I'm sorry, but Mel Kiper’s and Todd McShay’s draft boards fluctuating more often than stock prices on Wall Street concerns me a bit about this year's draft. Also, let’s call to attention the fact that these guys continue to present themselves as the so-called “experts” that know who will and who won’t succeed in the NFL. They even claim their expertise tells them the needs and wants of each franchise.
To be brutally honest—they flat-out do not. They wouldn't recognize talent if Marques Colston slapped them in the face. (Colston, of course, a seventh-round pick by the Saints)
For example, how is it that Jake Locker could be the consensus No. 1 pick entering last year’s draft and now he seems to be fighting to simply be drafted on the first day?
Because these analysts are machines, machines that don’t take the necessary variables into consideration. College stats and combine times do not equate to NFL success. Some guys in college are surrounded by very talented teammates who boost their stock (JaMarcus Russel). Others, like Locker, are on teams with very little talent and the pressure to win and maintain a high level of production is almost an impossible feat to achieve. So here is what I am saying:
Jake Locker (2010) = Cam Newton (2011)
Which only means one thing: Jake Locker could be an extremely valuable, talented pick in the second round for one of the dozen teams that are quarterback starved right now. Maybe teams should draft offensive lineman in the first round to help protect the guy in the red jersey (David Carr is nodding his head as he reads this). If a team with a veteran quarterback and a solid offensive system were to take Locker, he could blossom into a huge pro player in a few years. Just look at Aaron Rodgers. To me, they are virtually the same quarterback; Locker just stayed in college one year too long.
So in the spirit of comparisons, which is always fun, let's take a look at a few, shall we?