Version 5.1 Pick: Buffalo Bills select Syracuse QB Ryan Nassib.
Analysis: The evidence seems overwhelming that the Buffalo Bills will draft Syracuse QB Ryan Nassib with the No. 8 pick. You have his head coach at Syracuse (Doug Marrone) and his offensive coordinator (Nathaniel Hackett) both leaving to take on the same role for Buffalo.
Marrone and Hackett want to install the offense they ran at Syracuse for the Bills, so who better to direct it than Nassib?
Rather strange when you compare the No. 8 pick in the 2012 draft was a quarterback named Ryan that followed his college coach into the NFL (Ryan Tannehill followed Texas A&M coach Mike Sherman to the Miami Dolphins). It's merely a coincidence, but it is a little spooky.
You also have Ryan Mallett in New England, so now if the Jets trade for Ryan Fitzpatrick, the AFC East division could be renamed Ryan's Hope.
Seriously, the Bills and GM Buddy Nix are in an awkward spot. The New York Jets trade of Darrelle Revis to Tampa Bay now gives them two first-round picks at No. 9 and 13 overall. They were also interested in Nassib and they have more ammunition to either move up or down in the first round than the Bills do.
Not only that, but the Jets are also ahead of the Bills pick in the second round (No. 39 compared to 41), so that leaves the No. 8 pick as the only time Buffalo knows for sure that they can draft him free and clear.
Yes, taking Nassib with the No. 8 pick would have to be construed as a reach. NFL Network's draft analyst Mike Mayock just released his top 100 prospect list for the upcoming draft, and had Nassib ranked No. 50. That illustrates perfectly how much of a reach this pick could be, but when it comes to quarterbacks, some NFL teams tend to throw all the rules and common sense out the window.
The only potential saving grace for Nix is if he is offered an opportunity to trade down into the bottom half of the first round. If Nassib survives the Jets gauntlet, then there is a very strong chance the Bills could draft him in the 28-32 range. Picking up additional draft picks would be icing on the cake.
Nix has done relatively well with his first-round picks in the prior three drafts. It seems he has painted himself into a corner due to not coming up with a better franchise quarterback option already.
If the Bills do wind up taking Nassib at No. 8 they will never know if he would still have been there on the big board at No. 41. They could draft Tavon Austin, Barkevious Mingo, Jonathan Cooper or Chance Warmack instead with that pick at No. 8.