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Fantasy Football Week 7: Matt Camp's Week 7 Big Board

Matt CampOct 19, 2016

Last week was a great reminder that for all the logic you put into setting your fantasy football lineups, sometimes things just don’t work out how you planned in the wacky world of the NFL

Expecting big performances from Steelers like Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le’Veon Bell against the Dolphins was justified in Week 6. That plan went out the window when Roethlisberger hurt his knee and tried to play through it with little success. Now, Pittsburgh has to host the Patriots in Week 7 with Landry Jones under center. Your feeling of excitement for the Steelers on your fantasy roster is now a feeling of fear. 

Then, we had the Chiefs take on the Raiders, a team that entered Week 6 with the worst pass defense in the league. Did the Chiefs dial up their passing attack to expose the weakness? Nope. Instead, Alex Smith threw a season-low 22 passes, while Spencer Ware and Jamaal Charles combined for 33 rushing attempts, 164 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

It’s easy to throw your hands up in bewilderment when that happens, but you can’t let it keep you down for long. Put that ugly week behind you and focus on how to set yourself up for victory in Week 7. I’ll try to help in this article.

As a reminder, this is the first look at my points-per-reception (PPR) rankings for Week 7. These will change throughout the week and up to Sunday’s action as we get more information about injuries and limitations, so make sure to bookmark this page

Also, don’t forget that the Rams take on the Giants in London on Sunday morning, so be sure to take care of any lineup decisions featuring players from those teams before that early kickoff. Will Odell Beckham hug a soccer net? We can only hope.

Top 100

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Look for the Matt Ryan-Julio Jones connection to fly high against the Chargers.
Look for the Matt Ryan-Julio Jones connection to fly high against the Chargers.

I present my top 100 players (minus quarterbacks) for the week as a way to help determine your flex spots. You may favor a certain position or player over another based on his role and/or your scoring rules.

As an additional tiebreaker, here are the teams I like as a whole this week based on their matchups: 

  • Atlanta Falcons (vs. San Diego Chargers)
  • Cincinnati Bengals (vs. Cleveland Browns)
  • Washington Redskins (at Detroit Lions)
  • San Diego Chargers (at Atlanta Falcons)
  • Kansas City Chiefs (vs. New Orleans Saints)

Week 7 Top 100 PPR Rankings

1Julio Jones (ATL)vs. SDWR110
2Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)at LAWR24+2
3DeMarco Murray (TEN)vs. INDRB15+2
4Mike Evans (TB)at SFWR36+2
5Le'Veon Bell (PIT)vs. NERB28+3
6A.J. Green (CIN)vs. CLE WR42-4
7T.Y. Hilton (IND)at TENWR514+7
8LeSean McCoy (BUF)at MIARB37-1
9Amari Cooper (OAK)at JAC WR615+6
10David Johnson (ARI)vs. SEARB43-7
11Brandon Marshall (NYJ)vs. BAL WR7110
12Antonio Brown (PIT)vs. NEWR816+4
13Devonta Freeman (ATL)vs. SDRB512-1
14Cameron Meredith (CHI)at GBWR920+6
15Melvin Gordon (SD)at ATL RB617+2
16Jordy Nelson (GB)vs. CHIWR1013-3
17Lamar Miller (HOU)at DENRB733+16
18Brandin Cooks (NO)at KCWR1119+1
19Rob Gronkowski (NE)at PITTE110-9
20Christine Michael (SEA)at ARIRB821+1
21Jeremy Maclin (KC)vs. NOWR1223+2
22Todd Gurley (LA)vs. NYG RB925+3
23Alshon Jeffery (CHI)at GBWR1322-1
24Marvin Jones (DET)vs. WASWR1418-6
25Allen Robinson (JAC)vs. OAKWR159-16
26Michael Crabtree (OAK)at JAC WR1630+4
27Spencer Ware (KC)vs. NORB10270
28Jarvis Landry (MIA)vs. BUF WR1726-2
29Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)vs. SEAWR1824-5
30Hunter Henry (SD)at ATL TE249+19
31Randall Cobb (GB)vs. CHIWR1939+8
32Demaryius Thomas (DEN)vs. HOU WR2028-4
33Golden Tate (DET)vs. WASWR2145+12
34Terrelle Pryor (CLE)at CIN WR22340
35Julian Edelman (NE)at PITWR23350
36Tevin Coleman (ATL)vs. SDRB1143+7
37C.J. Anderson (DEN)vs. HOU RB1240+3
38Emmanuel Sanders (DEN)vs. HOU WR2437-1
39Travis Kelce (KC)vs. NOTE329-10
40DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)at DENWR2541+1
41Doug Baldwin (SEA)at ARIWR2638-3
42Jordan Howard (CHI)at GBRB1344+2
43Jimmy Graham (SEA)at ARITE442-1
44Ty Montgomery (GB)vs. CHIWR2799+55
45Travis Benjamin (SD)at ATL WR2852+7
46Giovani Bernard (CIN)vs. CLE RB1450+4
47Jamaal Charles (KC)vs. NORB1546-1
48Mike Wallace (BAL)at NYJ WR2958+10
49Delanie Walker (TEN)vs. INDTE536-13
50DeSean Jackson (WAS)at DET WR3047-3
51James White (NE)at PITRB1648-3
52Michael Thomas (NO)at KCWR3156+4
53Mark Ingram (NO)at KCRB1731-22
54Stefon Diggs (MIN)at PHIWR3275+21
55Martellus Bennett (NE)at PITTE6550
56Matt Jones (WAS)at DET RB1863+7
57Frank Gore (IND)at TENRB1959+2
58Kenny Britt (LA)vs. NYG WR3367+9
59Cameron Brate (TB)at SFTE7103+44
60Duke Johnson (CLE)at CIN RB2091+31
61Willie Snead (NO)at KCWR3453-8
62Allen Hurns (JAC)vs. OAKWR3564+2
63Robert Woods (BUF)at MIAWR3672+9
64LeGarrette Blount (NE)at PITRB2169+5
65Terrance West (BAL)at NYJ RB2261-4
66Tyrell Williams (SD)at ATL WR3765-1
67Jay Ajayi (MIA)vs. BUF RB2370+3
68Zach Miller (CHI)at GBTE854-14
69Jamison Crowder (WAS)at DET WR3873+4
70Coby Fleener (NO)at KCTE957-13
71Jerick McKinnon (MIN)at PHIRB2460-11
72Sterling Shepard (NYG)at LAWR3968-4
73Doug Martin (TB)at SFRB2571-2
74John Brown (ARI)vs. SEAWR4066-8
75Jacquizz Rodgers (TB)at SFRB2690+15
76Theo Riddick (DET)vs. WASRB2785+9
77Gary Barnidge (CLE)at CIN TE1079+2
78Mohamed Sanu (ATL)vs. SDWR4184+6
79Darren Sproles (PHI)vs. MINRB2882+3
80Jordan Matthews (PHI)vs. MINWR4251-29
81Chris Hogan (NE)at PITWR43810
82Kyle Rudolph (MIN)at PHITE1162-20
83DeVante Parker (MIA)vs. BUF WR44830
84Charles Clay (BUF)at MIATE1292+8
85Will Fuller (HOU)at DENWR4589+4
86Kendall Wright (TEN)vs. INDWR46100+14
87Isaiah Crowell (CLE)at CIN RB29870
88Bilal Powell (NYJ)vs. BAL RB30107+19
89Tavon Austin (LA)vs. NYG WR4793+4
90Matt Forte (NYJ)vs. BAL RB3174-16
91Julius Thomas (JAC)vs. OAKTE1377-14
92Jeremy Hill (CIN)vs. CLE RB3278-14
93Quincy Enunwa (NYJ)vs. BAL WR4876-17
94Anquan Boldin (DET)vs. WASWR49102+8
95Pierre Garcon (WAS)at DET WR50118+23
96Jack Doyle (IND)at TENTE1495-1
97Ryan Mathews (PHI)vs. MINRB33108+11
98Sammie Coates (PIT)vs. NEWR51101+3
99Dennis Pitta (BAL)at NYJ TE1580-19
100Cordarrelle Patterson (MIN)at PHIWR52166+66
2016 Fantasy Football Rankings powered by FantasyPros
ECR - Expert Consensus Rankings

Quarterbacks

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The Tom Brady Revenge Tour makes a stop in Pittsburgh on Sunday.
The Tom Brady Revenge Tour makes a stop in Pittsburgh on Sunday.

Better than Usual

Andy Dalton, CIN (vs. CLE)

Dalton has quietly been a top-10 fantasy quarterback this season, although last week’s performance against the Patriots didn’t do a lot to boost his standing. Dalton completed 21 of his 31 attempts for 254 yards and a touchdown. He has just one game with multiple passing TDs and two games with at least 300 yards.

Despite not having a consistent secondary option behind A.J. Green, Dalton is getting by as a low-end starting option. He should be better than that this week against the Browns. Cleveland’s given up three TDs in each of their last four games and at least 300 yards in three of their six games. Last week, Marcus Mariota got them for 284 yards, three TDs and 64 rushing yards.

If you’ve been waiting for a week to use Dalton with confidence, this is it. 

Week 7 Projection: 285 yards, 2 touchdowns

Concerns 

Russell Wilson, SEA (at ARI)

With a week to heal his leg injuries, Wilson came back from the bye with a nice matchup against the Falcons. Unfortunately, he underwhelmed for fantasy with just 270 yards through the air and seven rushing yards. He didn’t throw or run in a TD. Wilson has just 35 rushing yards all season, a number he rushed for in seven games last year. 

The Cardinals haven’t faced any top-10 QBs this year, and the only one in the top-15 they've faced was Tyrod Taylor, who threw for just 119 yards but ran for 76 and a TD in a victory. Arizona is giving up an average of about 210 yards this season. Wilson isn’t a top-20 QB coming into this week and likely won’t be one when it’s done. 

Week 7 Projection: 250 passing yards, 1 touchdown, 11 rushing yards

Carson Palmer, ARI (vs. SEA)

The days of using Palmer as a weekly starter are over. The Cardinals had no problem taking care of the Jets in Week 6, yet Palmer threw for only 213 yards and a TD on 23-of-34 passing. David Johnson carried the offense with 22 rushes for 111 yards and three TDs. Because Johnson is so good, the Cardinals can run their offense through him and pull back on how much Palmer throws it.

Seattle's defense has 16 sacks and just 78 points allowed on the season. They’ve been a top-three defense against fantasy QBs, which only spells trouble for Palmer. They gave up 335 yards and three TDs to Matt Ryan last week, but before that they allowed just one TD in four previous games. Palmer isn’t playing anywhere near Ryan’s level, so this is still a matchup to worry about Sunday night. 

Week 7 Projection: 255 passing yards, 1 touchdown, 2 interceptions

Avoid 

Carson Wentz, PHI (vs. MIN)

Wentz’s fantasy numbers have dropped off following the team’s Week 4 bye, although he hasn’t played badly. Philadelphia’s defense couldn’t get off the field last week, so Wentz was limited to just 22 attempts, of which he completed 11 for just 179 yards without a TD or interception. In the week prior at Detroit, Wentz went 25-of-33 for 238 yards with a pair of scores and one interception.

Numbers and matchups don’t matter when you’re facing the Vikings because they may be the best defense in the league. QBs average less than 240 yards per game against Minnesota, and they’ve given up just four TDs all season. They will likely add to their total of 19 sacks on the season if they attack Eagles right tackle Halapoulivaati Vaitai, who was a big reason Wentz was sacked five times last week. 

The rookie will join a list that includes Aaron Rodgers, Cam Newton and Eli Manning as those who’ve been victimized by the Vikings in 2016.

Week 7 Projection: 235 yards, 1 touchdown, 1 interception

Sleepers 

Alex Smith, KC (vs. NO)

I’m tempting fate by going back to Smith as a streamer and a sleeper this week. As I discussed in the intro, Smith threw just 22 passes last week, but he completed 19 of them for 224 yards without a TD or interception. Smith played well, but it meant nothing for fantasy thanks to the lack of volume and TDs.

So why will I go back to him against another bad defense? The Raiders never got out of the gate last week and so the Chiefs didn’t have to ramp up their passing attack. I expect the Saints to have more success with their offense, and that should push Smith to go after their vulnerable defense. Four of five QBs threw for at least 319 yards against the Saints, and the last three each had two TDs apiece. 

I find it too hard to pass up using any QB against the Saints defense, and I expect Smith to be busier than he was last week.

Week 7 Projection: 270 yards, 2 touchdowns

Marcus Mariota, TEN (vs. IND)

With 124 yards and a touchdown on 14 carries in the last two weeks, Mariota has tapped back into the rushing ability that made him so dangerous in the past. It’s also boosted his fantasy value up, and that’s great timing with an AFC South showdown against the Colts coming this weekend.

In the first six weeks, the Colts gave up the ninth-most fantasy points to QBs by allowing an average of over 300 yards and more than a TD per game. They blew a lead to Brock Osweiler and the Texans last week, giving up 269 yards and a pair of TDs to one of the worst-performing QBs of the 2016 season. With Mariota riding high and this matchup clearly in his favor, he’s a strong fantasy option yet again.

Week 7 Projection: 265 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, 45 rushing yards

Week 7 Quarterback Rankings

1Tom Brady (NE)at PIT10
2Matt Ryan (ATL)vs. SD20
3Matthew Stafford (DET)vs. WAS4+1
4Drew Brees (NO)at KC5+1
5Philip Rivers (SD)at ATL 3-2
6Derek Carr (OAK)at JAC 10+4
7Andrew Luck (IND)at TEN6-1
8Marcus Mariota (TEN)vs. IND80
9Kirk Cousins (WAS)at DET 11+2
10Andy Dalton (CIN)vs. CLE 9-1
11Aaron Rodgers (GB)vs. CHI7-4
12Alex Smith (KC)vs. NO15+3
13Brian Hoyer (CHI)at GB18+5
14Jameis Winston (TB)at SF140
15Russell Wilson (SEA)at ARI13-2
16Blake Bortles (JAC)vs. OAK12-4
17Joe Flacco (BAL)at NYJ 20+3
18Eli Manning (NYG)at LA16-2
19Tyrod Taylor (BUF)at MIA17-2
20Carson Palmer (ARI)vs. SEA19-1
21Case Keenum (LA)vs. NYG 28+7
22Sam Bradford (MIN)at PHI220
23Colin Kaepernick (SF)vs. TB21-2
24Ryan Tannehill (MIA)vs. BUF 240
25Carson Wentz (PHI)vs. MIN23-2
26Cody Kessler (CLE)at CIN 27+1
27Trevor Siemian (DEN)vs. HOU 25-2
28Landry Jones (PIT)vs. NE30+2
29Brock Osweiler (HOU)at DEN290
30Ryan Fitzpatrick (NYJ)vs. BAL 26-4
31Geno Smith (NYJ)vs. BAL 310

Running Backs

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DeMarco Murray shouldn't have much trouble facing the Colts.
DeMarco Murray shouldn't have much trouble facing the Colts.

Better than Usual 

Giovani Bernard, CIN (vs. CLE)

If you want to pick a Bengals back who can take advantage of this week’s matchup with the Browns, you should be looking at Bernard. He’s out-snapped Jeremy Hill in the last two games and four of six times this season. While neither player is averaging even 3.7 yards per carry, Bernard makes up for it with 29 receptions for 256 yards compared to just four receptions for 40 yards for Hill.

You want Bernard in your lineup this weekend because the Browns allowed the 11th-most fantasy points to RBs in the first six games. There seems to be more trust in Bernard right now, and with an active role as a runner and a receiver, he’s the Bengals RB of choice for fantasy. 

Week 7 Projection: 15 carries, 55 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown, 5 receptions, 44 receiving yards

               

Concerns 

Jordan Howard, CHI (at GB)

Howard’s hot streak was cooled off by the Jaguars…and Ka’Deem Carey? Howard was held to 34 yards and a TD on 15 carries and added just two receptions for six yards on four targets while playing 69 percent of the snaps. Carey didn’t have a reception, but he turned his nine carries into 50 yards on 31 percent of the snaps. 

To be fair, that’s a normal division of snaps, but Howard spoiled us at over 90 percent in the previous two games. The carries were closer than you want to see, and if that stays the same in Week 7, it could be another rough one for Howard. 

Ezekiel Elliott gashed the Packers for 157 yards on 28 carries last week, but for the season, they’ve held RBs to an average of three yards per carry. Howard is good, but he’s not at the level of Elliott, so he’ll have a tough matchup on his hands in Green Bay on Thursday night.

Week 7 Projection: 15 carries, 50 rushing yards, 3 receptions, 20 receiving yards

          

Avoid 

Matt Forte, NYJ (vs. BAL)

The Jets are a complete mess and Forte isn’t helping the cause. He ran for just 19 yards on nine carries last week and now has 360 yards on 102 carries (3.5 yards per carry) on the season. His only three touchdowns came in Week 2, and he’s chipped in just 14 receptions for 93 yards on 22 targets. Bilal Powell is averaging six yards per carry and has 24 receptions for 156 yards on 33 targets. 

Powell out-snapped Forte in two of the last three games, including 73-38 percent in Week 6. With Forte going in the wrong direction, you’re better off staying away from him with the Ravens on the schedule this week. Baltimore held RBs to just 3.6 yards per carry in the first six weeks. Forte needs volume to have fantasy value and he’s not getting it.

Week 7 Projection: 11 carries, 40 rushing yards, 2 receptions, 12 receiving yards

               

Ryan Mathews, PHI (vs. MIN)

The Eagles have turned their backfield into an ugly committee, and that’s bad news for Mathews. He ran well last week, going for 60 yards on nine carries, but that’s all he accounted for while playing just 21 percent of the snaps. Wendell Smallwood carried four times for six yards and had a catch for 14 yards with 19 percent, and Kenjon Barner ran twice for six yards on 15 percent. 

The only Eagle RB to consider using is Darren Sproles based on his snaps and consistent role in the offense both as a runner and a receiver. He had 44 percent of the snaps in Week 6 and has played 59 more snaps than Mathews in 2016. 

The Vikings have one of the best defenses in the league and have held RBs to just 3.5 yards per carry on the year. With so many players involved and a rough matchup, you can’t trust Mathews.

Week 7 Projection: 11 carries, 39 rushing yards

         

Sleepers 

Duke Johnson, CLE (at CIN)

The Browns have yet to win a game, which means they play from behind a lot, and that’s caught up to Isaiah Crowell after such a hot start. In the first four games, he ran 61 times for 394 yards (6.5 yards per carry) with three touchdowns. In the last two games, he has 22 carries for 38 yards (1.7 YPC) and hasn’t scored.

Johnson hasn’t been busy on the ground, but with 167 yards and a TD on 32 carries (5.2 YPC), he’s been productive when called on to run, which is all that matters. He remains a consistent part of the passing game with 24 receptions on 34 targets for 192 yards. By comparison, Crowell has nine receptions for 91 yards on 13 targets. 

This season, Cincinnati has allowed RBs to average more than five receptions and almost 47 receiving yards per game and the 10th-most fantasy points. Last week, they allowed James White to catch eight passes for 47 yards and two TDs. They’ve also given up 4.4 yards per carry on the year. 

Because the Browns are underdogs once again, you’re better off favoring Johnson over Crowell against the Bengals. Consider Johnson your upside option out of this backfield.

Week 7 Projection: 6 carries, 27 rushing yards, 5 receptions, 40 receiving yards

          

Week 7 Running Back PPR Rankings

1DeMarco Murray (TEN)vs. IND10
2Le'Veon Bell (PIT)vs. NE3+1
3LeSean McCoy (BUF)at MIA2-1
4David Johnson (ARI)vs. SEA40
5Devonta Freeman (ATL)vs. SD50
6Melvin Gordon (SD)at ATL 60
7Lamar Miller (HOU)at DEN12+5
8Christine Michael (SEA)at ARI80
9Todd Gurley (LA)vs. NYG 7-2
10Spencer Ware (KC)vs. NO9-1
11Tevin Coleman (ATL)vs. SD15+4
12C.J. Anderson (DEN)vs. HOU 13+1
13Jordan Howard (CHI)at GB14+1
14Giovani Bernard (CIN)vs. CLE 18+4
15Jamaal Charles (KC)vs. NO16+1
16James White (NE)at PIT17+1
17Mark Ingram (NO)at KC11-6
18Matt Jones (WAS)at DET 21+3
19Frank Gore (IND)at TEN190
20Duke Johnson (CLE)at CIN 32+12
21LeGarrette Blount (NE)at PIT25+4
22Terrance West (BAL)at NYJ 220
23Jay Ajayi (MIA)vs. BUF 24+1
24Jerick McKinnon (MIN)at PHI20-4
25Doug Martin (TB)at SF23-2
26Jacquizz Rodgers (TB)at SF31+5
27Theo Riddick (DET)vs. WAS28+1
28Darren Sproles (PHI)vs. MIN29+1
29Isaiah Crowell (CLE)at CIN 30+1
30Bilal Powell (NYJ)vs. BAL 37+7
31Matt Forte (NYJ)vs. BAL 26-5
32Jeremy Hill (CIN)vs. CLE 27-5
33Ryan Mathews (PHI)vs. MIN35+2
34DeAndre Washington (OAK)at JAC 340
35Matt Asiata (MIN)at PHI40+5
36T.J. Yeldon (JAC)vs. OAK33-3
37Chris Ivory (JAC)vs. OAK38+1
38Devontae Booker (DEN)vs. HOU 43+5
39Knile Davis (GB)vs. CHI44+5
40Mike Davis (SF)vs. TB62+22
41Chris Thompson (WAS)at DET 410
42Bobby Rainey (NYG)at LA47+5
43Mike Gillislee (BUF)at MIA54+11
44Rashad Jennings (NYG)at LA39-5
45Arian Foster (MIA)vs. BUF 42-3
46Jalen Richard (OAK)at JAC 45-1
47Justin Forsett (DET)vs. WAS50+3
48Derrick Henry (TEN)vs. IND480
49Shaun Draughn (SF)vs. TB55+6
50C.J. Spiller (SEA)at ARI49-1
51Zach Zenner (DET)vs. WAS46-5
52Latavius Murray (OAK)at JAC 51-1
53DeAngelo Williams (PIT)vs. NE58+5
54Dwayne Washington (DET)vs. WAS53-1
55Kenneth Dixon (BAL)at NYJ 52-3
56Damien Williams (MIA)vs. BUF 59+3
57Jamize Olawale (OAK)at JAC 73+16
58Wendell Smallwood (PHI)vs. MIN65+7
59Travaris Cadet (NO)at KC56-3
60Ka'Deem Carey (CHI)at GB68+8
61Javorius Allen (BAL)at NYJ 63+2
62Benny Cunningham (LA)vs. NYG 57-5
63Robert Turbin (IND)at TEN60-3
64Robert Kelley (WAS)at DET 70+6
65Alfred Blue (HOU)at DEN74+9
66Andre Ellington (ARI)vs. SEA61-5
67Dexter McCluster (SD)at ATL 64-3
68Paul Perkins (NYG)at LA79+11

TOP NEWS

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Wide Receivers

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No one's been busier than Mike Evans this season.
No one's been busier than Mike Evans this season.

Better than Usual 

Jeremy Maclin, KC (vs. NO)

Last week, Maclin faced the worst pass defense and the worst defense against fantasy wide receivers and wound up with three receptions for 49 yards on three targets. In fact, no Chiefs receiver had more than four targets or three receptions, and that’s because Alex Smith threw just 22 passes. Logic didn’t prevail, but the Chiefs did, so their game plan worked. 

I have trouble believing the same will happen against the Saints in Kansas City on Sunday. The Saints give up the 10th-most fantasy points, more than 15 receptions, 211 yards and almost a touchdown per game to WRs. Can the Chiefs avoid such a great matchup for their passing game again? I’ll say they don’t and Maclin gets busy. 

Week 7 Projection: 6 receptions, 82 yards, 1 touchdown

Concerns 

DeAndre Hopkins, HOU (at DEN)

Without some late-game production in the last two weeks, many more people would be freaking out about Hopkins right now. He managed to salvage his fantasy value in Week 6 with nine receptions for 71 yards on 15 targets. That comes a week after he posted five receptions for 56 yards and a touchdown on nine targets. You can blame Brock Osweiler for Hopkins ruining the value of your first-round pick.

Unfortunately, it will be tough for Hopkins to get going in Week 7 with a trip to Denver on tap. They’re the top defense against fantasy WRs with just 51 receptions for 571 yards and a TD allowed in their first six games. That TD came from Kelvin Benjamin back in Week 1. Since then, they've faced T.Y. Hilton, A.J. Green, Mike Evans and Julio Jones. That’s a battle-tested defense, so Hopkins won’t be a new challenge. 

Week 7 Projection: 5 receptions, 56 yards

Demaryius Thomas, DEN (vs. HOU)

Monday night’s showdown between the Broncos and Texans could be a battle of the defenses and who survives on offense. Denver has the best defense against fantasy WRs, but Houston isn’t far behind in third. They give up about 11 receptions and 143 yards to WRs per game with just three TDs allowed all season.

Thomas failed to take advantage of last week’s great matchup with the Chargers and wound up with just five receptions for 35 yards on a season-high 10 targets. The blame should go more on Trevor Siemian since he managed just 230 yards on 50 attempts. If your QB averages 4.6 yards per attempt, you’re in trouble. 

Week 7 Projection: 5 receptions, 65 yards

Avoid 

Jordan Matthews, PHI (vs. MIN)

Matthews hasn’t been the catch monster we saw in 2015, and a lack of volume isn’t helping much, but now he’s dealing with a knee issue on top of everything. Oh, and he plays the Vikings on Sunday.

In last week’s loss to the Redskins, Matthews caught three of seven targets for 75 yards. He hasn’t had five receptions or more than 75 yards in any of his last three games. According to Jeff McLane of the Philadelphia Inquirer, the Eagles said Matthews is dealing with knee tendonitis, which may be contributing to his lack of production.

This week, Matthews faces a Vikings defense that’s given up the second-fewest fantasy points to WRs this season despite tough matchups with the Panthers, Packers, Giants and Texans. There are no positives for Matthews, so stay away from him if you can. 

Week 7 Projection: 4 receptions, 52 yards

Sleepers

Robert Woods, BUF (at MIA)

It’s easy to overlook Woods, but he is the top receiver for the Bills with Sammy Watkins out and has been the busiest target for Tyrod Taylor. Woods found the end zone for the first time last week as part of a five-catch, 44-yard performance on eight targets in a win over the 49ers. He leads the team in all receiving categories.

It’s worth considering him in Week 7 because the Dolphins allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to WRs in the first six weeks. Woods won’t make big plays, but he’s a safe target in the short and intermediate areas and doesn’t have much competition for looks. 

Week 7 Projection: 6 receptions, 61 yards, 1 touchdown

Week 7 Wide Receiver PPR Rankings

1Julio Jones (ATL)vs. SD10
2Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)at LA3+1
3Mike Evans (TB)at SF4+1
4A.J. Green (CIN)vs. CLE 2-2
5T.Y. Hilton (IND)at TEN8+3
6Amari Cooper (OAK)at JAC 10+4
7Brandon Marshall (NYJ)vs. BAL 6-1
8Antonio Brown (PIT)vs. NE9+1
9Cameron Meredith (CHI)at GB13+4
10Jordy Nelson (GB)vs. CHI7-3
11Brandin Cooks (NO)at KC12+1
12Jeremy Maclin (KC)vs. NO15+3
13Alshon Jeffery (CHI)at GB14+1
14Marvin Jones (DET)vs. WAS11-3
15Allen Robinson (JAC)vs. OAK5-10
16Michael Crabtree (OAK)at JAC 18+2
17Jarvis Landry (MIA)vs. BUF 16-1
18Larry Fitzgerald (ARI)vs. SEA17-1
19Randall Cobb (GB)vs. CHI23+4
20Demaryius Thomas (DEN)vs. HOU 19-1
21Golden Tate (DET)vs. WAS26+5
22Terrelle Pryor (CLE)at CIN 21-1
23Julian Edelman (NE)at PIT20-3
24Emmanuel Sanders (DEN)vs. HOU 22-2
25DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)at DEN250
26Doug Baldwin (SEA)at ARI24-2
27Ty Montgomery (GB)vs. CHI46+19
28Travis Benjamin (SD)at ATL 280
29Mike Wallace (BAL)at NYJ 31+2
30DeSean Jackson (WAS)at DET 27-3
31Michael Thomas (NO)at KC32+1
32Stefon Diggs (MIN)at PHI37+5
33Kenny Britt (LA)vs. NYG 36+3
34Willie Snead (NO)at KC29-5
35Allen Hurns (JAC)vs. OAK33-2
36Robert Woods (BUF)at MIA39+3
37Tyrell Williams (SD)at ATL 34-3
38Jamison Crowder (WAS)at DET 40+2
39Sterling Shepard (NYG)at LA38-1
40John Brown (ARI)vs. SEA35-5
41Mohamed Sanu (ATL)vs. SD44+3
42Jordan Matthews (PHI)vs. MIN30-12
43Chris Hogan (NE)at PIT42-1
44DeVante Parker (MIA)vs. BUF 43-1
45Will Fuller (HOU)at DEN450
46Kendall Wright (TEN)vs. IND47+1
47Tavon Austin (LA)vs. NYG 48+1
48Quincy Enunwa (NYJ)vs. BAL 41-7
49Anquan Boldin (DET)vs. WAS51+2
50Pierre Garcon (WAS)at DET 59+9
51Sammie Coates (PIT)vs. NE52+1
52Cordarrelle Patterson (MIN)at PHI68+16
53Eddie Royal (CHI)at GB530
54Adam Humphries (TB)at SF57+3
55Steve Smith (BAL)at NYJ 62+7
56Brandon LaFell (CIN)vs. CLE 50-6
57Tyler Lockett (SEA)at ARI54-3
58Torrey Smith (SF)vs. TB49-9
59Adam Thielen (MIN)at PHI56-3
60Jeremy Kerley (SF)vs. TB55-5
61Chris Conley (KC)vs. NO60-1
62Victor Cruz (NYG)at LA61-1
63Breshad Perriman (BAL)at NYJ 65+2
64Michael Floyd (ARI)vs. SEA58-6
65Rishard Matthews (TEN)vs. IND66+1
66Dontrelle Inman (SD)at ATL 77+11
67Kamar Aiken (BAL)at NYJ 63-4
68Tajae Sharpe (TEN)vs. IND74+6
69Phillip Dorsett (IND)at TEN64-5
70Brian Quick (LA)vs. NYG 71+1
71Marqise Lee (JAC)vs. OAK72+1
72Marquise Goodwin (BUF)at MIA70-2
73Eli Rogers (PIT)vs. NE730
74Danny Amendola (NE)at PIT81+7
75Dorial Green-Beckham (PHI)vs. MIN750
76Chester Rogers (IND)at TEN69-7
77Kenny Stills (MIA)vs. BUF 80+3
78Andre Johnson (TEN)vs. IND76-2
79Seth Roberts (OAK)at JAC 790
80Justin Hunter (BUF)at MIA87+7
81Davante Adams (GB)vs. CHI67-14

Tight Ends

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Travis Kelce is primed for a big game with the Saints coming to Kansas City.
Travis Kelce is primed for a big game with the Saints coming to Kansas City.

Better than Usual 

Travis Kelce, KC (vs. NO)

The Chiefs didn’t have to get pass-happy last week in Oakland in some ugly weather because the Raiders didn’t get their passing game into any kind of rhythm. Because of that, Kelce had just three receptions for 32 yards on three targets in what looked like a fantastic matchup. 

He has another good one this week against the visiting Saints. Last week, the Saints gave up nine receptions for 119 yards and a touchdown to Greg Olsen and Ed Dickson in a win over the Panthers. Kelce can be just as dangerous as Olsen if given the chance, and he should get that opportunity. Assuming New Orleans gets its high-powered offense going, the Chiefs may have to match it, which is good news for Kelce.

Week 7 Projection: 6 receptions, 69 yards, 1 touchdown

Concerns 

Kyle Rudolph, MIN (at PHI)

Before the Week 6 bye, Rudolph had his first bad game with Sam Bradford, posting just two receptions for 15 yards on four targets in a tough matchup against the Texans. He comes out of the bye with another stiff test on Sunday in Philadelphia.

Only the Cardinals have allowed fewer points to TEs than the Eagles. In five games, the Eagles held TEs to just eight receptions for 93 yards and a TD, and that includes shutouts against the Browns and Lions. Rudolph poses one of the tougher challenges they’ve had this season, but you have to respect how great they’ve been regardless of competition. 

Week 7 Projection: 4 receptions, 45 yards

Avoid 

None of note.

Sleepers 

Cameron Brate, TB (at SF)

While Mike Evans has the highest target-per-game average at 12.4, there’s still room for others to contribute in an offense that’s averaging more than 41 pass attempts per game over the first six weeks. Brate might be even more important to the offense after the team announced Vincent Jackson was put on injured reserve with an ACL injury, according to Jenna Laine of ESPN.com.

Brate gets his first chance to prove he can do more with a nice matchup against the 49ers this weekend. On average, they give up more than five receptions and 63 yards to TEs each game and have allowed two 100-yard games. Brate does have five red-zone targets this season, and both of his TDs came inside the 10-yard line. He gets a boost from the matchup and absence of Jackson. 

Week 7 Projection: 5 receptions, 57 yards, 1 touchdown

Week 7 Tight End PPR Rankings

1Rob Gronkowski (NE)at PIT10
2Hunter Henry (SD)at ATL 5+3
3Travis Kelce (KC)vs. NO2-1
4Jimmy Graham (SEA)at ARI40
5Delanie Walker (TEN)vs. IND3-2
6Martellus Bennett (NE)at PIT7+1
7Cameron Brate (TB)at SF17+10
8Zach Miller (CHI)at GB6-2
9Coby Fleener (NO)at KC8-1
10Gary Barnidge (CLE)at CIN 100
11Kyle Rudolph (MIN)at PHI9-2
12Charles Clay (BUF)at MIA16+4
13Julius Thomas (JAC)vs. OAK11-2
14Jack Doyle (IND)at TEN15+1
15Dennis Pitta (BAL)at NYJ 12-3
16Vernon Davis (WAS)at DET 20+4
17C.J. Fiedorowicz (HOU)at DEN18+1
18Antonio Gates (SD)at ATL 19+1
19Zach Ertz (PHI)vs. MIN14-5
20Jesse James (PIT)vs. NE21+1
21Jacob Tamme (ATL)vs. SD23+2
22Will Tye (NYG)at LA33+11
23Richard Rodgers (GB)vs. CHI27+4
24Larry Donnell (NYG)at LA25+1
25Lance Kendricks (LA)vs. NYG 26+1
26C.J. Uzomah (CIN)vs. CLE 28+2
27Vance McDonald (SF)vs. TB30+3
28Virgil Green (DEN)vs. HOU 29+1
29Clive Walford (OAK)at JAC 31+2
30Jordan Reed (WAS)at DET 13-17
31Tyler Eifert (CIN)vs. CLE 22-9
32Eric Ebron (DET)vs. WAS24-8

Defenses

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Brock Osweiler is in trouble when he faces his old team in Denver on Monday night.
Brock Osweiler is in trouble when he faces his old team in Denver on Monday night.

Best Options Based on Matchups

Denver Broncos (vs. HOU)

The champs had some issues with the Chargers last week, but their defense still played a relatively strong game even though they lost. Brock Osweiler won’t give them the same challenge Monday night. With eight interceptions and 12 sacks taken, Osweiler is a big reason the Texans have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to defenses this season. 

Week 7 Projection: 3 sacks, 2 interceptions, 1 forced fumble, 15-18 points allowed

Buffalo Bills (at MIA)

After their meltdown against the Jets in Week 2, Bills head coach Rex Ryan and his staff have turned their defense around and now ride a four-game winning streak into Miami. Even though the Dolphins shocked the Steelers last week behind a big game from Jay Ajayi, their passing attack has struggled to find consistency. Protection has been an issue, as evidenced by the 17 sacks they allowed in the first six weeks. Buffalo will add to that total in Week 7.

Week 7 Projection: 3 sacks, 2 interceptions, 1 forced fumble, 18-20 points allowed

Cincinnati Bengals (vs. CLE)

As a whole, the Bengals have been a disappointing team this season, and it stems from underachievement across the board. Sometimes you need a game to get things right, and this could be the one with the winless Browns coming to town. While they’ve shown some signs of life on offense, the Browns are still tied for the seventh-most fantasy points allowed to defenses, and a big part of that is the 19 sacks given up so far. 

Week 7 Projection: 2 sacks, 1 interception, 18-20 points allowed

Week 7 Defense Rankings

1Denver Broncos (DEN)vs. HOU 10
2Minnesota Vikings (MIN)at PHI20
3Buffalo Bills (BUF)at MIA4+1
4New England Patriots (NE)at PIT3-1
5Seattle Seahawks (SEA)at ARI50
6Cincinnati Bengals (CIN)vs. CLE 60
7Arizona Cardinals (ARI)vs. SEA70
8Houston Texans (HOU)at DEN13+5
9Los Angeles Rams (LA)vs. NYG 90
10Baltimore Ravens (BAL)at NYJ 100
11Philadelphia Eagles (PHI)vs. MIN110
12Tennessee Titans (TEN)vs. IND120
13Green Bay Packers (GB)vs. CHI8-5
14Tampa Bay Buccaneers (TB)at SF17+3
15New York Jets (NYJ)vs. BAL 14-1
16Kansas City Chiefs (KC)vs. NO160
17Miami Dolphins (MIA)vs. BUF 25+8
18New York Giants (NYG)at LA15-3
19Detroit Lions (DET)vs. WAS190
20Oakland Raiders (OAK)at JAC 18-2

Kickers

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Matt Bryant's perfect season has been a nice help for his fantasy owners.
Matt Bryant's perfect season has been a nice help for his fantasy owners.

Best Options Widely Available on the Waiver Wire 

Matt Bryant, ATL (vs. SD)

A good kicker in a great offense is exactly who you want in your lineup. Bryant checks those boxes and hasn’t missed in the first six weeks. That’s 12 field goals and 21 extra points, which is a bunch of fantasy production (for a kicker). The Falcons shouldn’t have a problem rolling right along against the Chargers on Sunday, so Bryant’s great season will continue. Hopefully, he stays perfect.

Week 7 Kicker Rankings

1Stephen Gostkowski (NE)at PIT10
2Adam Vinatieri (IND)at TEN20
3Matt Bryant (ATL)vs. SD5+2
4Justin Tucker (BAL)at NYJ 3-1
5Cairo Santos (KC)vs. NO6+1
6Mason Crosby (GB)vs. CHI4-2
7Steven Hauschka (SEA)at ARI70
8Josh Lambo (SD)at ATL 80
9Sebastian Janikowski (OAK)at JAC 17+8
10Brandon McManus (DEN)vs. HOU 9-1
11Mike Nugent (CIN)vs. CLE 10-1
12Josh Brown (NYG)at LA11-1
13Matt Prater (DET)vs. WAS12-1
14Chandler Catanzaro (ARI)vs. SEA13-1
15Dustin Hopkins (WAS)at DET 14-1
16Blair Walsh (MIN)at PHI15-1
17Wil Lutz (NO)at KC16-1
18Chris Boswell (PIT)vs. NE180
19Dan Carpenter (BUF)at MIA190
20Caleb Sturgis (PHI)vs. MIN200
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