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Week 11 NFL Picks: Predictions for Full Slate of Games

SAN DIEGO, CA - NOVEMBER 10: Peyton Manning #18 of the Denver Broncos runs to the sideline during the game against the San Diego Chargers on November 10, 2013 at Qualcomm Stadium in San Diego, California. (Photo by Donald Miralle/Getty Images)
Donald Miralle/Getty Images
Tyler BrookeSenior Analyst IINovember 16, 2013

With the playoff picture shaping up, Week 11 of the NFL season features a number of games with big playoff implications.

There are some very big prime-time games to watch for, along with a few key divisional matchups.  As the division races start to get tighter, every game becomes a must-win.  

Below is a full list of predictions for this week's remaining games, followed by a breakdown of some of the more intriguing matchups.

Week 11 NFL Predictions
AwayPredictionHome
New York Jets20-17Buffalo Bills
Atlanta Falcons24-20Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit Lions28-14Pittsburgh Steelers
Washington Redskins17-35Philadelphia Eagles
Arizona Cardinals28-7Jacksonville Jaguars
Oakland Raiders20-21Houston Texans
Baltimore Ravens14-24Chicago Bears
Cleveland Browns20-23Cincinnati Bengals
San Diego Chargers27-17Miami Dolphins
Green Bay Packers21-17New York Giants
Minnesota Vikings11-31Seattle Seahawks
San Francisco 49ers14-27New Orleans Saints
Kansas City Chiefs21-28Denver Broncos
New England Patriots14-20Carolina Panthers
Predictions by Tyler Brooke

 

Baltimore Ravens (4-5) at Chicago Bears (5-4)

GREEN BAY, WI - NOVEMBER 04:  Josh McCown #12 of the Chicago Bears passes against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field on November 4, 2013 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. The Bears defeated the Packers 27-20.  (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)
Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images

Date: Sunday, Nov. 17

Time: 1 p.m. ET

TV: CBS

Prediction: 24-14, Bears

Both teams are desperately trying to fight for a playoff spot, and that makes this game so much more important.

The Baltimore Ravens are really struggling offensively.  Even with Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce, the team is averaging just 73.1 rushing yards per game and only 2.8 yards per carry.  With all of the moves over the offseason, you would have thought that the defense would have been struggling instead, but that hasn't been the case.

Even with Jay Cutler out, the Chicago Bears have been able to run their offense.  According to the team's official Twitter account, Josh McCown will be starting at quarterback once again while Cutler tries to get healthy:

When McCown has played, he's actually been quite reliable, throwing for 538 yards, four touchdowns and zero interceptions.  He will also have Matt Forte behind him, and he's been consistent as well, running for 691 yards and seven touchdowns.

While the Ravens are allowing 6.4 fewer points per game, I expect McCown to lead the Bears to another win.  Baltimore is really struggling to make plays on offense, and that will keep it from winning this one.

 

San Francisco 49ers (6-3) at New Orleans Saints (7-2)

Date: Sunday, Nov. 17

Time: 4:25 p.m.

TV: Fox

Prediction: 27-14, Saints

This is a game that we could very well see in the playoffs in a couple of months, with two of the better teams in the NFC going head-to-head.

However, the San Francisco 49ers have been exposed recently, and that's hurt their credibility in the conference.  They lost a tough game against the Carolina Panthers, falling 10-9, and their passing game really struggled, with Colin Kaepernick throwing for just 91 yards and an interception.

NEW ORLEANS, LA - NOVEMBER 10:  Quarterback Drew Brees #9 of the New Orleans Saints celebrates a second quarter touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys during a game at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on November 10, 2013 in New Orleans, Louisiana.  (Photo by Ro
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

In fact, Kaepernick just hasn't looked like the same player we saw last year.  He's completing just 56.4 percent of his passes with nine touchdowns and six interceptions, giving him a passer rating of just 83.1.

Defensively, the 49ers are still solid.  They're holding opponents to just 316.8 yards and 17.2 points per game, but those numbers should go up against the New Orleans Saints.

With Drew Brees under center, the Saints keep making plays on offense.  They're scoring 29.4 points per game, which is second behind the Denver Broncos in the league.  For Brees, he's already thrown for over 3,000 yards and has 25 touchdowns.

Rob Ryan has also completely transformed their defense.  After having the worst defense in 2012, the Saints are allowing just 18.1 points per game.

While both teams are contenders, the 49ers were exposed last week, and I expect the Saints to take advantage of their weaknesses as they get a comfortable win.

 

Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) at Denver Broncos (8-1)

Date: Sunday, Nov. 17

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET

TV: NBC

Prediction: 28-21, Broncos

There's no denying that this AFC West matchup is the game of the week, as the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs take on Peyton Manning and the Denver Broncos.

ORCHARD PARK, NY - NOVEMBER 03: Tamba Hali #91 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates as he scores the game-winning touchdown on a fumble recovery against the Buffalo Bills at Ralph Wilson Stadium on November 3, 2013 in Orchard Park, New York.  (Photo by Ri
Rick Stewart/Getty Images

It will be the league's best defense going against the best offense in this one.  The Chiefs are allowing the fewest points in the league with 12.3 per game, while the Broncos are scoring the most with 41.2 per game.

Manning is having the best season of his career, even at 37 years old.  He's already thrown for 3,249 yards, 33 touchdowns and six interceptions as he's well on his way to breaking a number of NFL records.  With weapons like Eric Decker, Wes Welker and Demaryius Thomas, it just doesn't seem fair to have all of these players on offense.

It will be interesting to see what happens on the other side of the ball.  The Chiefs have some exciting players like Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe, but Alex Smith will have to make a lot of plays against a defense that is allowing 287.9 passing yards per game.

With how much the Chiefs have struggled against teams with backup quarterbacks, I can't see them pulling out a win against the Broncos.  Expect Manning to have another three or four touchdowns as the Broncos keep on rolling and give the Chiefs their first loss of the season.

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