NFL Picks Week 9: 7 Best Wagers Based on Matchups Alone

Brian Dezelske@@BrianDezelskeCorrespondent IIIOctober 31, 2011

NFL Picks Week 9: 7 Best Wagers Based on Matchups Alone

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    Week 9 of the NFL season has 14 games slated—one being the Baltimore Ravens visiting the Pittsburgh Steelers—that are sure to be loaded with excitement.

    Wagering your hard-earned money on a game like that, however, may not sound as exciting as watching it.

    No worries. I’ve got you covered, because I’ve identified seven games that are surefire moneymakers—sure to line your pockets with them dead presidents.

Miami Dolphins at Kansas City Chiefs

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    The 0-7 Miami Dolphins head to Arrowhead Stadium to face the 3-3 Kansas City Chiefs (K.C. plays tonight on Monday Night Football).

    Let’s face it, the Dolphins are terrible, although they just gave the New York Giants a big scare.

    I wouldn't let that worry you if you're considering this game as part of your three-game parlay.

    The Chiefs are on a roll right now, winning three in a row after going 0-3 to start the season.

    Matt Cassel and that offense have been clicking, especially with the emergence of Jackie Battle in the running game.

    The Dolphins are not sure they’re getting back shutdown corner Vontae Davis, who is week-to-week nursing a hamstring injury.

    If Davis can’t go, expect Dwayne Bowe to have a big game and put this game away early—then leaving Battle to grind out the clock in the second half.

    Chiefs win at home 28-17.

Atlanta Falcons at Indianapolis Colts

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    The hapless Indianapolis Colts host the red-hot Atlanta Falcons—winners of two in a row.

    The Colts can’t stop anything right now—on the flip side, Michael Turner can’t seem to be stopped. The Burner is averaging 130.5 rushing yards over his last two games.

    The big run game has finally opened things up for Roddy White, who caught just his third touchdown in their last game against the Detroit Lions.

    Expect White to score for the second game in a row and then for the Falcons to unleash Turner on them to seal the victory.

    Falcons win 34-13.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins

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    Wow! That’s all I can say about how the San Francisco 49ers are playing this year. Jim Harbaugh has completely turned that locker room around—most importantly Frank Gore and that running game.

    Gore looks like he’s back to his old form that garnered him Pro Bowl selections in ’06 and ’09. He’s posted four straight games of at least 125 yards rushing and has scored in each of those games.

    On the other hand, the Washington Redskins have completely unraveled. John Beck has done nothing with that offense since taking it over two weeks ago. They’re also without their big-play threat, Santana Moss, who’s out the next month with a broken hand.

    If Alex Smith finds a rhythm early and Gore continues his assault on the league, this could get ugly in a hurry.

    Niners win 24-14.

Green Bay Packers at San Diego Chargers

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    The San Diego Chargers are no slouch, so you’re probably wondering why I’d pick this game as an absolute lock, considering the Bolts are at home and have something to prove.

    Well, it’s simple—Aaron Rodgers and the defending Super Bowl champion Green Bay Packers are coming to town.

    Chargers quarterback Philip Rivers has all of his weapons back now that Antonio Gates is healthy, but it’s just not going to be enough offense to keep up with the Packers high-powered attack.

    Rodgers is just too dominant right now. He’s playing at a level we may never have seen before, and it's downright scary.

    I can assure you of one thing—take the over on this game if you’re too worried about picking a winner. 

    Packers win 38-31 in what could be the game of the week.

Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans

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    It’s going to be a long, long day for Colt McCoy and the Cleveland Browns as they get set to invade Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas.

    The Browns do boast one of the best defenses in the NFL, but they were just shredded by Frank Gore to the tune of 134 yards.

    That’s not good when facing Arian Foster and his 113.5 yards per game over his last two.

    Oh yeah, and this Sunday the Houston Texans expect the return of Andre Johnson, who should be 100 percent and ready to go.

    The Texans will pound the rock, but fully expect Gary Kubiak to dial up plays that get Johnson involved early.

    That offense will just be too much firepower for the Browns to keep up with.

    Texans win at home 30-14.

Seattle Seahawks at Dallas Cowboys

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    Put your money on Tony Romo, people. Why? Simple—because he and the Dallas Cowboys were just embarrassed by Michael Vick and the Philadelphia Eagles.

    The Seattle Seahawks are not going to stroll into “Jerryland” and go Vickadelphia all over the place. That won’t happen—not after the shameful performance the Cowboys just put forth against the Eagles.

    Romo will find Dez Bryant and Miles Austin early and often—sprinkling some Jason Witten in there as well.

    The Seahawks just aren’t equipped at the quarterback position to put up a fight in this one.

    DeMarcus Ware managed to ring up four sacks on Vick in the Eagles 34-7 blowout win—most likely leaving Tarvaris Jackson throwing up in his oatmeal while watching the SportsCenter highlights.

    T-Jack is no Vick, and nobody knows that more than Jackson himself.

    Cowboys win big 31-7.

New York Jets at Buffalo Bills

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    The Buffalo Bills are for real—something the New York Jets will find out firsthand when they travel to Ralph Wilson Stadium and take on Ryan Fitzpatrick and Co.

    Fitzpatrick may not put up the numbers in this game we're accustomed to seeing from him, because he has a tough secondary, led by Darrell Revis, to face.

    He should be able to do enough, however, to allow Fred Jackson to do his damage running the ball and catching it out of the backfield.

    Jackson has piled up at least 165 yards of total offense in each of his last three games—having rushed for more than 100 yards in each of those games.

    Conversely, the New York Jets have surrendered just under 127 yards per game on the ground—a matchup that heavily favors Jackson and the Bills.

    Mark Sanchez will have something to say about this game and should have a decent day, but it won’t be enough in the end.

    Bills win a close one at home 24-20.

    Check out more of Brian Dezelske's articles.

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