Predictions Against the Spread for Every Week 2 College Football Game

Jonathan McDanal@@jdmcdanalContributor IIISeptember 5, 2012

Predictions Against the Spread for Every Week 2 College Football Game

0 of 43

    Point spreads are already flying around the Internet for 43 college football games in Week 2 alone.

    There are some historic matches on the docket for this week, and there are some games that are so lopsided that there aren't even over/under numbers for the events.

    Here are my picks against the spread for every game that has a betting line on sportsbook.ag.

     

    *All kickoff times are ET and taken from ESPN.com

    *Rankings are from the AP Top 25

Tulane at Tulsa

1 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: Tulsa -25

    Over/Under: 57

    Pick: Tulsa covers. Take the under.

    Last year's meeting ended in a 31-3 victory for Tulsa. It doesn't look like there will be that much more scoring in this meeting. (It would take more than three more touchdowns to meet the over/under mark.)

    Final Score: Tulsa 45, Tulane 10

Central Florida at (14) Ohio State

2 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: Ohio State -18

    Over/Under: 50

    Pick: Ohio State covers. Take the over.

    Ohio State may not be bowl eligible, but this is still the Buckeyes.

    Final Score: Ohio State 31, UCF 16

Penn State at Virginia

3 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: Virginia -10

    Over/Under: 43.5

    Pick: Virginia covers. Take the over.

    Penn State looked awful against the Ohio Bobcats of the MAC last week.

    Final Score: Virginia 17, Penn State 16


Maryland at Temple

4 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: Temple -10

    Over/Under: 45.5

    Pick: Temple covers. Take the over.

    Temple will continue to rise as a program in 2012.

    Final Score: Maryland 36, Temple 27

Miami (FL) at (21) Kansas State

5 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: Kansas State -6.5

    Over/Under: 53.5

    Pick: Kansas State covers. Take the over.

    Miami isn't returning to national prominence this year. Maybe soon, but not in 2012. (Florida State has the best chance in 2012 from the Sunshine State.)

    Final Score: Kansas State 52, Miami 13

NC State at Connecticut

6 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: NC State -5

    Over/Under: 48.5

    Pick: NC State covers. Take the over.

    NC State lost a heartbreaker to rising power Tennessee last week and still scored 21 points. Connecticut doesn't have the defense that the Volunteers have in 2012.

    Final Score: North Carolina State 10, Connecticut 7

Auburn at Mississippi State

7 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12 p.m.

    Line: Mississippi State -3

    Over/Under: 47

    Pick: Mississippi State covers. Take the under.

    Mississippi State always fields a lethal defense. Powers like Alabama and LSU always have a tougher time than it should against the Bulldogs defense.

    Final Score: Mississippi State 28, Auburn 10

East Carolina at (9) South Carolina

8 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12:21 p.m.

    Line: South Carolina -21.5

    Over/Under: N/A

    Pick: South Carolina wins but doesn't cover the spread.

    East Carolina scored 37 points last year while losing this game by 19 points. South Carolina's offense lost a major player to the NFL last year (Alshon Jeffery) and didn't look all that impressive against Vanderbilt last week.

    Final Score: South Carolina 48, East Carolina 10

Ball State at (12) Clemson

9 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 12:30 p.m.

    Line: Clemson -27.5

    Over/Under: 65.5

    Pick: Clemson wins but doesn't cover the spread. Take the under.

    Clemson has some huge talent on offense, but will be without Sammy Watkins again for this game. In the first three weeks of 2011, the Tigers' point totals were 62 against Troy, Wofford and Auburn. (Point total for Auburn 2012 game: 45.)

    Final Score: Clemson 52, Ball State 27

North Carolina at Wake Forest

10 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3 p.m.

    Line: UNC -10

    Over/Under: 53.5

    Pick: UNC covers. Take the over. (UNC could hit the mark by itself if the Deacons aren't careful.)

    UNC destroyed Wake last year 49-24. Wake will be better this year, but not good enough to overcome the 25 points.

    Take UNC covering and the over.

     

    Final Score: Wake Forest 28, North Carolina 27

Western Kentucky at (1) Alabama

11 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Alabama -40

    Over/Under: N/A

    Pick: Alabama covers (by halftime).

    The Tide hung 31 points on Michigan in the first half of the season opener while only allowing the Wolverines 14 points of their own.

    This could be a shutout by the Tide, and a 40-point victory is almost guaranteed.

    Final Score: Alabama 35, Western Kentucky 0 

(2) USC at Syracuse (in New Jersey)

12 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: USC -26.5

    Over/Under: 59

    Pick: USC covers. Take the over.

    This game will be a test of USC's defense. USC will pass the test.

    Final Score: USC 42, Syracuse 29 

(11) Michigan State at Central Michigan

13 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Michigan State -22

    Over/Under: 48

    Pick: Michigan State wins but doesn't cover the spread. Take the under.

    Michigan State didn't look very powerful against Boise State in Week 1, but that could easily have been rust. Kirk Cousins isn't stepping on to the field, but the Spartans will walk off with the win.

    Final Score: Michigan State 41, Central Michigan 7

Air Force at (19) Michigan

14 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Michigan -21

    Over/Under: 61.5

    Pick: Michigan covers. Take the over. (Michigan will take out frustration on Air Force.)

    The Wolverines may or may not have been overrated at No. 8 to open the season, but they have a lot to prove after the thrashing they took at the hands of Alabama.

    Final Score: Michigan 31, Air Force 25 

Purdue at (22) Notre Dame

15 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Notre Dame -14.5

    Over/Under: 51.5

    Pick: Purdue upsets Notre Dame. Take the under.

    Notre Dame is easing its way into 2012. Purdue will make this a better contest than last year's 38-10 loss to the Irish. Don't forget that the Irish are still breaking in a new quarterback (Week 1 didn't really remind folks that he's new).

    Final Score: Notre Dame 20, Purdue 17 

Indiana at Massachusetts

16 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Indiana -13.5

    Over/Under: 49

    Pick: Indiana wins but doesn't cover the spread. Take the under.

    After an outright blanking by the Connecticut Huskies, UMass is still looking like its a year away from the success it's seeking.

    Final Score: Indiana 45, Massachusetts 6 

Rice at Kansas

17 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Kansas -9.5

    Over/Under: 61

    Pick: Kansas covers. Take the over.

    Rice just took one on the chin from an underwhelming UCLA squad in Week 1.

    Final Score: Rice 25, Kansas 24 

Iowa State at Iowa

18 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Iowa -5

    Over/Under: 48

    Pick: Iowa covers. Take the over. (The score total was 85 last year in overtime.)

    Home-field advantage will prove to be the deciding factor in this game, just like last year.

    Final Score: Iowa State 9, Iowa 6 

(24) Florida at Texas A&M

19 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:30 p.m.

    Line: Texas A&M -1.5

    Over/Under: 51.5

    Pick: Texas A&M covers. Take the over. (The theme of this game will be offense.)

    Florida will once again disappoint in the SEC East. Texas A&M will take advantage of that, even with missing out on playing in Week 1.

    Final Score: Florida 20, Texas A&M 17 

South Florida at Nevada

20 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 3:35 p.m.

    Line: Nevada -1

    Over/Under: 54

    Pick: South Florida upsets Nevada. Take the over.

    South Florida is not to be trifled with. After taking Chattanooga down by three touchdowns, there is good reason that this spread is so low.

    Final Score: South Florida 32, Nevada 31 

(13) Wisconsin at Oregon State

21 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 4 p.m.

    Line: Wisconsin -8

    Over/Under: 52

    Pick: Oregon State upsets Wisconsin. Take the over.

    Wisconsin needs to prove that last week's game was a fluke. In the meantime, Oregon State is going to try to prove that it can hang with a Top 25 team.

    Final Score: Oregon State 10, Wisconsin 7 

Toledo at Wyoming

22 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 4 p.m.

    Line: Wyoming -3

    Over/Under: 57

    Pick: Wyoming covers. Take the under.

    Wyoming is favored by home-field advantage. That's the only real advantage in this game.

    Final Score: Toledo 34, Wyoming 31 

Akron at Florida International

23 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 6 p.m.

    Line: Florida International -23.5

    Over/Under: 54

    Pick: Florida International covers. Take the over.

    It will take Terry Bowden some time to build the Zips into a successful program. A mauling at the hands of Central Florida last week points to another Zips loss in Week 2.

    Final Score: FIU 41, Akron 38 in OT 

Fresno State at (4) Oregon

24 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 6:30 p.m.

    Line: Oregon -34

    Over/Under: 75

    Pick: Oregon covers. Take the over. (Oregon may get 75 on its own.)

    Oregon put on an offensive clinic last week, and this season looks like it could end in another conference championship for the Ducks.

    Final Score: Oregon 42, Fresno State 25 

(8) Arkansas vs. Louisiana-Monroe

25 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m. 

    Line: Arkansas -30.5

    Over/Under: N/A

    Pick: Arkansas covers (in the first quarter).

    Arkansas against ULM. The last SEC powerhouse to lose to ULM was Alabama in 2007. ('Bama was not a powerhouse at the time, but still shouldn't have lost.)

    Final Score: Louisiana-Monroe 34, Arkansas 31 in OT

Washington at (3) LSU

26 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: LSU -23.5

    Over/Under: 54

    Pick: LSU covers. Take the over.

    Washington isn't what it used to be, but will still give LSU some wrinkles on Saturday. (North Texas scored on the Tigers twice in Week 1.) Washington will hang some points on LSU, but it won't be enough.

    Final Score: LSU 41, Washington 3

Memphis at Arkansas State

27 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: Arkansas State -23

    Over/Under: 55.5

    Pick: Arkansas State covers. Take the over.

    Arkansas State put up 34 points against the Oregon Ducks last week. This offense is still not to be trifled with.

    Final Score: Arkansas State 33, Memphis 28

New Mexico State at Ohio

28 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: Ohio -21

    Over/Under: 59

    Pick: Ohio covers. Take the under.

    Week 2 is when we find out whether the Bobcats are that good, or if it was just the Nittany Lions being that bad. Either way, Ohio wins this game.

    Final Score: Ohio 51, New Mexico State 24

Texas Tech at Texas State

29 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: Texas Tech -18

    Over/Under: 59.5

    Pick: Texas Tech covers. Take the under.

    This game last year was a 50-10 win for the Red Raiders. That statistic heavily influenced my pick for this year's match.

    Final Score: Texas Tech 58, Texas State 10

Idaho at Bowling Green

30 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: Bowling Green -16.5

    Over/Under: 50

    Pick: Bowling Green covers. Take the over.

    The Vegas guys are basically picking last year's game to happen all over again. Bowling Green beat the Vandals 32-15 in 2011. After more than doubling their win total from 2010 to 2011, expect a little more from the Falcons this year.

    Final Score: Bowling Green 21, Idaho 13

Florida Atlantic at Middle Tennessee

31 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: Middle Tennessee -8.5

    Over/Under: 48.5

    Pick: Middle Tennessee covers. Take the over.

    Middle Tennessee absolutely owned Florida Atlantic last year in its two-win season. Expect more of the same in 2012.

    Final Score: Middle Tennessee 31, Florida Atlantic 17

UTEP at Ole Miss

32 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m.

    Line: Ole Miss -7.5

    Over/Under: 55.5

    Pick: Ole Miss covers. Take the over.

    UTEP hung with the Oklahoma Sooners in Week 1, only losing 24-7. That was due to a combination of the Sooners being both rusty and overrated. Ole Miss will come out of this game looking better on the scoreboard than Oklahoma did.

    Final Score: Ole Miss 28, UTEP 10

Louisiana-Lafayette at Troy

33 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7 p.m. 

    Line: Troy -3

    Over/Under: 62

    Pick: Louisiana-Lafayette upsets Troy. Take the under.

    The Ragin' Cajuns have been on the rise at their level of football for a couple of years now. Regardless of personnel shuffling, the Cajuns still have Troy's number in 2012.

    Final Score: Louisiana-Lafayette 37, Troy 24

Kent State at Kentucky

34 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7:30 p.m.

    Line: Kentucky -7

    Over/Under: 44

    Pick: Kent State upsets Kentucky. Take the over.

    Kent State is going to be fired up for this game. They schedule an SEC opponent almost every year, and they finally get a truly winnable SEC game for themselves in 2012.

    Final Score: Kentucky 47, Kent State 14

Army at San Diego State

35 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7:30 p.m.

    Line: San Diego State -6

    Over/Under: 50

    Pick: San Diego State covers. Take the over.

    San Diego State played in Week 1. This game is on San Diego's turf this year. That's two good reasons to pick the Aztecs.

    Final Score: San Diego State 42, Army 7

(16) Nebraska at UCLA

36 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7:30 p.m.

    Line: Nebraska -5.5

    Over/Under: 60

    Pick: Nebraska covers. Take the under.

    Nebraska looked like a program worthy of a Top 25 ranking last week. UCLA is a program looking for some good publicity after being dragged into an unearned conference championship last year. This will not be as close a game as predicted.

    Final Score: UCLA 36, Nebraska 30

(7) Georgia at Missouri

37 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 7:45 p.m.

    Line: Georgia -2

    Over/Under: 54.5

    Pick: Missouri upsets Georgia. Take the under.

    Georgia has the easiest cross-divisional schedules of all the SEC East teams. If anyone is going to put Georgia in its rightful place before the end of the season, they will hail from the SEC East themselves.

    Final Score: Georgia 41, Missouri 20

New Mexico at (17) Texas

38 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 8 p.m.

    Line: Texas -38

    Over/Under: N/A

    Pick: Texas wins but doesn't cover the spread.

    Texas may be overrated at No. 17, but it isn't this overrated. The Lobos will watch and learn from the Longhorns for four quarters.

    Final Score: Texas 45, New Mexico 0

Louisiana Tech at Houston

39 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 8 p.m.

    Line: Louisiana Tech -3.5

    Over/Under: 60.5

    Pick: Louisiana Tech covers. Take the over.

    Louisiana Tech had its season opener postponed, so the Bulldogs play at a disadvantage to the Cougars. However, the bigger disadvantage is Houston's Case Keenum not taking the field.

    Final Score: Louisiana Tech 56, Houston 49

Vanderbilt at Northwestern

40 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 8 p.m.

    Line: Vanderbilt -3.5

    Over/Under: 53.5

    Pick: Vanderbilt covers. Take the over.

    Vanderbilt is a rising star in the SEC. The Commodores are a couple of years away from being contenders (depth is a concern), but they should handle Northwestern if they play like they did against South Carolina in Week 1.

    Final Score: Northwestern 23, Vanderbilt 13

Duke at (25) Stanford

41 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 10:30 p.m.

    Line: Stanford -15

    Over/Under: 58

    Pick: Stanford wins but doesn't cover the spread. Take the under.

    Stanford let San Jose State make a game out of Week 1. The Cardinal should have manhandled the Spartans. Was the success due to David Shaw's coaching or Andrew Luck's skill last year? That may take longer to answer than was originally expected.

    Final Score: Stanford 50, Duke 13

(18) Oklahoma State at Arizona

42 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 10:30 p.m.

    Line: Oklahoma State -10.5

    Over/Under: 69.5

    Pick: Oklahoma State covers. Take the over.

    Oklahoma's 84-0 incineration of Savannah State was quite unexpected. It seems that Mike Gundy has something sustainable going on over at OSU.

    Final Score: Arizona 59, Oklahoma State 38

Illinois at Arizona State

43 of 43

    When: Saturday, Sept. 8 at 10:30 p.m.

    Line: Arizona State -3

    Over/Under: 49

    Pick: Arizona State covers. Take the under.

    Arizona State's offense should handle the Illinois defense better than it did last year. The Illini won by home-field advantage last year. The advantage is Arizona State's this time around.

    Final Score: Arizona State 45, Illinois 14