Fantasy Football: Tony Romo Headlines Week 11 Stock Report

Jay Clemons@ATL_JayClemonsFantasy Sports Lead WriterNovember 14, 2012

Fantasy Football: Tony Romo Headlines Week 11 Stock Report

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    The following countdown details The Fantasy Blog's stock report heading into NFL Week 11.

    Just like the American stock market, these 12 assets are prone to evolving (or devolving) value swings throughout the season.

    But alas, that's why the NFL schedules the games. Fantasy life, as we know it, undergoes substantial change every weekend.

    Enjoy the show!

Rising: RB Chris Johnson, Tennessee Titans

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    2012 Stats: 1,002 Total Yards (862 Rushing), 4 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Chris Johnson has rolled for 100-plus total yards in his last five games.

    2. Despite a wretched September, Johnson is on pace for 1,600 total yards by season's end.

    3. Within standard-scoring leagues, Johnson has notched double-digit fantasy points five times since Week 4.

    4. With dates against the Jaguars (Week 12), Colts (Week 14) and Jets (Week 15) on the horizon, Johnson is a healthy lock for 110 total yards and one touchdown in all three games.

    Fantasy owners would be wise to make a strong trade play for Johnson during the Titans' Week 11 bye. 

Slipping: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Cincinnati Bengals

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    2012 Stats: 598 Total Yards (537 Rushing), 3 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Since Week 3, BenJarvus Green-Ellis has tallied double-digit fantasy points only once (standard-scoring rules).

    2. Green-Ellis hasn't racked up more than 70 total yards in his last five games.

    3. The Bengals back hasn't caught more than three passes in any game this year. To be fair, his personal best with the Patriots was four in 2010.

Rising: RB Steven Jackson, St. Louis Rams

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    2012 Stats: 628 Total Yards (524 Rushing), 2 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Steven Jackson busted his extended slump last week, racking up 127 total yards (101 rushing) and one touchdown against the 49ers.

    2. Against San Francisco, Jackson also tallied a season high in touches (32).

    3. Jackson has accrued double-digit fantasy points (standard-scoring leagues) in two of his last three games.

    4. The stars are aligned for Jackson to have a big week against the Jets, the NFL's 30th-ranked rush defense.

Slipping: RB Rashad Jennings, Jacksonville Jaguars

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    2012 Stats: 349 Total Yards (221 Rushing), 1 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. In his last two games, Rashad Jennings has accounted for only 79 total yards.

    2. Maurice Jones-Drew (foot), the NFL's reigning rushing king, is on the verge of returning for Week 12 or 13.

    In Jennings' defense, he's still a perfect 3-for-3 in collecting 100 total yards in games where he logs 20-plus touches.

Rising: WR Sidney Rice, Seattle Seahawks

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    2012 Stats: 34 Catches, 475 Yards, 6 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. For Weeks 8-10, Sidney Rice ranked as the No. 8 receiver in standard-scoring leagues.

    2. Rice already has more touchdowns in 2012 (six) than he had in the previous two seasons combined (four).

    3. Sir Sidney has scored five of his six touchdowns since Week 6.

    4. Through 10 games, Rice has collected six-plus targets six times.

    Rice would be a sneaky-good trade play during the Seahawks' Week 11 bye. In 12-team leagues, he's an ideal No. 3 wideout.

Falling: WR Dwayne Bowe, Kansas City Chiefs

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    2012 Stats: 49 Catches, 622 Yards, 3 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Dwayne Bowe hasn't registered a touchdown in five games.

    2. In his last four outings, Bowe caught four or fewer balls three times.

    3. Since Week 5, Bowe has only posted one game of double-digit targets.

    4. Barring something unforeseen, Bowe will be stuck with bottom-rung quarterbacks Matt Cassel and Brady Quinn for the rest of the season.

    The above criticisms may seem a little nit-picky, but Bowe is an elite talent with the potential for 1,200 yards and double-digit touchdowns. And he's had a few bouts of the the "dropsies" this season.

Rising: TE Scott Chandler, Buffalo Bills

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    2012 Stats: 27 Catches, 350 Yards, 5 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Scott Chandler is a virtual lock to eclipse last year's output in catches (38), receiving yards (389) and touchdowns (six). In fact, Chandler already has more targets than in 2011.

    2. Through nine games, Chandler has collected six-plus targets four times.

    It's too bad Chandler only plays the Patriots twice during the regular season. Against New England this year, Chandler has nine catches, 123 yards and three touchdowns. 

Falling: TE Brent Celek, Philadelphia Eagles

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    2012 Stats: 36 Catches, 467 Yards, 1 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. In his last seven games, Brent Celek hasn't logged more than five catches or 60 yards receiving.

    2. On the negative side, Celek already has five outings of 40 yards or less this season.

    3. Celek has a catch-to-target ratio above 50 percent in eight of nine games. Unfortunately, that proficiency has only elicited one outing of double-digit fantasy points (standard-scoring rules).

Rising: QB Sam Bradford, St. Louis Rams

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    2012 Stats: 2,072 Yards Passing, 11 TD (1 Rush) 

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Sam Bradford has thrown for 200-plus yards in each of his last four games—the longest streak of his three-year career.

    2. In this span, Bradford has also posted a completion mark of 62 percent or above.

    3. Bradford has notched at least one touchdown in his last five games. 

    4. With matchups against the Jets, Cardinals, 49ers, Bills, Vikings and Bucs for Weeks 11-16, Bradford is a reasonable candidate for 250 yards passing and two TDs in all six games.

    Should he fulfill that roundabout prophecy each time, Bradford will be a starter-worthy asset during the fantasy playoffs.

Slipping: QB Robert Griffin III, Washington Redskins

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    2012 Stats: 1,993 Yards Passing, 14 TD (6 Rush)  

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. In his last two games (Weeks 8-9), Robert Griffin III accounted for only 453 total yards and one touchdown—a dip in production from previous weeks.

    2. Through nine games, Griffin has already completed less than 20 passes four times.

    3. The No. 1-ranked fantasy quarterback just a few weeks ago, Griffin has slumped to the No. 4 spot (still ahead of Peyton Manning, Tom Brady, Andrew Luck, Matthew Stafford, Cam Newton).

    In Griffin's defense, Redskins playmakers Pierre Garcon, Fred Davis and Roy Helu have missed substantial time to injury. Very few quarterbacks could spin weekly fantasy goodness from a receiving corps that features Santana Moss, Aldrick Robinson, Leonard Hankerson and tight ends Logan Paulsen and Chris Cooley.

Falling: QB Eli Manning, New York Giants

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    2012 Stats: 2,641 Yards Passing, 12 TD  

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Eli Manning has failed to account for a touchdown in the last three weeks.

    2. Through 10 games, Manning has already thrown for less than 220 yards seven times.

    3. For Weeks 6-10, Manning had pedestrian totals of 1,062 yards passing (five games), two touchdowns and six interceptions.

    4. Last week, some media pundits speculated that Manning was playing through a tired arm, a claim that may have a kernel of truth.

    For Eli's sake, perhaps this weekend's bye will do wonders for his stamina and confidence.

Rising: QB Tony Romo, Dallas Cowboys

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    2012 Stats: 2,603 Yards Passing, 13 TD (1 Rush)  

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. In his last three games, Tony Romo boasts per-outing averages of 322.4 yards passing and 1.7 touchdowns.

    2. Through 10 games, Romo has completed 60 percent or more of his passes eight times. Within that span, he attempted 35 or more passes seven times.

    3. Romo has a three-game homestand for Weeks 11-13 (Cleveland, Washington, Philadelphia).

    4. For Fantasy Bowl weekend (Week 16), the Cowboys draw the Saints—the NFL's worst defense.