We attempt to identify superstars prior to their arrival on the NBA stage.
Perceived natural ability is a driver for most predictions. Productivity on the prep level is as well for others.
What's often lost, however, is the combination of other things that have to break right for an NBA player to become the superstar they were meant to be.
Fit on the team that drafts them is critical, for example. Health is obviously also paramount.
Regardless, every NBA player is still ultimately measured with respect to what they were predicted to become.
Or, more directly, where they were selected in the NBA draft.
Those players taken within the top five picks are supposed to be superstars. That doesn't always happen, however, for a variety of reasons discussed within this slideshow.