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NBA: Power-Ranking Point Guards Using Pitcher-Type Stats

Charles BennettJun 7, 2018

NBA point guards are often floor leaders of their teams. I find them somewhat analogous to baseball pitchers.  As such, I've worked to develop a stat for point guards that mirrors a pitcher stat that combines elements of performance and victory: the quality start.  

My stat is predicated not only on the fact that point guards have a good game if they rack up a decent number of points or assists, but also that point guards are effective if they captain their teams to victory.

Out of these assumptions comes the stat "quality performance."  A point guard receives a quality performance if he scores 10 points and has five dishes in a victory.  A victory is pretty much the best single simplistic stat that accounts for not only playmaking, but also defense and turnovers.  

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I had thought about requiring 30 or more minutes for a quality performance, but I have relented on that as a requirement, in part because, unlike in baseball, basketball players are pulled in blowouts and may not get the requisite 30 minutes in those games.

This is a stat that is helped by the number of games your team has won.

Here's how various point guard stack up in that stat.  Also included are each player's games, points and assists for the season.  Ties are broken by fewest games played.            

PlayerGPTSASTQP
Russell Westbrook, Thunder 82 190360752
Tony Parker, Spurs 66134149944
Chris Paul, Clippers70118667844
Deron Williams, Nets 78 1476 60439
Stephen Curry, Warriors78178653938
Ty Lawson, Nuggets 73121650137
Mike Conley, Grizzlies 80 1168 487 34
Jeff Teague, Hawks 80 1166 579 31
Jrue Holiday, 76ers  78138362530
Brandon Jennings, Bucks80139752130
Jeremy Lin, Rockets 82 1095 497 27
Damien Lillard, Blazers82 1562 531 26
John Wall, Wizards 49 906 373 22
George Hill, Pacers76107635522
Greivis Vasquez, Hornets 78 1083 704 22
Raymond Felton, Knicks6894837420
Goran Dragic, Suns77113456920
Darren Collison, Mavericks 81 972 415 17
Steve Nash, Lakers 5063633316
Kemba Walker, Bobcats 82 1455 471 16
Mo Williams, Jazz 46 592 285 14
Rajon Rondo, Celtics 38 522 420 13
Jose Calderon, Raptors/Pistons7382651813
Nate Robinson, Bulls82107435813
Kyrie Irving, Cavaliers59132535012
Jameer Nelson, Magic 56822 413 11
Ricky Rubio, Timberwolves57 608 418 11
Kyle Lowry, Raptors 6843579111
Isaiah Thomas, Kings 79110031611
Kirk Hinrich, Bulls6045931410
Brandon Knight, Pistons7599930310
Jason Kidd, Knicks 76 458 249 5
Mario Chalmers, Heat 
77 666 273 5

A cursory look at this stat is that it roughly parallels a consensus ranking of the best point guards in the NBA this season.  Of particular note is that Russell Westbrook is ahead of Paul and Parker, largely on the strength of playing a dozen more games than either.

Also of note is that the top eight point guards in this stat are all still playing, i.e. their teams are in the playoffs.  Holiday and Lillard have the highest number of quality performances on a non-playoff team, despite finishing near the top in assists. Hornets point Greivis Vasquez was in the middle of the pack in terms of quality performances, though I doubt that anyone would seriously argue that Vasquez is one of the 10 best point guards in the NBA, in spite of his assist numbers.

This stat is actually good at weeding out bad point guards on good teams.  Of the 33 point guards I looked at, Mario Chalmers finished dead last in the stat, ironically tied with Jason Kidd.  The Suns' Goran Dragic had more quality performances than both point guards in Chicago's platoon replacement for the injured Derrick Rose.    

Also, for kicks, here are a few players who are not point guards who I expected to do well in this stat.  I threw in Gasol because he's leading all centers in assists, and I wanted to see how high a center might go with this stat.  

Player GPTSASTQP
LeBron James, Heat76203655155
Kobe Bryant, Lakers78213346933
Kevin Durant, Thunder81228037426
Marc Gasol, Grizzlies 80 1127 31819
Carmelo Anthony, Knicks6719201714

To put it in perspective, that means LeBron would be the best point guard in the NBA if he was a point guard, making this yet another stat that proves LeBron's dominance.   Then again, he did lead all non-guards in assists.   

Kobe and KD have more quality performances than the majority of NBA points, but Carmelo Anthony has fewer quality performances than even Chalmers, largely due to the fact that he averages fewer than three assists a game.

Quality performances: The real way to find out who is a good point guard.

Advanced stats and game logs courtesy of Basketball-reference.com.

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