2011 NFL Mock Draft: A.J. Green To Carolina, Christian Ponder To Seattle

Even before I saw the ESPN video of Jon Gruden stumping quarterback Cam Newton to call a play from the Auburn play-book, I thought that the Carolina Panthers should take wide receiver AJ Green from Georgia with the first pick (assuming that the Panthers can't trade down).

The Panthers still have the foundation to contend for the postseason.  The problem for Carolina has been a one-dimensional passing attack, which has limited the effectiveness of their running-game. 

Quarterback Jake Delhomme was no longer effective.  The fact is though, Steve Smith was Carolina's only go-to target in recent years.

The last ten years of the NFL has seen a higher frequency of successful rookie quarterbacks, but it's hard to imagine that either Gabbert or Newton will be the next.

It's also hard to see either Cam Newton or Blaine Gabbert stepping into the NFC South as a rookie and leading the Panthers.  Second year quarterback Jimmy Claussen, at least, has a season of experience.

In other news:

According to Josh Katzowitz of Sportline.com, Arkansas quarterback Ryan Mallet has admitted to NFL clubs that he has abused drugs.

This news could mean that Mallet will be on the board as late as the 4th round.

I know, I know ... honesty should count for something, but no team will want to invest a top pick and money into a player who could relapse or is not considered mentally ready to a lead the team.

Honesty is admirable because it can prevent another person from taking on something unexpected.

Frankly, I've known people who were fired for being honest about a mistake, because their honesty suggested that they didn't care enough about having the job.

Strange but true.

Mallet was already drawing comparisons to Ryan Leaf, and his admission seems to have sealed the deal with the Leaf analogies.

Nevertheless, I could see the Oakland Raiders, Cincinnati Bengals, or Dallas Cowboys selecting him.  The Raiders love talented players regardless of baggage, while Jerry Jones of the Cowboys loves former Razorback players, and the Bengals could be desperate for a quarterback.

Global References:

http://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft
http://www.sports-reference.com/
http://www.cbssports.com/nfl
http://www.nfl.com/
http://www.footballsfuture.com/2011/

Carolina Panthers: AJ Green, WR, Georgia

AJ Green

Big Question: Is Jimmy Claussen the better choice for quarterback at this time?

Right now, things seem worse than they probably are for the Carolina Panthers.  The right moves could easily lead the Panthers from the doldrums.

Trading down would be nice, but the hard part is finding a buyer.  The possibility of trading the pick will hinge on whether the top pick will be owed 50 million in guaranteed money (Sportsline.com, Rapid Reports).

According to Mike Freeman of Sportsline.com, Panthers owner Jerry Richardson is not entirely sold on Cam Newton but is enamored by AJ Green.

Wide receiver AJ Green would open-up the passing game, which would keep the defenses honest against the Panthers running-game.

Notes on AJ Green: 6'4'', 211 lbs, great hands; underrated route-running; can make immediate impact as rookie; willing blocker; honors student; was suspended at Georgia but maintains respect of coaches and players (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com)

    2010:
    offense: 32nd
    defense: 18th
    passing-offense: 32nd
    rushing-offense: 13th
    passing-defense: 11th
    rushing-defense: 23rd

    Needs:
    Quarterback*
    Defensive end
    Defensive tackle
    Outside linebacker
    Cornerback
    Wide Receiver
    Tight end (production has declined since 2009)
    Right Defensive end (production has declined)
    Weakside linebacker
    Offensive line depth

    Free-agents:
    RB DeAngelo Williams
    CB Richard Marshall
    QB Matt Moore
    TE Dante Rosario
    TE Jeff King
    C Ryan Kalil (resigned)
    DE Charles Johnson
    DT Nick Hayden
    LB James Anderson
    LB Thomas Davis
    LB Jamar Williams
    S Gerald Alexander

    Additions:
    TE Jeremy Shockey

    Notes: Hired new head-coach Ron Rivera

Denver Broncos: Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama

Marcell Dareus

Big Question: Will Tim Tebow be the quarterback in 2011?

The Broncos may be another case where things aren't quite as bad as it may seem. 

Questions abound around quarterback Tim Tebow, but I could see the Broncos turning around with a beefed-up defense under new coach John Fox.

The defensive-line is the squeakiest wheel for the Broncos.

Notes on Marcel Dareus: 6'3, 319; explosive hands; stout in run defense; good pass rush moves; stater for national champion; needs clear lane to close; some off-field issues (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    2010:
    offense: 13th
    defense: 32nd
    passing-offense: 7th
    rushing-offense: 26th
    passing-defense: 24th
    rushing-defense: 31st

    Needs:
    Pass rusher
    Defensive tackle
    Defensive end
    Defensive back
    Tight end
    Right Tackle
    Outside linebacker
    Running-back   

    Free agents:
    CB Champ Bailey (resigned)
    DT Kevin Vickerson (resigned)
    QB Brady Quinn
    HB Laurence Maroney
    OL Ryan Harris
    K Matt Prater
   
    Subtractions:
    DT Jamal Williams
    DT Justin Bannan
    TE Daniel Graham

    Notes:
    Switching to 4-3 base defense

Buffalo Bills: Cam Newton, QB, Auburn

Cam Newton

Big Question: Should the Bills pass on Blaine Gabbert or Cam Newton?

Von Miller of Texas A&M seems too raw of a prospect to be selected at third overall.  The Bills should consider trading up to select Newton.

Quarterback Cam Newton would be a good fit for the run-oriented offense of Chan Gailey, especially with two quality wide receivers in Steve Johnson and Lee Evans. 

I also imagine that Gailey's passing plays will be fairly straightforward, especially when you consider the success of Ryan Fitzpatrick as a passer in 2010.

Notes on Cam Newton: 6'5'', 248 lbs, tantalizing upside; strong leader on and off the field; quarterback for college champion; will need to learn NFL-style offense; physical enough to take hits or run with the ball; some off-field issues (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    2010:
    offense: 25th
    defense: 24th
    passing-offense: 24th
    rushing-offense: 18th
    passing-defense: 3rd
    rushing-defense: 22nd

    Needs:
    Quarterback*
    Outside linebacker
    Defensive end
    Left tackle
    Guard
    Tight end

    Free Agents:
    LB Paul Posluszny
    CB Drayton Florence
    S George Wilson (resigned)
    G Mansfield Wrotto (resigned)
    DT John McCargo
    LB Keith Ellison

    Subtractions:
    DL Marcus Stroud
    LB Mike Balogun
    LB Pierre Woods

    Notes:
    RB CJ Spiller was good return specialist but non-factor as running-back
    WR Lee Evans was injured
    LB Aaron Maybin has not panned out

Cincinnati Bengals: Julio Jones, WR, Alabama

Julio Jones

Big Question: How will the Bengals solve the issue with QB Carson Palmer?

Quarterback Carson Palmer has stated that he will retire unless he's traded.  The Bengals have not budged, and are in the market for another quarterback.

The Bengals could select Blaine Gabbert here, but there's a chance that the Bengals will acquire Kevin Kolb from the Philadelphia Eagles.

I can see several possibilities for the Bengals here: WR Julio Jones, of Alabama, RT Tyron Smith of USC, or even RB Mark Ingram of Alabama.

Chad Ochocinco could be done with the Bengals, and would need to be replaced.

Former top-ten pick Andre Smith has left much to be desired and could be converted to guard.  The Bengals could stand to upgrade at right-tackle.

I added Ingram because the Bengals struggled in offensive situations that would have been different with a better running-back.  An enhanced running game would also alleviate the pressure on the next quarterback.

Notes on Julio Jones: 6'3'', 220 lbs; 4.34 in the 40; good blocker and play-maker after the catch; inconsistent hands and focus yet has displayed commitment and toughness to play through injuries (Rob Rang of Sportsline.com).

    2010:
    offense: 20th
    defense: 15th
    passing-offense: 13th
    rushing-offense: 27th
    passing-defense: 14th
    rushing-defense: 19th

    Needs:
    Quarterback*
    Safety (pass coverage)
    Inside Linebacker
    Defensive end
    Running-back*
    Wide Receiver

    Free Agents:
    CB Johnathan Joseph
    RB Cedric Benson
    C Kyle Cook
    G Nate Livings
    G Evan Mathis
    LB Dhani Jones
    FB Brian Leonard
    WR Terrell OWens
    TE Reggie Kelly
    S Chinedum Ndukwe
    S Gibril Wilson

    Notes:
    need to run the ball more effectively
    need to stop the run more effectively
    QB Carson Palmer could leave
    WR Chad Ochocinco could leave
    DE Antwan Odom was injured
    DE Carlos Dunlap was a steal
    DE Michael Johnson has upside
    WR Jordan Shipley has upside

Arizona Cardinals: Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri

Blaine Gabbert

Big Question: Are the Cardinals reverting to the Cardinals of old?

If there's any chance that Blaine Gabbert will succeed as a rookie, it would be in Arizona. 

Notes on Blaine Gabbert: 6'4'', 234 lbs, respected as leader, played in spread offense, good short-range accuracy except when under pressure, inconsistent accuracy outside the hashes, generally poised in the pocket, good athlete to make plays outside of pocket with his feet (Rob Rang of Sportsline.com)

    2010:
    offense: 31st
    defense: 29th
    passing-offense: 31st
    rushing-offense: 32nd
    passing-defense: 22nd
    rushing-defense: 30th

    Needs:
    Quarterback
    Outside linebacker
    Guard
    Tight end
    Cornerback
    Right Tackle

    Free agents:
    RB Tim Hightower
    WR Steve Breaston
    WR Early Doucet
    G Alan Faneca
    G Deuce Lutui
    C Lyle Sendlein
    DL Bryan Robinson
    TE Ben Patrick
    DE Kenny Iwebema
    DT Alan Branch
    DT Gabe Watson
    S Matt Ware

    Notes:
    RB Beanie Wells has upside
    LB O'Brien Schofield has upside
    Aging starters: Joey Porter, Paris Lenon, Ben Graham

Cleveland Browns: Tyron Smith, RT, Southern California

Tyron Smith

Big Question: Should the Browns solidify the offensive line or add a playmaker to the defense?

With the Browns moving to the 43 base defense, it doesn't make much sense for the Browns to select Von Miller of Texas A&M. 

Miller would be best suited in a 34 defense as a pass-rusher and not relied on in run-defense, as a rookie.  At Texas A&M, the defense was tailored to Miller's primary skill, rushing the passer.

The Browns could also consider defensive-tackle Nick Fairley of Auburn, or defensive-end Robert Quinn of North Carolina.

At the risk of being completely wrong when Draft day comes, I concluded that the Browns should solidify the offensive-line in order to protect quarterback Colt McCoy, running-back Peyton Hillis, and in effect, makes things easier for the wide receivers.

Alternatively, the Browns could select offensive tackle Anthony Castonzo of Boston College.

Assuming that cornerback Patrick Peterson of LSU is still available, the Browns would likely consider trading down.

Notes on Tyron Smith: 6'5'', 305 lbs, top prospect at tackle, strong in pass blocking and run blocking, yet displays some inconsistency in getting off the snap and anticipating the defenders (Rob Rang of Sportsline.com).

    2010:
    offense: 29th
    defense: 22nd
    passing-offense: 29th
    rushing-offense: 20th
    passing-defense: 17th
    rushing-defense: 27th
   
    Needs:
    Wide Receiver
    Defensive end
    Right tackle
    Safety
    Inside linebacker
    Right Guard

    Free agents:
    QB/WR Seneca Wallace (resigned)
    RB Mike Bell
    FB Lawrence Vickers
    WR Chansi Stuckey
    TE Alex Smith (resigned)
    DL Jayme Mitchell
    DL Robaire Smith
    LB D’Qwell Jackson (resigned)
    LB Chris Gocong
    LB Matt Roth
    LB Jason Trusnik
    CB Eric Wright
    S Abram Elam
    S Sabby Piscitelli
    K Phil Dawson (tagged)

    Subtractions:
    LB David Bowens
    TE Robert Royal
    LB Eric Barton
    RT John St. Clair
    DE Kenyon Coleman
    DT Shaun Rogers

    Notes:
    QB Colt McCoy is still learning
    Will convert to 4-3

San Francisco 49ers: Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU

Patrick Peterson

Big Question: Where will the 49ers find a quarterback?

The San Francisco 49ers have two gaping needs, cornerback and quarterback.  The 49ers could consider Jake Locker of Washington at this spot.

The 49ers could also be considering a trade with Philadelphia for Kevin Kolb.  The Niners could wait until the second round of the draft, and possibly select Andy Dalton of TCU or Colin Kaepernick of Nevada.

Assuming that Patrick Peterson is still available at this spot, the 49ers would have the leverage to trade down with a team such as Houston or Detroit, and still select a quarterback.

Peterson would solidify the defense, but without a reliable prospect at quarterback, the 49ers will still have a long way to go in the NFC West.

There's also the possibility of the 49ers being able to sign Nnamdi Asomugha as a free agent.

But as things are currently, Peterson would be the best pick for the 49ers and seventh overall.

Notes on Patrick Peterson: 6'0'', 219 lbs, considered the safest pick in the draft (Sportsline.com)

    2010:
    offense: 24th
    defense: 13th
    passing-offense: 18th
    rushing-offense: 19th
    passing-defense: 23rd
    rushing-defense: 6th

    Needs:
    Quarterback
    Nose tackle
    Cornerback
    Outside linebacker
    Safety
    Center
    Running back

    Free agents:
    QB Alex Smith
    RB Brian Westbrook
    LT Barry Sims
    OL David Baas
    DL Ray McDonald
    DT Aubrayo Franklin
    LB Takeo Spikes
    LB Travis LaBoy
    LB Manny Lawson
    S Dashon Goldson

Tennessee Titans: Jake Locker, QB, Washington

Jake Locker

Big Question: Should the Titans take Jake Locker or Nick Fairley?

The Titans offense and defense were equally weak in 2010, nevertheless, the root of the problem on offense stems from one position, the quarterback. 

Conversely, the root of the problem on defense stems from one position, defensive tackle.

The Titans defense has been a shell of itself without Albert Haynesworth.  Nevertheless, the Titans seem to have more to work with on defense, while the offense won't go far without a legitimate quarterback.

Notes on Jake Locker: 6'3'', 231 lbs, well-respected leader, only moderate accuracy but would fit well in the Tennessee offense, because of his strong arm and athleticism to make plays with his feet.

    2010:
    offense: 27th
    defense: 26th
    passing-offense: 25th
    rushing-offense: 17th
    passing-defense: 28th
    rushing-defense: 20th

    Needs:
    Quarterback
    Defensive tackle
    Guard
    Center
    Outside Linebacker*
    Defensive end*

    Free agents:
    QB Kerry Collins
    RB Ahmard Hall
    WR Randy Moss
    TE Bo Scaife
    OL Leroy Harris
    DE Jason Babin
    DE Dave Ball
    LB Stephen Tulloch
    LB David Thornton
    CB Rod Hood

    Notes:
    QB Vince Young is likely done

Dallas Cowboys: Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M

Von Miller

Big Question: Were things as bad as it seemed in Dallas in 2010?

Under former coach Wade Phillips, the Cowboys seemed like they were sleepwalking through the season, until owner Jerry Jones replaced Phillips with Jason Garrett.

At times in 2010, the Cowboys were in the top three of both defense and offense, yet found ways to lose.

Miller is not another Vernon Gholston, but I can't imagine Von Miller being an impact player as an every-down rookie, yet he could certainly wreak havoc as a down-specialist, especially for a team that already features an elite rusher in DeMarcus Ware.

Assuming that Miller is still on the board, it's possible that the Patriots could trade up with Dallas in order to select Miller. 

According to Pete Prisco of Sportsline.com, the Patriots are interested in trading up, with the speculation being that they would take wide receiver Julio Jones or defensive-end Ryan Kerrigan, but assuming that Miller tumbles, it would be a no-brainer for the Patriots to seek a trade.

Notes on Von Miller: 6'3'', 246 lbs; workout warrior; run defense and pass defense is still work in progress; but excelled as a pass rusher in a defense that was tailored to him (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

    2010:
    offense: 7th
    defense: 23rd
    passing-offense: 6th
    rushing-offense: 16th
    passing-defense: 25th
    rushing-defense: 12th

    Needs:
    Defensive end
    Offensive tackle
    Safety
    Cornerback
    Inside linebacker

    Free agents:
    WR Sam Hurd
    OL Doug Free
    OL Alex Barron
    OL Kyle Kosier
    DE Stephen Bowen
    DE Jason Hatcher
    DE Marcus Spears
    CB Alan Ball
    CB Gerald Sensabaugh

    Notes:
    Jason Garrett replaced Wade Phillips as coach in mid-season
    QB Tony Romo was injured
    CB Akwasi Owusu-Ansah has upside
    LB Sean Lee has upside

Washington Redskins: Muhammad Wilkerson, DL, Temple

Muhammad Wilkerson

Big Question: Would Washington be willing take Nick Fairley after the fiasco with Albert Haynesworth?

Washington badly needs a quarterback and a tackle in the middle of the defensive line.

Nick Fairley seems to have the talent to be a dominant defensive tackle, but could lack the work ethic to play in the 34 defense.

After what the Redskins have gone through with Albert Haynesworth, it would seem wise to select a rising player like Muhammad Wilkerson of Temple.

According to Pete Prisco of Sportsline.com, the Redskins are interested in trading down in order to select quarterback Christian Ponder or Andy Dalton.

As things currently are, I think Wilkerson is underrated and makes the most sense for Washington's defense.

Other possibilities here would be nose tackle Phil Taylor of Baylor, wide receiver Torrey Smith of Maryland or guard Mike Pouncey of Florida.

Notes on Muhammad Wilkerson: 6'5'', 300 lbs; good fit for the 43 and 34 defense, but is likely better suited for the 34; no known character issues; agile five-technique player in run-defense; has size and strength to overwhelm opponent and still chase down the quarterback with his length and nimble feet; eats up multiple blocks (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com)

    2010:
    offense: 18th
    defense: 31st
    passing-offense: 8th
    rushing-offense: 30th
    passing-defense: 30th
    rushing-defense: 26th

    Needs:
    Quarterback
    Defensive line
    Wide receiver
    Cornerback
    Outside linebacker
    Nose tackle
    Guard

    Free agents:
    QB Rex Grossman
    WR Santana Moss
    OT Jammal Brown
    OL Stephon Heyer
    OL Will Montgomery
    DL Kedric Golston
    LB Rocky McIntosh
    CB Carlos Rogers
    CB Philip Buchanon
    DB Reed Doughty

    Additions:
    S Oshiomogho Atogwe

    Subtractions:
    DE Andre Carter
    G Derrick Dockery
    RB Clinton Portis

Houston Texans: Robert Quinn, LB/DE, North Carolina

Robert Quinn

Big Question: Can the Texans shore up the pass defense?

The Texans will be converting to the 34 base defense and will likely need to add an outsider linebacker capable of rushing the passer.  The Texans could trade up for CB Patrick Peterson or LB Von Miller.

Otherwise, they could stay put and take Robert Quinn of North Carolina.

Notes on Robert Quinn: 6'4,'' 265 lbs; raw player; can explode off the snap and fly by offensive tackles; opponents have to game plan around his burst off the edge; suspended for 2010 season (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    offense: 3rd
    defense: 30th
    passing-offense: 4th
    rushing-offense: 7th
    passing-defense: 13th
    rushing-defense: 31st

    Needs:
    Cornerback
    Nose tackle
    Outside linebacker
    Safety

    Free agents:
    QB Matt Leinart
    HB Arian Foster
    FB Vonta Leach
    HB Derrick Ward (resigned)
    WR Jacoby Jones
    TE Owen Daniels (resigned)
    OL Rashad Butler
    OL Kasey Studdard
    OL Mike Bisiel
    DE Mark Anderson
    DT Shaun Cody (resigned)
    LB Zach Diles
    LB Kevin Bentley
    DB Jason Allen
    DB Bernard Pollard

    Notes:
    Switching to 34 base defense

Minnesota Vikings: Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn

Nick Fairley

Big Question: Will the Vikings reach for a quarterback or take the best available player?

The Vikings have several significant needs: quarterback, offensive line, and could stand to bolster the defense.

I can imagine the Vikings taking quarterback Christian Ponder at this spot, or an offensive lineman such as Anthony Castonzo or Mike Pouncey.  Nevertheless, Vikings defensive-tackle Pat Williams could retire, which would make the defense regress.  Taking Nick Fairley would keep the defensive line as a strong point.

With Kevin Williams and Jared Allen, Fairley would not be expected to anchor the line, just make plays.

Notes on Nick Fairley: 6'5'', 314 lbs; has potential to be top-tier defensive tackle but questions about character and work ethic remain as concerns (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    2010:
    offense: 23rd
    defense: 8th
    passing-offense: 26th
    rushing-offense: 10th
    passing-defense: 10th
    rushing-defense: 9th

    Needs:
    Quarterback
    Defensive line
    Safety
    Offensive tackle
    Defensive tackle
    Wide Receiver
    Center

    Free agents:
    QB Brett Favre
    QB Tarvaris Jackson
    WR Sidney Rice
    WR Hank Baskett
    WR Greg Lewis
    OL Ryan Cook
    K Ryan Longwell
    DE Ray Edwards
    DE Brian Robison (resigned)
    DT Pat Williams
    DT Fred Evans
    LB Chad Greenway (resigned)
    LB Ben Leber
    LB Erin Henderson
    CB Lito Sheppard
    CB Frank Walker
    DB Tyrell Johnson
    DB Husain Abdullah

Detroit Lions: Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska

Prince Amukamara

Big Question: Do the Lions bolster the offensive line or a needy secondary?

The Lions, on paper, have the makings of a dark-horse team, but have an uphill road in the NFC North.

The Lions need to bolster the offensive line and the cornerback spot.  Anthony Costanzo is a finesse player who is likely a better fit at right tackle.  The Lions would get better value with a cornerback.

Notes on Prince Amukamara: 6'0'', 206 lbs; Perfect NFL press-cover corner with his combination of size; strength and speed; inconsistent in biting on double moves and pump fakes; applies himself on the field and when studying film (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

2010:
    offense: 23rd
    defense: 8th
    passing-offense: 26th
    rushing-offense: 10th
    passing-defense: 10th
    rushing-defense: 9th

    Needs:
    Cornerback
    Linebacker
    Safety
    Offensive tackle
    Running-back
    Wide receiver (slot)

    Free agents:
    QB Drew Stanton
    RB Kevin Smith
    FB Jerome Felton
    OL Corey Hilliard
    DL Cliff Avril
    DL Turk McBride
    DT Andre Fluellen
    LB Landon Johnson
    CB Nathan Vasher (resigned)
    DB CC Brown
    DB Brandon McDonald
    DB Chris Houston

    Additions:
    S Erik Coleman

    Subtractions:
    LB Julian Peterson
    CB Eric King

St. Louis Rams: Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois

Corey Liuget

Big Question: What defensive position should the Rams address?

Unless the Rams trade up in order to select a wide receiver, chances are, the Rams will select a defensive player.

The interior of the defensive-line remains a concern.

The Rams could easily address the outside linebacker positions or add a young defensive end behind James Hall.  But for the here and now, an upgrade at defensive tackle would be the better choice.

Some alternatives include Torrey Smith of Maryland, Kyle Rudolph of Notre Dame and Mike Pouncey of Florida.

Notes on Corey Liuget: 6'2'', 298 lbs; leader in locker room; tough to block in pass-rush; has the strength to be versatile; stout in run defense; lacks explosive first step in pass rush; solid tackler (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

2010:
    offense: 25th
    defense: 19th
    passing-offense: 21st
    rushing-offense: 25th
    passing-defense: 18th
    rushing-defense: 17th

    Needs:   
    Wide receiver
    Defensive line
    Tight end
    Safety
    Running back (backup)

    Free agents:
    RB Kenneth Darby
    WR Laurent Robinson
    WR Danny Amendola
    WR Mark Clayton
    TE Daniel Fells
    OL Adam Goldberg
    OL John Greco
    CB Justin King (resigned)
    DE CJ Ah You
    DL Chris Hovan
    DL Clifton Ryan
    LB David Vobora

    Subtractions:
    S Oshiomogho Atogwe
    RB Mike Karney

Miami Dolphins: Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama

Mark Ingram

Big Question: How will the Dolphins improve the passing game?

The Dolphins could start over by replacing Chad Henne with a rookie like Christian Ponder, or make things easier for Henne by enhancing a running game that has declined.

According to Rob Rang of Sportsline.com, the Dolphins aren't necessarily interested in Mark Ingram, but frankly, I think that's smoke screen, because the predictability would limit Miami's leverage in any potential trades.

Notes on Mark Ingram: 5'9'', 215 lbs; Heisman winner and national champion in same season; powerful runner against tackles; reliable receiver; cognizant blocker; family has checkered past, but he is active in community (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

2010:
    offense: 21st
    defense: 6th
    passing-offense: 16th
    rushing-offense: 21st
    passing-defense: 8th
    rushing-defense: 7th

    Needs:
    Running-back
    Guard
    Tight end
    Quarterback
    Free safety
    Cornerback

    Free Agents:
    QB Chad Pennington
    QB Tyler Thigpen
    RB Ronnie Brown
    RB Ricky Williams
    RB Patrick Cobbs
    RB Lex Hilliard
    WR Kevin Curtis
    OL Pat McQuistan
    OL Richie Incognito (resigned)
    DL Tony McDaniel
    DL Paul Soliai (resigned)
    LB Quentin Moses
    CB Al Harris
    OL Nate Garner

    Subtractions:
    RB Deon Anderson

Jacksonville Jaguars: Da'Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson

Da'Quan Bowers

Big Question: Will the Jaguars draft a quarterback?

David Garrard has been injured.  He's also going on 33. 

The Jaguars could consider a quarterback such as Christian Ponder with this pick.  I could also see the Jaguars taking Maryland's Torrey Smith at this spot.

Nevertheless, the Jacksonville defense needs more work than the offense, with defensive-end still lagging behind.

There will likely be a quarterback available in the second round or later.

Notes on Da'Quan Bowers: 6'3'', 280 lbs; generally looks and plays the part of an NFL defensive end; but often late off the snap; technique in pass rush still needs work; needs to use his hands better in run defense to not lose balance (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

2010:
    offense: 15th
    defense: 28th
    passing-offense: 27th
    rushing-offense: 3rd
    passing-defense: 27th
    rushing-defense: 22nd

    Needs:
    Defensive end
    Cornerback
    Wide receiver
    Safety
    Quarterback*
    Inside Linebacker

    Free Agents:
    TE Marcedes Lewis
    P Adam Podlesh
    CB Tyron Brackenridge (resigned)
    CB David Jones (resigned)

    Subtractions:
    WR Mike Sims-Walker

New England Patriots: Ryan Kerrigan, LB/DE, Purdue

Ryan Kerrigan

Big Question: Will the Patriots add speed, a left tackle, a pass rusher, or trade up?

The Patriots could package their two picks in the first round and trade up.  But the Patriots could also stay put.

Notes on Ryan Kerrigan: 6'4'', 267 lbs; highly respected player who could move from defensive end to linebacker in 34 schemes (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

2010:
    offense: 8th
    defense: 25th
    passing-offense: 11th
    rushing-offense: 9th
    passing-defense: 29th
    rushing-defense: 11th

    Needs:
    Pass rusher
    Left tackle
    Defensive end
    Wide receiver (size)
    Outside linebacker
    Running back

    Free Agents:
    RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis
    RB Sammy Morris
    RB Kevin Faulk
    RB Fred Taylor
    LT Matt Light
    LG Logan Mankins (tagged)
    DL Gerard Warren
    LB Tracy White
    DB Kyle Arrington
    DB Brandon McGowan
    DB Jarrad Page

    Additions:
    DE Marcus Stroud

    Notes:
    DL Ty Warren was injured

San Diego Chargers: Cameron Jordan, DE, California

Cameron Jordan

Big Question: How does a team that ranked 1st in offense and defense finish 9-7?

When the Oakland Raiders went undefeated in the AFC West and missed the postseason, it was the first time in NFL history in which a club went undefeated in division play and missed the postseason.

At the same time, the San Diego Chargers managed to finish first in offense and defense but with only nine wins.  A disastrous performance by the special-teams made the difference in many cases; allowing multiple blocked punts and returns for touchdowns.

The NFL has decided, coincidentally, to move kickoffs to the 35 yard line instead of the 30 yard line.

Many teams had problems with allowing touchdowns on kickoffs, but the Chargers clearly exemplify it.

I decided to include that spiel because the Chargers don't have many holes on offense or defense.  The Bolts could select Torrey Smith of Maryland or Ryan Kerrigan of Purdue, but my conclusion is that defensive-end Jacques Cessaire is the player to replace.

Notes on Cameron Jordan: 6'4'', 287 lbs; understands gap assignments in 34 schemes; excellent strength; stout run defender; high effort; off-field issues could drop his value (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

2010
    offense: 1st
    defense: 1st
    passing-offense: 2nd
    rushing-offense: 15th
    passing-defense: 1st
    rushing-defense: 4th

    Needs:
    Outside linebacker
    Inside linebacker
    Defensive end
    Wide receiver
    Right tackle

    Free agents:
    QB Billy Volek
    RB Mike Tolbert
    RB Darren Sproles
    WR Vincent Jackson (tagged)
    WR Malcom Floyd
    WR Legedu Naanee
    TE Kris Wilson
    TE Randy McMichael
    OL Jeromey Clary
    OL Scott Mruczkowski
    DL Jacques Cesaire
    DL Odemdi Nwagbuo
    DL Travis Johnson
    LB Antwan Barnes
    LB James Holt (resigned)
    LB Kevin Burnett
    LB Stephen Cooper
    LB Brandon Siler
    CB Paul Oliver
    S Eric Weddle

New York Giants: Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College

Mike Pouncey

Big Question: What spot on the offensive line should the Giants address?

The Giants offensive line needs to be shored up.  Many mock drafts have Mike Pouncey at this spot, but I think there's a chance that Anthony Castonzo could last to this point.

The Giants could also select tight end Kyle Rudolph of Notre Dame to replace Kevin Boss, but the offensive line has always been the bread and butter of coach Tom Coughlin.

Notes on Anthony Castonzo: 6'7'', 311 lbs; considered second best tackle prospect; raw player with room to improve, but has commitment to do so (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

2010
    offense: 5th
    defense: 7th
    passing-offense: 10th
    rushing-offense: 6th
    passing-defense: 9th
    rushing-defense: 8th

    Needs:
    Offensive tackle
    Outside linebacker
    Defensive tackle
    Inside linebacker
    Center
    Running back
    Safety
   
    Free agents:
    QB Jim Sorgi
    RB Ahmad Bradshaw
    RB Danny Ware (resigned)
    WR Steve Smith
    WR Derek Hagan
    WR Domenik Hixon (resigned)
    WR Darius Reynaud (resigned)
    TE Kevin Boss
    G Kevin Boothe
    DL Dave Tollefson
    DL Barry Coefield
    LB Chase Blackburn
    LB Keith Bulluck
    S Michael Johnson
    S Deon Grant

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Nate Solder, OT, Colorado

Nate Solder

Big Question: Will the Bucs add to the offensive line or the defensive line?

Tampa Bay could take a defensive end at this spot, but Nate Solder would be better value.  Solder could likely play either tackle spot on the line for the Bucs.

Notes on Nate Solder: 6'8'', 319 lbs; Solder's length and athleticism makes him a prototypical pass protector on the blind side; very willing and able run blocker on the edge with exceptional mobility for his size; exceptional feet and agility make him a threat to take out defenders in space; can be inconsistent but has high work ethic (Sportsline.com).

2010
    offense: 19th
    defense: 17th
    passing-offense: 17th
    rushing-offense: 8th
    passing-defense: 7th
    rushing-defense: 28th

    Needs:
    Defensive-end (pass rush)
    Outside linebacker
    Inside linebacker
    Cornerback
    Guard

    Free-agents:
    RB Michael Spurlock
    RB Cadillac Williams
    TE John Gillmore
    LB Barrett Ruud
    OT Jeremy Trueblood
    G Davin Joseph
    DE Tim Crowder
    DE Greg White
    LB Quincy Black
    CB Ronde Barber

Kansas City Chiefs: Torrey Smith, WR, Maryland

Torrey Smith

Big Question: What can the Chiefs add to not regress in 2011?

The Chiefs won the AFC West in 2010 after a poor finish in 2009.  Even so, the Chiefs did not win the division convincingly.

They could select a nose tackle, linebacker, or offensive lineman at this spot, but the new trend in the NFL is to have a deep-threat on the outside, which the Chiefs lack.

Notes on Torrey Smith: 6'1'', 204 lbs; Good burst off the snap to eat up the cushion; good hands; best after the catch; willing blocker but needs to improve; dedicated player (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 12th
    defense: 14th
    passing-offense: 30th
    rushing-offense: 1st
    passing-defense: 16th
    rushing-defense: 14th

    Needs:
    Nose tackle
    Wideout
    Center
    Outside linebacker
    Offensive-tackle

    Free agents:
    QB Brodie Croyle
    DL Wallace Gilberry
    DL Shaun Smith
    LB Tamba Hali (tagged)
    LB Mike Vrabel
    LB Cory Greenwood
    CB Travis Daniels
    CB Brandon Carr

Indianapolis Colts: Mike Pouncey, G, Florida

Mike Pouncey

Big Question: Will the Colts add a quarterback to groom?

Peyton Manning is in his mid-thirties and a free agent.  Adding a rookie quarterback would add leverage.

I can't rule out the possibility of a quarterback, but chances are, the Colts will bolster the offensive line.

Notes on Mike Pouncey: 6'5'', 303 lbs; long arms, good strength, leverage, balance, flexibility, hands, and footwork; but lacks consistency in nastiness and effort (Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 4th
    defense: 20th

    passing-offense: 1st
    rushing-offense: 29th
    passing-defense: 13th
    rushing-defense: 25th

    Needs:
    Center/Guard
    Left tackle
    Defensive tackle
    Safety
    Kick returner
    Cornerback

    Free agents:
    QB Peyton Manning (tagged)
    RB Mike Hart
    RB Joseph Addai
    OT Charlie Johnson
    OL Kyle DeVan
    OL Mike Pollak
    K Adam Vinatieri
    DL Antonio Johnson
    DL Daniel Muir
    DL Eric Foster
    LB Clint Session
    S Melvin Bullitt
   
    Subtractions:
    S Bob Sanders

Philadelphia Eagles: Akeem Ayers, LB, UCLA

Akeem Ayers

Big Question: What to do?

The Eagles could add an offensive lineman but the defense needs more work.  Akeem Ayers would fill a need at linebacker.

Notes on Akeem Ayers: 6'3'', 254 lbs; good tackler and pass rusher, but can be prone to mistakes (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 2nd
    defense: 12th
    passing-offense: 9th
    rushing-offense: 5th
    passing-defense: 14th
    rushing-defense: 15th

    Needs:
    Cornerback
    Right tackle
    Center/Guard
    Linebacker
    Defensive line

    Free agents:
    QB Michael Vick (tagged)
    RB Jerome Harrison
    OL Reggie Wells
    K David Akers (tagged)
    DE Victor Abiamiri
    LB Stewart Bradley
    LB Ernie Sims
    LB Rashad Jeanty
    LB Omar Gaither
    DB Quintin Mikell

    Additions:
    LB Phillip Hunt

New Orleans Saints: JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin

JJ Watt

Big Question: What to do?

The Saints need to improve the defensive line.

Notes on JJ Watt: excellent skills in pass rush, lacks flexibility; active against the run, must improve techniques; strong punch and very effective hands in pass rush but lacks explosive first step; must improve strength; excellent work ethic, no off-field issues (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 6th
    defense: 4th
    passing-offense: 3rd
    rushing-offense: 28th
    passing-defense: 4th
    rushing-defense: 16th

    Needs:
    Outside linebacker
    Defensive end
    Safety
    Offensive line

Free agents:
    RB Heath Evans
    WR Lance Moore
    QB Patrick Ramsey
    TE David Thomas
    OT Jermon Bushrod
    OT Zach Strief
    C Jonathan Goodwin
    DT Remi Ayodele
    DT Anthony Hargrove
    G Carl Nicks
    LB Scott Shanle
    LB JoLonn Dunbar
    LB Clint Ingram
    LB Marvin Mitchell
    S Usama Young
    S Roman Harper
    S Darren Sharper
    ST Garrett Hartley

Seattle Seahawks: Christian Ponder, QB, Florida State

Christian Ponder

Big Question: Should the Seahawks select a quarterback?

Matt Hasselbeck is a free agent.  Is Charlie Whitehurst the future?  In 2009, I argued that Seattle should have selected quarterback Mark Sanchez.  Instead, the Seahawks took Aaron Curry.  Now, Seattle is without a legitimate starter at quarterback.

Notes on Christian Ponder: 6'2'', 229 lbs; owns role of leader; very accurate; moderate arm strength; must improve at reading defense; can make plays out of the pocket (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 28th
    defense: 27th
    passing-offense: 19th
    rushing-offense: 31st
    passing-defense: 26th
    rushing-defense: 21st

    Needs:
    Right Tackle
    Quarterback
    Safety
    Cornerback
    Defensive end

    Free agents:
    QB Matt Hasselbeck
    RB Leon Washington
    RB Chris Henry (resigned)
    WR Mike Williams
    WR Ben Obomanu
    RT Sean Locklear
    OL Chris Spencer
    DT Brandon Mebane
    LB Will Herring
    LB Leroy Hill
    LB Matt McCoy
    CB Kelly Jennings
    CB Roy Lewis
    S Lawyer Milloy

Baltimore Ravens: Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado

Jimmy Smith

Big Question: What to do?

The Ravens always take the best available.  Jimmy Smith would fit nicely for the Ravens

Notes on Jimmy Smith: 6'2'', 211 lbs; struggles in shedding blocks; needs to tighten up footwork when transitioning from pedal to plant-and-drive (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com)

    2010
    offense: 22nd
    defense: 10th
    passing-offense: 20th
    rushing-offense: 14th
    passing-defense: 20th
    rushing-defense: 5th

    Needs:
    Wide receiver (speed)
    Cornerback
    Safety
    Defensive end
   
    Free agents:
    QB Marc Bulger
    RB Le’Ron McClain
    RB Jason McKie (resigned)
    WR Donte' Stallworth
    WR TJ Houshmandzadeh
    OT Jared Gaither
    RG Chris Chester
    OL Marshal Yanda
    P Sam Koch
    CB Chris Carr
    CB Fabian Washington
    CB Josh Wilson
    CB Marcus Paschal (resigned)
    S Dawan Landry
    S Tom Zbikowski
    S Haruki Nakamura
    DT Haloti Ngata (tagged)
    DT Lamar Divens (resigned)
    LB Tavares Gooden

Atlanta Falcons: Adrian Clayborn, DE, Iowa

Adrian Clayborn

Big Question: What to do?

The Falcons badly need a defensive end opposite to the veteran John Abraham.

Notes on Adrian Clayborn: 6'3'', 281 lbs; strong pass rusher; active and stout run defender; lacks typical first step; consistently leverages blockers and disengages from blocks; solid tackler; leader of defense (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 16th
    defense: 16th
    passing-offense: 15th
    rushing-offense: 12th
    passing-defense: 21st
    rushing-defense: 10th

    Needs:
    Defensive end
    Wide receiver (speed)
    Nickelback
    Tight end
    Outside linebacker (blitz)
    Right tackle

    Free-agents:
    RB Jerious Norwood
    RB Jason Snelling
    RT Tyson Clabo
    OT Will Svitek (resigned)
    RG Harvey Dahl
    WR Brian Finneran
    G Justin Blalock
    LB Coy Wire (resigned)
    LB Stephen Nicholas
    LB Mike Peterson
    DB Brian Williams

    Subtractions:
    S Erik Coleman

New England Patriots: Gabe Carimi, OT, Wisconsin

Gabe Carimi

Big Question: What to do?

The Patriots could replace Matt Light.

Notes on Gabe Carimi:  6'7'', 314 lbs; strong in pass blocking and run blocking; has the elite agility and nimble feet to protect the quarterback's blindside; plays with leverage against stout defensive ends and tackles on the edge; elite first step in his kick slide and lateral movement; solid player with strong work ethic (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 8th
    defense: 25th
    passing-offense: 11th
    rushing-offense: 9th
    passing-defense: 29th
    rushing-defense: 11th

    Needs:
    Pass rusher
    Left tackle
    Defensive end
    Wide receiver (size)
    Outside linebacker
    Running back

    Free Agents:
    Rb BenJarvus Green-Ellis
    RB Sammy Morris
    RB Kevin Faulk
    RB Fred Taylor
    LT Matt Light
    LG Logan Mankins (tagged)
    DL Gerard Warren
    LB Tracy White
    DB Kyle Arrington
    DB Brandon McGowan
    DB Jarrad Page

    Notes:
    DL Ty Warren was injured

Chicago Bears: Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State

Derek Sherrod

Big Question: What to do?

The Bears need to bolster the offensive line.

Notes on Derek Sherrod: 6'5'', 321 lbs; raw talent; good leader; needs work in techniques (Rob Rang, Sportsline.com)

    2010
    offense: 30th
    defense: 9th
    passing-offense: 28th
    rushing-offense: 22nd
    passing-defense: 19th
    rushing-defense: 2nd

    Needs:
    Offensive tackle
    Wide receiver
    Defensive tackle
    Outside linebacker
    Safety
    Center

    Free agents:
    QB Todd Collins
    QB Caleb Hanie
    WR Rashied Davis
    WR Devin Aromashadu
    TE Desmond Clark
    C Olin Kreutz
    DL Anthony Adams
    DL Matt Toeaina
    LB Pisa Tinoisamoa
    LB Nick Roach
    DB Corey Graham
    DB Danieal Manning

New York Jets: Phil Taylor, NT, Baylor

Phil Taylor

Big Question: What to do?

The Jets should probably consider trading up in order to select Phil Taylor, but at least in this mock draft, here he falls.

Notes on Phil Taylor: 6'4'', 355 lbs; solid prospect to play nose-tackle in a 34 defense (Chad Reuter, Sportsline.com)

    2010
    offense: 11th
    defense: 3rd
    passing-offense: 22nd
    rushing-offense: 4th
    passing-defense: 6th
    rushing-defense: 3rd

    Needs:
    Outside linebacker
    Defensive end
    Guard
    Wide receiver
    Safety

    Free agents:
    QB Kellen Clemens
    RB Tony Richardson
    WR Santonio Holmes
    WR Braylon Edwards
    WR Brad Smith
    OT Wayne Hunter
    CB Antonio Cromartie
    CB Drew Coleman
    DB Brodney Pool
    DB Eric Smith
    DL Shaun Ellis
    LB David Harris

Pittsburgh Steelers: Marcus Cannon, OT, TCU

Marcus Cannon

Big Question: What to do?

The Steelers must improve at offensive tackle, but Marcus Cannon could also play guard.

Notes on Marcus Cannon: 6'5'', 350 lbs; prototypical size; good feet; good work ethic; might struggle on the edge (Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 14th
    defense: 2nd
    passing-offense: 14th
    rushing-offense: 11th
    passing-defense: 12th
    rushing-defense: 1st

    Needs:
    Cornerback
    Defensive end
    Left tackle
    Safety
    Running back

    Free agents:
    RB Mewelde Moore
    WR Matt Spaeth
    OT Willie Colon
    OT Trai Essex
    OT Jonathan Scott
    P Daniel Sepulveda
    DL Nick Eason
    DL Chris Hoke
    LB LaMarr Woodley (resigned)
    CB Ike Taylor
    CB William Gay

Green Bay Packers: Mikel LeShoure, RB, Illinois

Mikel LeShoure

Big Question: What to do?

The Packers could add running back Mikel LeShoure.

Notes on Mikel LeShoure:6'0'', 227 lbs; powerful back; has the vision and quick feet to bounce outside as if he were a smaller back; difficult for one defender to bring down; willing blocker; catches the ball with his body on non-swing passes, but has some ability to adjust to wide passes; off-field issues are cause for concern (Sportsline.com).

    2010
    offense: 9th
    defense: 5th
    passing-offense: 5th
    rushing-offense: 24th
    passing-defense: 5th
    rushing-defense: 18th

    Needs:
    Defensive end
    Outside linebacker
    Left tackle
    Guard
    Cornerback
    Running-back

    Free agents:
    FB John Kuhn
    RB Brandon Jackson
    WR James Jones
    OL Daryn Colledge
    OL Jason Spitz
    DE Cullen Jenkins
    CB Josh Bell
    S Atari Bigby
    S Charlie Peprah (resigned)
    S Anthony Smith

    Subtractions:
    S Derrick Martin
    TE Donald Lee