Week 6 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

Garrett BakerSenior Analyst IOctober 9, 2013

Week 6 Fantasy Football Projections: Stat Predictions for Top 100 Players

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    Chris Graythen/Getty Images

    Five weeks of football are behind us, and we are now officially at the midway point in most fantasy football regular seasons.

    Bye weeks and injuries are piling up, and we are in crunch time for fantasy owners who want to take a step up in the second half of their fantasy seasons.

    Options on the waiver wire are becoming more and more limited, so owners need to rely more heavily on making the right decisions about who is on their roster.

    Here are my Week 6 fantasy football rankings for every position.


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    Tom Lynn/Getty Images

     Player, TeamOpp.Comp.Pass YdsPass TDsINTsRush Yds
    1Peyton Manning, DENJAX304255
    2Drew Brees, NONE2630340
    3Aaron Rodgers, GBBAL253193020
    4Tony Romo, DALWAS263107
    5Andrew Luck, INDSD24301 23
    6Philip Rivers, SDIND253100
    7Matthew Stafford, DETCLE24314 10
    8Jay Cutler, CHINYG22297209
    9Tom Brady, NENO2528832
    10Robert Griffin II, WASDAL21247 025
    11Alex Smith, KCOAK26265 010
    12Cam Newton, CARMIN17 22542
    13Colin Kaepernick, SFARI21215 2131
    14Terrelle Pryor, OAKKC19196 147
    15Geno Smith, NYJPIT20231 212

    The Denver-Jacksonville game is going to be an embarrassing blowout. I think a potential issue for the Broncos offense will be that they get ahead so big so early that they don't end up putting up numbers that are as crazy as they could be. But it'll still be big.

    There should be no doubts about who is the best quarterback from the talented 2012 class. Luck has separated himself from the pack and has put up good numbers each week this season, including in a huge victory over Seattle last week. The game against San Diego could turn into a shootout, which is good for Luck's fantasy prospects.

    If Brady has Danny Amendola and Rob Gronkowski on the field, then he could make the Patriots look like their old selves on offense. He'll have to throw a lot to keep up with Drew Brees, so a big game could be in the works.

Running Back

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    Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

     Player, TeamOpp.Rush Yds
    Rec.Rec. Yds
    Total TDs
    1Adrian Peterson, MINCAR 133342
    2Jamaal Charles, KCOAK 103650 2
    3Matt Forte, CHINYG 88892
    4Arian Foster, HOUSTL 1143341
    5LeSean McCoy, PHITB 1004391
    6DeMarco Murray, DALWAS975431
    7Marshawn Lynch, SEATEN11200
    8Knowshon Moreno, DENJAX94210
    9Doug Martin, TBPHI88317
    10Trent Richardson, INDSD86151
    11Ray Rice, BALGB724481
    12Reggie Bush, DETCLE576571
    13Alfred Morris, WASDAL87000
    14Frank Gore, SFARI7700
    15C.J. Spiller, BUFCIN61330
    16Fred Jackson, BUFCIN452191
    17 Danny Woodhead, SDIND325610
    18 Darren Sproles, NONE436530
    19 Pierre Thomas, NONE41001
    20 DeAngelo Williams, CARMIN572170

    Foster has put in two big games in a row now and looks to be back to his usual form. St. Louis' defense is nothing special, and Foster will be relied on pretty heavily to carry Houston's offense.

    Martin has been one of the biggest victims in Tampa Bay's free fall, but with things a little more settled after a bye week, expect him to start putting up better numbers. His talent is there, he just needs better opportunities.

    After hobbling through the first few weeks of the season, Rice finally had a good game against Miami in Week 5 and seems to be fully healthy again. Baltimore's offense is still pretty bad, but having their top talent healthy will be huge.

Wide Receiver

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    Michael Thomas/Getty Images

     Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. YdsRec. TDs
    1Dez Bryant, DALWAS  7123
    2Demaryius Thomas, DENJAX  6106 2
    3Calvin Johnson, DET
    CLE  7115 
    4Wes Welker, DENJAX  91080
    5Brandon Marshall, CHINYG  7100 
    6A.J. Green, CIN
    BUF  6105
    7Eric Decker, DENJAX 799
    8Victor Cruz, NYG
    CHI  5111 
    9Andre Johnson, HOUSTL  694
    10Pierre Garcon, WASDAL  596
    11DeSean Jackson, PHI
    TB  499 
    12Reggie Wayne, INDSD  693
    13Jordy Nelson, GB
    BAL  5951
    14Josh Gordon, CLEDET  690 1
    15Antonio Brown, PITNYJ  689
    16Justin Blackmon, JAXDEN  777 
    17 Danny Amendola, NENO  684 
    18 Torrey Smith, BALGB  583 
    19Hakeem Nicks, NYGCHI  678
    20Vincent Jackson, TBPHI  573
    21Cecil Shorts, JAXDEN  673 
    22Steve Smith, CARMIN  477 
    23Marques Colston, NONE  664 
    24Alshon Jeffery, CHINYG 662
    25T.Y. Hilton, INDSD 368 
    26 Larry Fitzgerald, ARISF 462 
    27James Jones, GBBAL  558 
    28Vincent Brown, SDIND  460 
    29Dwayne Bowe, KCOAK  555
    30Keenan Allen, SDIND  554

    Dez has fully established himself as one of, if not the premier receiver in the NFL this year, even threatening Calvin Johnson's position at the top of the league during a down year for Megatron. Bryant can do it all and should dominate Washington's secondary this week.

    Decker has quietly taken a back seat to Demaryius Thomas and Wes Welker, but he's been ultra-productive this year, and there will be plenty of stats to go around against lowly Jacksonville.

    After two insanely monster performances, expect Jeffery to receive special attention this week from New York's secondary. He'll come back down to earth but still put up respectable numbers.

    Allen was one of my favorite rookie receivers from this class before the draft, and he's now getting a chance to shine on the outside for San Diego. He's a great waiver-wire pickup.

    *Randall Cobb should be included on this list as well, slotted sixth between Brandon Marshall and A.J. Green.

Tight End

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    Jim Rogash/Getty Images

     Player, TeamOpp.Rec.Rec. Yds.Rec. TDs
    1Jimmy Graham, NO
    NE  7125
    2Rob Gronkowski, NENO  8102 
    3Jason Witten, DALWAS  6106
    4Jordan Cameron, CLEDET  595
    5Martellus Bennett, CHINYG  690
    6Garrett Graham, HOUSTL  781
    7Julius Thomas, DENJAX  4541
    8Antonio Gates, SDIND  686 
    9Greg Olsen, CARMIN 680 
    10Brandon Myers, NYGCHI 677 
    11Vernon Davis, SFARI  479 
    12Coby Fleener, INDSD  668
    13Jermichael Finley, GBBAL 665 
    14Heath Miller, PITNYJ  559
    15Sean McGrath, KCOAK  557 0

    I was wrong about him last week, but Gronkowski is finally expected to play in Week 6, per USA Today. Tom Brady will love having Gronk back. Expect a big week right off the bat.

    With Owen Daniels out for at least a few weeks, Graham steps in for Houston as the go-to tight end. He's an athletic pass-catcher who should see his share of targets from Matt Schaub.


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    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

     Player, TeamOpp.Makes40+XP
    1Nick Novak, SDIND 4 2 3
    2Stephen Gostkowski, NENO 3 24
    3Justin Tucker, BALGB  4 1
    4Dan Bailey, DALWAS 2 23
    5Blair Walsh, MINCAR  3 12
    6Garrett Hartley, NONE 3 03
    7Greg Zuerlein, STLHOU 3 02
    8Alex Henery, PHITB  2 13
    9Mason Crosby, GBBAL  2 12
    10Matt Prater, DENJAX  1 05

    After an impressive rookie year, Walsh has followed it up with a great rookie season. His leg is one of the most powerful in the league, as he has blasted two 50+ yard field goals already this year. The fact that Minnesota's defense has struggled to capitalize and score touchdowns also adds to his value.

    The fact that Jacksonville's defense is so bad is actually what keeps Prater lower than usual this week. The Broncos offense will likely score more often than not, and so his leg won't be needed.


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    Christian Petersen/Getty Images

     TeamOpp.Points AllowedSacksTurnovers
    1ChicagoNYG 9 3 4
    2DenverJAX 6 3 2
    3Cincinnati BUF 13 4 2
    4SeattleTEN 14 3 2
    5Kansas CityOAK 13 3 1
    6San FranciscoARI 16 3 1
    7ArizonaSF 20 3 2
    8MinnesotaCAR 21 1 2
    9New York JetsPIT 20 2 1
    10DetroitCLE 17 1 2

    Cincinnati will be licking its chops getting to face a Buffalo team whose offense has been sputtering so far this season. Thad Lewis is starting under center in Week 6 (seriously), and C.J. Spiller and Stevie Johnson have not been threats so far this year.

    Coming off of a monstrous Monday night victory over Atlanta, New York will be riding high coming into their matchup with the suddenly woeful, winless Steelers. Maybe Mike Wallace was more important to that offense than they thought.