MVP Probability: 72.4 percent (seriously)
Case For: "I am Stephen Curry."
Other MVP cases will, unfortunately, be an exercise in futility. They matter on the perception scale, but despite the best efforts from his colleagues, Curry has turned this year's race for the league's most esteemed individual honor into his own personal chew toy.
Last season's MVP is shattering everything we thought we knew about offensive value. His shot selection is, in theory, untenable. But he's registering the third-highest true shooting percentage of anyone to jack up at least 25 total triples, so we have no choice except to embrace it, even though we can't understand it.
Curry is set to join Jordan and Dwyane Wade as the third player to average 29.5 points, five rebounds, 6.5 assists and two steals per game. He doesn't just lead the NBA in PER; he has the best PER in league history (32.1).
There has never been a more valuable player on the offensive side of the floor. Curry's OBPM of 12.6 would obliterate Jordan's initial record of 9.8. His offensive antics are so potent that he is within striking distance of the best-ever overall BPM despite a barely average defensive performance.
And when you pit Curry against the field, his case only strengthens:
||Team Net Rtg. With
||Team Net Rtg. Without
Green slightly edges out Curry in the net-rating battle, but that's splitting hairs considering everything else the point guard has done. He is, without question, the best player for a Warriors contingent that will go down as the greatest team of all time.
At this rate, Curry is not only the overwhelming favorite to win the MVP award but one of the most valuable players ever, period.
Case Against: LOL
Stats courtesy of Basketball-Reference.com and NBA.com and are accurate leading into games on Feb. 24.
Dan Favale covers the NBA for Bleacher Report. Follow him on Twitter, @danfavale.