NBA Draft Lottery Odds 2011: Who Has the Best Shot at the No. 1 Pick?

J.B. BirdContributor IIIMay 15, 2011

NBA Draft Lottery Odds 2011: Who Has the Best Shot at the No. 1 Pick?

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    Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images

    We are now just days away from the 2011 NBA Draft Lottery.

    The 14 teams that failed to make the playoffs will enter a lottery on May 17 to see which team will receive the first, second and third picks in the 2011 NBA Draft.

    Teams' chances to score the top pick are greater the higher their ranking. These team rankings are based on their standings at the end of the regular season. The worse a team's record, the higher their ranking.

    Each team's probability of securing the number one pick is represented by the number of 'chances' they are allocated out of one thousand. For example, the team with the worst record receives 250 out of the 1,000 chances.

    As you can see, merely having the league's worst record far from guarantees you the top spot.

    So, with that in mind, here are the odds for each of this year's lottery teams to grab the No. 1 slot.

14. Houston Rockets

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    5 chances, representing a 0.5% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

13. Phoenix Suns

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    Nick Laham/Getty Images

    6 chances, representing a 0.6% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

12. Utah Jazz

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    7 chances, representing a 0.7% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

11. Golden State Warriors

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    8 chances, representing a 0.8% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

10. Milwaukee Bucks

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    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    11 chances, representing 1.1% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

9. Charlotte Bobcats

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    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    17 chances, representing a 1.7% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

8. Cleveland Cavaliers (via LA Clippers)

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    Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

    28 chances, representing a 2.8% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

7. Detroit Pistons

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    43 chances, representing a 4.3% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

6. Utah Jazz (via New Jersey)

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    63 chances, representing a 7.5% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

    Note: the Sacramento Kings and New Jersey Nets finished with same record. The Kings won the coin toss and therefore get the higher chances.

5. Sacramento Kings

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    88 chances, representing a 7.6% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

    Note: the Sacramento Kings and New Jersey Nets finished with same record. The Kings won the coin toss and therefore get the higher chances.

4. Washington Wizards

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    119 chances, representing a 11.9% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

3. Toronto Raptors

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    156 chances, representing a 15.6% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

2. Cleveland Cavaliers

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    199 chances, representing a 19.9% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

1. Minnesota Timberwolves

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    Al Bello/Getty Images

    250 chances, representing a 25.0% likelihood of scoring the top pick.

Thanks!

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