75
    Oklahoma State66
    Baylor57

     

    Offensive Player of the Year: Oklahoma QB, Landry Jones

    Defensive Player of the Year: Nebraksa DT, Jared Crick

    Storyline to Follow: Texas Tech should have a very different look with Tommy Tuberville at the helm. The days of scoring 40-plus points per game are likely over. Luckily for Red Raider fans the days of giving up 25-plus ppg are over as well. Tuberville will bring a much more balanced look to Lubbock. Expect a lot more from the running game.

    Conference Champion: Nebraska Cornhuskers--As big a role that Ndamukong Suh played on last year's 10-win Nebraska squad, to think the 'Huskers could actually be better in 2010 is borderline lunacy. Well, that is util you realize the schedule is not nearly as tough this year as it was in '09. The 'Huskers should make it out of the regular season with no more than one loss, even with Zac lee at quarterback.

    Oklahoma is definitely back as well. Landry Jones had a great freshman season filling in for the No. 1 pick of the NFL Draft, Sam Bradford. Lucky enough for Jones, most of his offensive line returns in tact. With DeMarco Murray in the backfield and a Bob Stoops reloaded defense, Oklahoma should take the Big 12 South crown away from a young Texas team.

Big East

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    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images
    West Virginia102
    Cincinnati93
    Connecticut93
    Pittsburgh93
    Rutgers75
    South Florida75
    Louisville57
    Syracuse39

    Offensive Player of the Year: Cincinnati QB, Zach Collaros

    Defensive Player of the Year: Pitt DE, Greg Romeus

    Storyline to Follow: The UConn Huskies have been in the FBS since 2000. Under head coach Randy Edsall, the Huskies have found quick success in the weakest BCS conference in America. For the first time since joining the conference in '04, UConn has its best chance yet to compete for the conference crown and the coveted BCS Bowl selection. With eight starters returning on each side of the ball and a rising star like Edsall at the helm, UConn could very well get it done this year.

    Conference Champion: West Virginia -- Ultimately, the Mountaineers will take care of business in the Big East this season. The top half of the conference is likely to be very competitive with Pitt, Cincinnati, UConn, and West Virginia all vying for the crown. Of those four teams, West Virginia has the least question marks--especially on the defensive side of the ball.

    Pitt is extremely talented, but the annual question mark that head coach Dave Wannstedt has become should make one gunshy when it comes to predicting big things for the Panthers. Cincinnati still has a ton of talent and new head coach Butch Jones should do well there, but the first season without Brian Kelly calling the plays will have some impact on this Bearcats team.

Big Ten

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    Iowa Defensive End, Adrian ClaybornDoug Benc/Getty Images

     

    Iowa111
    Ohio State102
    Wisconsin93
    Michigan State93
    Penn State84
    Northwestern84
    Purdue75
    Michigan66
    Indiana39
    Minnesota39
    Illinois210

    Offensive Player of the Year: Ohio State QB, Terrelle Pryor

    Defensive Player of the Year: Iowa DE, Adrian Clayborn

    Storyline to Follow: Michigan has been irrelevant for two seasons now. If there's one thing supporters, fans, and program administrators of traditional powers can't handle, it's irrelevancy. Now, with the NCAA hounding the program, on top of Rich Rodriguez's on field issues, 2010 could be it for the embattled coach in Ann Arbor. A loss in week one to UConn, at the Big House, could spell the beginning of the end for him.

    Storyline to Follow, Part II: Ohio State is being picked by anybody and everybody to compete for a national title in 2010. Apparently all of those pundits expect Ohio State to navigate their toughest schedule in years with little problem. The Buckeyes host an almost-back Miami Hurricanes team in September before a tough road game at Wisconsin in October and another road game at Iowa in November. If The Ohio State University's football team can win all three of those, they will win it all. If you can see them doing that, you have a lot more faith than I.

    Conference Champion: You've heard the adage, "Defense wins championships." In 2010, there will be no better example of that very statement than the Iowa Hawkeyes. Eight starters return from a defensive unit that gave up only 15 ppg last season. Iowa has a favorable schedule as well. The Hawkeyes host Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan State, and Ohio State in Iowa City. If QB Ricky Stanzi can be a game manager, much like he did in '09, Iowa will be smelling roses at season's end.

Pac 10

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    Oregon RB, La'Michael JamesTom Hauck/Getty Images
    Oregon102
    Washington102
    Arizona93
    USC94
    Oregon State84
    California66
    Stanford66
    UCLA48
    Arizona State39
    Washington State111

    Offensive Player of the Year: Washington QB, Jake Locker

    Defensive Player of the Year: Arizona CB, Trevin Wade

    Storyline to Follow: Under first year head coach Steve Sarkisian, the Huskies won five games in '09. One of those wins came against Sarkisian's mentor, Pete Carroll and USC. Now, in 2010, Washington brings back All-World QB, Jake Locker and four of five starters on the O-Line. The top of the Pac 10 is going to be quite competitive this season. If Washington can get into that top tier this season, Locker will likely win the Heisman and the Huskies could be smelling roses in January. 

    Conference Champion: Oregon is just too talented to pick against them in the Pac 10. The Ducks return nine starters from last year’s Pac 10 championship team. 10 of those starters return to an offense that put up 412 yards per game. Obviously, the one absence is quite possibly the most important player from that team, QB Jeremiah Masoli. But his replacements, at least to start the season, is the equally athletic sophomore, Darron Thomas.

    On the defensive side of the ball, the Ducks welcome nine starters back. Speed is the name of the game for that unit and many teams will struggle against the experience and athletic ability that it will provide.

    Traveling across the country to play at Neyland Stadium would be a major challenge in most years, but with Tennessee lack of depth and issues at quarterback, the game will likely not even be close. Oregon does play Lane Kiffin’s USC squad at the Coliseum, but with the massive hit the Trojans depth took as a result of NCAA sanctions, that game is likely Oregon’s to lose as well. Stanford, Washington, and Arizona are all improved, but they all travel to Eugene.

     

     

     

SEC

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    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    East

    Florida102
    Georgia102
    South Carolina66
    Tennessee66
    Kentucky57
    Vanderbilt111

    West

    Alabama111
    Auburn102
    Arkansas93
    Mississippi84
    LSU75
    Mississippi State57

    Offensive Player of the Year: Arkansas QB, Ryan Mallett

    Defensive Player of the Year: LSU CB, Patrick Peterson

    Storyline to Follow: LSU head coach, Les Miles, is firmly atop the hottest of SEC hotseat's heading into the 2010 season. With a 51-15 record since taking over at LSU, it's hard to imagine Les Miles barely clinging to his job in 2010, but that's the reality of the life in the SEC these days. Miles stupifying late game meltdowns in clock management have hurt him, but following up a national championship in '07 with five and four losses in '08 and '09 is what has ultimately landed him in this position. Anything less than eight wins in 2010 could be enough get him fired at season's end.

    Conference Champion: Even with the many question marks that losing nine starters on defense has brought, it's simply too hard to imagine this Tide team not winning the SEC title again. The offense should be prolific with last year's Heisman winner, Mark Ingram back in the fold. Throw in sophmore RB Trent Richardson and you see why this team could be very special.

    On defense, Nick Saban always just reloads. There will be chances to stumble in Arkansas and against six straight SEC teams coming off bye weeks, but the Tide should make it through that gauntlet relatively unscathed, even if their 14-game regular season winning streak does come to an end.

    Florida will be quite talented yet again, as well. Their hasn't been much to report out of Florida camp this preseason since Urban Meyer has made Gainesville Area 51 South, but chances are the East will come down to an October game in Jacksonville against Georgia. Since the 'Dawgs have won that always-important matchup just three times in the last 15 years, you can't pick against the Gators.

     

Mountain West

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    TCU head coach, Gary PattersonJamie Squire/Getty Images
    TCU111
    Utah102
    Air Force84
    BYU84
    San Diego State66
    Wyoming48
    UNLV310
    Colorado State210
    New Mexico012

     

    Offensive Player of the Year: TCU QB, Andy Dalton

    Defensive Player of the Year: TCU LB, Tank Carder

    Storyline to Follow: The ongoing conference re-shuffling plans have hit fever-pitch in the MWC in recent weeks. BYU left the conference and then reportedly returned last week once the MWC invited Fresno State and Nevada to join the party, along with Boise State next season. Losing Utah in 2011 will still hurt, but the MWC should become BCS conference worthy next offseason, provided it, in fact, keeps BYU

    Conference Champion: Utah has the pleasure of welcoming TCU to Salt Lake City next season. The Utes could struggle against Pitt and Notre Dame out of conference, but TCU is the only real hurdle to clear to win the MWC. Since Utah hosts that game, then I have to pick Utah to win the conference.

    TCU will be strong yet again, but facing Utah at home will likely derail any thoughts of returning to the BCS. BYU will take a step back after losing QB Max Hall and RB Harvey Unga.

     

     

     

WAC

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    Jed Jacobsohn/Getty Images

     

    Boise State111
    Fresno State102
    Nevada94
    Hawai'i85
    Idaho67
    Louisiana Tech57
    San Jose State49
    Utah State210
    New Mexico State111

      

    Offensive Player of the Year: Boise State QB, Kellen Moore

    Defensive Player of the Year: Boise State DT, Billy Winn

    Storyline to Follow: Can Boise State finally get the respect it deserves? This program has established itself the premier programs in the country-that can't play for a national championship. Finally, it has the chance to crash that glass ceiling, but it will have to beat Virginia Tech on Labor Day to have that chance.

    Conference Champion: Speak of Boise State, they will have zero problem with any team on the schedule, except for Virginia Tech and Oregon State. With 11 starters back on both sides of the ball, the Broncos are easily one of the more talented teams in the country. They could wind up in a BCS bowl game with one loss, but the national title game is out of the question unless they go undefeated.

Other Conferences

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    Houston QB, Case KeenumStephen Dunn/Getty Images

    Other non-BCS Conference Champions

    Conference USA: Houston

    MAC: Temple

    SunBelt: Middle Tennessee State

     

    BCS Busting Possibilities?

    Among the three also-ran confernences, there is not a single Boise State or TCU in the bunch. Houston had a nice run in '09, beginning with their upset of Texas Tech, but quickly faltered by losing to UTEP by 17 points the following week.

    Houston brings back prolific quarterback, Case Keenum. The 6'2, 210-pounder should easily thrive in this unstoppable, record-setting offense again.

    Head coach Rick Stockstill is building quite the program at MTSU, but playing the SunBelt conference is going to keep what will likely be the best team in the state of Tennessee, record-wise, from going any higher than the GMAC Bowl.

    Temple is destined for the Little Caesars Bowl as the champion of the MAC. 

Heisman Winner

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    Washington QB, Jake LockerOtto Greule Jr/Getty Images

    The Heisman competition this season is about as wide-open as ever. From Kellen Moore at Boise State to John Brantley at Florida, the quarterbacks this season are some of the very best crop we've seen in a few years.

    The running backs are no slouches either. Reigning Heisman winner, Mark Ingram would be ready to claim a second consecutive prize if he wasn't the second best running back on his own team. Sophomore Trent Richardson could very well out-run Ingram this season.

    Georgia's A.J. Green leads a fantastic wide receiver corps and the annual defensive player mentioned will be Iowa's Adrian Clayborn.

    Here are my predictions for the five finalists:

    1. Washington QB, Jake Locker

    2. Oregon RB, La'Michael James

    3. Georgia WR, A.J. Green

    4. Arkansas QB, Ryan Mallett

    5. Boise State QB, Kellen Moore

    And the winner will be...

    Jake Locker, Washington's do-everything quarterback has a solid offensive line and some serious weapons at the skill positions. If Washington wins nine or ten games, Locker will win the prize going away.

     

Bowl Predictions, National Championship Prediction, Final Top 25

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    Alabama head coach, Nick SabanKevork Djansezian/Getty Images

    BCS National Championship Game: Alabama vs. Nebraska

    2010 National Champions: Alabama Crimson Tide

    Final Rankings - Post Bowl

    RankTeamWL
    1 -Alabama131
    2 -Boise State121
    3 -TCU121
    4 -Nebraska122
    5 -Oklahoma122
    6 -Virginia Tech122
    7 -Iowa112
    8 -Oregon112
    9 -Texas112
    10 -Florida113
    11 -Auburn112
    12 -Miami (Florida)112
    13 -Washington112
    14 -Georgia112
    15 -West Virginia112
    16 -Ohio State103
    17 - Notre Dame103
    18 -Wisconsin103
    19 -Arkansas103
    20 -Arizona103
    21 -Utah103
    22 -Florida State104
    23 -Cincinnati103
    24 -Missouri94
    25 - Connecticut 94

     

    Bowl Projections

    Champs Sports Bowl: Clemson vs. South Florida (ACC vs. Big East)

    Meineke Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. Connecticut (ACC vs. Big East)

    Music City Bowl: Tennessee vs. Boston College (ACC vs. SEC)

    PinStripe Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Pitt (Big 12 vs. Big East)

    Alamo Bowl: Texas A&M vs. Washington (Big 12 vs. Pac-10)

    Holiday Bowl: Missouri vs. Oregon State (Big 12 vs. Pac-10)

    Sun Bowl: Miami vs. Arizona (ACC vs. Pac-10)

    Liberty Bowl: Houston vs. LSU (C-USA vs. SEC)

    Chick-Fil-A Bowl: Florida State vs. Ole Miss (ACC vs. SEC)

    Outback Bowl: Penn State vs. South Carolina (Big Ten vs. SEC)

    Cotton Bowl: Texas vs. Auburn (Big 12 vs. SEC)

    Gator Bowl: Notre Dame vs. Arkansas (Big 10 or Notre Dame vs. SEC)

    Capital One Bowl: Georgia vs. Wisconsin (Big 10 vs. SEC)

    Sugar Bowl: Florida vs. Ohio State

    Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Boise State

    Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. West Virginia

    Rose Bowl: Iowa vs. Oregon

     

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