There is a lot of discussion about what the Bills should do with this high pick. As such, many people are all over the board in regards to what should be done.
For a while, I was in the Patrick Peterson camp. Many any others are in the Nick Fairley/Marcel Dareus/Von Miller camp. Anyone with a brain in their head knows that the only logical picks are either Newton/Fairley/Dareus or Peterson. Since most Bills fans have a brain in their head, they would agree with me on that.
However, I will let numbers do the talking. After thorough research I was able to compile these numbers for players drafted in the top 10 since 2000 at either QB or DL. I omitted CB mainly because while it is a need for the Bills, they will probably not go that direction with this pick.
Since 2000, 28 players have been drafted with a top-10 pick to play defensive line. Since then, here are some numbers that should stick out to you.
Defensive Lineman Drafted in the Top 10
|Went on to be Pro Bowlers 8/28 ||29%
Won a Super Bowl 3/28
|Was a Bust 11/28 ||39%
It should be noted that if you add in Dwight Freeney, picked 11th overall in 2002, these numbers would be 31 percent (Pro Bowlers), 13 percent (Super Bowl winners) and 39 percent (busts). By the way, Buffalo drafted their own player that has yet to make an impact 11th overall in 2009.
Quarterbacks are a different story however. Since 2000, only 15 players have been drafted to play QB in the top-10 picks. Here are the results.
|Quarterbacks Drafted in the Top 10 (Since 2000) ||Percentages
|Went on to be Pro Bowlers 6/15 ||40%
|Won a Super Bowl 2/15 ||13%
|Was a Bust 5/15 ||33%
It should be noted that if you add in Ben Roethlisberger and Jay Cutler, picked 11th overall in 2004 and 2006 respectively, these numbers would be, 47 percent (Pro Bowlers), 23 percent (Super Bowl winners, Big Ben twice) and 29 percent (busts).
These numbers were compiled by looking at the top 10 picks in every draft since 2000 and researching the careers of those players.
Here is a list of those players just in case you are wondering.
Key: (Bold = Pro Bowler, Italics = Super Bowl Winner, Underline = Bust)
You'll note I omitted some border-line busts (?) from my numbers.
2010: Second Suh DET, Third McCoy TB, 10th Alualu JAX
2009: Third Jackson KC, Ninth Raji GB,
2008: Second Long STL, Fifth Dorsey KC(?), Sixth Gholston NYJ, Seventh Ellis NO, Eighth Harvey JAX.
2007: Fourth Adams TB, Eighth Anderson ATL, 10th Okoye HOU(?).
2006: First Williams HOU.
2005 and 2004: None Selected.
2003: Fourth Robertson NYJ, Sixth Sullivan NO, Ninth Williams MIN.
2002: Second Peppers CAR, Sixth Sims KC, Ninth Henderson JAX, 11th Freeney IND.
2001: Third Warren CLE, Fourth Smith CIN, Sixth Seymour NE, Seventh Carter SF, 10th Reynolds GB.
2000: First Brown CLE, Sixth Simon PHI (DNP SB XLI).
2010: First Bradford STL.
2009: First Stafford DET, Fifth Sanchez NYJ.
2008: Third Ryan ATL.
2007: First Russell OAK.
2006: Third Young TEN, 10th Leinart ARI.
2005: First Smith SF.
2004: First Manning NYG, Fourth Rivers SD.
2003: First Palmer CIN, Seventh Leftwich JAX.
2002: First Carr HOU, Third Harrington DET.
2001: First Vick ATL.
2000: No Players Selected.