Fantasy Football: Results of 3 Simultaneous Mock Drafts—At the No. 10 Slot
To break up the monotony of training camp, I executed three simultaneous mock drafts on Wednesday morning (12 teams/standard scoring)โholding the No. 10 pick each time.
Adding to the degree of difficulty, I answered a slew of reader tweets during the blitz and breathlessly watched NFL Network's perpetual coverage of NFL campsโwhich shockingly didn't provide any insight to what's going on with the Jets' non-competitive quarterback competition.
Here are my results from all three mocks. For those attempting this exercise at home, expect an avalanche of under-the-gun choices after Round 2, with only 45 seconds between each selection:
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Round 1
Draft #1โRB Matt Forte, Bears
Draft #2โWR Calvin Johnson, Lions
Draft #3โRB Maurice Jones-Drew, Jaguars
Breakdown
There's really no mystery to drafting at the 10-spot. Simply let the player with the greatest value fall into your lap. Surprisingly, I was blessed with threeย stupendous options.
Round 2
Draft #1โRB Darren McFadden, Raiders
Draft #2โQB Matthew Stafford, Lions
Draft #3โRB Darren McFadden, Raiders
Breakdown
As my No. 7 running back, Darren McFadden (768 total yards, five TDs in just seven games last year) was an easy-cheesy pick in two mocks. And for Draft #2, I secured the Calvin Johnson/Matthew Stafford handcuff, a move that will be replicated in every real draft come August (when applicable). If memory serves, the duo combined for 6,719 yards and 57 touchdowns last year.
Round 3
Draft #1โRB Steven Jackson, Rams
Draft #2โRB Frank Gore, 49ers
Draft #3โRB Fred Jackson, Bills
Round 4
Draft #1โWR Jordy Nelson, Packers
Draft #2โRB Michael Turner, Falcons
Draft #3โWR Mike Wallace, Steelers
Breakdown
I completely understandย the trepidationย with taking Michael Turner in the first three rounds. But with per-season averages of 1,356 rushing yards and 11.5 touchdowns the last two years (4.27 yards per carry), I'm willing to take the Round 4 plunge on a 30-year-old back who can still bulldoze linebackers and defensive backs with relative ease.
Round 5
Draft #1โWR Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs
Draft #2โWR Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs
Draft #3โQB Eli Manning, Giants
Breakdown
Dwayne Bowe (20 touchdowns for 2010-11) has been remarkably consistent in targets, catches and receiving yards the last two seasons.
The only wild momentum swing lies with touchdowns, and Bowe is a better bet for 15 TDs than five in 2012. In a perfect world, though, he'll be a Round 6 acquisition (no respect from the masses).
Round 6
Draft #1โWR Jeremy Maclin, Eagles
Draft #2โRB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Bengals
Draft #3โWR Dwayne Bowe, Chiefs
Breakdown
Extrapolating last year's stats, Jeremy Maclin's 13-game numbers translated to 78 catches, 1,057 yards and 10 touchdowns. Tell me you wouldn't take that figure for this season, no questions asked?
Round 7
Draft #1โRB C.J. Spiller, Bills
Draft #2โWR Pierre Garcon, Redskins
Draft #3โRB C.J. Spiller, Bills
Breakdown
As noted many times in The Fantasy Blog, I fully expect Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller to be the NFL's best running back tandem this season. I'm thinking 200 total yards per game.ย
Round 8
Draft #1โWR Pierre Garcon, Redskins
Draft #2โRB C.J. Spiller, Bills
Draft #3โWR Reggie Wayne, Colts
Breakdown
At age 33, Reggie Wayne has the goods for at least two highly productive campaigns with rookie Andrew Luck, a potential top-20 quarterback by season's end.
In his last six games in 2011, when Dan Orlovsky brought some stability to Indy's QB problems (without Peyton Manning), Wayne caught 33 balls for 430 yards and three touchdownsโor per-game averages of 5.5 catches, 71.7 yards and 0.5 touchdowns. For good measure, he also collected 25 targets in the Colts' final two games.
Round 9
Draft #1โQB Robert Griffin III, Redskins
Draft #2โWR Nate Washington, Titans
Draft #3โWR Darrius Heyward-Bey, Raiders
Round 10
Draft #1โQB Carson Palmer, Raiders
Draft #2โQB Robert Griffin III, Redskins
Draft #3โWR Nate Washington, Titans
Breakdown
Given Cam Newton's absurd production from last season (4,757 total yards, 35 TDs), I no longer live in fear of drafting rookie quarterbacks. However, I will only desire Robert Griffin III when already possessing (or on the brink of acquiring) a top-13 veteran quarterback. In these two particular mocks, Matthew Stafford and Carson Palmer are the esteemedย handcuffs.
Round 11
Draft #1โWR Laurent Robinson, Jaguars
Draft #2โTE Jared Cook, Titans
Draft #3โTE Dustin Keller, Jets
Round 12ย
Draft #1โTE Dustin Keller, Jets
Draft #2โTE Dustin Keller, Jets
Draft #3โQB Ryan Fitzpatrick, Bills
Breakdown
For owners who love to stock up on tailbacks early and often, I would encourage them to wait until Rounds 10, 11 or 12 to fill out the tight end spots. Snagging Dustin Keller (my No. 10 tight end) in all three draftsย provides wonderful peace of mind.
Round 13
Draft #1โTE Jermaine Gresham, Bengals
Draft #2โWR Greg Little, Browns
Draft #3โTE Brent Celek, Eagles
Breakdown
There were at least four sustained runs of high-quality receivers in Draft #2. That's why I reached one round too early on Cleveland's Greg Little (61 Catches, 709 Yards, 2 TDs, 120 targets last year).
On the bright side...from Weeks 4-16 last year (spanning 12 games), Little was a perfect 12-for-12 in collecting six or more targets; and for Week 15, the Browns wideout crushed the Cardinals for five receptions, 131 yards and one touchdown.
Round 14
Draft #1โD/ST Green Bay Packers (my No. 3 D/ST)
Draft #2โD/ST Chicago Bears (my No. 2 D/ST)
Draft #3โD/ST Green Bay Packers
Round 15
Draft #1โRB Isaiah Pead, Rams
Draft #2โPK Mike Nugent, Bengals
Draft #3โRB Isaiah Pead, Rams
Breakdown
I'll attack thisย area in greater depth next week, but I have the Rams' Isaiah Pead (1,578 total yards, 15 TDs with the University of Cincinnati last year) slotted to enjoy the third-greatest fantasy impact this seasonโamong rookie tailbacks.
Round 16
Draft #1โPK Mike Nugent, Bengals
Draft #2โTE Jermaine Gresham, Bengals
Draft #3โPK Dan Bailey, Cowboys
Jay Clemons can be reached on Twitter, day or night, at @ATL_JayClemons.










