Sunday, September 12 can’t come soon enough.
As my impatience grows more and more by the days, hours, and seconds, I need to know how this season is going to shake out. Fast forward to the end of the movie and tell me how this thing is going to end. I am willing to take Madden simulations, stories about your dog picking winners, or anything else that may shed some light on the ultimate outcome of the 2010-11 campaign.
And I don’t want a wise response that says, “It will end the same way it has since 1960: Without a Championship.”
I want to know how many wins the Eagles will have, if they have a shot to win the division or even—no I won’t go there right now.
This is when I turn to the good ol’ Internet and the wild world of sports gambling.
We all know Las Vegas is the king of sports gambling, but when you’re about 2,500 miles from Sin City, you need to rely on those fraudulent offshore gambling sites.
Surprisingly, these thieves of the World Wide Web offer similar or the exact same odds found in Vegas, so let’s take a look at the numbers, find out what they mean, and see if there is a potential to make any money.
All of the information listed below is from sportsbook.com. The figures represent the amount won on a $100 bet. For example, if you see a price listed as plus-500, that means you win $500 on a $100 bet. If a price is negative, such as minus-150, that means you would have to bet $150 to win back $100.
Got it? Then away we go.
Regular Season Wins
Dallas Cowboys: Over 9.5 (minus-165) Under 9.5 (plus-145)
New York Giants: Over 8.5 (minus-135) Under 8.5 (plus-115)
Philadelphia Eagles: Over 8.5 (plus-110), Under 8.5 (minus-130)
Washington Redskins: Over 7.5 (plus-105) Under 7.5 (minus-125)
Look, the NFL pretty much stinks. It has turned into a league where it is difficult to win less than eight games in a season. I mean, you really need to try hard not to achieve an 8-8 season. Either that, or your entire team is decimated by injuries.
Even though I hold that opinion I thought the Eagles would be listed at over/under eight wins. Now before anyone gets fired up and says, “The books don’t want a push so they need to use halves when making this number,” you would be dead wrong. Teams such as the Chicago Bears and Houston Texans are installed at eight wins. In all there are 11 teams that are set up for the possibility of a push.
It is scary to see the Cowboys listed at 9.5 with a negative price next to it. This means one of two things.
One, the linemaker thinks the Cowboys are pretty much a lock to win 10 games, or two, they are anticipating the betting public hammering the over.
The 8.5 gives me a little hope. Since the books know much more about this stuff than anyone I know, I have to assume they are going to be fairly close with this number.
In the end I have to trust my gut, take the under and lay the $130.
This is a good sign Eagles fans, because I am Eddie Mush.
NFC East Division Winner
Dallas Cowboys: plus-120
New York Giants: plus-260
Philadelphia Eagles: plus-275
The Cowboys are installed as the favorite here, but it’s not like they are an overwhelming favorite.
If the Cowboys were a lock, they would be priced between minus-150 and minus-250. The plus money on the Cowboys seems too easy. But whenever you have that mentality, you might as well burn your money on the spot.
The Eagles are not a long shot by any stretch of the imagination to win the division. The Redskins on the other hand are buried by the books in this spot.
A pass would be the best option, but since I need to pick a winner, I am going to go with value and take the Giants at plus-260.
I think the Cowboys win the division, but the positive money just sucks me right on in.
The 8.5 win total, coupled with a decent price to win the division, is starting to give me hope that the Birds can make the playoffs. But what kind of odds do they have if they make it that far?
New Orleans Saints:plus-450
Minnesota Vikings: plus-450
Green Bay Packers: plus-450
Philadelphia Eagles: plus-1000
San Francisco 49ers: plus-1000
New York Giants: plus-1000
Atlanta Falcons: plus-1000
Chicago Bears: plus-1500
Washington Redskins: plus-2000
Carolina Panthers: plus-3500
Seattle Seahawks: plus-3500
Arizona Cardinals: plus-3500
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: plus-5000
Detroit Lions: plus-5000
St Louis Rams: plus-5000
Okay, now I’m starting to believe in this team making the playoffs.
Can I please get my money back on that under 8.5 win total?
Actually, no. Let me mush us to a playoff berth.
To start things out, I see the Eagles are listed as the fifth favorite to win the conference. And since six teams qualify for the playoffs, I am led to believe the Eagles are going to be fighting for their playoff lives throughout the season.
I really hope this is the case, because meaningless football with three games to go is worse than carrying a conversation with a Cowboys fan who was born in the Philadelphia area.
The way I see it, the odds tell me the Cowboys, Saints, Vikings, and Packers are a lock to make the playoffs.
Arguments? Didn’t think so.
And since the NFC West is contractually obligated to send a representative to the playoffs this year, you can pencil in the 49ers or whatever team you want, but two teams are not coming out of the division.
That leaves the Eagles, Giants, Falcons, and maybe the Bears and ‘Skins battling it out for the last spot in the playoffs. If that’s our competition, I feel fairly confident.
Okay. So if the Birds have a shot to get into the playoffs, do they have a snowball’s chance in hell to win it all?
As for a wager, can I please have the Vikings?
Super Bowl Champion (I provided the subsections below)
Indianapolis Colts: plus-700
Dallas Cowboys: plus-800
San Diego Chargers: plus-900
New Orleans Saints: plus-1000
Green Bay Packers: plus-1000
New York Jets: plus-1000
Baltimore Ravens: plus-1000
Minnesota Vikings: plus-1000
Here on Reputation Only
New England Patriots: plus-1300
Pittsburgh Steelers: plus-1500
New York Giants: plus-2000
Philadelphia Eagles: plus-2000
San Francisco 49ers: plus-2000
Atlanta Falcons: plus-2000
Chicago Bears: plus-3000
Miami Dolphins: plus-3000
Houston Texans: plus-4000
Tennessee Titans: plus-4000
Washington Redskins: plus-4000
Cincinnati Bengals: plus-5000
Burn Your Money
Seattle Seahawks: plus-7500
Arizona Cardinals: plus-7500
Denver Broncos: plus-7500
Why bother showing up?
Kansas City Chiefs: plus -10000
Oakland Raiders: plus- 10000
Detroit Lions: plus -10000
St Louis Rams: plus -10000
Cleveland Browns:plus -10000
Carolina Panthers: plus-10000
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: plus -10000
Jacksonville Jaguars: plus -10000
Buffalo Bills: plus-10000
Everyone in Philadelphia wants to see a Super Bowl, but we are smart enough to know this is not the year for it.
Since it isn't going to be the Birds, I will put my money on the Pakcers. I know I took the Vikings for the NFC Championship, but this kind of hedges my bet and I don't want to put all my eggs in one basket.
The Birds are stuck in the group that consists of the Wannabes, but luckily they are spared from the Fraud category, which is the ultimate kiss of death.
The numbers listed above should give Eagles fans some hope that this season is not going to be a complete waste and that they are moving in the right direction considering the circumstances.
With Kevin Kolb taking over the reins for the first time in his career, coupled with a young and unproven defense, I thought the Eagles could be facing a 6-10 season, and I know I’m not alone with that feeling.
The fact that the true experts gave us information like this makes really want September 12 to get here ever quicker.