Can Utah win it all?
It takes two things to win a National Championship. One is a good team, not a great team….. We have seen plenty of great teams fall short in recent years. Two is an insane amount of luck.
For instance: the 2006 National Championship Florida Gators. In 2006 Florida had to get in over No. 2 Michigan, whose only loss was to No. 1 Ohio State. Not to mention Florida’s last second blocked field goal against South Carolina. They were not a dominate team all year squeaking by several teams by a TD or less and two games by one point.
Utah has the tools to run the table and go undefeated. If they do that the rest will fall into place. It will become a game of waiting for the teams ranked above you to fall and catching your breaks. While this is out of every ones hands and left up to the football God’s, no team has ever won a Championship with out catching these breaks.
In 2008 Utah was not even ranked to start the season. At mid season they were still ranked only No. 14, climbing up to No. 7 by their last regular season game against BYU. When the polls came out the next week they had only moved up to No. 6. We all know how that season ended.
It is a slow process but it is a matter of catching your breaks.
Going back to Florida in 1996, the Gators lost their last game of the regular season to Florida State. They dropped from No. 1 to No. 4. But the next week numbers 2 and 3 lost, moving them up to No. 2. They replayed Florida State in the Sugar Bowl and won 52-20. If Nos. 2 and 3 didn’t lose who knows what happens. My point is certain teams are destined to win and catch all the lucky breaks.
Utah, an unranked team that no one gave a chance, finished No. 2 in the nation. This year by all accounts Utah will start the season ranked in the Top 25. That is already a step towards the goal.
The other thing going in the Utes' (as well as TCU, Boise and everyone else) favor is the SEC backlash. Any normal year a one or even two loss SEC team will get in over every one else for the big game. Not this year. There is an SEC back lash brewing, every one agrees this will be a down year for the SEC. No one will make it out of the South alive.
Alabama has as big a target on their backs as I have ever seen. They play SIX teams coming off of bye weeks. In college football that can be a life time, it will give damn good teams a chance to rest their players heal some injuries and scheme for two weeks straight. Like the 2006 Florida Gators, last years Alabama team had a lot of luck on their side and squeaked by a lot of close games.
The key here is it depends on when Alabama loses, how bad they lose and to whom! This matters because if the SEC does not get an automatic bid to the National Championship then it is a wide open field for any one to step into.
Ohio State has long been the media darlings of college football for some strange reason. They have a great team this year and I don’t see them losing. By sheer luck and winning games they will sneak into the No. 1 slot in all the polls guaranteeing them a chance for the National Championship.
If the SEC is out that leaves it wide open for another team to slip in. Why not Utah? They have proved themselves before; they beat Pitt when no one else thought they could. They beat Alabama when no one else thought they could. Utah has busted the BCS twice! They have won their last 9 bowl games. They are 12-3 (.800) all-time in bowl games the highest winning percentage of any one playing at least 10 bowl games.
It will take some luck, but it always does. It will take an insane amount of luck, but again it always does. Utah just has to win and the rest will fall into place.
Utah over Ohio State for the National Championship.