College Football

2012 NCAA College Football Polls: Week 11 BCS Rankings Predict Future Chaos

BATON ROUGE, LA - NOVEMBER 03:  Quarterback AJ McCarron #10 of Alabama celebratesw after the extra point for the go ahead touchdown against LSU late in the fourth quarter at Tiger Stadium on November 3, 2012 in Baton Rouge, Louisiana.  (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)
Matthew Stockman/Getty Images
Jeremy EcksteinFeatured ColumnistNovember 4, 2012

The next BCS standings for Week 11 saw Alabama, Oregon, Kansas St. and Notre Dame all win again. These four teams will likely remain in their positions in The USA Today Coaches poll and the Harris Interactive poll.

Alabama, who had been punched all game by the LSU Tigers, finished the final two minutes with a miracle flurry that will likely impress the voters and solidify their computer rankings. Their objective to win out will garner a national championship bid.

Oregon delivered another astonishing offensive explosion in their 62-51 victory at USC. The computers are expected to strengthen their numbers for the Ducks, but the gain will likely be minimal in trying to catch Kansas St. as USC drops to the bottom edge of the Top 25 in the polls. The Ducks could lose more human votes to Kansas St. in the next few weeks, even with wins.

Kansas St. continues to steamroll their Big-12 competition. The big question for Pac-12 fans is why the Big-12 is rated a better conference by the computers. Throw in the fact that the Big-12 does not have a conference playoff, and Kansas St. could very well hold off the Ducks for the all-important second spot.

Notre Dame was most unimpressive in escaping at home against a mediocre Pittsburgh team, but the beat goes on for the Irish. Their story could garner more human votes from the two polls as the season moves into December, especially if they win big at USC.

The following calculations are projections of the BCS standings to be revealed 8:30 PM ET Sunday on ESPN.

 

BCS Ranking/Team       Coaches Poll         Harris Poll          Computers

1.  Alabama         .9892            1.000                  .9976                   .9700                             

2.  Kansas St.       .9498            .9322                  .9273                   .9900

3.  Oregon            .9235            .9492                  .9513                   .8700

4.  Notre Dame   .8916            .8739                  .8810                   .9200

5.  Georgia           .8171            .8136                  .8278                   .8100

6.  Florida            .7944            .7532                  .7600                   .8700

7.  S. Carolina     .6408            .6088                  .6035                   .7100

8.  Louisville       .6167            .6658                  .6643                   .5200

9.  Florida St.       .6159            .7790                 .7687                   .3000  

10. Oregon St.      .6015            .4671                 .5075                   .8300

11. LSU                  .5695            .5614                  .5572                   .5900

12. Oklahoma      .5601            .5139                 .5165                   .6500

13. Clemson         .5515            .6875                 .7169                   .2500

14. Stanford         .5027            .4258                 .4522                   .6300

15. Texas A&M     .4259            .4068                 .4209                   .4500

 

Who Will Lose the BCS Lottery?

It’s looking more and more like the top four undefeated teams could all stay that way. The BCS system continues to generate more arguments between conferences supporters.

This attention is good for the BCS ratings and brings more focus to college football. Fans must tune in not only to root for their own team, but to bitterly despise teams from other regions.

Above all, the two polls and six computers have continued to produce differentiating results from human-programmed data.

There is no unbiased and objective measure in ranking teams for a national title chase. No system, however impartial or corrupt, can fairly proclaim a winner.

Come December, somebody will be left out in the cold. And that’s a travesty.

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