NFL
HomeScoresDraftRumorsFantasyB/R 99: Top QBs of All Time
Featured Video
Easiest/Hardest Strength of Schedules 📝
Can anyone stop Odell Beckham Jr.? Fantasy owners certainly hope not.
Can anyone stop Odell Beckham Jr.? Fantasy owners certainly hope not.Jim McIsaac/Getty Images

Fantasy Football 2016: Matt Camp's Initial Preseason Big Board

Matt CampAug 3, 2016

When you begin draft preparation for a new fantasy football season, it can be quite overwhelming, especially if you haven’t kept up on the events of the offseason. Of course, there really is no offseason anymore in the NFL, with a major event happening almost every month of the season when you include the combine, free agency, the draft and minicamps.

Luckily, you can get caught up in a hurry, and this look at the 2016 rankings will be a big help. I should stress that this is the first of many updates you’ll be seeing throughout the month; transactions, injuries and potential suspensions, like the looming four-game absence of Le’Veon Bell, will certainly shift projections.

What I’ll be focusing on in this article and subsequent updates are players with good values, potential sleepers and some you want to avoid either completely or at their current average draft position (ADP), which I’ll track as we move through the preseason.

With an abundance of leagues moving to the points-per-reception (PPR) format, that will be the standard format used in all rankings. If you’d rather see non-PPR rankings, you can find those here. The PPR rankings will get weekly updates similar to this one throughout the preseason, so be sure to keep checking back after each week of games.

Top 100: Stay Positive

1 of 7
Rob Gronkowski's fantasy value won't take much of a hit in the absence of Tom Brady.
Rob Gronkowski's fantasy value won't take much of a hit in the absence of Tom Brady.

Based on current ADP data, the first 100 picks are comprised of 10 quarterbacks, 39 running backs, 40 wide receivers and 11 tight ends. My top 100 is almost identical with the small differences being 38 running backs, 42 wide receivers and 10 tight ends.

If you subscribe to the best-player-available strategy, it makes sense to favor wide receivers since they have been more reliable than running backs as a whole and aren’t as easy to replace in terms of production. When enacting that strategy, you may find yourself torn between multiple players, so if a tie needs to be broken, I usually favor the player in the best situation.

Here are the teams I’d consider to be the most fantasy-friendly based on talent, coaching and volume:

  • Arizona Cardinals
  • Baltimore Ravens
  • Indianapolis Colts
  • Green Bay Packers
  • Houston Texans
  • New Orleans Saints
  • New England Patriots
  • Carolina Panthers
  • Atlanta Falcons

And on the other side of that, here are some teams you might want to avoid for some of the same reasons:

  • St. Louis Rams (besides Todd Gurley)
  • Tennessee Titans
  • San Francisco 49ers (besides Carlos Hyde)
  • Cleveland Browns

     

2016 Preseason Top 100 PPR Rankings

1Antonio Brown PIT (8)WR11
2Julio Jones ATL (11)WR22
3Odell Beckham Jr. NYG (8)WR33
4DeAndre Hopkins HOU (9)WR65
5Todd Gurley LA (8)RB54
6David Johnson ARI (9)RB46
7Lamar Miller HOU (9)RB1013
8A.J. Green CIN (9)WR77
9Ezekiel Elliott DAL (7)RB99
10Rob Gronkowski NE (9)TE812
11Adrian Peterson MIN (6)RB128
12Brandin Cooks NO (5)WR2323
13Brandon Marshall NYJ (11)WR2021
14Dez Bryant DAL (7)WR1110
15Eddie Lacy GB (4)RB2925
16T.Y. Hilton IND (10)WR2727
17Allen Robinson JAC (5)WR1314
18Devonta Freeman ATL (11)RB1618
19Le'Veon Bell PIT (8)RB2111
20Keenan Allen SD (11)WR1516
21Mark Ingram NO (5)RB2224
22Amari Cooper OAK (10)WR2422
23Jordy Nelson GB (4)WR1415
24C.J. Anderson DEN (11)RB3338
25Carlos Hyde SF (8)RB4043
26Doug Martin TB (6)RB2829
27Dion Lewis NE (9)RB3940
28LeSean McCoy BUF (10)RB2630
29Golden Tate DET (10)WR3534
30Sammy Watkins BUF (10)WR3831
31Mike Evans TB (6)WR1920
32Thomas Rawls SEA (5)RB5141
33Randall Cobb GB (4)WR3133
34Demaryius Thomas DEN (11)WR2526
35Jeremy Maclin KC (5)WR3639
36Danny Woodhead SD (11)RB4853
37Kelvin Benjamin CAR (7)WR4537
38Jamaal Charles KC (5)RB1717
39Jordan Reed WAS (9)TE3436
40Aaron Rodgers GB (4)QB4346
41Andrew Luck IND (10)QB5255
42Matt Forte NYJ (11)RB3735
43Alshon Jeffery CHI (9)WR1819
44Donte Moncrief IND (10)WR5048
45Cam Newton CAR (7)QB4142
46Travis Kelce KC (5)TE5762
47Julian Edelman NE (9)WR3232
48Jarvis Landry MIA (8)WR3028
49Jeremy Hill CIN (9)RB6571
50Greg Olsen CAR (7)TE4245
51Eric Decker NYJ (11)WR4450
52Latavius Murray OAK (10)RB4747
53Russell Wilson SEA (5)QB5459
54Ameer Abdullah DET (10)RB7878
55John Brown ARI (9)WR6660
56Tyler Eifert CIN (9)TE8672
57DeVante Parker MIA (8)WR6867
58Larry Fitzgerald ARI (9)WR5649
59Duke Johnson CLE (13)RB5556
60Giovani Bernard CIN (9)RB5864
61Drew Brees NO (5)QB6269
62Ben Roethlisberger PIT (8)QB6973
63Jordan Matthews PHI (4)WR5352
64Doug Baldwin SEA (5)WR4644
65Emmanuel Sanders DEN (11)WR6058
66Frank Gore IND (10)RB7077
67Melvin Gordon SD (11)RB7779
68DeMarco Murray TEN (13)RB4951
69Michael Floyd ARI (9)WR6154
70Ryan Mathews PHI (4)RB6461
71Matt Jones WAS (9)RB6357
72Kevin White CHI (9)WR8580
73Zach Ertz PHI (4)TE8192
74Theo Riddick DET (10)RB9396
75Carson Palmer ARI (9)QB7683
76Delanie Walker TEN (13)TE5966
77Eli Manning NYG (8)QB8997
78Charles Sims TB (6)RB8486
79Josh Gordon CLE (13)WR94103
80Michael Crabtree OAK (10)WR7474
81Marvin Jones DET (10)WR7982
82Allen Hurns JAC (5)WR7165
83Jeremy Langford CHI (9)RB7263
84Arian Foster MIA (8)RB8888
85T.J. Yeldon JAC (5)RB8291
86Coby Fleener NO (5)TE7368
87Isaiah Crowell CLE (13)RB117106
88Gary Barnidge CLE (13)TE8384
89Steve Smith BAL (8)WR116108
90Matthew Stafford DET (10)QB132144
91Tyler Lockett SEA (5)WR7575
92Justin Forsett BAL (8)RB10190
93Rashad Jennings NYG (8)RB10098
94Derek Carr OAK (10)QB114111
95Stefon Diggs MIN (6)WR108115
96Sterling Shepard NYG (8)WR104101
97Julius Thomas JAC (5)TE9195
98Shane Vereen NYG (8)RB134132
99Markus Wheaton PIT (8)WR107105
100Jay Ajayi MIA (8)RB9076
     
2016 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros
 

Quarterbacks: Everybody Gets One

2 of 7
Aaron Rodgers should get the Packers and his fantasy stats back to normal.
Aaron Rodgers should get the Packers and his fantasy stats back to normal.

According to MyFantasyLeague.com's ADP information, of the top 12 quarterbacks drafted in 2015, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, Russell Wilson, Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford were the only ones to finish in the top 12 in fantasy scoring.

That means if you waited to pick your QB and got someone like Carson Palmer or worked the waiver wire to pick up Kirk Cousins or Ryan Fitzpatrick, you were able to strengthen your team elsewhere through the draft.

This strategy still applies in 2016. Instead of spending a high pick on last year’s top quarterback, Cam Newton (ADP 43), or paying up for Aaron Rodgers (ADP 45.8) or Andrew Luck (ADP 56) coming off disappointing seasons, you might be better off waiting for someone like Eli Manning (ADP 97.5), who’s coming off the board as the 10th QB. 

Targets Based on Value

Carson Palmer, ARI (ADP 85, QB8): In 2015, Palmer posted a career-high nine games with at least 300 yards passing, and that’s coming off a 2014 campaign that was shortened by a torn ACL. Palmer has an abundance of talent in his receiving corps and will likely get a bigger boost out of the backfield with David Johnson leading the way. 

Eli Manning, NYG (ADP 97.5, QB10): Manning has attempted at least 600 passes and thrown for 4,400 yards and 30 touchdowns in the last two seasons, which obviously has a lot to do with wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr., but also a poor defense that put a lot more pressure on Manning and the offense to keep the team in games. While the Giants have invested a lot of money to improve their defense, they also added rookie wide receiver Sterling Shepard, who could make an immediate impact.

Matthew Stafford, DET (ADP 147.5, QB17): Stafford may have burned fantasy owners in the past, but if you’re overlooking him this season, you must be ignoring how great he played in the second half of 2015. Over the final eight games of the season, Stafford threw 19 touchdowns and just two interceptions while completing 70 percent of his attempts.

Losing Calvin Johnson is big (and likely factors into Stafford's low ADP), but the addition of wide receivers Marvin Jones and Anquan Boldin to join Golden Tate gives Stafford plenty of options when you also include tight end Eric Ebron and pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick out of the backfield. Stafford is the perfect example of why you can’t hold a grudge over previous poor performances. Jump on him when others will be dumb enough to pass.

Players to Avoid

Tony Romo, DAL (ADP 124.5, QB13): Romo’s name value seems to be carrying too much weight to fantasy players. Considering Romo hasn’t played a full season since 2012, is coming off breaking his collarbone twice last season and turned 36 in April, there’s enough to be concerned about if you stop there. Factor in that he hasn’t attempted more than 535 passes or thrown for more than 3,828 yards in the last three seasons in what’s clearly a run-first offense, and you have way too much working against him.

Potential Sleepers

Joe Flacco, BAL (ADP 195.8, QB23): I’ve never advocated Flacco as a reliable fantasy option, but a new coach can change perception quickly. When the Ravens brought Marc Trestman in from Chicago, he didn’t have a lot of success as a head coach, but he’s always been fantasy-friendly, as we saw with Josh McCown. While Flacco was limited to just 10 games in 2015 due to a torn ACL, he tied a career high with five 300-yard games and set a career high with 279.1 yards per game. Flacco was averaging 41.3 attempts per game, which is almost three more than his next best season (2013). According to Flacco, he’s not worried about playing in the preseason, per Jeff Zrebiec of the Baltimore Sun, and it’s not like he needs many reps at this point in his career. From a volume standpoint alone, Flacco is worth looking at as a strong fantasy backup with starter potential.

Other names to monitor: Jameis Winston, TB (ADP 141.8, QB16), Marcus Mariota, TEN (ADP 153.5, QB19)

2016 Preseason Quarterback Rankings

1Aaron Rodgers GB (4)22
2Andrew Luck IND (10)44
3Cam Newton CAR (7)11
4Russell Wilson SEA (5)33
5Drew Brees NO (5)56
6Ben Roethlisberger PIT (8)65
7Carson Palmer ARI (9)77
8Eli Manning NYG (8)810
9Matthew Stafford DET (10)1819
10Derek Carr OAK (10)1313
11Joe Flacco BAL (8)2429
12Andy Dalton CIN (9)1515
13Tom Brady NE (9)119
14Blake Bortles JAC (5)98
15Ryan Tannehill MIA (8)2122
16Marcus Mariota TEN (13)1917
17Philip Rivers SD (11)1012
18Jameis Winston TB (6)1716
19Matt Ryan ATL (11)2020
20Tyrod Taylor BUF (10)1618
21Ryan Fitzpatrick NYJ (11)2224
22Jay Cutler CHI (9)2325
23Tony Romo DAL (7)1211
24Alex Smith KC (5)2528
25Kirk Cousins WAS (9)1414
26Brock Osweiler HOU (9)2623
27Teddy Bridgewater MIN (6)2821
28Jared Goff LA (8)3426
29Josh McCown CLE (13)37N/A 
30Sam Bradford PHI (4)3231
31Mark Sanchez DEN (11)29N/A 
32Colin Kaepernick SF (8)3332
33Blaine Gabbert SF (8)3135
34Carson Wentz PHI (4)3533
35Jimmy Garoppolo NE (9)38N/A 
36Robert Griffin CLE (13)2727
37Paxton Lynch DEN (11)3934
38Trevor Siemian DEN (11)41N/A 
39Cody Kessler CLE (13)45N/A 
40Geno Smith NYJ (11)30N/A 
 

Running Backs: You'll Need Some Luck

3 of 7
Ezekiel Elliott has a legit chance to lead the league in rushing as a rookie.
Ezekiel Elliott has a legit chance to lead the league in rushing as a rookie.

As I discussed in my Ultimate Blueprint, ADP information shows an abundance of wide receivers taken in the first three rounds, specifically in the first round, which has pushed legitimate RB1 candidates down the board. Of the first 36 picks, 21 of them are WRs.

That means you could end up with Mark Ingram (ADP 24.5, RB9), Eddie Lacy (ADP 25.5, RB10) or Doug Martin (ADP 28.8, RB11) if you start your draft with one or even two wide receivers. That’s a spot I’d love to be in to open my draft.

I’ll continue to advocate the philosophy of getting one strong, reliable RB in the first four rounds and loading up on a mix of potential and established players later on in the draft.

Targets Based on Value

Carlos Hyde, SF (ADP 48.3, RB17): Hyde’s coming off a lost season thanks to a stress fracture in his foot that limited him to just seven games, so he’s still fairly unproven entering his third year. The excitement stems from his talent and potential for a big workload and strong fantasy production in head coach Chip Kelly’s offense.

Under Kelly, the Eagles were 11th in rushing attempts in 2015, seventh in 2014 and fourth in 2013. Considering the 49ers don’t have much established talent in their passing game, Hyde should be leaned on heavily. If he can stay healthy, he could easily be a good RB1.

Danny Woodhead, SD (ADP 54.5, RB20): While I may not have to do as much convincing as previous seasons, I still see Woodhead going lower than he should. He’s a polarizing player because of his unique role, but it’s a role he excels at in a big way. Last season, Woodhead was third among running backs in scoring and played every game. Obviously, his value takes a big hit in non-PPR formats, so you have to adjust accordingly. 

In his two healthy seasons with the Chargers (2013, 2015), Woodhead racked up 156 receptions on 191 targets for 1,360 yards and 12 touchdowns as a receiver. He doesn’t do a lot of work as a runner, but he did have 204 carries for 765 yards and five touchdowns over that same span. 

Even if Melvin Gordon is able to handle a consistent role as the team’s lead rusher, Woodhead is far too important in his role to lose significant touches. I’m not expecting him to repeat as an RB1, but he’s a perfect RB2 and a nice value.

Players to Avoid

Jamaal Charles, KC (ADP 17.8, RB7): Including Charles in this group is simply about where he’s being drafted and not so much his talent. Yes, Charles has shown he can come back from a torn ACL and perform at a high level, but this is the second time he’ll have to return from a major knee injury. It’s fair to wonder if his explosive ability will come all the way back, especially with the amount of touches he’s racked up over an eight-year career. 

One of my biggest concerns is how safe head coach Andy Reid will be with Charles, considering he’s been extra cautious with him in the past for something less serious, like an ankle sprain. Plus, with the team deciding to bring back Spencer Ware and Charcandrick West, Reid knows he has other options he can trust besides Charles. Based on his ADP, expectations look way too high for Charles. I’d rather have him as a solid RB2 instead of the strong RB1 classification he’s getting.

DeMarco Murray, TEN (ADP 52, RB19): Murray was a big bust in Philadelphia, but that’s only part of my concern with where he’s being drafted. He comes to a Tennessee team that has questions about their offensive identity. Murray had issues running out of the shotgun in Philadelphia, which is a concern since that’s the formation quarterback Marcus Mariota is most comfortable in, as we saw last year. 

In June, Murray told Jim Rome of CBS Sports Radio that he liked head coach Mike Mularkey’s system because it’s strictly downhill, which is what he’s been accustomed to his entire life. The team still has an identity issue if it takes its franchise QB or starting RB out of their comfort zone. 

Plus, you have the issue of selecting Derrick Henry in the second round of this year’s draft. That’s a strong investment in a running back, so there has to be worry about Murray’s workload. I don’t have confidence in the Titans as a whole, and this situation looks like it has the potential to get ugly. Even if he gets off to a good start, I don’t see Murray keeping it up as a reliable RB2.

Jeremy Langford, CHI (ADP 62.3, RB24): The hype on Langford doesn’t make sense to me because he didn’t look particularly good last season (3.6 YPC) and you cannot assume he’s going to get the volume of a typical lead back. The Bears selected Jordan Howard in the fifth round of this year’s draft, and they still have experienced backs like Ka’Deem Carey and Jacquizz Rodgers to threaten for touches.

According to Rich Campbell of the Chicago Tribune, head coach John Fox will likely stick with the committee approach, which “promises to be hell for fantasy owners.” To further that point, Dan Durkin of The Athletic notes that Fox has coached one team that’s had one back carry the ball 60 percent of the time. 

Langford isn’t good enough to buck that trend and is far from a lock to be a solid RB2. Instead, he’s in a big group of RB3s you’ll likely have to shuffle in and out of your lineup all season, so don’t go reaching for him at his current ADP.

Potential Sleepers

Tevin Coleman, ATL (ADP 106.3, RB40): As a rookie, Coleman was bitten by the injury bug during the preseason (hamstring), start of the regular season (ribs) and end of the regular season (concussion). In the midst of all that, Devonta Freeman stepped in and wound up as the top back in fantasy football. While Freeman’s fantasy production was strong, a deeper look at the numbers shows his rushing production fell off in a big way in the second half of the season. 

After rushing for at least 100 yards four times in the first eight weeks, Freeman had just two games of at least 73 rushing yards the rest of the way. Over his final seven games, Freeman rushed 113 times for 347 yards (3.1 YPC) and just two rushing touchdowns. 

The Falcons coaching staff seems to be well-aware of that and wants to do something about it. Running backs coach Bobby Turner told the Atlanta Journal-Constitution's D. Orlando Ledbetter that "Free had a good year, but I’m expecting even a better year. Well, you’re saying, how can it be better? It can be even better with less carries or less catches because I’d obviously like to get Tevin (Coleman) more involved and that also keeps Free fresher.” According to Andrew Hirsh of the team’s site, they want to get Coleman more carries and feature him more in the passing game. 

While I still think Freeman will have a big enough role, specifically in the passing game, to be a low RB1, not enough is being made about how much Coleman’s role could expand. The team was comfortable enough to enter last season with him as the starter and clearly want to get him involved more, so he’s definitely worth a shot as an RB4 with plenty of upside.

Other Names to Monitor: Bilal Powell, NYJ (ADP 116, RB44), DeAndre Washington, OAK (ADP 152.5, RB52), Wendell Smallwood, PHI (ADP 178, RB60)

2016 Preseason Running Back PPR Rankings

1Todd Gurley LA (8)21
2David Johnson ARI (9)12
3Lamar Miller HOU (9)45
4Ezekiel Elliott DAL (7)34
5Adrian Peterson MIN (6)53
6Eddie Lacy GB (4)1210
7Devonta Freeman ATL (11)77
8Le'Veon Bell PIT (8)86
9Mark Ingram NO (5)99
10C.J. Anderson DEN (11)1314
11Carlos Hyde SF (8)1617
12Doug Martin TB (6)1112
13Dion Lewis NE (9)1515
14LeSean McCoy BUF (10)1011
15Thomas Rawls SEA (5)1916
16Danny Woodhead SD (11)1820
17Jamaal Charles KC (5)68
18Matt Forte NYJ (11)1413
19Jeremy Hill CIN (9)2526
20Latavius Murray OAK (10)1718
21Ameer Abdullah DET (10)2930
22Duke Johnson CLE (13)2121
23Giovani Bernard CIN (9)2225
24Frank Gore IND (10)2729
25Melvin Gordon SD (11)3031
26DeMarco Murray TEN (13)2019
27Ryan Mathews PHI (4)2323
28Matt Jones WAS (9)2422
29Theo Riddick DET (10)3338
30Charles Sims TB (6)3132
31Jeremy Langford CHI (9)2824
32Arian Foster MIA (8)3434
33T.J. Yeldon JAC (5)3236
34Isaiah Crowell CLE (13)4341
35Justin Forsett BAL (8)3935
36Rashad Jennings NYG (8)3839
37Shane Vereen NYG (8)4547
38Jay Ajayi MIA (8)3628
39Chris Ivory JAC (5)3537
40Darren Sproles PHI (4)4850
41Bilal Powell NYJ (11)4044
42Jonathan Stewart CAR (7)2627
43Jordan Howard CHI (9)5255
44Derrick Henry TEN (13)4643
45Jerick McKinnon MIN (6)5053
46Tevin Coleman ATL (11)4240
47DeAngelo Williams PIT (8)3733
48DeAndre Washington OAK (10)5148
49LeGarrette Blount NE (9)4951
50Shaun Draughn SF (8)6466
51James Starks GB (4)5758
52Andre Ellington ARI (9)7074
53C.J. Prosise SEA (5)4142
54Kenneth Dixon BAL (8)4445
55Javorius Allen BAL (8)4749
56Wendell Smallwood PHI (4)5660
57Cameron Artis-Payne CAR (7)7371
58Spencer Ware KC (5)7164
59Tim Hightower NO (5)6067
60Josh Ferguson IND (10)6163
61Khiry Robinson NYJ (11)8489
62Charcandrick West KC (5)6752
63Benny Cunningham LA (8)8185
64James White NE (9)6270
65Chris Johnson ARI (9)6657
66Darren McFadden DAL (7)5354
67C.J. Spiller NO (5)6965
68Dexter McCluster TEN (13)8796
69Devontae Booker DEN (11)5856
70Ronnie Hillman DEN (11)6372
71Mike Gillislee BUF (10)7582
72Matt Asiata MIN (6)107N/A 
73Alfred Blue HOU (9)8291
74Keith Marshall WAS (9)8676
75Chris Thompson WAS (9)5459
76Ka'Deem Carey CHI (9)7878
77Fozzy Whittaker CAR (7)114N/A 
78Karlos Williams BUF (10)5546
79Stevan Ridley DET (10)10692
80Alex Collins SEA (5)9175
81Kenyan Drake MIA (8)6869
82Branden Oliver SD (11)105N/A 
83Jonathan Williams BUF (10)8973
84Robert Turbin IND (10)9087
85Donald Brown NE (9)101N/A 
86Alfred Morris DAL (7)7462
87Lance Dunbar DAL (7)6577
88Paul Perkins NYG (8)5961
89Tre Mason LA (8)8886
90Kelvin Taylor SF (8)10483
91Christine Michael SEA (5)8081
 

TOP NEWS

Colts Jaguars Football
Rams Seahawks Football
Mississippi Football

Wide Receivers: Load Up

4 of 7
It's full speed ahead for Brandin Cooks as the top target in New Orleans.
It's full speed ahead for Brandin Cooks as the top target in New Orleans.

Building your team around wide receivers has been the way to go for years now, but it seems your average fantasy player is just starting to catch up to that trend, so it won’t be as easy to do this year. 

Because so many receivers are flying off the board in the first three rounds, it’s even more important to find the breakout stars in Rounds 4-6. I tend to take more chances when it comes to high-ceiling receivers, but try to limit them to those in the best situations. For instance, I may take Tyler Lockett (ADP 75.8, WR35) and his potential upside in Seattle over someone safer like Michael Crabtree (ADP 75.5, WR34) in Oakland. 

Another tip is to look for receivers on teams with defensive concerns. If a defense can’t keep a team close, there’s more reason to throw. That’s certainly helped Odell Beckham Jr. rack up 288 targets over his first two seasons as part of a New York Giants team with a poor defense. Antonio Brown has certainly been helped by Pittsburgh’s struggles on defense in recent years. That’s not taking away from the talent of those players, just pointing out something that gives them an extra boost.

Targets Based on Value

Brandon Marshall, NYJ (ADP 20.8, WR12): Marshall is coming off his sixth season (of 10) with at least 100 receptions and his eighth season with at least 1,000 yards. He’s never had the opportunity to play with a great quarterback at any point in his career, when you consider names like Jay Cutler, Kyle Orton, Chad Henne, Matt Moore, Josh McCown and Ryan Fitzpatrick, yet he should be on his way to Canton.

Because of that, I wasn’t too concerned with idea of Geno Smith starting for the Jets this season, but that became a moot point (for now) after Fitzpatrick finally agreed to a new deal. Head coach Todd Bowles made it clear Fitzpatrick has the starting job, despite Smith leading the way in all offseason workouts, per NFL.com's Kevin Patra. Marshall tweeted a picture of Fitzpatrick’s arrival at the team’s facility and was clearly happy the situation was finally resolved.

I’m not sure why there’s so much confidence in players like Jordy Nelson (ADP 15, WR8), Keenan Allen (ADP 16, WR9) and Alshon Jeffery (ADP 18.5, WR10) to take them over Marshall when he’s done nothing but produce and remains in great shape. Considering he finished third in wide receiver fantasy points last year, I’m already building in a slight regression by ranking him as my WR7. Draft him with confidence.

Brandin Cooks, NO (ADP 23.5, WR14): After an injury-shortened rookie year, Cooks took the step forward we hoped for in 2015 with 84 receptions for 1,138 yards and nine touchdowns. I think he’s capable of even more.

Cooks didn’t exactly light it up in the early part of the season, posting just one game with 100 yards and just one TD over the first seven weeks. He scored eight TDs and had three games of at least 100 yards in the final nine games.

Other than Willie Snead, the Saints don’t have an established wide receiver in the mix, and the only experienced receiver who will challenge Cooks for targets is new tight end Coby Fleener. Plus, the Saints will have an average defense, at best, meaning lots of pass attempts for Drew Brees. 

Cooks wound up as the 13th-best fantasy receiver last season, yet is coming off the board as the 14th wide receiver this year. He could easily jump into the top 10 in 2016, and possibly the top five. Snatch him up if you can.

Golden Tate, DET (ADP 35, WR21): I’ve already explained how well Matthew Stafford and the Lions played in the second half of last season, so I’m having a hard time with Tate coming off the board as the 21st wide receiver. He’s more of a high-end WR2 than a low-end WR2, and with Calvin Johnson gone, Tate has the potential to creep into WR1 territory.

Since joining the Lions in 2014, he’s led the team with 189 receptions on 272 targets, which comes out to an excellent 69.5 percent catch rate. The Lions added Marvin Jones and Anquan Boldin this offseason, so while Tate will be considered the top option in the passing game, defenses still have to respect the rest of the receiving corps, including tight end Eric Ebron and running backs Theo Riddick and Ameer Abdullah. 

Moving to Jim Bob Cooter’s offense last season worked wonders for the Lions and should only help more with a full offseason to install the scheme. It’s an excellent situation for Tate to take a step forward.

Other Names to Monitor: Tyler Lockett, Sea (ADP 75.8, WR35)

Players to Avoid

Doug Baldwin, SEA (ADP 45.3, WR24): Baldwin is one to avoid at his current draft position, but not completely. After the bye last season, Seattle clearly made an effort to ramp up its passing attack, and it worked, with Baldwin being the biggest beneficiary. 

He was the third-best fantasy wide receiver over the season's final eight games, which included a five-game stretch that featured 11 touchdowns. That came after he was 41st at the position in fantasy scoring over the first eight games. It’s a huge difference that relied heavily on finding the end zone. 

Baldwin’s rise picked up when the team lost Jimmy Graham to a torn patellar in Week 12. According to general manager John Schneider, per Seahawks.com's Tony Drovetto, the team plans on being careful with Graham, and he’s on track to be ready for Week 1. 

With Graham expected back and Tyler Lockett also in the mix and on the rise, Baldwin is less likely to repeat his stellar performance from the end of last year. I don’t hate his low-WR2 classification, but spending a top-50 pick on him seems too rich.

Other Names to Monitor: Alshon Jeffery, CHI (ADP 18.5, WR10), Corey Coleman, CLE (ADP 99.8, WR39)

Potential Sleepers

Kevin White, CHI (ADP 82, WR36): White isn’t a sleeper in the sense that he’d be coming out of nowhere to have a productive season, especially since he’s a former first-round draft pick of just a year ago, but in the sense that he could greatly outplay his current fantasy draft status and end up with better numbers than teammate Alshon Jeffery.

White’s rookie season was lost to a shin injury that eventually required surgery, so this year’s training camp will be the first he’s able to fully participate in during practice. The buzz around White is already picking up and will only continue if he’s able to flash his supreme talent during preseason action. White said he’s already put in time with quarterback Jay Cutler, and Cutler said White is “going to be something special,” per Jeff Dickerson of ESPN.com.

Jeffery’s had issues staying on the field, including last year when he was limited to just nine games, and that likely played into the team’s decision to not offer him a long-term deal over his franchise tag. It also indicates that the team believes it has something more in White. At his current ADP, he might be a steal in your draft, but if his talent shows up in preseason action, White could fly up draft boards.

Other Names to Monitor: Sterling Shepard, NYG (ADP 102, WR41), Michael Thomas, NO (ADP 152, WR55), Phillip Dorsett, IND (ADP 149.8, WR54), Breshad Perriman, BAL (ADP 182.3, WR65)

2016 Preseason Wide Receiver PPR Rankings

1Antonio Brown PIT (8)11
2Julio Jones ATL (11)22
3Odell Beckham Jr. NYG (8)33
4DeAndre Hopkins HOU (9)44
5A.J. Green CIN (9)55
6Brandin Cooks NO (5)1314
7Brandon Marshall NYJ (11)1212
8Dez Bryant DAL (7)66
9T.Y. Hilton IND (10)1616
10Allen Robinson JAC (5)77
11Keenan Allen SD (11)89
12Amari Cooper OAK (10)1413
13Jordy Nelson GB (4)98
14Golden Tate DET (10)2021
15Sammy Watkins BUF (10)2218
16Mike Evans TB (6)1111
17Randall Cobb GB (4)1720
18Demaryius Thomas DEN (11)1515
19Jeremy Maclin KC (5)2123
20Kelvin Benjamin CAR (7)2422
21Alshon Jeffery CHI (9)1010
22Donte Moncrief IND (10)2625
23Julian Edelman NE (9)1919
24Jarvis Landry MIA (8)1817
25Eric Decker NYJ (11)2326
26John Brown ARI (9)3131
27DeVante Parker MIA (8)3233
28Larry Fitzgerald ARI (9)2827
29Jordan Matthews PHI (4)2728
30Doug Baldwin SEA (5)2524
31Emmanuel Sanders DEN (11)2930
32Michael Floyd ARI (9)3029
33Kevin White CHI (9)3936
34Josh Gordon CLE (13)3842
35Michael Crabtree OAK (10)3435
36Marvin Jones DET (10)3637
37Allen Hurns JAC (5)3332
38Steve Smith BAL (8)4946
39Tyler Lockett SEA (5)3534
40Stefon Diggs MIN (6)4648
41Sterling Shepard NYG (8)4141
42Markus Wheaton PIT (8)4543
43Vincent Jackson TB (6)5052
44Steve Johnson SD (11)6972
45Dorial Green-Beckham TEN (13)5249
46Pierre Garcon WAS (9)6166
47DeSean Jackson WAS (9)3738
48Laquon Treadwell MIN (6)4845
49Tavon Austin LA (8)4347
50Chris Hogan NE (9)6459
51Sammie Coates PIT (8)5957
52Devin Funchess CAR (7)5858
53Travis Benjamin SD (11)5151
54Breshad Perriman BAL (8)6860
55Willie Snead NO (5)4040
56Torrey Smith SF (8)4444
57Kendall Wright TEN (13)5561
58Rishard Matthews TEN (13)6064
59Corey Coleman CLE (13)4239
60Mohamed Sanu ATL (11)5353
61Robert Woods BUF (10)7676
62Phillip Dorsett IND (10)5654
63Terrance Williams DAL (7)6767
64Kamar Aiken BAL (8)4750
65Anquan Boldin DET (10)6568
66Brandon LaFell CIN (9)7482
67Cole Beasley DAL (7)96100
68Seth Roberts OAK (10)7277
69Michael Thomas NO (5)5455
70Kenny Britt LA (8)7395
71Tyler Boyd CIN (9)7171
72Nelson Agholor PHI (4)6662
73Rueben Randle PHI (4)7078
74Justin Hardy ATL (11)8491
75Bruce Ellington SF (8)6274
76Mike Wallace BAL (8)6365
77Jermaine Kearse SEA (5)8785
78Danny Amendola NE (9)8084
79Andrew Hawkins CLE (13)113N/A 
80Jarius Wright MIN (6)119N/A
81Will Fuller HOU (9)7969
82Eddie Royal CHI (9)8698
83Ted Ginn CAR (7)7773
84Ty Montgomery GB (4)101N/A 
85Chris Conley KC (5)91101
86Josh Doctson WAS (9)5756
87Cecil Shorts HOU (9)107105
88Davante Adams GB (4)8281
89Kenny Stills MIA (8)98N/A 
90Albert Wilson KC (5)95N/A 
91Victor Cruz NYG (8)8963
92Quincy Enunwa NYJ (11)135N/A 
93Jamison Crowder WAS (9)9094
94Leonard Hankerson BUF (10)117N/A 
95Philly Brown CAR (7)97N/A 
96Rashad Greene JAC (5)132N/A 
97Brian Quick LA (8)108N/A 
98Jaelen Strong HOU (9)7886
99Braxton Miller HOU (9)9980
100Pharoh Cooper LA (8)8588
101Rashard Higgins CLE (13)11589
 

Tight Ends: Stay Safe or Believe the Hype?

5 of 7
For as great as he's been, Travis Kelce still has room for improvement.
For as great as he's been, Travis Kelce still has room for improvement.

Are there 10 game-changing tight ends in the league? That answer is a resounding no, but there have been plenty of potential players over the years we hope to see dominate fantasy football—like Tony Gonzalez or Antonio Gates in their prime, or Rob Gronkowski in his current form. 

Finding consistency is hard enough at the tight end position, so it’s been nice to see players like Jordan Reed, Travis Kelce and Tyler Eifert take the next step to consistency with the talent to hit the ceiling of Gronkowski in any given week. Of course, as soon as that happens, values shoot up, which is why Reed (ADP 36.3) might cost you a top-35 pick this year. Kelce (ADP 62.3) and Eifert (ADP 72.3) aren’t going as high, so they might be better values. 

If you’re content with consistency without the high ceiling, you’ll be aiming for someone like Delanie Walker in Tennessee, although he’s no longer flying under the radar with an ADP of 66.3. Antonio Gates also falls into that category, but he’s much cheaper with an ADP of 111.5.

Targets Based on Value

Zach Ertz, PHI (ADP 91.5, TE10): Ertz’s potential has been talked about since he entered the league in 2013, but it wasn’t until last year’s performance that he finally became a reliable fantasy option—and that didn’t even happen right away following sports hernia surgery that kept him out for the entire preseason. 

In the midst of major offseason changes for the Philadelphia Eagles, most notably the firing of head coach Chip Kelly, the team made sure to lock up Ertz with a long-term deal in January. With that kind of commitment, Ertz should continue to have a big role in this offense, which should be a bit more conservative under new head coach Doug Pederson, at least compared to Kelly’s scheme. 

Ertz was ninth in tight end fantasy points last season, so as the 10th TE off the board with an ADP of 91.5, he’s a nice value with a chance to improve on his career numbers from 2015.

Players to Avoid

I’m not put off by any player’s ADP in the tight end group, but be careful with Coby Fleener (ADP 68.3, TE6) in New Orleans. He has a 58.4 percent catch rate for his career, which is terrible for a tight end.

Potential Sleepers

I had to pull Pittsburgh's Ladarius Green (ADP 89, TE9) off this list when Jeremy Fowler of ESPN.com reported that Green had two plates inserted into his ankle during the offseason. Green opened training camp on the physically unable to perform (PUP) list and has to refine his cutting. He could fill a big role after the retirement of Heath Miller, the suspension of wide receiver Martavis Bryant and the potential suspension of running back Le’Veon Bell.

Other Names to Monitor: Clive Walford, OAK (ADP 182.3, TE22)

2016 Preseason Tight End PPR Rankings

1Rob Gronkowski NE (9)11
2Jordan Reed WAS (9)22
3Travis Kelce KC (5)44
4Greg Olsen CAR (7)33
5Tyler Eifert CIN (9)97
6Zach Ertz PHI (4)78
7Delanie Walker TEN (13)55
8Coby Fleener NO (5)66
9Gary Barnidge CLE (13)89
10Julius Thomas JAC (5)1111
11Ladarius Green PIT (8)1010
12Eric Ebron DET (10)1315
13Antonio Gates SD (11)1212
14Zach Miller CHI (9)1718
15Dwayne Allen IND (10)1416
16Jimmy Graham SEA (5)1813
17Martellus Bennett NE (9)1614
18Clive Walford OAK (10)2320
19Jason Witten DAL (7)1517
20Jordan Cameron MIA (8)2124
21Charles Clay BUF (10)2022
22Jared Cook GB (4)2421
23Austin Seferian-Jenkins TB (6)1919
24Vance McDonald SF (8)2225
25Kyle Rudolph MIN (6)2728
26Benjamin Watson BAL (8)2629
27Jacob Tamme ATL (11)3923
28Will Tye NYG (8)2527
29Maxx Williams BAL (8)38N/A 
30Richard Rodgers GB (4)3033
31Ryan Griffin HOU (9)45N/A 
32Jeff Heuerman DEN (11)3236
33Tyler Kroft CIN (9)4726
34Virgil Green DEN (11)41N/A 
35Lance Kendricks LA (8)3539
36Brent Celek PHI (4)49N/A 
37Darren Fells ARI (9)42N/A 
38Garrett Graham DEN (11)46N/A 
39Tyler Higbee LA (8)3330
40C.J. Fiedorowicz HOU (9)57N/A 
41Niles Paul WAS (9)48N/A 
42Dion Sims MIA (8)59N/A 
43Mychal Rivera OAK (10)56N/A 
44Crockett Gillmore BAL (8)43N/A 
45Larry Donnell NYG (8)37N/A 
46Josh Hill NO (5)44N/A 
47Austin Hooper ATL (11)2931
48Jermaine Gresham ARI (9)50N/A 
49Luke Willson SEA (5)51N/A 
50Garrett Celek SF (8)52N/A 
51Jack Doyle IND (10)61N/A 
52Marcedes Lewis JAC (5)68N/A 
53Jeff Cumberland SD (11)62N/A 
54Jace Amaro NYJ (11)3437
55MyCole Pruitt MIN (6)54N/A 
56Gavin Escobar DAL (7)67N/A 
57Jesse James PIT (8)58N/A 
58Hunter Henry SD (11)3132
59Nick Vannett SEA (5)7334
 

Defenses: More of the Same

6 of 7
Can Patrick Peterson help make the Cardinals a top-10 fantasy defense five years in a row?
Can Patrick Peterson help make the Cardinals a top-10 fantasy defense five years in a row?

I’m sticking to my sound logic of waiting on a defensive selection until the final three rounds, or if you’re really smart, the final two rounds. The NFL is way too offensively driven to have consistently dominant fantasy defenses, so unless your scoring favors defenses, don’t be a hero and take the Broncos or Seahawks in the 10th round. 

There are no values to discuss since most fantasy players are wise enough to wait until the end of the draft to grab their defense. 

Consider the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Giants the possible sleeper defenses this season. Jacksonville gets Dante Fowler back from the injury that cost him his rookie season and spent a first-round pick on Jalen Ramsey to strengthen its secondary. It also added Prince Amukamara and Malik Jackson in free agency. The Giants spent big money in free agency to improve their woeful defense, but their value is tied to a favorable schedule, specifically in their own division.

2016 Preseason Defense Rankings

1Denver Broncos DEN (11)21
2Seattle Seahawks SEA (5)12
3Arizona Cardinals ARI (9)34
4Carolina Panthers CAR (7)43
5Houston Texans HOU (9)65
6Los Angeles Rams LA (8)57
7New England Patriots NE (9)88
8Kansas City Chiefs KC (5)76
9New York Jets NYJ (11)119
10Buffalo Bills BUF (10)1213
11Cincinnati Bengals CIN (9)1012
12Minnesota Vikings MIN (6)911
13Jacksonville Jaguars JAC (5)1916
14Miami Dolphins MIA (8)1619
15Green Bay Packers GB (4)1315
16Baltimore Ravens BAL (8)1823
17New York Giants NYG (8)2118
18Philadelphia Eagles PHI (4)1517
19Oakland Raiders OAK (10)1714
20Pittsburgh Steelers PIT (8)1410
 

Kickers: Keep Your Priorities in Order

7 of 7
You won't find a more consistent fantasy kicker than Stephen Gostkowski.
You won't find a more consistent fantasy kicker than Stephen Gostkowski.

When it comes to kickers, you’re looking for accuracy and players in good situations with lots of opportunities to score. That explains why Stephen Gostkowski has been the best fantasy kicker for the last three years. He’s reliable, and the Patriots have a good offense. The same goes for Steven Hauschka in Seattle. 

If I’m looking for a way to differentiate kickers, I’ll favor those who spend more than half the season indoors. Top options that fit in that category include Chandler Catanzaro in Arizona, Matt Prater in Detroit and Blair Walsh in Minnesota. 

Don’t take a kicker until your last pick, and if you don’t have to draft a kicker, then use that pick for a flier at another position. You can always pick up a kicker before Week 1.

2016 Preseason Kicker Rankings

1Stephen Gostkowski NE (9)11
2Steven Hauschka SEA (5)23
3Justin Tucker BAL (8)34
4Mason Crosby GB (4)48
5Graham Gano CAR (7)82
6Dan Bailey DAL (7)55
7Adam Vinatieri IND (10)710
8Chandler Catanzaro ARI (9)612
9Brandon McManus DEN (11)99
10Cairo Santos KC (5)1115
11Matt Prater DET (10)1316
12Josh Brown NYG (8)1213
13Blair Walsh MIN (6)107
14Dan Carpenter BUF (10)1521
15Chris Boswell PIT (8)146
16Josh Lambo SD (11)1725
17Sebastian Janikowski OAK (10)1917
18Mike Nugent CIN (9)1623
19Phil Dawson SF (8)21 
20Greg Zuerlein LA (8)22 
   

Special thanks to our friends at FantasyPros for assisting with our rankings layout in addition to providing stats.

Do you have a fantasy football question?  on Twitter.

Easiest/Hardest Strength of Schedules 📝

TOP NEWS

Colts Jaguars Football
Rams Seahawks Football
Mississippi Football
Packers Bears Football

TRENDING ON B/R