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Missouri vs. Texas A&M: Latest Spread Info, BCS Impact and Predictions

Nov 17, 2012; College Station, TX, USA; Texas A&M Aggies quarterback Johnny Manziel (2) celebrates scoring a touchdown against the Sam Houston State Bearkats during the second half at Kyle Field. Texas A&M won 47-28. Mandatory Credit: Thomas Campbell-US PRESSWIRE
Thomas Campbell-US PRESSWIRE
Ryan RudnanskySenior Writer INovember 22, 2012

After four straight wins, including victories over Mississippi State and Alabama, Texas A&M hosts SEC opponent Missouri on Saturday in College Station.

Missouri, which beat Tennessee in overtime and played Florida close within the last three weeks, will try to make life tough for the Aggies. However, it won't be easy.

Texas A&M boasts freshman sensation Johnny Manziel, who has a shot at winning the Heisman Trophy this season.

Here's a look at the SEC clash on Saturday.

 

Where: Kyle Field, College Station, TX

When: Saturday, Nov. 24 at 7 p.m. ET

Watch: ESPN2

Listen: Tiger Network, Texas A&M Sports Radio Network

Live Stream: WatchESPN

 

Betting Lines (via ScoresAndOdds.com)

Spread: Texas A&M -22

I have the Aggies winning by slightly fewer than 22 points, because I think Missouri will come to play with a bowl game within reach (see prediction below). However, I still see it being more than a two-possession advantage when all is said and done.

 

Over/Under: 61

I'm taking the "Under" here just because I don't see Missouri posting enough points to get the combined score up to 60.

 

Injury Report (via USA Today)

Missouri

OL Jack Meiners - Knee - OUT indefinitely

WR Wesley Leftwich - Foot - OUT indefinitely

 

Texas A&M

None to report

 

BCS Implications

Texas A&M needs to beat Missouri, while both Alabama and LSU have to lose for the Aggies to win the SEC West and go on to the SEC Championship Game.

Otherwise, a win would probably land the Aggies in the Cotton Bowl.

Missouri will have to beat Texas A&M to avoid missing the postseason for the first time since 2004.

 

Keys to Victory

 Missouri: Contain Johnny Manziel

Like any other opponent this season, Missouri will be focused on stopping Johnny Manziel this week.

Obviously, that's easier said than done.

The Tigers allowed 31 points to Syracuse last week while Orange quarterback Ryan Nassib threw for 385 yards and two touchdowns (one interception).

They've allowed 3.8 yards per carry this season (tied for 36th in the nation, via CFBStats.com), but they've also allowed opponents to bulldoze their way into the end zone, ceding 21 rushing touchdowns.

 

Texas A&M: Don't Implode on Defense

The way this offense is rolling, Texas A&M is going to put some points on the board against Missouri.

The only way I see the Aggies losing a big game for them is if the defense completely implodes.

Texas A&M gave up 28 points to FCS opponent Sam Houston State last week, so that gives Missouri at least some hope this weekend.

 

Prediction: Texas A&M 38, Missouri 20

As of this writing, Missouri quarterback James Franklin is still "questionable" to play on Saturday after sustaining a concussion last week (per ESPN). However, even if Franklin plays, it's not like the Tigers have put up a lot of points against ranked opponents this season.

Perhaps Missouri ups its game a bit as it vies for a bowl game, but I think asking for much more than 20 points from the Tigers against A&M is asking for too much.

 

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