
B/R MLB 500: Top 35 Second Basemen
Having last checked in with starting pitchers, the B/R MLB 500 will now resume its trip around the bases to visit the guys manning second base.
Second basemen will be scored like so: 30 points for Hitting, 25 points for Power, 20 points for Baserunning and 25 points for Defense for a total of 100 points.
The Hitting category involves not only looking at how good guys are at putting the bat on the ball and how they hit the ball but also things like patience and plate discipline.ย
The Power category is not so much about raw power. It's more of a look at how much power guys have in actual games, which involves looking into how they tap into their power for extra-base hits.
The Baserunning category is one that could be complicated, but we're going to keep it simple by focusing on how good guys are at stealing bases, taking extra bases and avoiding outs on the bases.
For Defense, various amounts of attention will be paid to the various things that make a good second baseman: range, sure-handedness, how well they turn double plays, etc.
One thing we'reย notย doing this year is a category for health. Rather than handle them separately, any health concerns we have will be applied to a specific category that could be impacted.ย
Please note that a score in the middle (i.e., 15/30 or 12/25) denotesย average, notย failing. And while the discussion will be centered on 2014, we also have one eye on 2015. Part of that includes B/R prospect guruย Mike Rosenbaumย providing some scores and scouting reports for some MLB-ready second basemen.
Lastly, any ties will be resolved with the following question: "If we could pick only one, who would it be?"
When you're ready, you can read on.
A Note on Links and Sources
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Before we begin, there are some things you should know about the links and stats that lie ahead.
First and foremost is thatย CLICKING ON THE LINKS ISย NOTย MANDATORY. The links are there in case you're curious where a given point (or points) is coming from.
They're not from the same place. The links will take you to Baseball-Reference.com, FanGraphs.com, BrooksBaseball.net, BaseballSavant.com and BaseballProspectus.com. All have different data to offer, the combination of which was the backbone for the researching of this project.
However, just because this project was heavily informed by stats doesn't mean you're about to be hit over the head with sabermetric jargon inย thisย space. There are really only a couple of terms to know.
One isย XBT%. That stands for "extra bases taken percentage," and it's Baseball-Reference.com's way of tracking how often players advance more than one base on singles and doubles. It's a crude way to get a picture of aggressiveness, and you'll have to pardon us for being a day behind on the percentages, but it'll have to do.
I'm also going to be repeatedly referring to "the defensive metrics." This means ultimate zone ratingย (UZR) and defensive runs savedย (DRS), which are both tracked by FanGraphs. They go about it differently, but the idea behind both is to evaluate how good players are on defense.
35. Darwin Barney, Los Angeles Dodgers
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Hitting
Darwin Barney has gottenย more aggressive and less disciplined, and is getting a higher swinging-strike rate for his troubles. But maybe most telling of all is the fact that over 50 percent of the pitches he sees are in the zone. Thatโs pitchers goingย right after him with fastballsย like they always do, and heโs been powerless to make them stop. His average against fastballs in the zone hasย gone down every year. No joke.
Power
Barneyโsย escalating fly-ball rateย means he gives himself plenty of chances to come up with extra-base hits, and heโs not bad at pulling hisย fly balls and line drives. His power does reduce the further away he gets from the left-field line, however, and is virtually non-existent beyond left-center. Then thereโs the reality that, moving forward, heโs not likely to get many at-bats to pad his power production.
Baserunning
Starting with his nine-steal season back in 2011, Barneyโs stolen-base production has gone down every year to a point where heโs basically shut it all down in 2014. Moreover, hisย XBT% has fallenย from 51 percent to 27 percent. Heโs better than that, but it's still not such a good look that his baserunning has fallen off so sharply with his age-29 season due up.
Defense
For all Barney's faults, he's still a plus defensive second baseman. That's apparent whether you consultย the defensive metricsย or your own eyes. His sure-handedness is undoubtedly his main attraction, and he makes covering ground look easy thanks to his quick first step and efficient paths to the ball. Really, the only thing to knock him for is that he hasnโt been, and likely wonโt be, doing his thing on a daily basis.
Overall
Barney was barely a viable everyday player a couple years ago when he had a non-disastrous bat and could run the bases. Now that he can no longer claim either of those things, his days as a viable regular are done. But as long as he has that glove of his, he deserves to keep getting work in some capacity.
34. Rickie Weeks, Milwaukee Brewers
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Hitting
Weeks owes much of his bounce-back season toย regular action against lefties, but he also owes it to how anย unsustainably high averageย on ground balls is allowing him to get away with aย huge ground-ball rate. Take that away, and youโre looking at a hitter whoโs beenย made more aggressiveย by sporadic playing time and whoโs swinging and missing more than ever. This is not a turnaround to trust in.
Power
The weirdness of Weeksโ 2014 season in a nutshell: His high ground-ball rate is helping his averageย andย not hurting his power. Heโs showing he still has the pop toย hit the ball a long wayย when he does get it to the outfield. As per usual, that power is still focused up the middle and is capable of clearing the wall. Even if itโs only available on a part-time basis, pop like that will do for an asset.
Baserunning
Weeks has long since peaked as a base stealer, having last made it to double digits in 2012 and devolving into essentially a base-stealing liability over the ensuing two years. One thing we can give him credit for this year, though, is hisย rock-solid 64 XBT%. Thatโs undoubtedly as good as it gets now that heโs 31-going-on-32, but itโs a testament that his legs arenโt useless just yet.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have long viewed Weeks as a well-below-average defender, and that opinion is still going strong. Heโs cleaned up his problem with errors but only because he doesnโt get too many balls because of diminished range that stems largely from a lack of burst after his first step. And at his age, that burst is probably gone forever.
Overall
If we take it for granted that Weeks has gotten too lucky on ground balls this season, we wipe out a pretty big chunk of his modest return to form. But we can at least grant that a platoon role against lefties agrees with him and that he still has some occasional power to offer.ย
33. Alberto Callaspo, Oakland A's
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Hitting
Callaspoย is still combining aย patient and disciplined approachย with an elite contact ability, and heโs doing OK at handling his primary directive of hitting right-handed pitching. However, righties have gotten the gist thatย Callaspoย canโt hit their breaking stuff. Heโs only a threat against their hard stuff, so theyโve dialed that back and thrown himย more breaking stuffย instead. Simple, but effective.
Power
Callaspo's fly-ball rate is par for the course, but more and more of his fly balls are pop-ups. Suffice it to say that limits his power potential. Another thing that limits it is how he can only hit the ball with authority to his pull side, whether youโre talking hisย righty hittingย or hisย lefty hitting. Thatโs sort of always been the case, but itโs especially pronounced this year. A bad look for a guy on the wrong side of 30.
Baserunning
Callaspoโsย baserunningย peaked when he stole eight bases in nine tries in 2011 with a 56 XBT%. This olderย Callaspoย isnโt the sameย guy. Heโs shut down his running game and is only doing as good asย a 36 XBT%. That doesnโt make the grade by second base standards and looks even worse on a part-time player.
Defense
The defensive metricsย arenโt likingย Callaspoโsย defense at second base, and they have a legit gripe. He doesnโt have much spring in his legs, and you can see that both in his slow first step and general lack of quickness. His better defensive asset is his versatility. Heโs shown he can still play a solid third base and has also played passable defense at first base despite his inexperience.
Overall
Iโll note thatย Callaspoย was something of an underappreciated player back in 2011 and 2012 when he had about an average bat and a good glove to offer. Now heโs just a solid piece to bring off the bench, with a fantastic batting eye, ability to make contact and his defensive versatility being his top strengths.ย
32. Logan Forsythe, Tampa Bay Rays
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Hitting
The best thing Forsythe has going for him isย his approach. Heโs a patient hitter who rarely expands the strike zone and makes plenty of contact. But alas, his previously strong line-drive habitย is dead now, and heโs responded to anย increased amount of hard pitchesย mainly byย popping them to right field. So take away the good approach, and youโre not left with much.ย
Power
Though the majority of Forsytheโs (relatively many) fly balls this season have gone harmlessly to right field, there have been enough exceptions to keep his power from oblivion. Likeย in 2013, he's still able to surprise with theย occasional blast to center field. Add in how he can poke line drives down both foul lines, and you have a couple solid avenues through which power can surface.ย
Baserunning
Forsythe arrived in Tampa Bay as a 17-for-21 career base stealer but hasnโt put that skill to use. On top of that, heโs continuedย an XBT% declineย that started at 53 in 2012, went to 40 in 2013 and is now at 38 this year. A bad look for a second baseman and an even worse look for a part-time second baseman.ย
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split on Forsytheโs defense this year, but the above-average opinion of his defense is probably the more accurate one. His range is limited by a modest first step and quickness, but he has a knack for tough plays anyway. Thereโs also value in how sure-handed he is, making him a good, if not quite great, package at second base.ย
Overall
Thereโs nothing in particular that Forsythe does really well. But when you take a really good batting eye and add it to occasional power and solid defense, you get a guy you can play at second base without too many regrets.
31. Danny Espinosa, Washington Nationals
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Hitting
Itโs to Espinosaโs credit that heโs tried toย clean up his approach, swinging and expanding the zone less often. But he still hasnโt cleaned up hisย whiff problems against slow stuff, and any righty who can throw him aย fastball above the kneesย has been able to get him out. Also, any righty or lefty with a good changeup holdsย an automatic outย in his hand when heโs hitting. In short: His bat is still lost.
Power
One thing thatโs still true is that anything Espinosa can get in the air stands a good chance of being trouble. Hisย batted-ball mapย shows that his line drives and fly balls to the outfield have been very well hit (and fromย bothย sides, too). With his power still intact, the big stumbling block is playing time. Given whatโs gone on the last two years, itโs more than likely going to be hard to come by going forward.
Baserunning
Espinosa was a 20-steal guy when he was playing regularly in 2011 and 2012. Those days have passed, but heโs still of base-stealing age at 27 and has shown that he can be a 10-steal guy even with limited playing time and on-base opportunities. Whatโs less good isย his 29 XBT%, which is well below his career norm.
Defense
This is the first yearย the defensive metricsย havenโt agreed that Espinosaโs defense is above average, but the eye test sides with the above-average ruling. Espinosaโs strong throwing arm helps make him one of the leagueโs better double-play-turners, and a good first step gives him solid, if less than spectacular, range. Even if itโs on a limited-time basis going forward, he has good defense to offer.
Overall
Because he has good power and a good glove to offer, Espinosaโs not as unplayable as his batting stats make him look. But those batting stats are definitely a drag on his value, and how to fix them is a good question. Espinosaโs hitting is weak from all sorts of different perspectives.ย
30. Aaron Hill, Arizona Diamondbacks
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Hitting
One thing thatโs gone right for Hill this year is that heโs hitย more line drives than ever, andย on all pitch typesย to boot. If he had an average on line drives in line with hisย career norm, heโd be doing better. However, heโs also gotten more aggressiveย and been swinging and missing more. This has cost him walks and added strikeouts. Not what you want to see when a guy is only getting further away from 30.ย
Power
Itโsย been all downhillย for, uh, Hillโs power ever since 2012, but his power this year would actually seem to be fodder for the โNot As Bad As It Looksโ file. He hasnโt completely lost his ability toย pull line drivesย and fly balls, and heโs had plenty of well-hit balls in that direction that have found leather. He hasnโt bombarded left field like heย did in 2012, granted, but we can give him a slight break.
Baserunning
After stealing 35 bases between 2011 and 2012, Hill will be lucky if he can make it to five between 2013 and 2014ย combinedย by the end of the year. Itโs a good thing he hasย a 43 XBT%, but itโs hard to buy that such a thing is built to last given his age and how much his speed has already declined.ย
Defense
The defensive metricsย have been in agreement the last two years that Hillโs defense is a problem, and itโs believable. He doesnโt move well, getting slow jumps on ground balls and then struggling to gain momentum after the fact. With things not likely to get any better with another year on his age, the Diamondbacks have the right idea inย pondering a move to third baseย for Hill.
Overall
Though itโs probably not as bad as it looks due to how many line drives heโs hit and how his power production doesnโt seem to mirror his actual power, itโs still not good. In just a couple of years, Hill has gone from a star-level second baseman to a guy who barely passes for a viable regular.
29. Devon Travis, Detroit Tigers (Prospect)
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Hitting
Travis achieves a deep contact point that allows him to generate consistent hard contact to all fields. Heโs also a patient hitter who sees his share of pitches, which is also why heโs equally adept at hitting fastballs and secondary offerings.
Power
He may be undersized at 5โ9โ, 195 pounds, but the right-handed hitting Travis has some pop. The 23-year-old may only hit 10-12 home runs at maturity, but there will also be plenty of doubles and triples. What I really like about Travisโ power is that it plays to all fields thanks to his ability to generate backspin carry.
Baserunning
Travis is an average-at-best runner down the line, but he has the speed and quickness to steal 10-15 bases in the major leagues, possibly more if heโs getting on base at a solid clip. More importantly, Travis has enough speed to help him turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples with relative ease, as heโs an above-average runner underway.ย
Defense
Travisโ defense has really improved over the last two years, especially in terms of his ability to turn the double play. While his range is only average, Travis still gets to a lot balls and makes all the plays thanks to his excellent footwork and soft, giving hands.ย
Overall
Travisโ wide range of tools and skills give him sneaky upside as an everyday player in The Show, and heโs now surpassed expectations during his time at each full-season level. However, with Ianย Kinslerย blocking his path in Detroit, it wouldnโt be surprising if Travisโ first crack at the major leagues came with another team.ย
28. Sean Rodriguez, Tampa Bay Rays
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Hitting
Rodriguez has used his part-time job as license toย swing and expand the zoneย like crazy. Pitchers have him pretty well figured out, though. Heโs hit inside stuff, but the majority of pitches heโs seenย have been away from him, and heโs obliged byย turning a lot of them into outs. A lot of thoseย have been breaking balls, which heย hasnโt hit at all. But the reason heโs gotten away with this ugly hitting is because...
Power
Rodriguezโs part-time role hasnโt barred him from setting a new career high for homers. All itโs taken is him hittingย more fly balls and line drives to left fieldย than he ever has before. And no,ย those havenโt missed. His total neglect for right field and limited playing time mean his power potential only goes so high, but Iโd say heโs succeeded in proving he can handle a role as a power specialist off the bench.
Baserunning
With a low on-base percentage and so many dingers, Rodriguez hasnโt had much time for stolen bases. But one thing he can still be counted on for is aggressiveness when the ballโs in play. He always has an XBT% over 50 and hasย another one this yearย at 53 percent. Itโs too bad about the outs heโs made on the bases, which donโt look good even if we ignore the ones that can be blamed on the third base coach.
Defense
Granted, second base is simply the position Rodriguez has played the most.ย The defensive metricsย think heโs been just OK there, but he can still flash the range that helped him rate as a superb defender in 2010, and his arm is more than good enough for second. Add in the solid defense he can play elsewhere, and you get a solid defender.
Overall
The kind of approach Rodriguez has trotted out in 2014 has no business being featured on a regular basis. But at least that approach has been effective in turning him into a legit power threat off the bench, and thereโs value in how his glove can be put pretty much anywhere on the diamond.
27. Micah Johnson, Chicago White Sox (Prospect)
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Hitting
Micah Johnson took a big step forward offensively in 2014, as the left-handed hitter tightened his approach and improved his contact rate against advanced pitching at the Double- and Triple-A levels. Specifically, the 23-year-old trimmed his strikeout rate considerably without sacrificing power or average.ย
Power
Johnson has some pop in his bat, but it usually translates in the form of doubles and triples rather than home runs. Heโll run into enough pitches to tally seven to 10 long balls in a season but is more likely to put up roughly 20 doubles and 10 triples.
Baserunning
Johnson stole a whopping 84 bases in his 2013 full-season debut but saw that total drop to 22 this year with an underwhelming 63 percent success rate (22-for-35). Unfortunately, the 23-year-oldโs season ended ahead of schedule due to a hamstring injury.
Defense
Beyond his improvements at the plate, Johnson also made tremendous strides with his defense at second base, solidifying his long-term future at the position with the White Sox in the process. Specifically, he improved his footwork around the bag when turning double plays while showing smoother actions overall.ย
Overall
Johnson still has some holes offensively and defensively and will need to become a more efficient base stealer, but the improvements heโs made over the last two seasons speak to his promising future in the major leagues.ย
26. Rougned Odor, Texas Rangers
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Hitting
Odor hasย swung at everythingย with only a strong (i.e. less than elite) contact habit, making him dependent on a high average on balls in play. Heโs been limited in there because he hasnโtย laid off slow stuffย and has only been able toย hit it on the ground. Thereโs potential in how he's teasedย an all-fields approachย to hitting, but for the most part, heโs looked like what he is: a young player thrust into action by injuries.
Power
That Odorโs been pretty good atย getting the ball in the airย is misleading because of his high pop-up rate, which is fed mainly by how he canโt get wood onย fastballs anywhere near his belt. Still, he does have solid pop for a guy his size, showing off an ability toย plug the right-center gapย and drive the ball to center. Itโs hard to imagine him as a great power source, but the solid potential is definitely there.ย
Baserunning
Odorโs having a tough time making the speed that allowed him to steal 32 bases in the minors in 2013 translate to the majors, getting caught more often than heโs been successful. That heโs saved face with aย solid 47 XBT%ย is the silver lining, and beyond that we can grant that heโsย probablyย going to be a better base stealer than heโs shown so far.ย
Defense
Baseball Americaย (subscription required) noted after 2013 that Odor was still working on becoming an average defender. That sounds prophetic now, asย the defensive metricsย have seen Odor as a disaster on defense, with errors and range being among his shortcomings. The physical tools are there, though, as Odor moves quickly and also hangs in there well on double plays. He should be better than heโs shown.ย
Overall
The Rangers have gotten a pretty good look at Odor, and it hasnโt been all bad. His power has played pretty well, and heโs shown flashes of potential on defense and on theย basepaths. But his bat needs some serious tweaking to be ready for MLB pitching, and in general, heโs still more about potential than anything else.ย
25. Omar Infante, Kansas City Royals
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Hitting
Infanteโsย been more patient, more disciplined and more likely to make contact. And with hisย line-drive rateย still steady, he hasnโt lost his ability to hit the ball squarely. But he may be losing his ability to hit fastballs. Heโsย popped up 90-plus pitchesย at a higher rate than ever and in general has watched his average against hard stuff plummet from last year's .321 mark. Not a good look for a 32-year-old.
Power
Infanteโsย tended to be a consistent fly-ball hitter, and that muchย hasnโt changed. But he hasnโt been able toย drive the ballย up the middle of the field like he didย in 2013, restricting his power potential pretty much exclusively to left field. In light of that, it catches oneโs eye that heย hasnโt been productiveย in the left-center gap. If all he has left is straightaway left, there could be more rough days ahead for his power.
Baserunning
Infanteย stole 17 bases with a 58 XBT% back in 2012, making him a quietly outstandingย baserunner. That looks like ancient history now. Heโs settled into the 5-10 steal range and is following up a 46 XBT% in 2013 withย a 49 XBT%ย this year. This is acceptable stuff for a second baseman but far from whatย Infanteย used to be able to do and likely the norm now as he heads deeper into his 30s.
Defense
Just like in 2013,ย the defensive metricsย have different opinions aboutย Infanteโsย defense. In reality, the one that says heโs roughly average has the right of it.ย Infanteโsย looked slow in the field this year, and that lack of range is likely the only thing keeping him from having the same problem with errors that he did in 2012 and 2013. All he can do at this juncture is play a passable second base.ย
Overall
Infante hasnโt hit, hit for power, run the bases or play defense as well as his track record suggested he would. But given the specific cracks thatย Infanteย has had in his game this year, that track record may no longer be relevant. Heโs at the right age for a decline, and it seems to have begun.ย
24. Gordon Beckham, Los Angeles Angels
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Hitting
Beckham isย pretty disciplinedย as far as free swingers go, but heโs still too wild to draw walks and too uncoordinated to be an elite contact hitter. He'sย whiffing on breaking ballsย too often. He muchย prefers hitting fastballs, but his zone coverage is too thin for him to make an impact doing that. Short version: Whatever improvements he made to hit a solid .267 with a .322 OBP in 2013 are gone now.
Power
Beckhamโs power is inconsistent, but he at least gives himself chances to tap into it with consistentlyย high fly-ball rates. Itโs not what Iโd call one-note power, either. His home run powerย only goes to left, but he canย put a good charge into the ballย to both left- and right-center. Itโs an iffy bet whether heโll actually get it done, but he has the goods to be a 10-15 homer guy with solid doubles power.
Baserunning
Beckhamโs limit is right around five steals, so he hardly makes the grade for aย baserunningย threat by second base standards. Heโs not hopeless, though. His XBT% has been on the rise for a couple years and isย peaking at 54ย this year. With a couple of years still to go before he hits 30, he should be able to keep that up.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have always been split on Beckhamโs defense, and that tradition is continuing this year. He is a hard guy to get a handle on but does pass the eye test well. A good first step allows him to make up for non-elite quickness after the fact, and heโs in the discussion for the best second basemen in the business at turning double plays.ย
Overall
Beckhamโs not the hitter he pretended to be in 2013, as heโs gone back to having all sorts of flaws in his approach and his ability to make good contact. But if you want a guy who can provide some occasional power and play a better second base than the metrics suggest, you could do worse than him.ย
23. Jedd Gyorko, San Diego Padres
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Hitting
It doesnโt show, butย Gyorkoโsย made improvements to his hitting. They mainlyย involve his approach, as heโs toned down his aggressiveness and has made more contact than his strikeout rate indicates. That heโsย chased slow stuff lessย andย hit it moreย is a big factor in that. Now all he needs to do is keep this approach while resurrecting hisย 2013 line-drive rate, and heโll stand a chance of passing for a solid hitter.
Power
Gyorkoโsย 23 homers in 2013 were no fluke, as he showed offย impressive power to all fields. That same power hasnโt been as explosive in 2014โhis health issuesย havenโt helpedโbut it hasnโt vanished, either. Heโs shown heย can still drive the ballย to all fields, picking upย extra-base hitsย all over for his troubles. So even though his power hasnโt been what it was in 2013, some optimism is warranted.
Baserunning
As a converted third baseman, itโs not athleticism that hasย Gyorkoย playing second. That shows in hisย baserunning. Iffy to begin with, his health issues have helped make it worse, rendering him as a strictly one-base-at-a-time guy withย just a 22 XBT%. Weโre not going to let this go unpunished, but we will grant that good health should allowย Gyorkoย to get back to something like the 39 XBT% he had in 2013.
Defense
This is another area whereย Gyorkoย hasnโt been helped by his body, asย the defensive metricsย show that heโs been well below average defensively. But while we can grant that a healthierย Gyorkoย will have a quicker first step and more range than this yearโs injury-wrecked version, itโs harder to excuse the errors and the difficulties he has turning double plays due his slow exchange and release.
Overall
Because of how muchย Gyorkoโsย season has been wrecked by health troubles, itโs admittedly hard to nitpick the various flaws heโs shown. So letโs focus on the positives instead: It says a lot that even an injuredย Gyorkoย is still a powerfulย Gyorko, and heโs made some real improvements to his approach that could definitely serve him well in the future.
22. Jose Peraza, Atlanta Braves (Prospect)
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Hitting
Perazaย has made consistent contact throughout his young career, as he possesses a knack for putting the ball in play so as to utilize his top-flight speed. While his lack of strikeouts or walks could catch up to him against advanced pitching, the 20-year-old's bat-to-ball skills are legit and should translate at the highest level.ย
Power
Perazaโsย speed will help him amass a high number of doubles and triples annually, but donโt expect the 6โ0โ, 165-pound right-handed hitter to hit many home runs in his career. To date, heโs yet to hit more than two in a full minor league season.
Baserunning
Perazaโsย speed andย baserunningย go hand in hand with his excellent contact skills. He knows how to put the ball in play and utilize his plus-plus speed, which is why heโll always pile up infield hits. As a base stealer,ย Perazaย has stolen nearly 180 bases over the last four seasons and posted an 80-plus percent success rate.
Defense
Perazaย was developed as a shortstop until this season, when he was promoted to Double-A Mississippi and shifted to second base. The 20-year-old was a strong defender at shortstop, and heโs even better at the keystone, with plus range, quick feet, smooth hands and arm strength that will play up at the position.ย
Overall
The Braves putย Perazaย on the fast track to the major leagues this season, and itโs easy to see why given the youngsterโs tremendous speed, feel for the game and excellent makeup. He has the potential to be a first-division second baseman and should form one of the best double-play combos in the game with shortstopย Andreltonย Simmons, possibly as early as mid-2015.
21. Tommy La Stella, Atlanta Braves
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Hitting
The big weakness La Stella has shown is that heโs not so greatย at hitting pitchesย around the outside corner. At the MLB level, thatโs not a good thing to struggle at. Aside from that, though, heโs shownย he can balanceย patience with discipline and a strong contact ability, as well as hitย anything on a lineย with aย consistent target in left field. Though he's cooled recently, La Stella's hitting skills look legit.
Power
Since La Stellaย forgoes fly ballsย in favor of line drives and ground balls, his power game is going to have to be all about gap power. Itโs therefore a good thing that, while he mainly targets left field, heโs shown an ability to turn on pitches and line themย into the right-center gap, too. Thatโs going to allow him to be a consistent source of doubles, which will help make up for some of his total lack of home run power.
Baserunning
Not that anyone was expecting La Stella to come up and steal basesโsomething he hasnโt doneโbut itโs not exactly a sight for sore eyes to see himย working on a 16 XBT%ย and make a handful of outs on theย basepaths. We can give La Stella some slack based on howย Baseball Americaย (subscription required) billed him as a solidย baserunner, but he definitely has some improving to do on the bases.ย
Defense
Though certainly preferable to Danย Uggla,ย the defensive metricsย havenโt been crazy about La Stellaโs defense, rating him as a below-average fielder. That looks like an accurate assessment. La Stella reacts fine off the bat, but his movement lacks quickness and his arm strength is fringy even for second base. Thatโs going to make it tough to make rangy plays, so heโll need to be sure-handed to make up for that.
Overall
La Stella definitely looks like he has the bat for the big leagues, as thereโs plenty to like about the way he strings good at-bats together and the way in which he targets the opposite field. But without good power,ย baserunningย or defense, a good bat is only so valuable.
20. Joe Panik, San Francisco Giants
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Hitting
Weโve seenย Panikย show offย good patience and disciplineย and a very strong contact ability. His combination ofย line drives and ground ballsย is an average friendly combination, with the best ingredient being his ability to hitย any in-zone fastballย on a line. That heย hasnโt gone to townย on slow pitches is a reason to be cautious, with another being hisย pull-heavyย ground-ball habit. All the same, Panik's hitting does invite some optimism.
Power
Panikย wasnโt known for his power in the minors, and it doesnโt look like heโll be known for it in the majors either. Powerโs hard to come by when youโre hitting mainly ground balls, andย Panikโsย line-drive habitย doesnโt look meantย for the gaps. At the same time, itโs hard not to notice the couple booming hits heโs gotten to straightaway center. He may not tap into it much, but thereโs clearly some power in his bat.
Baserunning
Weโre even more in the โgetting to know youโ phase withย Panikโsย baserunningย than we are with his hitting. But we know he showed off double-digit steal potential in the minors and that he has aย solid 46 XBT%ย with seven first-to-thirds in 22 chances. Call it a blind guess (seriously, thatโs fair), but thereโs enough that saysย Panikย should hold his own as aย baserunner.
Defense
The defensive metricsย donโt have much to go off of, but so far theyโre viewingย Panikย as an above-average defender. The eye test says thatโs accurate enough. The converted shortstop sometimes looks like heโs still rawโIโll be darned if he doesnโt have an awkward approach to balls he has to backhandโbut the athleticism and arm strength he displayed at short are very much welcome at second.ย
Overall
Iโve done my best to acknowledge the abilityย Panikย has shown without getting too excited about it because of the small sample size. But if he at least holds onto his solid approach, hits fastballs on the nose and plays a solid second base, heโll be the answer the Giants need at second base.
19. Brandon Phillips, Cincinnati Reds
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Hitting
Phillipsโย long-standing tendencyย to hack away worked better when he didnโt have a rising whiff habit. He especially canโt catch up to good heat anymore,ย so no wonder pitchers have beenย attacking him more with hard stuff. In Phillips' defense, he doesnโt appear to be cheating on heat. If he was, he wouldnโt be staying back well enough to send hisย line-drive rates on slow stuffย soaring. Heโs not out of tricks just yet.ย
Power
This is where Phillips isย declining the most clearly, with the big symptom being how much his opposite-field power has dried up. Itโs staggering how much his powerย and rate of well-hit balls to right has dropped off fromย 2012ย toย 2013ย toย 2014. He can still put a charge into the ball to left, but a power rebound at age 34 shouldnโt be expected. Especially not after a thumb injury this year.
Baserunning
In addition to power, Phillips is leaking speed. Heโs all but finished as a base stealer, and itโs alarming howย his XBT% has droppedย from 49 in 2012 to 41 this year. Heโs a subparย baserunningย second basemanย now, and itโs once again not a good idea to count on a turnaround in his age-34 season.
Defense
Finally, an area where Phillips is still quite good.ย The defensive metricsย still view him as a safely above-average defender, and the eye test still agrees. Though there are times when Phillips looks his age when heโs on the move, he still reacts quickly and makes plays with smooth actions while also rarely making mistakes. His defense may not be in peak form anymore, but itโs now clearly the best part of his game.
Overall
The notion that Phillips may be declining was controversial last year. It shouldnโt be this year. There are good reasons why his hitting hasnโt gotten any better, and heโs lost both power and speed. That makes defense his final standing strength, so itโs a good thing that part of his game is still fine.
18. Jonathan Schoop, Baltimore Orioles
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Hitting
Do you want to start with the hilariouslyย overaggressive and undisciplined approach? How about the swing-and-miss problem? Or theย inability to hit breaking balls? Or the way in which he hits mainlyย ground balls and pop-ups? Or his extremely high likeliness toย pull all his ground balls? Ah, whatever. You get the point.
Power
OK, inย Schoopโsย defense, at least he has a lot of this. Heโs not consistent about hitting balls to the outfield, but he puts a charge into theย ones that he does. Though his home run power has mainly beenย concentrated to left field, heโs driven enough balls deep to center to convince one that heโs not just a pull-power guy. Hitting difficulties aside, he has the goods to challenge the 20-homer threshold in 2015.
Baserunning
Schoopย could be worse here, too. Heโs not and likely never will be a base stealer, but heโs balancing aย solid 42 XBT%ย with exactlyย zeroย non-pickoff outs on theย basepaths. That doesnโt make him a goodย baserunnerย by second base standards, but itโll do for solid.
Defense
Like in the power department,ย Schoopย more than holds his own defensively.ย The defensive metricsย agree that heโs an above-average defender, and rightfully so. Heโs somewhat mistake-prone, but he turns double plays really well and combines quick feet with quick throws to make tough plays look easy. For all his offensive issues, he does look like a rising star on defense.ย
Overall
Schoopย has a lot of problems to iron out before he can even be passable as a hitter, and his potential is going to be very much limited until he does. But because he can hit for some power and play some very strong defense at second base, heโs a much more viable regular than his poor hitting indicates.
17. Javier Baez, Chicago Cubs
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Hitting
Itโs a pretty small sample, but so far Baez has beenย hugely aggressive, hugely undisciplined and hugely likely to swing and miss. Breaking balls in particular haveย been his kryptonite, and pitchers have naturally keyed in on that byย feeding him a lot of them. Baez is also constantly looking to elevate,ย leading to many fly ballsย and ground balls and few line drives. All told...yeah, dude has a lot to clean up.
Power
Baezโs wild plate approach is one area where heโs lived up to his legend. Fortunately, this is the other. His high fly-ball rate is a power friendly habit, and man, have theyย tended to go far. And true to his legend, he doesnโt just have explosive power to left field. Itโs hard to imagine him settling for many gap doubles, but his kind of home run power is unparalleled in the realm of second basemen.
Baserunning
Because of his wild approach and how often heโs merely had to trot around the bases, we havenโt gotten many chances to see Baez actually run the bases. As such, you can consider this score to basically be an โincompleteโ with a little optimism on the side. Though heโs not especially fleet of foot, Baez is a good athlete who flashed 20-steal potential in the minors. He should at least be solid.
Defense
Baez is a shortstop by trade but should be locked in at second base as long asย Starlinย Castro is in town. To this end,ย the defensive metricsย are still forming an opinion of him. One thing we know beyond a shadow of a doubt for now is that his arm is absurdly strong by second base standards, and he also has pretty good range for the position. Now he just needs to work on his problem with errors.
Overall
Baez hasnโt exactly burst onto the scene looking like a finished product. His swing-and-miss problem has managed to be worse than advertised, and all around, he still looks like a bucket of tools rather than a ballplayer. But that power, man...that power...
16. DJ LeMahieu, Colorado Rockies
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Hitting
After being largely a free swinger in 2013,ย LeMahieuย has toned it down byย seeing more pitchesย andย dialing back his aggressivenessย outside the zone. Thatโs allowed him to walk more. But heโs also turned into aย fastball-only hitter and has abandoned his pull sideย in favor of tryingย to hit the ball to right. As such, heโs still a hitter with promising individual talents but is also still searching for the right mix.
Power
Another thing aboutย LeMahieu: Heโs an extreme ground-ball hitter. That limits his power potential. Then thereโs how his heavy opposite-field tendencies don't work with how his home run power isย all to left field. Heโs fortunately not without power to drive the ball over the right fielderโs head, though, so he has enough doubles potential to keep his power from being a total lost cause.
Baserunning
After stealing 18 bases with a modest 72 percent success rate in 2013,ย LeMahieuโsย done almost as much harm as good stealing bases in 2014. Hisย XBT%ย has also dropped to 42, and he's doubled up the number of outs he made on the bases in 2013. Heโs a good athlete, but hisย baserunningย needs to be cleaned up.ย ย
Defense
LeMahieuโsย offensive game may be limited, but his defense is top-notch.ย The defensive metricsย have him down as an elite defender, and theyโre not wrong. He plays a smooth second base with good instincts, good hands and deceptively good range because of how he moves and can make some really tough throws. His only shortcoming on defense, really, is that heโs not quite Dustin Pedroia.ย
Overall
Untilย LeMahieuย settles on an approach he likes and sticks with it, his hitting is going to be suspect. That heโs gone backward as aย baserunnerย in 2014 makes that reality even tougher to swallow. But because he can play aย meanย second base, he can hold his own as at least a decent regular.ย
15. Asdrubal Cabrera, Washington Nationals
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Hitting
Cabrera hasย never been more aggressive, hasnโt corrected his problem withย whiffs on breaking balls and is now overpowered by fastballs. Any hard pitchย above the kneesย when heโs batting lefty is a challenge, and heโs hit a low againstย fastballs over 90. Add in aย high fly-ball rateย that makes it tough to hit for average, and youโre not left with much that says his turnaround with the Nationals can continue.
Power
One thing was clear before Cabrera arrived in Washington: He still had good power. That he hits the ball in the air a lot helps, but you also have to admire how he drives the ball up the middle of the field fromย both sidesย of the plate. The only thing to gripe about is how hisย lesser line-drive habitย has robbed him of his gap power, but itโs a minor gripe given that his raw power clearly isnโt in bad shape.
Baserunning
At his peak, Cabrera could steal between 15 and 20 bags per season. Heโs since settled into the five-to-10 range, choosing efficiency over volume. Factor in how heโs improved onย a 39 XBT%ย by pushing it to a 53 percent rate thatโs more like him, and heโs not finished as a baserunner. And with another year between him and age 30, this should continue to be the case.
Defense
Cabrera made the switch from shortstop to second when he arrived in Washington, and itโs easy to imagine him staying there.ย The defensive metricsย are split on how good heโs been, but the eye test says heโs definitely better at second than he was at short. He plays second with more energy, and what was fringy range and arm strength at short are more than good enough for second.
Overall
The holes in Cabreraโs bat are pretty real, and he can only be so good as long as they exist. But with his power andย baserunningย still going reasonably strong and his defensive value reinvigorated by a move to second base, heโs a better player than he was than when he left Cleveland.
14. Jason Kipnis, Cleveland Indians
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Hitting
Theย extremely patient and disciplinedย approachย Kipnisย had in 2013 has become less so, and theย slight increase in off-speed stuffย heโs seen is a case of pitchers attacking a clear weakness. Heย hasnโt been able to hit off-speed, withย both whiffsย andย ground ballsย contributing to the problem. And on the whole, heโs really only been dangerous againstย mistake pitches across the middle. In short: He's very much human.
Power
The powerย Kipnisย had in 2013 has also dried up, mainly because his opposite-field power hasย gone back to normal. Whereas he had no problem driving the ball to leftย in 2013, he hasnโt been able to do itย in 2014. The bright side is thatย Kipnisโ gap power has remained intact, and it still appliesย to both gaps. But without that awesome power to left field,ย Kipnisโ power in general can only be so awesome.
Baserunning
This is where things get more positive.ย Kipnisย will be hard-pressed to make it to 30 steals for a third straight year, but he should at least hit 25 while also establishing a new career best for efficiency. As if that wasnโt enough of a bonus, heโs also blowing away last yearโs 36 XBT% with a 56 XBT% this year. So though his hitting has taken a turn for the worse,ย Kipnisโย baserunningย has hit a new level.
Defense
After not likingย Kipnisโ defense in 2013,ย the defensive metricsย reallyย donโt like it in 2014. A perceived lack of range is a factor there. And while that perception is probably overstated,ย Kipnisย really doesnโt explode out of his stance as well as youโd expect a guy with his athleticism to be able to. His first-step quickness is fine, but the burst after the fact isnโt anything special.ย
Overall
Itโs been a rough season forย Kipnis. Heโs followed up a season in which he was good at everything by being only good at one thing (running the bases). And as much as you want to believe in his talent, the cracks in his bat and defense look pretty real.ย
13. Howie Kendrick, Los Angeles Angels
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Hitting
Kendrickย has toned downย last yearโs aggressive approach, allowing him to make more contact while enjoying his usual fortune on batted balls. That heโs done it withย a high ground-ball rateย suggests heโs gotten lucky, but he has the bat control to put ground ballsย where he wants. Itโs just a bummer that his line-drive rate hasย fallen off so dramaticallyย and that heโs stillย largely neglecting left field.ย
Power
Kendrickโs power has always been limited by his ground-ball tendency and his disregard for his pull side. To these ends, nothingโs changed. He can stillย give the ball a wallopย to right, but he doesnโt have the Stanton-esqueย power he needs to keep his production afloat hitting exclusively in that direction. And now that heโs on the wrong side of 30, more power likely isnโt forthcoming.ย
Baserunning
After a down year on theย basepathsย in 2013, Kendrick has gone back to being a double-digit base stealer. And once again,ย his XBT%ย is right near his career norm of 50 percent at 47 percent. But one thing thatโs always hindered Kendrickโsย baserunningย is a tendency to run into outs. While that problem hasnโt been as horrid as it was in 2013, it still hasnโt been fixed.ย
Defense
The defensive metricsย agree that Kendrick is only a slightly above-average defender, and thatโs been the case for a while now. He takes good paths to ground balls, but heโs slow in getting after them, and you tend to see him resort to dives that other second basemen wouldnโt have to make. This would be fine if he was more sure-handed, but heโs been good for double-digit errors three years in a row.
Overall
Kendrickโs best talent is his ability to handle the bat, particularly in how he so easily hits the ball the other way. He can also run the bases and play a solid, if not spectacular, second base. But his approach to right field doesnโt help his power, and in general, thereโs still a gap between where his ability says his production should be and where his production actually is.
12. Scooter Gennett, Milwaukee Brewers
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Hitting
For a guy whoย hacks and expands the zoneย so much,ย Gennettย is pretty good at making contact. And itโs usually good contact, as he hitsย hard, breaking and off-speed pitches on a lineย while makingย good useย of the whole field. The catch? His platoon role makes his job that much easier. And with this presumably being Rickie Weeksโ last season in Milwaukee,ย Gennettย may not have that luxury in 2015.
Power
Gennettโsย strong all-fields line-drive habit is a power-booster, as heย has the popย to collect doubles down the lines and in the gaps. But his real power is to his pull side, so itโs unfortunate that he goes that way relatively seldom. Thatโs one limit on his power, but another is the platoon thing. If he platoons again in 2015, heโll only get so many chances to hit for power. If he doesnโt, lefties will keep it in check.ย
Baserunning
The solid base-stealing prowessย Gennettย showed in the minors has translated pretty well to the majors, as this year heโs showing that he can be a five-to-10 steal guy even with limited playing time. Add inย a solid 50 XBT%, and you get a pretty goodย baserunningย second basemen.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split onย Gennettโsย defense, with one rating him as slightly below average and the other rating him as clearly below average. Heโs more likely in the realm of slightly below average, though barely so due to range limited by what looks like iffy first-step quickness and some occasional slowness turning double plays. But at the least, we can say that heโs miles better than Rickie Weeks.
Overall
Our big knock onย Gennettย is that his success has come exclusively in a platoon role this year. But when you look past that, you see an aggressive swinger who knows how to get his line drives and who can also put in some goodย baserunningย and play some decent defense.
11. Kolten Wong, St. Louis Cardinals
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Hitting
Though itโs hardly the most advanced under the sun, thereโs potential inย Wongโs approach. He shows decent patience and discipline and has displayed a good ability to make contact. But heโs also shown that he can be beat by breaking balls and that heโs weak againstย hard stuff on the inner thirdย of the zone. As such, his bat isnโt as advanced as his eye.ย
Power
Though Wong has somewhat modest power numbers, he went on a power surge at the beginning of July that did a good job of displaying the raw power he has to right field. It has to be taken for what itโs worth given that it didnโt last that long, and Wongโs ground ball habit and limited power to other fields are legit restrictions on his power potential. All we can say with confidence is that said power potential is very real.
Baserunning
While Wongโs power is mainly about potential, hisย baserunningย is about reality. Heโs shown that he not only has 20-to-30 steal speed, but that heโs not going to get caught very often too. As a bonus,ย his 52 XBT%ย is a sign that heโs going to be a source ofย baserunningย value even when heโs not stealing bags. Somewhat quietly, heโs budding as one of the gameโs better baserunners.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split on Wongโs defense, but the general indication is that heโs no worse than average. The more likely reality is that heโs above average, as he can make up for mistakes (Wong has made a few) with rangy plays made possible by good first-step quickness. Also, Iโll be darned if it doesnโt seem like heโs gotten more confident on double plays as the year has gone along.
Overall
Wong isnโt a finished product yet, and that shows most in his various shortcomings as a hitter. But we know heโs a goodย baserunner, and heโs also shown above-average power and good defense at second base. Even if he doesnโt improve as a hitter, thatโs a good player.
10. Neil Walker, Pittsburgh Pirates
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Hitting
Walkerโs turned into a slightlyย more aggressive hitter, but his increased aggressiveness has taken place mainly within the strike zone and has seen him targetย and destroyย fastballs. Also,ย his whiff ratesย against slow stuff are acceptable and his line-drive rates areย better than acceptable. Itโs too bad his escalating fly-ball habit isย making it harder to hit for average, and heโs stillย not nearly as strongย when he bats righty.
Power
Walkerโs new fly-ball habit hasnโt been for naught, as itโs helped him set new career highs for homers two years in a row. Almost all of this yearโs homers have come from the left side, and not just to straightaway right. Heโs been able toย poke a few out to center, too. The catch is that left and center are Walkerโsย main fly-ball alleyย as a lefty hitter. Thatโs a tough task at PNC Park.
Baserunning
Walkerโsย baserunningย potential peaked back when he stole nine bases in 2011. Heโs since toned things down to a point where stolen bases arenโt really part of his game anymore, and he doesnโt quite make up for it by taking many extra bases.ย His 44 XBT%ย is solid, but not spectacular. And given his lack of activity on theย basepathsย at age 28, it likely wonโt be better at age 29.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have tended to view Walkerโs defense at second base as below average, and this year they view it as way below average. He plays largely mistake-free defense, but itโs easy to do that when you donโt have much range. His is limited by a slow first step and a lack of a burst to make up for it.ย
Overall
Walker packs a terrific bat for second base, and heโs made it better than ever with his adjustments this year. The trouble is heโs pretty much a bat-only second baseman, as he doesnโt run the bases well and doesnโt have much to offer on defense.ย
9. Daniel Murphy, New York Mets
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Hitting
Murphy has beenย slightlyย more aggressiveย in 2014โbut in the right way, by swinging at more pitches in the zone. Itโs working like a dream, as heโs been knocking the crud out ofย pitches there. Thereโs little luck involved, too, as itโs his in-zone swingsย that are feedingย his insanely highย line-drive rate. If he fixes hisย whiff rate against breaking balls, heโs going to be scary.ย
Power
Because Murphy only has home run power toย straightaway right field, he needs his line-drive habit to do the heavy lifting with his power. Fortunately, it's up to the task most of the time, and that much hasnโt changed. The best thing he has going for him is hisย power in both gaps, but he can also make good use of both foul lines. It may be mostly doubles power, but he does doubles power right.
Baserunning
Murphyโs not going to make it to 20 stolen bases like he did in 2013, but his status as a good bet for double digits hasnโt been compromised. And though heโs not repeating last yearโs 61 XBT%,ย his 49 XBT%ย this year will do fine. Given that heโll hit 30 in 2015, Iโd expect a continuation of what heโs done in 2014 rather than a return to what he did in 2013.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are once again sour on Murphyโs defense, and they once again have a justifiable gripe. Heโs notched his third straight season with at least 15 errors and doesnโt have the kind of range that makes a habit like that excusable. He doesnโt have a good first step or quickness after the fact and can also take some tricky paths to ground balls.
Overall
Murphyโs bat was good before 2014, but heโs made it that much better by launching an all-out assault on pitches in the zone. He also offers solid power andย baserunning, leaving his defense as the only real problem. And itโs too bad it really is a problem, as it takes away from his overall value.
8. Dee Gordon, Los Angeles Dodgers
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Hitting
Weโve seen aย more disciplinedย Gordon, and aย bigย reason for that is how heโsย toned down his aggressivenessย against slow pitches. And though he depends largely on average on balls in play, heโll continue to do well if he keeps the ballย out of the air. Where heโs still weak, however, is in his ability toย hit inside fastballs. He also still hasnโt learned to walk, giving his on-base ability two major handicaps.
Power
Gordonโs power potential is limited by how seldom he hits the ball in the air, and thereโs also the reality that his contact approach is based onย slapping the ball to left field. Anything he can turn on and hit in the right-center gap, however, isย an easy triple. Also, any ground ball that sneaks past the third baseman is an easy double. So though his raw power is lacking, his ability to be a decent power producer is solid.
Baserunning
Nobody ever said Gordon couldnโt run, and heโs finally showing what he can do with a strong on-base habit this season. Though heโs not the most efficient base stealer, heโs still your league leader in stolen bases and hasย a 60 XBT%ย on the side. Even if he doesnโt become a more efficient base stealer, heโs fast enough to be a huge source ofย baserunningย value anyway.
Defense
Since Gordon is still new to second base, itโs not surprising to seeย the defensive metricsย rating him as, at best, an average defender. The bright side is that he definitely looks like a shortstop playing second base, using his speed and shortstopโs arm to make some tough plays look easy. With more experience, his defense should start rating more highly.
Overall
If weโre being honest, this scoring system isnโt very friendly to Gordon because of how it has a cap on how many points he can get for hisย baserunning. Even with what, thereโs no denying heโs turned himself into a well-rounded player. In addition to playing a solid second base, heโs turned himself into a capable hitter by tightening up his approach and catering to his strengths.
7. Dustin Pedroia, Boston Red Sox
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Hitting
Weโve seen aย slightly more aggressiveย Pedroiaย in 2014, but he hasnโt been less disciplined or significantly worse at making contact. And given how heโs gotten better atย hitting everything on a line, he deserves better results. One word of concern, though: Itโs not a good look that heโsย never been worseย at hitting fastballs away. If he doesnโt get that squared away, itโs a weakness pitchers can easily exploit.
Power
Itโs sort of an open secret thatย Pedroiaโsย power is declining, and itโs hard not to notice how hisย power declineย mirrors theย steady decline of his fly-ball rate. Still, his line-drive power does help pick up some of the slack. Heย still has some powerย in the right-center gap, left-center gap and to straightaway left. As long as that line-drive power doesnโt dry up, his power wonโt get too bad.
Baserunning
This is the area whereย Pedroiaย looks 30 more than any other. Heโs done just as much harm as good stealing bases, and it does look to the naked eye like heโs lost a step. As such, 2013 could end up being his last double-digit-steal season. And while heโs still good at rounding the basesย with a 46 XBT%, thatโs only worth so much without steals and with a high number of outs at second for a third time in four years.
Defense
According toย the defensive metrics,ย Pedroiaย is still an elite defensive second baseman. According to the eye test, this is absolutely true. He may be losingย foot speed, but heโs not losing any reaction speed or first-step quickness. Factor in terrific hands and plenty of willingness to get dirty, and you get the best defensive second baseman in baseball today.
Overall
Since he can still put together good at-bats with a very strong contact ability on offense and play a terrific second base on defense, Pedroia hasn't stopped being a very good two-way player. But with his power and baserunning on thin ice, it's noteworthy that "very good" is a step down from "great."
6. Ian Kinsler, Detroit Tigers
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Hitting
Kinslerโsย transformation into anย aggressive hitterย could be going worse. Heโs still an elite contact hitter, and swinging more often hasnโt given him any clear weaknesses against anyย specific pitch types. But while thatโs all good, heโs also traded in his budding line-drive habit for hisย old fly-ball habitย and has beenย pulling the ballย more than ever. Basically, heโs not proving that different is better.
Power
The usual refrain about high fly-ball rates is that they tend to make good power hitters. But the return ofย Kinslerโsย fly-ball habit hasnโt meant a return of his old power. It doesn't help that his power production is almost allย on his pull side, and the deep drives in that direction are far outweighed by shallow fly balls all over the outfield. If heโs already having issues like that at age 32, age 33 likely wonโt be any more kind.
Baserunning
Kinslerโsย days of being a volume base stealer look like theyโre over. But heโs showing this year that double-digit steals with good efficiency is in play. And thereโs more, as last yearโs rock-solid 61 XBT% hasย become a 64 XBT%. So even if he slows down on theย basepathsย in his age-33 season, he should still be really good.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have been up and down onย Kinslerโsย defense, but theyโre up on it this year. Some of that has to do with how heโs cleaned up the problem with errors he had in 2013, with still another part being that heโs showed off good range. Thatโs something that Iโm only half on board with, though. His range is definitely good, but by his old standards, heโs not as quick at getting after the ball.
Overall
Kinslerย can hit, hit for power, run the bases and play some really good defense. But it sort of feels like heโs having a better season than he really is. His power and approach at the plate havenโt improved, and you wonder if either will given where heย isย on the age spectrum.
5. Chase Utley, Philadelphia Phillies
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Hitting
With hisย patience and disciplineย intact, Utley has becomeย more aggressive against hard stuffย without also compromising his abilityย to hit off-speed stuff. To boot, hisย line-drive rates against all pitchesย are up. The catch is that heโs needed those, as this late-career version of himย is still proneย to roll pitches over to the right side of the infield and canย still be beatenย by good breaking balls.
Power
Utleyโs power has fallen off this year in part because he simply hasnโt beenย hitting the ball in the airย as often. Beyond that, a quick comparison of batted-ball maps will reveal that his power has become geared much more toward right fieldย in 2014ย than it wasย in 2013. And at his age, I wouldnโt expect him to get better at driving the ball to left and center. That will limit his power to being good rather than great.
Baserunning
Utleyโs historic efficiency (seriously) at stealing bases is still intact, but heโs too old to go anywhere beyond the five-to-10 steal range. Itโs a good thing he hasnโt gotten shy about taking the extra base, as heโs workingย on a 53 XBT%ย thatโs not far off his career norm of 57 percent. As such, one of the most underappreciated parts of his game is still working.ย
Defense
Though Utley is up there in age and far from the brilliant defender he once was,ย the defensive metricsย still fancy him as above average. That should make sense to anyone whoโs seen him play. The burst he used to have isnโt there anymore, but he still has a very good first step and is very willing to hit the deck to make tough plays. This more than makes up for his errors, which arenโt exactly infrequent.
Overall
It was easy to get the sense that Utleyโs career was in peril when he had problems with his knees in 2012, but not now. He doesnโt do anything as well as he used to, but heโs still a hitter with a keen eye and good approach and who can hit for power, run the bases and play defense well.
4. Brian Dozier, Minnesota Twins
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Hitting
Dozierโs best skill is keeping his bat on his shoulder. Heโs one of baseballโsย most infrequent swingers andย combines that with good discipline to collect walks. But since his passiveness also applies to the strike zone, he gives pitchers a lot of strikes and is easily put awayย by non-fastballs. Add in aย growing fly-ball rate, and itโs clear Dozier has some work to do if he wants to draw walksย andย hit for average.
Power
The bright side of Dozierโs fly-ball habit is that it gives him plenty of home run power, mainly because heโs pretty good aboutย pulling fly balls to left fieldย consistently. And when he does,ย he doesnโt miss. Though the downside is that Dozierโs power is basically nonexistent in directions other than straightaway left, the honor of being baseballโs best home run-hitting second baseman is currently his.
Baserunning
Though itโs easy to get lost in the power, donโt overlook how Dozier is a threat on theย basepaths, too. Though not the most efficient base stealer, heโs improved on a 14-steal season by cracking the 20-steal barrier. Then you can add inย a 61 XBT%ย for a picture of a guy who does a darn good job of running around the bases when heโs not jogging around them.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split on whether Dozierโs defense is slightly above average or slightly below average. Thatโs actually a good summary of his defense. Heโs a live wire on tough plays, showing off a good burst and quick hands. Then there are times when he wants to make plays look tougher than they are, resulting in miscues. Still, Iโll take the tough plays and side with the positive opinion of his defense.ย
Overall
Dozierโs hitting potential is limited by how his approach suppresses swings and too often wastes swings that are taken. But his power is outstanding for a second baseman, and he adds in good baserunning and (I think) good defense to go with it. These things make him one of the best there is at second base.
3. Jose Altuve, Houston Astros
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Hitting
Altuve hasย become the hitter he needed to become. Heโs gotten more aggressive in the strike zoneโmainly byย attacking fastballsโand has become one of theย best contact hittersย in the business. Heโs beenย hitting everything wellย in 2014, and heโs kept his average high byย favoring line drives and ground ballsย andย using the whole field. His one weakness: He doesnโt walk.
Power
One look atย Altuveย would lead you to believe heโs not a power hitter. And heโs not. What home run power he has is held down by a low fly-ball rate, and the line-drive power he has is pretty much all to his pull side. He can hit โem in the right-center gap, but they have aย tough time getting through. As such, itโs a good thing he has the bat speed to regularly whip doubles into the left field corner.
Baserunning
Altuveย was a good base stealer before 2014, but this year has seen him become great with 50-plus steals. Simply being on base more consistently has given him more opportunities to go, but heโs also been more efficient when he has decided to steal. The result is the American Leagueโs top stolen-base total. Not thatย Altuveย is a one-trick pony, mind you, as heโs also working on a solid, if not great,ย 44 XBT%.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have tended to agree thatย Altuveย is a below-average defender, and this year is no different. His quickness plays better on theย basepathsย than it does on defense, where his modest first step and short strides limit his range. He does have the hands for the position, though, and you have to give him credit for hanging in there on double plays better than other, bigger second basemen.ย
Overall
Itโs easy to look atย Altuveโsย batting average and stolen bases and see an elite player. But power and defense do count for a lot, and he doesnโt provide much of either. Still, his rise as one of the leagueโs top hitters is no joke, and it should allow him to continue as one of the best at second base.
2. Ben Zobrist, Tampa Bay Rays
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Hitting
Zobristย isย extremely selective, and he rarely misses what he swings at. As a result, heโs able to balance a high walk rate with a low strikeout rate. Whatโs not so great is that he canโt be counted on an average on balls in play much higher than .300. He hitsย mostly ground balls and fly balls and is aย pull-heavy hitter from the left side. His ability to get on base thus comes with a high floor but also a low ceiling.
Power
It looks likeย Zobristโsย days as a 20-home run hitter are over. It doesnโt help that heโs more of a ground-ball hitter than a fly-ball hitter now, and heโs really only had pull power from bothย the leftย and rightย side of the plate. He still has good power to offer by second base standards, but I wouldnโt expect what power he has to get any better in his age-34 season next year.
Baserunning
Zobristโsย days as a reliable base stealer also seem to be coming to an end. Heโs about to make it three straight years with fewer than 15 steals, and with modest success rates to boot. However,ย the 53 XBT% rateย he has this year is a reminder that heโs still one of the more instinctualย baserunnersย out there. It will be tough for him to repeat that, but I still wouldnโt expect him to turn into a base-clogger.
Defense
The defensive metricsย seeย Zobristย as only a slightly above-average defender at second base, but itโs not because of his range. His first step doesnโt look as quick as it used to be, but his 6โ3โ frame still allows him to cover a deceptive amount of ground and his arm is more than good enough for the position. Then you can factor in how he still plays quality defense at several other positions, which is worth extra.
Overall
Zobristย isnโt the same hitter he was between 2009 and 2012, and you can see the age-related cracks forming on his power and speed. But he still has one of the most disciplined approaches youโre going to find, and he brings enviable defensive versatility to the table. He's probably not as good as his WAR says he is, but heโs still darn good.
1. Robinson Cano, Seattle Mariners
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Hitting
If thereโs one thing not to like about Canoโs hitting, itโs how heโs become such anย extreme ground-ball hitter. But seeing how much heโsย used left field for ground ballsย makes you feel better about that, and then you can look at how he basicallyย doesnโt swing and miss, coversย a huge amount of the hitting zoneย and isnโt weak against anyย particular pitch type. And you realize that, yup, the guy can hit.
Power
After a slow start, Canoโs power has come roaring to life since June. Best of all is how heโs beenย driving the ball the other way, something he wasn't doing before. However, itย isย going to be harder for him to hit for power if he keeps hitting so many grounders. And with his 32ndย birthday fast approaching, it is more than likely that Canoโs best power days are behind him.
Baserunning
Where there was once power, there is now speed. Beyond notching his first career double-digit-steal season, Cano has also increased last yearโs 38 XBT%ย to 50 percent. Through it all, heโs been arguably Seattleโs best baserunner. There is the worry about this all happening with him on the wrong side of 30, however, so we probably shouldnโt expect him to be quite as prolific in 2015.
Defense
This is where things get tricky. After being split on Cano in 2013,ย the defensive metricsย agree that heโs close to an average defender now. The eye test says thereโs some truth to that, as his first-step quickness and subsequent burst just donโt look the same. But since he can still make accurate off-balance throws and get rid of the ball quickly on double plays, Iโm inclined to give him a break.
Overall
Because Canoโs power and defense appear to be slipping, there are very real threats to his status as one of the gameโs elite players. But if he keeps running the bases like he has in 2014 while also hitting like, well, heย alwaysย has, the Mariners should keep getting their moneyโs worth from their $240 million man.






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