College Football Week 5 Picks: Tennessee and Underdogs You Should Avoid

Chris Stephens@@chris_stephens6Correspondent IISeptember 25, 2012

While some predict an upset, Tennessee will largely struggle against Georgia.
While some predict an upset, Tennessee will largely struggle against Georgia.John Sommers II/Getty Images

The Tennessee Volunteers are ready to pull an upset in the College Football Week 5 picks. At least some people think so.

Don't buy it.

Tennessee comes into Saturday's showdown with the No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs hoping to get past the 37-20 loss to the Florida Gators on Sept. 15. The Volunteers are also hoping to avenge a 20-12 defeat at the hands of the Bulldogs a year ago.

However, Tennessee showed good flashes sparingly against the Gators and have feasted on inferior competition in its other three games.

Some point to the Volunteers 35-21 win over North Carolina State to open the season. Instead, focus on the Wolfpack's 10-7 win over Connecticut as a sign—they're not that good.

Tennessee lost wide receiver Da'Rick Rogers at the beginning of the season and it shows.

While Justin Hunter was and is the No. 1 receiver on the team, Rogers provided the Volunteers with a second threat on the outside. Now, opposing teams can focus on Hunter, playing man-to-man on other receivers.

Georgia is expected to get back Bacarri Rambo and Alec Ogletree on defense after a four-game suspension. Add in Jarvis Jones and other Bulldog defenders, and you've got trouble if you're an opposing offense.

Without Rambo and Ogletree, the Bulldogs have intercepted the ball seven times and sacked the quarterback eight times.

Then there's the offense, which is ninth in the NCAA in points for (47.5), 18th in rushing yards per game (242.5) and 22nd in passing yards per game (287.5).

Everywhere you look on Georgia's offense there are weapons at the disposal of quarterback Aaron Murray.

Todd Gurley and Keith Marshall have 670 rushing yards combined. Michael Bennett, Marlon Brown and Tavarres King all have more than 260 receiving yards. And forget about Malcolm Mitchell, who is gradually transitioning back to offense.

There will be no upset here. Here are other games where some predict an upset, but it's only a pipe dream.


No. 25 Baylor Bears

The Baylor Bears are going to want to welcome No. 9 West Virginia into the Big 12 in the same way Georgia welcomed the Missouri Tigers into the SEC. 

However, that's not going to happen unless quarterback Nick Florence really is a Robert Griffin III clone.

The Mountaineers look too strong for the Bears. In fact, they look too strong for most teams in the country.

Led by quarterback Geno Smith, the Mountaineers have put 142 points on the board this year. Some will point to West Virginia only playing Marshall, James Madison and Maryland thus far. In response—did you see what West Virginia did to Clemson last year?

Smith has been throwing the ball all over the field with 1,072 passing yards and 12 touchdowns. He has two big-play receivers in Tavon Austin (345 yards) and Stedman Bailey (332 yards).

West Virginia is primed to win the Big 12 title in its first year in the league. The 70-point performance against Clemson wet a lot of appetites for its entrance into the Big 12, a league known for scoring in bunches.

While Baylor is still a good team, they're not on the same level as West Virginia.


Arizona Wildcats

Fresh off their 49-0 butt-kicking at the hands of the Oregon Ducks, Arizona is looking for something against No. 18 Oregon State.

Arizona has shown it can put up points, scoring 59 against Oklahoma State and 56 against South Carolina State.

Going into the Oregon game, some thought it would be an offensive shootout. Then Oregon came out on the field.

There's no doubt that head coach Rich Rodriguez and the Wildcats have a bad taste in their mouths. However, they're not going to get rid of it against Oregon State.

Oregon State has started the season with tough wins over Wisconsin and UCLA, games in which the Beavers were underdogs.

The Beavers have turned the ball over only twice this season and are doing a lot of their work through the air. The Beavers rank 12th in college football with 327.5 passing yards per game.

The key will be on defense. If the Beavers can come out and hit Arizona hard early on, the Wildcats might not recover again. The result will be a repeat of last week.


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