Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds: NBA Playoffs Preview

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistApril 18, 2013

DENVER, CO - APRIL 17:  Evan Fournier #94 of the Denver Nuggets controls the ball against the Phoenix Suns at the Pepsi Center on April 17, 2013 in Denver, Colorado. The Nuggets defeated the Suns 118-98. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Doug Pensinger/Getty Images)
Doug Pensinger/Getty Images

Much has been made of Miami's 37-2 run to end the season, but the Denver Nuggets reeled off a 23-3 stretch of their own, making them a serious threat in the NBA's Western Conference.

Not surprisingly, the West's No. 3 seed is a big favorite over Golden State in NBA-playoffs first-round betting action.

"The Nuggets were -525 to win the series at most sportsbooks and an 8-point favorite in Game 1," according to Mark Presley of

Golden State heads into Saturday’s Game 1 of its best-of-seven series against the Denver Nuggets with a 6-3 record both straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) in their last nine games.

The Warriors are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 road games, and 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games against a team with a winning record.

If they are going to have any shot at winning this series it will be up to Stephen Curry and David Lee. Curry leads the team with 22.9 points and 6.9 assists a game while Lee is chipping in 18.5 points and a team-high 11.2 rebounds a game.

Golden State is ranked seventh in the NBA in scoring with an average of 101.2 points a game. And Curry's accuracy makes the point spread dangerous for bettors in every Warrior game.

Denver was cruising towards the playoffs but suffered a major setback when its second-leading scorer Danilo Gallinari was lost for the season with a torn ACL. Nonetheless, the Nuggets are a rock-solid 23-3 SU in their last 26 games.

They are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games at home and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games against a team with a winning record.

The loss of Gallinari will hurt, but Denver is still deep in talent with seven other players averaging at least nine points a game led by Ty Lawson’s team-high 16.7 points.

The Nuggets are the league’s highest-scoring team at 106.1 points a game and rank second in rebounds 45.0 per game.

In head-to-head matchups between these two teams, the home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings and the total has gone OVER in three of the last four games.

Golden State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five trips to Denver. The Nuggets have a 3-1 edge both SU and ATS in this season’s series. The Warriors sit at +3000 to win the Western Conference and +7500 to win the championship, while Denver is listed at +600 to claim the conference and +2500 to win it all.


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