Getting Last Year's Campbell Equals Eight Wins, What's This Year Equal?
After reading a recent ESPN article on breakout WR's this year, I found it quite interesting that Mike Wallace of the Steelers is on this list, but somehow the writer forgot to mention the Raiders' Louis Murphy. Chaz Schilens could also be on this list because if he manages to stay healthy he could drastically help the offense and put up some good numbers. It's more likely Louis Murphy becomes Oakland's breakout candidate because the other two wide receivers have either struggled to stay healthy or struggled to catch the ball.
Now that that Jason Campbell and not JaMarcus Russell is playing QB the Raiders should equal eight wins simply based on last years numbers for him. Last year with the Redskins and their lack of healthy receivers, Campbell managed to pass for just over 3,600 yards and have 20 TD's. He had the likes of Santana Moss and Antwan Randle El for WR.
The Raiders team as a whole had 10 passing TD's and just over 2,800 yards. Just imagine lining up one QB for a whole year rather than having three different QB's lining up throughout the year including Russell, Bruce Gradkowski, and Charlie Frye. These wide receivers will have a QB who in DC passed for 800 more yards, completed over 60 percent of his passes, and had twice as many passing TD's as the Raiders did for the season.
Louis Murphy had 34 receptions, 521 yards, and four TD's. Yes he was known for some drops, but a lot of rookies are. The more he gets comfortable in this offense the more likely he's going to become a major breakout player.
Chaz Schilens has yet to play a full season in his two seasons, but when he has played he has looked like a major seventh round steal. He has very good hands, runs good routes, and of course has Raiders speed.
DHB struggled last year and had a mystery injury to end his season. Literally the same week the season ended DHB was back at it and practicing his ass off at the facility. He's gained 15 lbs of muscle and is looking really good in camp.
There are two wild cards for Oakland, Schilens if he stays healthy or DHB if he becomes what Al expected with his first round selection. If either of these players plays a full season and makes a significant impact the wide receiver position could make defensive coordinators go crazy. If both go off and have great seasons then defenses are in trouble because they'll have three 6'2" or taller receivers with sub 4.4 speed
Just based on the Redskins offensive line troubles, lack of wide receivers, and an offense that struggled behind Jim Zorn running the offense and comparing it to this year's offense with Hue Jackson, you would have to believe Jason Campbell is in a much better situation in Oakland. This would in turn lead to much better play from the wide receivers with a consistent QB situation, and ultimately make the defense better because for the first time since the 2003 season. Finally the offense will be on the field substantially more than they have recently thus helping Oakland's defense. A defense that isn't tired is more likely to excel against the run, Oakland's biggest weakness.
Jason Campbell's addition to this offense is worth eight wins. If his offensive line can keep him upright he should be able to pass for more than 4,000 yards. If this happens then Raiders could be a 10 win or more team. I'm not going to say playoffs because 10 or 11 wins in the AFC don't qualify for the playoffs or even a wild card anymore and I doubt Oakland will overtake San Diego in the AFC West.
What do you think Nation? How many wins is Jason Campbell worth to the Raiders?
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