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Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Kamar Aiken celebrates after scoring a 15-yard touchdown in the second half of an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns, Monday, Nov. 30, 2015, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)
Baltimore Ravens wide receiver Kamar Aiken celebrates after scoring a 15-yard touchdown in the second half of an NFL football game against the Cleveland Browns, Monday, Nov. 30, 2015, in Cleveland. (AP Photo/Ron Schwane)Associated Press

Fantasy Football 2016 Cheat Sheet: Draft Rankings and Sleepers to Target

Andrew GouldSep 3, 2016

Get ready for a wild weekend of fantasy football drafting.

The 2016 NFL season begins Thursday, leaving football fanatics with little time to select fantasy squads. Those who don't spend this year's final football-free Sunday drafting should instead be studying for the big day.

By this point, everyone has examined his or her fair share of rankings. It's never a good idea to follow just one source, so another batch won't hurt. This latest installment also features some important updates driven by injuries and new findings.

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A studious drafter is probably tired of seeing sleeper lists. Rather than starting another philosophical argument over what justifies the label, understand that the guys highlighted below aren't hidden gems someone can steal for pennies in a hardcore league.

Since they're probably still bench picks in a casual 12-team league, they're at least value picks, if not true sleepers, in the eyes of sophisticated managers.  

Rankings

1Cam Newton, CARTodd Gurley, LAAntonio Brown, PITRob Gronkowski, NE
2Aaron Rodgers, GBDavid Johnson, ARIJulio Jones, ATLJordan Reed, WAS
3Russell Wilson, SEAAdrian Peterson, MINOdell Beckham Jr., NYGGreg Olsen, CAR
4Drew Brees, NOLamar Miller, HOUA.J. Green, CINTravis Kelce, KC
5Andrew Luck, INDEzekiel Elliott, DALDeAndre Hopkins, HOUDelanie Walker, TEN
6Carson Palmer, ARILe'Veon Bell, PITAllen Robinson, JACCoby Fleener, NO
7Ben Roethlisberger, PITMark Ingram, NOJordy Nelson, GBGary Barnidge, CLE
8Tom Brady, NEDevonta Freeman, ATLBrandon Marshall, NYJZach Ertz, PHI
9Eli Manning, NYGLeSean McCoy, BUFKeenan Allen, SDAntonio Gates, SD
10Philip Rivers, SDDoug Martin, TBDez Bryant, DALJulius Thomas, JAC
11Blake Bortles, JACEddie Lacy, GBBrandin Cooks, NOZach Miller, CHI
12Kirk Cousins, WASC.J. Anderson, DENMike Evans, TBTyler Eifert, CIN
13Tyrod Taylor, BUFJamaal Charles, KCAlshon Jeffery, CHIDwayne Allen, IND
14Matthew Stafford, DETCarlos Hyde, SFDemaryius Thomas, DENMartellus Bennett, NE
15Derek Carr, OAKMatt Forte, NYJSammy Watkins, BUFJimmy Graham, SEA
16Andy Dalton, CINThomas Rawls, SEAAmari Cooper, OAKEric Ebron, DET
17Jameis Winston, TBJonathan Stewart, CARRandall Cobb, GBJason Witten, DAL
18Matt Ryan, ATLLatavius Murray, OAKEric Decker, NYJVance McDonald, SF
19Ryan Fitzpatrick, NYJJeremy Hill, CINT.Y. Hilton, INDClive Walford, OAK
20Marcus Mariota, TENDeMarco Murray, TENJeremy Maclin, KCJordan Cameron, MIA
1Antonio Brown, PITWR1
2Julio Jones, ATLWR2
3Odell Beckham Jr., NYGWR3
4Todd Gurley, LARB1
5David Johnson, ARIRB2
6Adrian Peterson, MINRB3
7Lamar Miller, HOURB4
8A.J. Green, CINWR4
9DeAndre Hopkins, HOUWR5
10Ezekiel Elliott, DALRB5
11Rob Gronkowski, NETE1
12Allen Robinson, JACWR6
13Le'Veon Bell, PITRB6
14Jordy Nelson, GBWR7
15Mark Ingram, NORB7
16Devonta Freeman, ATLRB8
17Brandon Marshall, NYJWR8
18Keenan Allen, SDWR9
19Dez Bryant, DALWR10
20LeSean McCoy, BUFRB9
21Brandin Cooks, NOWR11
22Mike Evans, TBWR12
23Doug Martin, TBRB10
24Eddie Lacy, GBRB11
25Alshon Jeffery, CHIWR13
26C.J. Anderson, DENRB12
27Jamaal Charles, KCRB13
28Demaryius Thomas, DENWR14
29Cam Newton, CARQB1
30Sammy Watkins, BUFWR15
31Amari Cooper, OAKWR16
32Aaron Rodgers, GBQB2
33Carlos Hyde, SFRB14
34Matt Forte, NYJRB15
35Randall Cobb, GBWR17
36Thomas Rawls, SEARB16
37Eric Decker, NYJWR18
38Jonathan Stewart, CARRB17
39T.Y. Hilton, INDWR19
40Jeremy Maclin, KCWR20
41Latavius Murray, OAKRB18
42Jordan Reed, WASTE2
43Greg Olsen, CARTE3
44Russell Wilson, SEAQB3
45Jeremy Hill, CINRB19
46Julian Edelman, NEWR21
47Doug Baldwin, SEAWR22
48Drew Brees, NOQB4
49Jarvis Landry, MIAWR23
50DeMarco Murray, TENRB20

Sleepers

Spencer Ware, RB, Kansas City Chiefs

Early drafters took Jamaal Charles' return for granted, but his recovery from the second ACL tear of his career has gone slower than expected.

The 29-year-old running back did not suit up in the preseason, and he's looking uncertain for Week 1 of the regular season. According to the Kansas City Star's Terez A. Paylor, Chiefs head coach Andy Reid has continued to preach patience:

Even if Charles is ready to go, he looks poised to share the workload with Spencer Ware, who registered 5.6 yards per run last season. Pro Football Focus' Scott Barrett highlighted his ability to avoid negative plays:

Ware should compete with DeAngelo Williams as one of this year's most important handcuffs, but he doesn't need a major Charles setback to contribute. If he performs like he did last year, the Chiefs should let the two backs share the touches to preserve their star rusher.

Unless his price skyrockets in light of recent reports, he warrants a minimal investment. Whether or not Charles plays, it will pay immediate dividends early in the season.

Kamar Aiken, WR, Baltimore Ravens

Some readers will say a team's No. 1 receiver can't be a sleeper, especially not one who snagged 75 receptions for 944 yards last season.

Then explain why Kamar Aiken is ESPN.com's No. 54-ranked wide receiver behind brittle teammate Steve Smith Sr.

When Smith went down for the season with a torn Achilles, Aiken shined as the Baltimore Ravens' top target last year. Over the final eight games, six without starting quarterback Joe Flacco, Aiken tallied 50 catches for 611 yards and three touchdowns.

As RotoWire's Vlad Sedler noted, only an elite crop of high-volume wideouts received more looks than Aiken late last season:

If Aiken remains a starter, he'll outperform his draft slot as a No. 3 receiver or flex play with added value in points-per-reception formats. Smith and Breshad Perriman could return and push him aside, but don't bank on either starting the season at 100 percent.

He's not a glamorous bench flier, but Aiken is a solid value pick amid a sea of high-ceiling, low-floor risks.

Zach Miller, TE, Chicago Bears

Late last season, Zach Miller showed what he can do in place of Martellus Bennett.

In four games without Bennett—who now plays for the New England Patriots—Miller recorded 20 catches for 221 yards and two touchdowns. The 31-year-old collected all five of his touchdowns over the Chicago Bears' final eight games.

Bennett led all tight ends with 90 catches in 2014, so a healthy Alshon Jeffery shouldn't shove Miller out of the picture. Even if the star wideout and Kevin White—who missed his entire rookie campaign after suffering a shin injury—dazzle, quarterback Jay Cutler tends to keep his tight ends busy.

Miller won't generate much hype with 909 career receiving yards and nine touchdowns scattered over four seasons. After he spent three years injured and inactive, last year's late breakout came from out of nowhere.

Yet Miller also has a higher catch rate (74 percent) and yards-per-catch average (11.5) than his predecessor, so regular reps should make him a sneaky candidate to finish as a top-10 tight end.

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