Last year, prior to Super Bowl XLIV, I predicted that the Pittsburgh Steelers would play the Green Bay Packers in Super Bowl XLV (click the link to check out the article). Many thought I was crazy, but it turns out that I hit the nail on the head.
This year, even though it is a couple weeks late, I am going to use that same formula to predict who is going to play in Super Bowl XLVI.
First off, the teams that have no chance. These are the worst teams in the league in 2010. I am not saying some teams will not get better, and that some won't be much improved from last year. Only, to be one of the worst teams one year, pretty much means you will not be the best the next year.
These teams have already been eliminated, so if you are a fan of one of these teams, sorry about your luck.
Now we address the teams that have a ways to go, but are not quite there yet. These are teams with major coaching issues.
Houston Texans (Coach STILL on the hot seat), Minnesota Vikings (New coach), Miami Dolphins (Did they hire a new coach? NO, but they were going to), Oakland Raiders (Coach leads team to best record in 6 years, and is let go? Way to go Al!),
The New York Jets, Pittsburgh Steelers, Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers (besides, we all KNOW that Aaron Rogers is going to be on the cover of Madden, and that means his season is going to be cut short!) played in the American Football Conference/National Football Conference Championship in 2010, so they will not make it to the Super Bowl in 2011. As much as it pains me to say that, it is the formula that was used last year, so I have to stick with it.
Time to take out the choke artists. These are the teams that can be fantastic in the regular season, only to blow it in the playoffs. San Diego Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles, New Orleans Saints and new to the list, Baltimore Ravens (Flacco is HORRIBLE in the playoffs) and New England Patriots (0-3 last 3 playoff games, ALL with Tom Brady).
It has shown over the last many years, you have to have a franchise QB to win the Super Bowl.
This takes out the Jacksonville Jaguars.
To pick for the NFC. The New York Giants have Eli Manning, and he is a lot like his brother. Carried to a Super Bowl by his defense, and that is the only time he has gotten there. No to the Giants
The Atlanta Falcons were a great team in 2010, but in the NFC South, teams that do great one year, normally don't come close to that the next.
I am going to have to go with Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the representative for the NFC in the Super Bowl in 2011.
For the AFC, there is a problem. I am going to have to buck the trend, and look at each of the team I believe have even a chance, and eliminate them from there.
Joe Flacco is simply not very good in the playoffs. They fired his position coach, Cam Cameron and the defense is getting old.
New England Patriots
The Patriots have lost their last three playoff games, and again this year, have had problems with coaching staff turnover. As for losing their last three playoff games, ONCE is a fluke, twice is coincidence, third time is a trend
They would have to do something that has never been done before, and I just don't think a home team is going to play in the Super Bowl. Sorry Colts.
This, then, leaves me with two teams, the combatants in the AFC Championship from 2010, the New York Jets and the Pittsburgh Steelers.
In comparing these two teams, at least at this point, the Jets have MANY questions going into free agency. BOTH of their top two WR's, Braylon Edwards and Santonio Holmes will probably be gone, since the Jets have said they won't be franchise tagging either of them, but a LB instead.
The Steelers have less turn over, and no where near the free agents the Jets have.
SO, my pick for Super Bowl XLVI, in Indianapolis, Indiana, will be the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Hope you liked the read. Feel free to tell me how crazy I am, just like so many of you did last year!