2012 College Football Week 5 Picks: West Virginia over Baylor
Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Baylor at West Virginia
The Warhawks of Louisiana-Monroe have been the thorn in the side of some of the top collegiate football programs over the last few weeks. First, they took then eighth-ranked Arkansas to overtime and won 34-31. Then, they traveled to Auburn and forced overtime with the Tigers, but fell by three. Finally, last week, the Warhawks took Baylor down to the wire before losing 47-42. The Bears may have lost Robert Griffin III to the NFL, but their high-powered offense continued to thrive during the non-conference portion of their 2012 schedule.
That changes this Saturday at high noon.
Baylor travels to Morgantown to meet the new kid in the Big 12 Conference, West Virginia. The Bears enter the game fifth in the nation in scoring (51.3 points per game) and passing offense (361.7). He may not be as mobile as RG3, but Nick Florence is making a name for himself with more than 1,000 passing yards and 11 touchdowns already this season. He's chipped in 159 yards on the ground, too.
The Bears' problem, once again, is on the other side of the football where they rank 116th in total defense and 90th in scoring defense. Ouch.
They'll need to try and rectify that against Geno Smith and the Mountaineers, who are 10th in scoring offense at better than 47 points per game. Smith is one of the early favorites to take home the Heisman Trophy. The quarterback has thrown for 1,072 yards and 12 touchdowns without throwing a pick. Smith is completing better than 81 percent of his passes, which is insane and leads the nation.
We simulated the Bears and the Mountaineers 101 times and it's West Virginia coming away with the win more than 65 percent of the time by an average score of 30-25. Remember, that's just an average score – chances are these two teams run the score into the mid-to-high 40s.
|College Football Week 5|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||5.0||17||Boxscore|
|@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||95.0||34|
|@ North Carolina Tar Heels||87.1||32|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||44.1||23||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||55.9||25|
|Duke Blue Devils||44.1||25||Boxscore|
|@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons||55.9||26|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||54.5||28||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||45.5||27|
|@ Boston College Eagles||16.8||19|
|@ Connecticut Huskies||72.8||23|
|Virginia Tech Hokies||62.9||24||Boxscore|
|vs. Cincinnati Bearcats||37.1||18|
|Florida State Seminoles||79.2||29||Boxscore|
|@ South Florida Bulls||20.8||19|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||75.2||27|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||28.7||22||Boxscore|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||71.3||30|
|Minnesota Golden Gophers||32.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||67.3||24|
|@ Nebraska Cornhuskers||60.9||26|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||49.0||19||Boxscore|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||51.0||20|
|Ohio State Buckeyes||51.5||22||Boxscore|
|@ Michigan State Spartans||48.5||21|
|Rhode Island Rams||5.0||6||Boxscore|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||95.0||40|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||38.6||22||Boxscore|
|@ Northern Illinois Huskies||61.4||25|
|@ Western Michigan Broncos||55.9||29|
|Ball State Cardinals||61.9||22||Boxscore|
|@ Kent State Golden Flashes||38.1||19|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||72.3||26||Boxscore|
|@ Akron Zips||27.7||19|
|@ Massachusetts Minutemen||5.0||10|
|Arizona State Sun Devils||47.5||25||Boxscore|
|@ California Golden Bears||52.5||26|
|Oregon State Beavers||51.5||29||Boxscore|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||48.5||28|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||34.7||20|
|@ Washington Huskies||35.1||24|
|@ Washington State Cougars||25.7||21|
|@ LSU Tigers||95.0||52|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||93.1||30|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||72.3||28|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||70.8||27|
|South Carolina Gamecocks||88.1||25||Boxscore|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||11.9||11|
|@ Utah State Aggies||84.2||30|
|Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners||32.2||23||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico State Aggies||67.8||29|
|Nevada Wolf Pack||91.1||32||Boxscore|
|@ Texas State Bobcats||8.9||15|
|Stony Brook Seawolves||5.0||9||Boxscore|
|@ Army Black Knights||95.0||41|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||69.3||25|
|San Jose State Spartans||54.5||26||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||45.5||25|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||65.3||30|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||41.1||26||Boxscore|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||58.9||28|
|@ Oklahoma State Cowboys||42.6||23|
|@ East Carolina Pirates||53.5||25|
|@ UCF Knights||39.6||22|
|vs. Rice Owls||39.6||26|
|@ Tulane Green Wave||30.7||21|
|TCU Horned Frogs||75.2||30||Boxscore|
|@ Southern Methodist Mustangs||24.8||21|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||79.2||31||Boxscore|
|@ UAB Blazers||20.8||20|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||16.8||16|
|Colorado State Rams||25.7||18||Boxscore|
|@ Air Force Falcons||74.3||25|
|San Diego State Aztecs||36.1||22||Boxscore|
|@ Fresno State Bulldogs||63.9||28|
|Boise State Broncos||95.0||35||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||5.0||15|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||38.6||24||Boxscore|
|@ Arkansas State Red Wolves||61.4||27|
|FIU Golden Panthers||47.5||26||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||52.5||27|
|North Texas Mean Green||67.3||25||Boxscore|
|@ Florida Atlantic Owls||32.7||19|
|@ South Alabama Jaguars||24.8||19|
What is the duplicate article?
Why is this article offensive?
Where is this article plagiarized from?
Why is this article poorly edited?