Atlanta Hawks: Good Record and All, They're Overrated and Headed Nowhere
- 80-74 at Magic in early December.
- 91-81 vs Magic in late December.
- 83-80 vs Bulls in early March.
Five wins came against teams that were under .500 at the time—the Grizzlies (two), the 76ers (two) and the Knicks.
Another win came against a struggling 24-22 Knicks team that had won just three of its previous 10 games.
The remaining three wins came against teams that weren't at full strength:
- 110-87 at Jazz (no Paul Millsap).
- 93-89 at Heat (no Chris Bosh).
- 90-83 at Blazers (limited Brandon Roy and Marcus Camby).
Keep in mind that Johnson missed 10 games with injury; however, the Hawks' win percentage with and without him is comparable—.593 with; 556 without. Also, only three of these games were losses to above-.500 teams—at Boston, at San Antonio, and at Miami. The Hawks probably would have lost these games either way.
Furthering the point that Atlanta is overrated is the fact that its actual record is better than its expected win-loss record. In other words, based on a formula derived from stat guru Bill James's Pythagorean Theorem of baseball, the Hawks should be 33-30 right now, not 37-26.
Actually, the Hawks are the only team currently in the Eastern Conference playoffs that is (statistically) exceeding expectations. In short, this means the ball has bounced in the Hawks' favor a bit more than it has for other teams.
Atlanta may win just enough down the stretch to maintain its grip on the No. 5 seed, but don't expect much after that. This team wouldn't beat the Knicks or 76ers in a best-of-seven series, let alone the Magic or Heat.
Johnson’s signing resembles Rashard Lewis’s more and more with each passing day.
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