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Florida head coach Will Muschamp
Of all the teams in the division, Florida is the most mysterious.
The passing game was simply woeful last season, and there weren't many questions answered this spring. Wide receiver Quinton Dunbar has been a spring superstar for a few years now, but that hasn't translated to the fall. Incoming freshman Demarcus Robinson has the talent to be a downfield threat and help quarterback Jeff Driskel spread the field, but will that inexperience lead to inconsistency?
The defense will be great, but Muschamp is debating moving cornerback Loucheiz Purifoy to offense to play wide receiver. He will see some time there. How much depends on how the wide receivers progress in the first 12-to-14 practices.
Matt Jones has the potential to be a superstar, and he showed flashes of brilliance last season, rushing for 275 yards and three touchdowns. But he's still only a sophomore.
Florida won last season with a stifling and opportunistic defense and a reliable running game. Can the Gators count on the same thing in 2013? If the passing game doesn't improve, they may no other choice.
Optimistic: 11-1, with a loss to LSU, Georgia or South Carolina. If the pieces come together, Florida can be a national title contender again. But the difference between Florida and the rest of the top end of the SEC is minimal, so running the table isn't likely. As long as that one loss isn't the wrong loss and forces the Gators to lose a tiebreaker, it should be good enough for a trip to Atlanta.
Pessimistic: 6-6, with losses to Miami, LSU, Georgia, South Carolina, Florida State, and either Tennessee or Vanderbilt. This isn't as far-fetched as it seems. Five of those six losses would not be a surprise, and if Florida can't fix its issues, the margin for error will be thin. That makes an upset loss to Tennessee or Vandy more likely.
Realistic: 7-5, with losses to LSU, Georgia, South Carolina, Florida State and Miami. Florida was ahead of schedule last season, and it may come back to the pack this season. The schedule is brutal, and until it fixes its passing game, I'm not sold.