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While some of the following teams are pretty bad, I just didn't feel confident giving them a zero percent chance at ending up with Andrew Luck.
Cincinnati Bengals at a One Percent Chance
Many thought that the Bengals were going to be a complete train wreck this year, but they have been very competitive through their first two games. Cedric Benson appears to be back on track and Andy Dalton is proving that he can win games.
Cleveland Browns at a One Percent Chance
The Browns are a very similar team to the Bengals and I really think both teams will end up with around six or seven wins this year. Peyton Hillis is continuing to play strong football and Colt McCoy looks like a true franchise quarterback.
Tennessee Titans at a Two Percent Chance
The main reason that the Titans have such a low chance at landing Luck is because of how bad the AFC South is this year. They should be able to beat the Indianapolis Colts twice and win their other game against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Throw in another two or three lucky wins and Tennessee is out of the sweepstakes for the top overall draft pick.
Denver Broncos at a Two Percent Chance
It hurts to put the Broncos on here because they really need a young quarterback like Andrew Luck. However, Denver's defense is going to be tough this year and Kyle Orton is good enough to squeak out a couple wins.