Stock Up, Stock Down for Top 20 NBA Prospects with 2013 Draft Order Set

Jonathan Wasserman@@NBADraftWassNBA Lead WriterMay 23, 2013

Stock Up, Stock Down for Top 20 NBA Prospects with 2013 Draft Order Set

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    With the lottery set and the combine complete, we're starting to see some pieces from the NBA draft puzzle fall into place.

    Most of the top-ranked guys have maintained their status as top-ranked guys. It's tough to disappoint coaches during simple little drills and running around some cones.

    The needle will really start to move once head-to-head workouts get underway, and these top-ranked guys start facing each other.

20. Shane Larkin, Miami, 5'11'', PG

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    Stock Report: ↑

    After testing as the fastest player at the combine and recording the second-highest max vertical in the history of the event, it's fair to say that Shane Larkin's stock is rising.

    His athletic test results helped squash some of the disappointment caused by his under-six-foot label.

    Larkin may not be viewed as a starting NBA point guard right now, but while his game develops and evolves, he'll still be able to provide a playmaking spark off a bench. If I'm a playoff team with a dull second unit, I'm aiming for Larkin somewhere in the 20s.

19. Rudy Gobert, France, 7'2'', PF/C

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    Stock Report:

    Despite putting up record-breaking measurements, Rudy Gobert's skills looked awfully raw at the combine.

    All he is right now is a set of a numbers—7'2'' and 7'.8.5''—his height and wingspan. Whether that will eventually translate to a productive NBA career remains to be seen, but not everyone is convinced.

    One scout from Philadelphia went as far as to say "I'm not a fan at all."

    Still, all it takes is one team to like you. The lottery isn't out of the question, though he seems riskier now than he did a few weeks ago.

18. Jamaal Franklin, San Diego State, 6'5'', SF

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    Stock Report: ↔

    Jamaal Franklin's sprained ankle kept him out of the athletic testing at the combine, which is slightly disappointing considering how good of an athlete he is.

    No big deal.

    He's got a versatile skill set that's easy to pick up on. Assuming coaches have seen his tape, they'll know what he's capable of doing without the ball in his hands, something he may not be able to show during individual workouts.

    Any team outside the lottery remains a realistic destination.

17. Steven Adams, Pittsburgh, 7'0'', C

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    Stock Report: ↑

    Nobody's stock has risen higher than Steven Adams' over the past few weeks after he blew coaches away at the combine with his deceptively advanced skill set.

    Adams was nailing his mid-range jumpers off the catch and the dribble, looking fluid and natural as if he's had it all along. And this was after measuring 7'0'' with a massive 7'4.5'' wingspan, the second longest at the combine.

    He's now put himself back on the map as one of the top center-prospects on the board.

    Welcome back to the lottery conversation, Mr. Adam.

16. Dario Saric, Croatia,

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    Stock Report:

    The NBA guys seem to be intrigued by Dario Saric's upside, which is quite unique when you consider the skills be brings to the table.

    At 6'10'', he's more or less a frontcourt facilitator. Saric is a visionary passer who can put it on the floor and make plays off the bounce. His shot needs work and his defensive outlook is questionable, but the versatility he offers up front is generating a lot of buzz overseas.

    He still has a week before the draft to withdraw his name, which he'll likely do at 19 years old if he's not promised a spot in the lottery.

15. Kenavious Caldwell-Pope, Georgia, 6'6'', SG

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    Stock Report: ↑

    Teams are reportedly intrigued by Kentavious Caldwell-Pope's athleticism and shooting range, a combination that always attracts attention. For what it's worth, he looks the part of an NBA 2-guard, which can actually have some meaning for executives seeing him in person for the first time.

    He's going to impress at workouts for sure. Caldwell-Pope projects as an excellent perimeter defender, lethal shooter and reliable finisher at the rim.

    A team like the Minnesota Timberwolves could jump the gun and snag him at No. 9 with his name on the rise.

14. Shabazz Muhmammad, UCLA, 6'6'', SF

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    Stock Report: ↓

    Many were disappointed when Shabazz Muhammad only measured in at 6'6'' considering he projects as an NBA small forward.

    He then shot one of the worst percentages of any player during spot-up drills at the combine.

    Muhammad is falling out of favor while his name is losing luster. Without the ability to create and underwhelming athleticism at a position that traditionally requires it, he's a candidate to free-fall on draft night the way Perry Jones did last year.

13. C.J. McCollum, Lehigh, 6'3'', PG

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    Stock Report: ↔

    C.J. McCollum's numbers at the combine were all expected—no red flags yet no standout strengths.

    It was just good to see him active, as he's been out since January after breaking his foot.

    Given he's a scorer at 6'3'' and not a true point guard, he's starting to draw some comparisons to Randy Foye.

    McCollum will be viewed as a combo guard in this draft capable of providing a team with some offensive firepower. The last third of the lottery seems like a reasonable landing range.

12. Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga, 7'0'', C

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    Stock Report:

    The needle hasn't moved for Kelly Olynyk over the past few weeks. He showcased his advanced skill set during drills at the combine, though his lack of athleticism was exposed.

    For the guys who pay attention to the details, they won't be too thrilled with his physical measurements or testing results.

    But Olynyk can play. At 7'0'', he's a face-up threat with the ability to attack off the dribble, pull-up from outside or shake in the post.

    Olynyk will be an offensive upgrade to somebody's frontcourt.

11. Mason Plumlee, Duke, 7'0'', C

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    Stock Report:

    Mason Plumlee put up strong numbers at the combine, though nobody expected anything less.

    He measured in at a legit 7'0'', and finished with a 12'0'' max vertical reach, which means he can literally play two feet above the rim.

    Plumlee's big test will come in workouts when he's likely to get matched up with guys like Cody Zeller and Kelly Olynyk. We'll have a better feel for his stock once we see how he fares against the other centers on  the board.

10. Dennis Schroeder, Germany, 6'2'', PG

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    Stock Report:

    Dennis Schroeder put up some great measurements at the combine, most notably a 6'7.5'' wingspan that the NBA loves.

    ESPN's Chad Ford reported during the combine broadcast that Schroeder had a promise somewhere in the first round. Whether that's true or just a smokescreen, he's pretty much solidified his status as a first-round pick after the show he put on at the Nike Hoops Summit.

    It's possible he's the third point guard off the board this year, with Utah a potential landing spot.

9. Michael Carter-Williams, Syracuse, 6'6'', PG

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    Stock Report: ↑

    To no surprise, scouts and executives love the 6'6'' pure facilitator who just happens to be an exceptional athlete.

    Michael Carter-Williams checked out at the combine during testing, and with some still questioning Trey Burke's athleticism, the first point guard off the board may not be so obvious.

    If Carter-Williams can shoot the ball well during workouts and prove his poor percentages were just a fluke, he's going to give Burke a serious run for his money.

8. Cody Zeller, Indiana, 7'0'', C

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    Stock Report: ↑

    Cody Zeller showed up all the big men during athletic testing at the combine, finishing in first in four separate drills.

    He even looks stronger in his upper body. The eye test is an underrated part of the evaluation process. Coaches have to envision that player physically competing with the beasts in the NBA.

    And there's no doubt he's going to crush it during workouts. He's incredibly skilled and nimble for a guy his size.

    The only question is whether he's tough and strong enough to battle.

7. Alex Len, Maryland, 7'1'', C

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    Stock Report:

    Alex Len is out the entire pre-draft process after revealing he had a stress fracture in his foot, not a good sign considering the history of big men and that particular injury.

    It hasn't deflated his stock, but it's possible a few teams did drop out of the running.

    Len is going to be competing for draft position with guys like Cody Zeller and Kelly Olynyk—players likely to shine during one-on-one workouts.

    The only thing shiny about Len will be the metal on his walking boot.

6. Victor Oladipo, Indiana, 6'5'', SG

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    Stock Report: ↑

    Victor Oladipo really has the chance to be last year's Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. Teams really love this kid. He's just a safe bet—you know Oladipo is going to bring a motor, effort, defense, wildly entertaining yet effective athleticism, a rapidly improving offensive game and a high-character presence.

    That's a lot of positive qualities. The only negative one is that he's not a 20-point-per game scorer, but I think coaches are starting to realize that there may not be one out there.

    It would hard to imagine him getting past Phoenix at No. 5.

5. Anthony Bennett, UNLV, 6'7'', SF/PF

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    Stock Report:

    Anthony Bennett's stock is likely to depend on the stock of others. He's out for the pre-draft process after recently undergoing shoulder surgery, and he'll sell teams on his upside based on film from this season.

    Every team drafting No. 3 through No. 8 could use a versatile forward like Bennett. Expect that to be his draft range.

4. Otto Porter, Georgetown, 6'8'', SF

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    Stock Report:

    Otto Porter put up strong numbers across the board at the combine. The lottery also played out in his favor.

    The Cleveland Cavaliers like Porter, as he fits an obvious need on the wing and one of the surest bets in the draft. He doesn't necessarily have the upside of a No. 1 pick, but there isn't a single question or red flag concerning his transition to the pros.

    Porter would also work in Washington at No. 3, a team with similar needs as Cleveland.

    Coaches will no doubt be impressed with his NBA frame and pro-ready skill level during workouts.

    All arrows are pointed in the right direction for Porter.

3. Trey Burke, Michigan, 6'1'', PG

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    Stock Report:

    Trey Burke's draft stock is tricky. The only team's opinion that really matters here is Orlando's. They control the draft with their decision if Nerlens Noel goes No. 1.

    Orlando didn't even bother to interview Burke at the combine after speaking with a number of other prospects. That could be something  or absolutely nothing.

    If Orlando passes at No. 2, it's possible Burke slips down the board to No. 6 at New Orleans. With Greivis Vasquez in place there, the Pelicans would then have a tough choice to make.

    Burke's immediate priority is getting Orlando to believe he's not only the top point guard in the pool, but the top prospect after Noel. Ben McLemore might have something to say about that.

2. Ben McLemore, Kansas, 6'5'', SG

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    Stock Report:

    Ben McLemore's 42'' max vertical leap at the combine pretty much confirmed what we already know—the dude can fly.

    That type of athleticism mixed with a picturesque outside stroke combines to form a potent offensive weapon. There's time and growth for him to improve his dribble and shot creativity.

    Though unlikely, McLemore could still go No. 1 overall. If Cleveland feels he's the top prospect, Dion Waiters isn't going to stop them from drafting him.

    Or, it's possible another team trades up to No. 1 targeting McLemore as its new starting shooting guard.

1. Nerlens Noel, Kentucky, 6'11'', C

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    Stock Report:

    Nerlens Noel received good news when the Cleveland Cavaliers won the lottery. The Cavs have a bigger need in the middle than Orlando does, giving him a better shot at going No. 1 overall.

    Noel got some bad news when he got off the scale at the combine. He weighed in at just 206 pounds, a number coaches will highlight when they analyze his resume.

    He's still considered the top long-term prospect on the board, and all reports on his knee say he's ahead of schedule in his recovery.

    Unless anyone blows Cleveland away during workouts, Noel will remain the favorite to go No. 1 overall.