The first official BCS poll will be released next Sunday, and the road to the National Championship and BCS bowl games will become a little clearer.
Some teams have legitimate National Championship aspirations, some are serious contenders for an at-large bid and some will be just happy to see themselves among the elite 25 teams in college football.
Louisiana Tech broke into the polls for the first time this week, landing at No. 23 in the AP Poll and No. 24 in the Coaches’ Poll.
The Bulldogs are looking strong with their 5-0 start to the season—until you consider that every one of their opponents is sporting a losing record.
Next week, Texas A&M will come calling to play the postponed game that would have been the season opener for the two teams. The Aggies will hand the Bulldogs their first loss and their stay in the top 25 will be short-lived.
Don’t expect to see Louisiana Tech in the initial, or any, BCS standings this year.
Iowa State just did break into the Coaches poll at No. 25 this week, although it remains in the “others receiving votes” category of the AP Poll. It’ll be lucky to even stay there when the pollsters cast their votes next week.
The Cyclones will play host to Kansas State and will suffer their second defeat of 2012. This will be enough to take them right back out of the human polls, and no way will they be on the BCS radar come Sunday.
The Wolverines started the season in the top 10, but dropped significantly after a blowout loss in the season opener versus Alabama. Michigan subsequently dropped out of the polls altogether after a Week 4 loss to Notre Dame.
This week, the Wolverines crept back into the AP Poll at No. 25 following a convincing win over Purdue.
Michigan may find itself in ranked in the BCS top 25 at some point this season, but next week’s matchup with Illinois won’t be enough for the Wolverines to break into the initial BCS standings.
TCU dropped more than ten spots, from No. 15 to out of the AP Poll after a loss to Iowa State on Saturday.
The Horned Frogs did manage to hold onto the No. 23 spot in the Coaches’ Poll.
However, TCU is without starting quarterback Casey Pachall, who is suspended indefinitely after a DWI arrest earlier this week. Without Pachall—and maybe even with him—TCU won’t be able to keep up with Baylor’s offense next week.
The Horned Frogs will have two losses by this time next week and won’t be appear in the BCS top 25.
Boise State has returned to the top 25 in both polls this week, sitting at No. 22 in the Coaches’ Poll and No. 24 in the AP Poll. The Broncos dropped out of the top 25 following a loss to Michigan State in the season opener.
The Broncos' signature win this season was a one-point victory over BYU. However, even that victory will lose some of its luster after BYU loses to Oregon State next week.
A win against Fresno State isn’t going to be a big enough statement for Boise State to break into the BCS initial standings. Its schedule is simply too weak.