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OAKLAND, CA - AUGUST 27:  Wide receiver Amari Cooper #89 and quarterback Derek Carr #4 of the Oakland Raiders celebrates after Carr threw a touchdown pass to Cooper against the Tennessee Titans in the first half of their preseason football game at the Oakland Coliseum on August 27, 2016 in Oakland, California.  (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
OAKLAND, CA - AUGUST 27: Wide receiver Amari Cooper #89 and quarterback Derek Carr #4 of the Oakland Raiders celebrates after Carr threw a touchdown pass to Cooper against the Tennessee Titans in the first half of their preseason football game at the Oakland Coliseum on August 27, 2016 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images

Fantasy Football Week 5: Tips, Trade Value Rankings for Top 100 Players

Timothy RappOct 6, 2016

Everybody panic!

After a quarter of the NFL season, a slew of players with huge expectations coming into the season are struggling. October and November tend to be the months when fantasy owners start wheeling and dealing, so you may be wondering if it's time to sell on some disappointing players, buy on some other surprising options and what sort of deals you should be looking to make in either scenario.

If you find yourself in this boat, my weekly fantasy football trade chart is here to help.

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11Le'Veon BellRBPittsburgh Steelers11
22David JohnsonRBArizona Cardinals11
33DeMarco MurrayRBTennessee Titans11
41Antonio BrownWRPittsburgh Steelers11
52Julio JonesWRAtlanta Falcons11
64Melvin GordonRBSan Diego Chargers10
75Todd GurleyRBSt. Louis Rams10
86Ezekiel ElliottRBDallas Cowboys10
97C.J. AndersonRBDenver Broncos10
108Carlos HydeRBSan Francisco 49ers10
113A.J. GreenWRCincinnati Bengals10
124Mike EvansWRTampa Bay Buccaneers10
135Jordy NelsonWRGreen Bay Packers10
149Matt ForteRBNew York Jets9
1510Lamar MillerRBHouston Texans9
1611Mark IngramRBNew Orleans Saints9
1712LeSean McCoyRBBuffalo Bills9
186Allen RobinsonWRJacksonville Jaguars9
197Odell Beckham Jr.WRNew York Giants9
208DeAndre HopkinsWRHouston Texans9
219Kelvin BenjaminWRCarolina Panthers9
221Rob GronkowskiTENew England Patriots9
2310Doug BaldwinWRSeattle Seahawks8
2411Marvin JonesWRDetroit Lions8
2512Michael CrabtreeWROakland Raiders8
2613Brandon MarshallWRNew York Jets8
2714Demaryius ThomasWRDenver Broncos8
2815Emmanuel SandersWRDenver Broncos8
2913Isaiah CrowellRBCleveland Browns8
3014Frank GoreRBIndianapolis Colts8
3115Devonta FreemanRBAtlanta Falcons8
321Cam NewtonQBCarolina Panthers7
332Aaron RodgersQBGreen Bay Packers7
343Tom BradyQBNew England Patriots7
352Greg OlsenTECarolina Panthers7
363Jordan ReedTEWashington7
3716Dez BryantWRDallas Cowboys6
3817Larry FitzgeraldWRArizona Cardinals6
3918T.Y. HiltonWRIndianapolis Colts6
4019Alshon JefferyWRChicago Bears6
4120Brandin CooksWRNew Orleans Saints6
4221Julian EdelmanWRNew England Patriots6
4322Stefon DiggsWRMinnesota Vikings6
4416LeGarrette BlountRBNew England Patriots6
4517Christine MichaelRBSeattle Seahawks6
4618Matt JonesRBWashington6
4719Tevin ColemanRBAtlanta Falcons6
484Jimmy GrahamTESeattle Seahawks6
495Travis KelceTEKansas City Chiefs6
504Matt RyanQBAtlanta Falcons6
515Drew BreesQBNew Orleans Saints6
526Russell WilsonQBSeattle Seahawks6
537Andrew LuckQBIndianapolis Colts6
548Ben RoethlisbergerQBPittsburgh Steelers6
5523Jarvis LandryWRMiami Dolphins5
5624Jordan MatthewsWRPhiladelphia Eagles5
5725Eric DeckerWRNew York Jets5
5826Amari CooperWROakland Raiders5
5927Mike WallaceWRBaltimore Ravens5
6028Will FullerWRHouston Texans5
6120Jeremy HillRBCincinnati Bengals5
6221Latavius MurrayRBOakland Raiders5
6322Jordan HowardRBChicago Bears5
6423Eddie LacyRBGreen Bay Packers5
6524Doug MartinRBTampa Bay Buccaneers5
6625Jamaal CharlesRBKansas City Chiefs5
6726Jonathan StewartRBCarolina Panthers5
686Kyle Rudolph TEMinnesota Vikings4
697Julius ThomasTEJacksonsville Jaguars4
709Derek CarrQBOakland Raiders4
7129DeSean JacksonWRWashington4
7230Terrelle PryorWRCleveland Browns4
7331Sammy WatkinsWRBuffalo Bills4
7432Randall CobbWRGreen Bay Packers4
7533Jeremy MaclinWRKansas City Chiefs4
7634Allen HurnsWRJacksonville Jaguars4
7727Ryan MathewsRBPhiladelphia Eagles3
7828Spencer WareRBKansas City Chiefs3
7929Giovani BernardRBCincinnati Bengals3
8030Arian FosterRBMiami Dolphins3
8131Theo RiddickRBDetroit Lions3
828Tyler EifertTECincinnati Bengals3
8335Willie SneadWRNew Orleans Saints3
8436Travis BenjaminWRSan Diego Chargers3
8537Donte MoncriefWRIndianapolis Colts3
8638Victor CruzWR New York Giants3
8739Sterling ShepardWRNew York Giants3
8810Matt StaffordQBDetroit Lions2
8911Philip RiversQBSan Diego Chargers2
9032Rashad JenningsRBNew York Giants2
9133T.J. YeldonRBJacksonville Jaguars2
9240Tyrell WilliamsWRSan Diego Chargers2
9341DeVante ParkerWRMiami Dolphins2
9442Michael FloydWRArizona Cardinals2
9543Tavon AustinWRSt. Louis Rams2
969Eric EbronTEDetroit Lions2
9710Zach ErtzTEPhiladelphia Eagles2
9811Delanie WalkerTETennessee Titans2
9934Thomas RawlsRBSeattle Seahawks2
1001Minnesota VikingsD/STMinnesota Vikings2

So, what exactly is up with Todd Gurley, Odell Beckham Jr., DeAndre Hopkins, Dez Bryant, Amari Cooper and Rob Gronkowski? And is it time to start panic selling?

The first answer will take some analysis. The second answer is "No, not yet. Don't...sell...low!" But let's start with the analysis.

We have to start with Gurley because, honestly, his slow start may be the biggest surprise in all of fantasy football. After Week 3, it appeared he was back on track after rushing for 85 yards and two touchdowns. And then on Sunday, he rushed 19 times for just 33 yards. He's averaging just 2.6 yards per carry.

The panic is building.

The fact is teams to this point of the season simply haven't feared Case Keenum in the passing game. Keenum did throw for 266 yards and two scores last week, but nobody is going to suddenly confuse him for Aaron Rodgers.

But here's the thing: Other running backs are facing stacked boxes and are still managing to be more productive than Gurley, as Scott Barrett of Pro Football Focus tweeted:

So did Gurley just forget how to run the ball?

No, of course not. His offensive line is playing poorly and isn't generating a push against stacked boxes. The playing-calling has been...uninspired. And teams are building game plans to slow down Gurley and daring the rest of the Rams offense to beat them.

The Rams offense isn't beating anyone. The Rams defense, on the other hand, has been excellent, hence the team's 3-1 record. And so Gurley continues to struggle.

"As long as I keep winning, I can care less," Gurley told Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com. "It don’t even matter to me.”

It matters to fantasy junkies, though.

Perhaps some relief is coming. Gonzalez suspects the Rams will continue to employ Gurley in the passing game more often, as they did in Sunday's win. At this point, fantasy owners will take production in any way they can get. So don't give up on Gurley just yet. You'd be selling low anyway, and honestly, the Rams would be crazy not to find creative ways to get their best weapon more production.

Then there is Beckham, who apparently isn't enjoying himself these days.

"Football is my sanctuary," Beckham told ESPN.com's Anita Marks. "It's where I go to escape. It's where I'm most happy. I'm not having fun anymore."

He added: "What I'm communicating, we're not doing. I'm not getting the opportunities to contribute, and that's frustrating to me."

MINNEAPOLIS, MN - OCTOBER 03: Odell Beckham Jr. #13 of the New York Giants reacts on the sideline during the game against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on October 3, 2016 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Vikings defeated the Giants 24-10. (Phot

His fantasy owners are frustrated, too. Beckham has yet to score a touchdown, has exceeded 100 receiving yards just once on the season and, at this point, seems easily rattled. Even his quarterback, Eli Manning, acknowledged that Beckham needed to "be aware" that people are going to attempt to get under his skin and added that, "He's got to play smart."

The New York Giants are smart enough to know that they need Beckham heavily involved in the offense, even if his public comments about his role irked a few folks. Beckham is unquestionably the team's most dynamic playmaker, and the Giants aren't going to compete for an NFC East crown unless they get him going.

So he'll rebound. Stay patient.

The reason to have optimism that Hopkins will get going, meanwhile, is that Will Fuller has continued to produce. Teams aren't going to simply be able to lock down Hopkins with Fuller also capable of torching them.

Is it a concern that Fuller has one more target, two more receptions and 96 more receiving yards after four games? 

Maybe. It's possible Fuller has established a better rapport with quarterback Brock Osweiler early in the season. But, like Beckham, Hopkins is a dynamic talent who the Texans will continue to involve heavily in the offense. It's hard to imagine many more stretches where Hopkins only accumulates five fantasy points in a two-week stretch going forward.

As for Bryant and Gronkowski, there is some uncertainty, as injuries are involved and neither player has had his starting quarterback to this point. If you can buy low on Gronk, I'd do it, though I certainly wouldn't sell low on him. Bryant's injury concerns make him more of an unknown, as does Romo's injury. If you can get a good package for him, I'd consider shipping him off your team.

Finally, what to make of Michael Crabtree seemingly surpassing Amari Cooper as Derek Carr's favorite receiver?

Michael Crabtree2630843755
Amari Cooper2031803532

The obvious difference between the two players is touchdowns. It has to be worrying Cooper fans that Carr has now thrown nine touchdown passes and none have been to Cooper, especially since seven of them have been in the red zone and three of those red-zone scores have gone to Crabtree.

Does Carr trust Crabtree more in the red zone? Or is it just bad luck and game flow that has dictated Cooper's lack of touchdown production?

Well, consider this. Last year, Carr threw 10 touchdowns within the red zone and just two went to Cooper. So since being drafted by the Raiders, Cooper has accounted for just two of the 19 touchdowns Carr has thrown in the red zone. 

If Cooper is going to score, it will probably come from longer throws down the field. Given that he only scored six touchdowns a season ago, compared to nine for Crabtree, we may be looking at a trend, with Crabtree looking like the more valuable receiver in Oakland. Cooper will still be productive, and he's obviously young so a major breakthrough could be on the horizon, but he's starting to look more like a flex than the high-end WR2 he was drafted to be.

In other words, selling on him isn't crazy.

Another player I don't think it's crazy to sell on is LeGarrette Blount. Yes, he's been awesome to start the season, but the New England Patriots have also relied on the running game heavily with Tom Brady suspended. Now that Brady's back, expect the Patriots to start throwing the ball a whole lot more (and for players like Julian Edelman to have a major production spike).

As you can see, I factored that into my assessment of Blount on the chart. I have him valued as a six, but if we were only valuing his production to this point, he'd probably be in the nine range. So, if you want to sell, here are some packages you should be shooting for:

  • Jordan Reed and Travis Benjamin
  • Stefon Diggs and Ryan Mathews
  • Jarvis Landry and Kyle Rudolph
  • Jimmy Graham and Willie Snead

Meanwhile, I think his actual value is more like the following deals:

Blount will still have value. He's the team's best short-yardage and between-the-tackles runner. But with Brady starting a full slate of games last year, Blount rushed for over 100 yards just once in 12 contests. 

I expect him to return to the land of the flex options. I don't see him as the RB1 he's been to this point in the season going forward. 

You can follow Timothy Rapp on Twitter. All points-against and fantasy stats via ESPN.com.

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