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BCS Rankings 2012: Who's Too High, Too Low in Week 10 Standings?

Tim BielikSenior Analyst IOctober 28, 2012

BCS Rankings 2012: Who's Too High, Too Low in Week 10 Standings?

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    Week 10 has come and gone, which means November is upon us. That means the college football season is starting to separate the contenders from the pretenders.

    This week's BCS rankings are giving us a little clearer picture, as they will every week the rest of the way.

    While Oregon has moved up to No. 2 in both the AP and Coaches Poll, the computers did not agree with the pollsters. But what about the rest of the rankings?

    Here's a look at all 25 teams in this week's BCS rankings and whether the computers have those teams in the right spot or if they're either ranked too high or too low.

No. 25 Louisiana Tech

2 of 26

    Just Right

    Welcome to the BCS, Louisiana Tech.

    The Bulldogs join the BCS party with a 7-1 record—their only loss being a two-point loss at Texas A&M.

    They won't be going anywhere big because of the lack of competition in their conference, but they have at least one week of being able to say that they are a BCS-ranked team. Their No. 2-scoring offense has put up points against teams from AQ conferences.

No. 24 Oklahoma State

3 of 26

    Just Right

    Oklahoma State also joins the BCS rankings at No. 24 after it steamrolled TCU 36-14 on Saturday. The Cowboys have a chance to create BCS chaos when they travel to No. 2 Kansas State this week.

    They haven't beaten very many good teams, which is why 24 is a good spot for the Cowboys for now.

No. 23 Texas

4 of 26

    Too High

    Texas has had a nightmarish month, losing two straight games, then giving up 50 to Baylor and just escaping an upset scare from 1-7 Kansas.

    The Longhorns defense has come under fire in recent weeks and have not really shown much since being dominated by the Sooners in the Red River Shootout.

    After a pair of unimpressive wins, Texas just doesn't look like Top 25 material, which it certainly was in September.

No. 22 Arizona

5 of 26

    Too High

    Rich Rodriguez officially has a signature win in his first season with Arizona, and it was impressive, as the Wildcats gave up well over 300 receiving yards to USC's Marqise Lee.

    Arizona largely found its way into the rankings just because of that win. Realistically, the Wildcats' 2-3 Pac-12 record and poor strength of schedule won't get them anywhere the rest of the way.

No. 21 West Virginia

6 of 26

    Too Low

    West Virginia needed a bye week more than any other team in the country after its buzzsaw of a schedule this month. Looking back at who the Mountaineers played their last four games, it's pretty easy to see why it looked like they ran out of gas against Texas Tech and Kansas State.

    Following the bye, the Mountaineers should start to look more like themselves and could build back up against TCU, Oklahoma State and Oklahoma in the weeks to come.

No. 20 Nebraska

7 of 26

    Just Right

    It looks like Nebraska has bounced back nicely after its blowout loss at Ohio State, with two straight wins over teams ranked in the Top 25 at the time.

    The Huskers have put together some nice wins, and their first loss came by just six points to a UCLA team that has been playing very well.

    Nebraska is the lone Big Ten team in the BCS, with OSU and Penn State being ineligible from postseason play. It is far and away the class of the Big Ten this year.

No. 19 Boise State

8 of 26

    Just Right

    The Broncos' loss to Michigan State doesn't look so good and they only have two decent opponents left in San Diego State and Nevada.

    But the reason they're right where they should be would make Al Davis proud: just win, baby.

    It's a tried-and-true formula that in the natural attrition of the college football season, if you win, you always have a chance. And all they have to do is crack the top 16 and be better than any AQ-conference champion for a shot at yet another BCS bowl.

    Your move, Big Ten.

No. 18 Texas Tech

9 of 26

    Too High

    The Red Raiders came back down to earth after Collin Klein and Kansas State demolished a defense that has been exposed in the last two weeks.

    Texas Tech started the Mountaineers' downward spiral, but has given up big points in the other three of its last four games.

    And the Red Raiders' wins over West Virginia and TCU don't look quite as good anymore with the two teams ranked sixth and eighth in the Big 12, respectively.

No. 17 USC

10 of 26

    Just Right

    Not even Marqise Lee's record performance could help keep USC's then-slim national championship hopes alive.

    USC does have six wins and has an inside track to the Pac-12 Championship Game. But the Trojans don't have a win over a ranked team all season.

    Their schedule does get ramped significantly, as their last four games all coming against teams with winning records, including home games against No. 4 Oregon and No. 3 Notre Dame.

No. 16 Texas A&M

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    Too High

    Johnny Football and the high-flying Aggies got back on track as they rolled Auburn on the road to improve to 3-2 in the SEC.

    None of their wins in the SEC have been impressive, except for a win at Ole Miss. They have a chance to change all of that when they travel to Mississippi State and when they host Alabama the next week.

    Even though the Aggies look to be ranked too high right now, Kevin Sumlin does deserve credit for leading A&M to a solid first season in the SEC so far, losing by a combined eight points at home to Florida and LSU.

No. 15 Mississippi State

12 of 26

    Too High

    Mississippi State flunked its first test of the season in a huge way, losing 38-7 at Alabama.

    To be fair, Alabama does that to just about everybody. But the Bulldogs lack a win against an SEC team with a winning record, beating Auburn, Kentucky and Tennessee. They can change that this week when they host Texas A&M.

No. 14 Stanford

13 of 26

    Too High

    Stanford barely beat a Washington State team that is still winless in-conference, yet moved up three spots in the BCS rankings to No. 14.

    The Cardinal do have a pair of quality wins over USC and Arizona, but it doesn't look good after needing four takeaways to overcome Mike Leach's Cougars.

    After playing a Colorado team that Oregon just blew out on Saturday, the Cardinal can bolster their resume as they finish the season with Oregon State, Oregon and UCLA, in that order.

No. 13 Clemson

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    Just Right

    Clemson hasn't played a very difficult schedule, but the Tigers have beaten the teams they are supposed to beat and were a second-half meltdown away from controlling their own destiny in the ACC. They continued to put pressure on Florida State by blasting Wake Forest.

    A big road test against the surprising Duke Blue Devils awaits, which can help Clemson bolster its poor standing in the computers.

No. 12 Oklahoma

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    Just Right

    Even though Oklahoma has two losses on the season and didn't look impressive in either one, its two losses are to two teams in the top three of the BCS: Kansas State and Notre Dame.

    The Irish defense has made everyone look bad, and it continued that trend against the Sooners.

    OU's road includes three away games against teams with winning records, which is huge if the Sooners want to steal an at-large bid.

No. 11 Oregon State

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    Too Low

    The magic of the Oregon State Beavers has run out after being upset on the road to Washington, making the Beavers the second top-10 team the Huskies have beaten this season.

    Mike Riley's bunch does have some nice in-conference wins at UCLA and Arizona, and has a chance to move back up with three of their next four games against teams with winning records.

No. 10 Louisville

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    Just Right

    Louisville jumped six spots in the BCS after a three-point win over Cincinnati, which puts the undefeated Cardinals a half game back of Rutgers in the Big East.

    While the Big East is just not very good, the Cardinals do have some good wins against North Carolina and Cincinnati. Plus when you're undefeated after eight games, you're doing something right.

    Unfortunately, they won't be moving up much unless they get some help because their next three opponents—Temple, Syracuse and Connecticut—are a combined 10-13.

No. 9 Florida State

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    Too Low

    Yes, the loss at NC State was a killer to the Seminoles' title hopes. But Florida State has bounced back with three dominating wins, including defeating Coastal Division leader Duke 48-7.

    At 8-1, Florida State can play for an ACC championship with two more wins, and the Seminoles also host Florida with a chance to move up a little more.

    It appears that Florida State, barring injury, would need a collapse of epic proportions to miss out on going to the Orange Bowl.

No. 8 South Carolina

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    Too High

    South Carolina is higher than it should be, but that's unfortunately because of what happened to Marcus Lattimore.

    The Gamecocks' superstar back is out for the year due to the knee injury he suffered in the win over Tennessee.

    South Carolina likely will win out, but its loss to Florida all but eliminated it from a shot at a BCS bowl.

No. 7 Florida

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    Too Low

    The Gators' national title hopes and SEC championship game hopes may have been dashed after their 17-9 loss to Georgia.

    But dropping five spots in the BCS seems pretty excessive, especially considering it was a one-possession game despite six turnovers.

    There's no denying that wins over LSU and South Carolina are impressive, but this game showed that it's not necessarily who you lose to, but when you lose that matters most in the BCS.

No. 6 Georgia

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    Too High

    Georgia defeated its rival Florida once again, and once again eliminated any discussion that Mark Richt is on the hot seat in what's become an annual question in Athens.

    But one win over a ranked team all season does not build a resume, especially after the way the Bulldogs were blasted by South Carolina three weeks earlier.

    Georgia is two wins away from yet another SEC East championship, but are extremely fortunate and lucky to be where it is at this point of the season. One LSU win and a Georgia win over LSU in the SEC Championship Game and suddenly the Bulldogs could be in the BCS National Championship Game.

No. 5 LSU

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    Just Right

    LSU had a week off to prepare for a game they had circled on its calendar when the Tigers lost in last year's BCS National Championship Game: undefeated and No. 1 Alabama coming to Death Valley.

    A win over the Tide means LSU has a chance to crash the party once again as a team with a blemish on the Tigers' schedule as they had in 2007 when it lost two games yet won the national title.

    Following the game against Alabama, games against teams with winning records in Mississippi State and Ole Miss await the Tigers.

No. 4 Oregon

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    Too Low

    Welcome to controversy, college football.

    Oregon has arguably looked as impressive and dominant as anyone, yet is still below Notre Dame and Kansas State because of its poor computer resume in comparison to the aforementioned teams.

    Games against three BCS-ranked teams—USC, Stanford and Oregon State—in their next four games can help boost the Ducks' standing in the computers.

No. 3 Notre Dame

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    Just Right

    The Irish have done their part to stamp their resume after going to Norman and shutting down the potent Oklahoma Sooners' offense.

    Notre Dame may have the best defense north of the Mason-Dixon Line, led by defensive Heisman candidate Manti Te'o.

    Unfortunately for the Irish, they need some help to move into the top two because their next three games against Pitt, Boston College and Wake Forest come against teams that won't boost the Irish's standing in the computers.

No. 2 Kansas State

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    Too High

    Collin Klein will probably win the Heisman, and Kansas State hasn't done anything to lose where they stand in the BCS.

    But now that the Wildcats share a common opponent with Notre Dame in Oklahoma, their win looks less impressive after what the Irish just did to the Sooners.

    As the season nears the conclusion, the fact that not only does Kansas State not play in a conference with a championship game but that pollsters may not like the Wildcats' chances against Alabama in the title game could drop K-State just enough to relegate them to the Fiesta Bowl.

No. 1 Alabama

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    Just Right

    Alabama is just on another level after blasting Mississippi State at home 38-7.

    The Crimson Tide can almost cruise to the BCS National Championship Game if they survive their road test at LSU.

    The Tigers are really the only team that can realistically slow down the Crimson Tide at this moment. Alabama has been that good.

     

    Follow me on Twitter @bielik_tim for the latest college football news, updates and opinions.

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