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Joakim Noah: How Much Is the Chicago Bulls Center Really Worth?

Ken Park
Sep 26, 2010

Chicagoans fresh off the Carmelo Anthony versus Joakim Noah debate can now tussle anewย over the young center's monetary value. Apparently, Joakim recently turned down a five-year contract worth roughly $60 million,ย in hopesย for an additional $10 million instead. The new Noah question of the week becomes "Is Joakim really worth roughly $14 million per season?"ย 

In theory, these negotiations should take no more thanย 15 minutes. It should be as easy as finding out the price of a frozen Digiorno's Pizza from your local grocer. If you want to know Joakim's proper market value, just hop on the internet andย visit the market for NBA centers.ย 

The following table shows salary data for centers whose Player Efficiency Rating (PER) is within just two points above and two points below Joakim's 2009-10 rating of 17.96. I exclude centers who are in their rookie contracts (like Al Horford)ย or who are in their third or fourth NBA contracts (likeย Shaquille O'Neal)ย to focus onย players who are on a similar pay scale. This allows us toย see howย Joakim's contemporariesย are paid in the NBA.

As a primer, I love Joakim. I love his heart, passion, work ethic, and supreme will to win. He's grown on meย a lot over the course of three years. In 2007, I thought the Bulls wereย insaneย for draftingย the Gator potheadย at No. 9, butย now I find myself wondering whatย the Bullsย would do without him.ย 

Butย the cold reality is, at $14 million a year, Noah would be grossly overpaid. At $70 million over five years, Noah would makeย over $15 million more thanย Nene and roughlyย $5 million more than Alย Jefferson,ย who were bothย slightly more productive than Joakim last season. While Big Al and Nene haveย hadย a series of injuries, Joakim Noah's plantar fasciitis also indicates that his long-term health is not guaranteed.ย 

In addition,ย last season was Noah's first and onlyย breakout year, and even then the Bullsย barely threatened the Cavs last April.ย Clearly,ย Joakim is asking to be paid more on his promise and potential rather than his entire history of production.

Too manyย blossoming teams have had their championship quests derailed by excessive contracts. The Bulls have potential, but will needย all theย financialย flexibilityย they can muster in order toย add more pieces as their team evolves. Sentimentality for Joakim's endearing personality should not distract the Bulls organization. Joakim's proper market value is closer to $60-65 million over five years rather than the $70 million Joakim demands.

If the Bulls stick to their guns, Joakim and his agent willย eventually recognize this offer as a fair one. Like everyone else, they are fully aware that they may never see such generosity againย under the new Collective Bargaining Agreement.ย The requisite posturing will end, both sides will come to terms, Joakim will move on, continue to play hard, and most importantly, the team's basketball future will be better offย because ofย it.

Ken is a writer for NBA-Analytiks at www.nba-analytiks.com