
B/R MLB 500: Top 35 Shortstops
After paying a visit to the guys at second base, the B/Rย MLBย 500 will now move on to the jewels of the infield: shortstops.
Shortstops will be scored like so: 25 points for Hitting, 25 points for Power, 20 points for Baserunning and 30 points for Defense for a total of 100 points.
The Hitting category involves not only looking at how good guys are at putting the bat on the ball and how they hit the ball but also things like patience and plate discipline.ย
The Power category is not so much about raw power. It's more of a look at how much power guys have in actual games, which involves looking into how they tap into their power for extra-base hits.
The Baserunning category is one that could be complicated, but we're going to keep it simple by focusing on how good guys are at stealing bases, taking extra bases and avoiding outs on the bases.
For Defense, various amounts of attention will be paid to the various things that make a good shortstop: range, sure-handedness, arm strength, etc.
One thing we'reย notย doing this year is a category for health. Rather than handle them separately, any health concerns we have will be applied to a specific category that could be impacted.ย
Please note that a score in the middle (i.e., 12/25 or 15/30) denotesย average, notย failing. And while the discussion will be centered on 2014, we also have one eye on 2015. Part of that means no Derek Jeter. it also involves B/R prospect guruย Mike Rosenbaumย dishing some knowledge on a few MLB-ready shortstops.
Lastly, any ties will be resolved with the following question: "If we could pick only one, who would it be?"
When you're ready, you can read on.
A Note on Links and Sources
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Before we begin, there are some things you should know about the links and stats that lie ahead.
First and foremost is thatย CLICKING ON THE LINKS ISย NOTย MANDATORY. The links are there in case you're curious where a given point (or points) is coming from.
They're not from the same place. The links will take you toย Baseball-Reference.com,ย FanGraphs.com,ย BrooksBaseball.net,ย BaseballSavant.comย andย BaseballProspectus.com. All have different data to offer, the combination of which was the backbone for the researching of this project.
However, just because this project was heavily informed by stats doesn't mean you're about to be hit over the head with sabermetric jargon inย thisย space. There are really only a couple of terms to know.
One isย XBT%. That stands for "extra bases taken percentage," and it's Baseball-Reference.com's way of tracking how often players advance more than one base on singles and doubles. It's a crude way to get a picture of aggressiveness, and you'll have to pardon us for being a day behind on the percentages, but it'll have to do.
I'm also going to be repeatedly referring to "the defensive metrics." This meansย ultimate zone ratingย (UZR) andย defensive runs savedย (DRS), which are both tracked by FanGraphs. They go about it differently, but the idea behind both is to evaluate how good players are on defense.
35. Ruben Tejada, New York Mets
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Hitting
Though his walk rate has been inflated by intentional walks, Ruben Tejada does have aย pretty good eyeย for the zone. Heโs also gotten better atย hitting everything for line drives, giving himself a much-needed average booster. However, he still hits theย ball in the airย too often for a guy with his power, and heโs still far too easy to get out onย pitches away from him. In short: a good hitter, he is not.
Power
As referenced above, Tejada doesnโt have the power to make a high fly-ball rate work. In fact, he might specialize inย hitting shallow fly ballsย more than any hitter in the game. It makes matters even worse that he has very little gap power and that fly balls and line drives to his pull side arenโt exactly frequent. All told, thereโs simply not much he can do to pad his power production.
Baserunning
Tejada doesnโt have much to offer here either. Heโs not a base stealer now, and he's never really shown base-stealing potential since arriving in the majors in 2010. To make matters worse, hisย XBT% has fallenย from the 45-50 range all the way to 25 percent this year. Heโs better than that but not to a point where we can do him too much of a kindness with his score.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have Tejadaโs defense pegged as his saving grace in 2014, rating him as an above-average defender. Heโs at least been more reliable, as he hasnโt had issues with throwing errors like he did in 2012 and 2013. The bigger question is his range, which is limited by oftentimes sluggish first-step quickness and quickness.
Overall
Tejadaโs not a totally unplayable shortstop. He at least has a good eye at the plate, and his defense is better than passable. But without a good bat, good power, goodย baserunningย or a truly elite glove, itโs hard to see him becoming any better than just playable.
34. Everth Cabrera, San Diego Padres
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Hitting
Everth Cabrera has gotten worse at everything he was doing well in 2013.ย His approachย has gotten more aggressive and less disciplined, and the strong contact habit he developed has been wrecked byย elevated whiff rates. Heโs also theย ground-balliest player in the league, which isnโt idealย even for a guy with his speed. Heโs not broken beyond repair, but he definitely needs a lot of fixing.
Power
Because the overwhelming majority of balls off Cabreraโs bat go on the ground, thereโs a natural cap on his power. That he plays at Petco Park is another factor. Heโs not without the capacity to surprise, however. Especially from the left side of the plate, where heย has the powerย to pop one over the right field wall or the center fielderโs head, as well as the ability to slap some liners down the left field line.
Baserunning
After stealing 81 bases between 2012 and 2013, Cabreraโs been a disappointment in 2014. His left hamstring is partially to blame. It put Cabrera on the disabled listย once in 2013 and has sent him to the DL twice this year. Still, some level of optimism is warranted on the basis that Cabrera is pushing 20 stealsย with a 52 XBT%ย on the side. And at 27-going-on-28, heโs not too old for a baserunning comeback.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are still on the fence about Cabreraโs defense, and that pretty well sums him up as a defender. His ability to accelerate quickly gives him pretty good range and allows him to make tough plays, but heโs also prone to misplays and occasionally iffy reactions at the crack of the bat. Knowing that, itโs hard to call him any better than average.ย
Overall
Itโs been some downfall for Cabrera. His breakout 2013 season was interrupted by his Biogenesis suspension, and his 2014 season has been governed by Murphyโs law. But even if his bat isnโt fixed and he doesnโt get back to being a big stolen base threat, thereโs at least some value left in his legs and glove.ย
33. Marwin Gonzalez, Houston Astros
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Hitting
Marwin Gonzalez has done himself a favor by cutting down on his swingsย against the slow stuffย andย hitting it on a lineย more regularly. But this is merely a step in the right direction untilย his productionย against it actually improves, and thatโs not happening until he stops hitting itย primarily on the ground. And in general, heโs too much ofย an undisciplinedย ground-ball/fly-ball hitterย to really be consistent.
Power
Be careful about taking Gonzalezโs 2014 power at face value. Beyond him being a heavy ground-ball hitter, his dingers have come courtesy ofย shots down the lineย that barely had enough. Take those away, and youย see a hitterย who doesnโt often pull the ball in the air or assault the gaps with line drives when batting lefty. That leaves little to like.
Baserunning
This could be the last year we see Gonzalez try to steal bases. He wasnโt a good base stealer to begin with, and this year heโs done more harm than good. Fortunately, heโs not doing any damage when it comes to his aggressiveness. Hisย XBT% has gone upย each year, peaking at 46 percent in 2014. If he can up his XBT% again while avoiding getting thrown out trying to steal, he can pass for a solid baserunner.
Defense
Just as they were in 2013,ย the defensive metricsย are split on what to make of Gonzalezโs defense. That puts it up to the eye test, which says Gonzalez is more likely a tick below average than above average. He has solid range, but itโs limited in how he doesnโt always take good paths to the ball and how his arm strength is nothing special.
Overall
Because Gonzalez has made some adjustments as a hitter, heโs now a guy who can give the Houston Astros some decent offense and defense at short. It just might not get any better than decent, so he should be considered merely their best placeholder until Carlos Correa is ready. And we'll have more on him soon enough...
32. Eugenio Suarez, Detroit Tigers
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Hitting
The good: Eugenio Suarezย has shown offย good awareness of the strike zoneย and has been able to hit breaking andย off-speedย stuffย for line drives. The bad: He hasnโt been great at making contact, heโs been too passive on pitches within the zone, he hasnโt been able to hitย pitches up in the zoneย and heโs really only hitย grounders and liners to left field. That leaves him with limited avenues to boost his production.
Power
Another thing Suarez has done in the majors is hitย a lot of fly balls. Thatโs ordinarily good for power, but not for him. Hisย main fly-ball alleyย has been to center field, and he doesnโt have enough pop in his 5โ11โ, 180-pound frame to hit for consistent power in that direction. And because his line-drive habit really only applies to left field, his potential for doubles power is also restricted.
Baserunning
Suarez had only modest success stealing bases in the minors, and he hasnโt teased that heโs going to be any better at it in the majors. He also has onlyย a 27 XBT%, most notably going first to third in just two out of 19 opportunities. As such, heโs definitely lived up to the note inย Baseball Americaโsย post-2013 scouting report (subscription required) that heโs a below-average runner.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have had a fair amount of time to form an opinion of Suarezโs defense, and so far, they think heโs at best average. Errors are partially to blame, but Suarez has shown that he has the playmaking ability to make up for those. His hands and arm are both assets, and he has solid first-step quickness too. With these things, he's not without solid potential.
Overall
The first few weeks of Suarezโs big league career were an intriguing tease. But in reality, the player heโs been more recently is likely the more accurate portrayal. Heโs merely a passable hitter with the potential to be an above-average defender at short, which heโll have to be if he wants to stick in the majors.
31. Yunel Escobar, Tampa Bay Rays
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Hitting
Yunel Escobar looks a lot like the hitter he was in 2013, and thatโs both good news and bad news. Itโs good because his approach still features aย mix of patience and discipline, and heโs still getting better at hitting hard stuff on the nose. Itโs bad because heโs stillย overmatched against good changeupsย and because of how frequently heย rolls over ground balls. So while heโs a capable hitter, capable is as good as it gets.
Power
Theย elevated fly-ball rateย Escobar has this year should be making him a better power hitter, but one thing that restricted his power in 2013 is still restricting it. Just as he tended to only drive the ball mainly to center fieldย last year, heโs doing it all over againย this year. Escobar has solid pop in that direction, but itโs clear now that itโs not solid enough for him to sustain himself as a quality power supply.
Baserunning
That Escobar has stopped trying to steal bases is an upgrade, as he didnโt do any good with his 4-for-8 effort in 2013. That heโs stopped running into outs at second base is another positive development. Itโs therefore a bummer that heโs following up a 42 XBT% with only aย 38 XBT%ย this year. Heโs not getting any more aggressive on theย basepaths, and I wouldnโt expect any better after he turns 32.
Defense
Escobar has tended to rate as a strong defender, butย the defensive metricsย are seeing him as an utter disaster this year. That heโs gone back to being error-prone is part of the problem, but he hasnโt been as explosive a playmaker either. To the naked eye, he doesnโt seem to have the same spring in his legs, making it tough for him to cover ground. That could be his 31 years beginning to take hold.
Overall
After riding a solid bat and plus defense to a terrific bounce-back season in 2013, Escobar has gone back in the other direction. His hitting is hanging in there OK, but thereโs something to how poorly heโs rating on defense. He doesnโt look like the guy who was all over the place defensively in 2013.
30. Jordy Mercer, Pittsburgh Pirates
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Hitting
Pitchers have the right idea in giving Jordy Mercerย fewer fastballs to hit. If he doesnโtย whiff on slow stuff, heโs extremely likely toย hit it on the ground. If he doesnโt fix that, heโs going to have trouble being consistent. His saving grace, however, is that he can handle the fastballs he does see. Heย has the zone coveredย reasonably well and can hit themย for line drivesย inย any direction.ย
Power
The bulk of Mercerโs power this season has beenย situated to his pull side, but heโs not without pop up the middle of the field. That makes him a solid power threat as far as shortstops go. Even still, his power does come with restrictions. It mainly onlyย applies to fastballs, and heโs too much of an inconsistentย line-drive and fly-ball hitterย to boost his power production.
Baserunning
The best thing Mercer has done on theย basepathsย this season is be more careful, which is something he needed to do after running into eight outs in 2013. But heโs still not a base-stealing threat, and what was a 41 XBT% in 2013 hasย fallen all the wayย to 30 percent. Notably, heโs gone first to third just once in 16 chances. So outside of him being more cautious, thereโs not much to speak of.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split on Mercerโs defenseโand in a big way. While one rates him as average, the other rates him as way above average. Heโs likely not actually that good, as heโs limited in terms of athleticism. But he has been more active making plays this year, taking good paths to ground balls and using his strong arm to finish the job. Maybe he's great, but heโs at least good.
Overall
The real surprise this season has been Mercerโs defense, as more regular playing time has given him the chance to show what he can do with the glove. But while his defense is solid, heโs merely passable as a hitter and as a baserunner.
29. Didi Gregorius, Arizona Diamondbacks
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Hitting
After ending 2013 in a prolonged slump,ย Didiย Gregoriusย hasnโt done much to improve. Hisย decreased aggressivenessย has happened outside the zone rather than inside. Heโs only gotten worse atย making contact with slow stuffย and in generalย hasnโt been able to hit it. Heโs also stillย hitting way too many fly ballsย for a guy with his power. At this point, itโs hard to believe heโs anything better than a .200 hitter.
Power
Gregoriusย doesnโt have the kind of power that justifies such a high fly-ball rate, but his power isnโt aย totalย waste of time. Anything in the air to right field this seasonย has been trouble, and heโs struck the ball to left fieldย with more authorityย than he didย in 2013. He hasnโt gotten results doing so, but itโs possible thereโs some potential there.
Baserunning
Gregoriusย still doesnโt look like heโs going to be any better of a base stealer than the scouting reports said he would be. Over a full season, he might fit into only the five- to 10-steal range. So itโs a good thing that heโs shown he can handle an XBT% over 50, following up last yearโs 51 percentย with 54 percentย this year. If he can do that while providing some steals, thatโll work.
Defense
The future of Arizonaโs middle infield and howย Gregoriusย fits into it is murky, but heโs definitely a shortstop by trade. And thoughย the defensive metricsย arenโt crazy about his defense, he still passes the eye test well enough. His footwork can get a little iffy, and his playmaking ability will be limited as long as thatโs the case. But his 6โ2โ frame allows him to cover ground well, and his arm strength is an easy plus.
Overall
Exactly how Kevin Towersย saw a young Derek Jeterย inย Gregoriusย is still a mystery, as his time in the majors has done plenty to reveal the various holes in his hitting. But as a guy who can offer some solid power,ย baserunningย and defense, heโs not worth giving up on just yet.
28. Xander Bogaerts, Boston Red Sox
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Hitting
If thereโs hope for Xanderย Bogaerts, itโs in howย his approachย in his first full season has hardly been wild. Heโs not Joeyย Votto, but heโs continued to show off the solid patience and discipline he teased last October. But aside from that, weโve found out that heโsย extremely weak against breaking ballsย and that he canโt do muchย with low hard pitches. These are really, really bad weaknesses to have at the MLB level.
Power
Whileย Bogaertsย has shown that he needs some serious work in the hitting department, things arenโt so bad with his power. Heโs hitย a lot of fly ballsย and in doing so has shown good powerย up the middleย of the field. The best thing for him to do is try to pull the ball more so he can take advantage of the Green Monster, but thereโs no question that his power potential is better than his production makes it look.
Baserunning
With both what he did in the minors and what heโs done so far in the majors,ย Bogaertsย has made it clear enough that heโs not going to be a base stealer. He has shown he can be a deftย baserunner, though, following up a small-sample-size 50 XBT% last yearย with a 44 XBT%ย this year. On top of that, outs on theย basepathsย have been highly infrequent.
Defense
Ifย Bogaertsย is going to be locked into shortstop for the long haul,ย the defensive metricsย suggest that the Red Sox better be ready to live with below-average defense. So does the eye test.ย Bogaertsย is big for a shortstop, and it shows in his first-step quickness and general lack of acceleration. Heโs also shown in his time at both short and third base this season that his throwing accuracy needs work.
Overall
You can go backย to early Juneย to find a time whenย Bogaertsย was not only living up to the hype, but surpassing it. But then the league found his weaknesses, and heโs done nothing to patch that up while playing subpar defense. The potential is still there, but itโs clear heโs further away from reaching it than it first appeared.
27. Chris Taylor, Seattle Mariners
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Hitting
Itโs early yet, but so far, Chris Taylor has shown aย strong awareness of the zoneย and something of an ability toย use the whole field. However, heโs shown a tendency toย whiff on slow stuffย and a weakness onย pitches up in the zoneย as well. Heโs also mainly been aย ground-ball/fly-ball hitter, and heโs gottenย way too luckyย on the grounders. So outside of his approach, actual tangibles strengths are hard to pinpoint.
Power
Taylor wasnโt much of a power producer in the minors, and he hasnโt become one in the short time heโs been in the majors. He will give himself plenty of chances to hit for good pop if his fly-ball rate is a sign of things to come, however, and itโs worth something that heโs at leastย teased good popย to left field and straightaway center field. Without getting too carried away, we can err on the side of optimism.
Baserunning
Taylor swiped 38 bases in the minors in 2013 and 14 at Triple-A this year. He hasnโt made good on that potential yet, as his first couple of attempts saw him get a dose of humility. One thing he has done aside from that is take the extra base, putting upย a solid 47ย XBT%ย in a limited sample. In light of that and his minor league track record, itโs hard to imagine him being anything less than at least a solid baserunner.
Defense
The defensive metricsย havenโt had much time to form an opinion of Taylorโs defense, but they like what they see so far. So does the eye test. Heโs had his adventures securing the ballโand thatโs not just a reference to the fielding errors heโs madeโbut heโs also shown really good range stemming from a quick first step and good instincts. If only he had a plus arm to go with that range, as his looks fringy for short.
Overall
Itโs admittedly too early to have a really good sense of what kind of hitter Taylor is going to be in the majors, but one thing we know well enough for now is that his range gives him the potential to be a really good defender at short. And really good defenders at short are, of course, pretty valuable players.
26. Brad Miller, Seattle Mariners
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Hitting
Letโs just say itโs difficult to find anything that Brad Miller does well as a hitter. Hisย approach is solid, but not overly patient or disciplined. Heโs solid at making contact, but less than good. Then thereโs how heย canโt hit breaking balls, isย too pull-heavyย and generally hasย hardly any coverage of the zoneย outside of the down-and-in lefty wheelhouse. So letโs just put it this way: Heโs a bad hitter.
Power
A bad hitter, of course, isnโt necessarily a bad power hitter. So it is with Miller. He gives himself plenty of chances to hit for power by hittingย a lot of fly balls, and he canย hit the ball hardย anywhere between the left-center gap and the right field foul line. Trouble is that his line-drive power isnโt on the same level as his fly-ball power, as coming up with line drives of any kind consistently has been a struggle for him.
Baserunning
Millerโs a solid athlete, but his speed isnโt meant for stealing bases. Heโs showed as much since he arrived in the majors in 2013, attempting few steals and succeeding without the benefit of much efficiency. Itโs also hard to give him point for his aggressiveness. He may haveย a 47 XBT%, but heโs also made too many outs at second and third. As aย baserunner, average is as good as it gets.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split on Millerโs defense, in part because he hasnโt helped himself with all the errors heโs made. The majority of those have been throwing errors, which highlights how wild he is with his arm. In light of that, itโs a good thing he has good range that stems from a good first step. The miscues canโt be forgiven, but he can make just enough snazzy plays to make up for them.
Overall
Itโs easy to focus on Millerโs batting numbers, and they donโt lie. He really is that out of his depth as a hitter, and he is arguably unplayable for that. The only reason we say โarguablyโ is because he at least has good power and a decent glove for the position.
25. Jed Lowrie, Oakland A's
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Hitting
Jed Lowrieย still hasย a batting eyeย that comes in handy drawing walks, and he still has a strong contact habit as well. Also, hisย average on line drivesย has regressed far more thanย his line-drive rate, indicating plenty of bad luck. However, theย increase in hard stuffย heโs seen is a concern. Heโs never been aย great fastball hitter, and his low average againstย 90-plus heatย isnโt a good look for a guy whoโs approaching 31.ย
Power
Lowrie is among baseballโsย least frequent ground-ball hitters. Thatย shouldย make him a good power threat, and he certainly is a good one by shortstop standards. But as a lefty, he clearlyย hasnโt driven the ballย like he didย in 2013ย and 2012. The same goes for his righty hitting, as he had better oppo powerย in 2013ย than heโs hadย this year. Factor in his age and his recent finger injury, and his power is not without concerns.
Baserunning
Ifย Lowrieโsย made anything clear during his career, itโs that he doesnโt do stolen bases. That makes him entirely dependent on aggressiveness forย baserunningย value, and he doesnโt really do that either. After just a 29 XBT% in 2013, heโs improved onlyย to 35 percentย this year, with just three first-to-thirds in 25 chances. All told, thereโs not a whole lot that he can do to provide value as a runner.
Defense
The defensive metricsย tend to go back and forth onย Lowrieโsย defense, but thereโs really nothing that he does especially well on defense. Heโs not particularly sure-handed or strong-armed, and his range is limited by his general lack of athleticism. Heโll presumably market himself as a shortstop in free agency this winter, but you wonder how many clubs will actually view him as one.
Overall
Even with the question marks that have emerged this season, thereโs little question thatย Lowrieโsย a better hitter than heโs shown. But since heโs a poorย baserunnerย and an iffy defender, heโs more of a hitter playing shortstop than a shortstop with a good bat.
24. Stephen Drew, New York Yankees
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Hitting
Stephen Drew has retainedย neither the patience nor the disciplineย that he showed last year. He hasnโt been able to hitย anything slow. Heโs been a threat only againstย down-the-middle pitches. Heโsย hardly used left field. Heโs been hittingย too many fly balls. So while you want to cut him some slack because of how he started his season late, his age (32 next March) and his laundry list of problems make that tough.
Power
Drewโs power hasnโt suffered as much. Thatโs the reality of a high fly-ball rate at work, though long drives off Drewโs bat have actually been infrequent. Heโs hit the ball with authority onlyย to his pull side, and heโs fortunate that virtually all of those hits have produced results. Heโll need to stay at Yankee Stadium for that to keep up...which, granted, could definitely happen with No. 2 calling it a career.
Baserunning
Drew hasnโt been on base enough to be a stolen-base threat, so his lackluster production in that department can be forgiven. Whatโs less easy to forgive is how heโs following upย a 42 XBT% rateย with an XBT% of justย sixย percent. Heโs better than that, but such Adam Dunn-like bumbling can only be forgiven so much.
Defense
Drew is filling in mainly at second base for now, but heโll presumably be a shortstop again in 2015.ย The defensive metricsย like his defense at short even more than they liked it in 2013, and for good reason. Heโs mostly looked like the guy who played superb defense last October, combining a good first-step with good reads and good footwork to boost his range, and heโs been pretty sure-handed to boot.
Overall
The long wait to start playing in 2014 has done a number on Drewโs bat, and hisย baserunningย has been negatively impacted as well. Itโs a good thing heโs shown he can still play a good shortstop while at least offering some power at the plate.
23. Corey Seager, Los Angeles Dodgers (Prospect)
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Hitting
A left-handed hitter, Coreyย Seagerย has the potential for above-average hit and power tools at maturity, though there may always be some swing-and-miss to his game.ย Seagerย has an easy, direct swing that allows him to sting the ball from line to line, and there arenโt enough positive things to say about his ability to pick apart pitchers and hit in all counts.
Power
Seagerย has always shown impressive powerย to the opposite field, albeit mostly doubles, but heโs learned toย turn on the ballย more consistently this season and has seen his power numbers spike as a result. Heโll only get stronger moving forward, so itโs not crazy to thinkย Seager, like his older brother Kyle, will be a consistent 20-homer threat at maturity.
Baserunning
Seagerโsย speed represents his only down tool; heโs an average-at-best runner but still moves well enough on the basepaths to put pressure on opposing defenses. While he could potentially enjoy seasons with 10-12 steals,ย Seagerโsย knack for extra-base hits likely means his days as an aggressiveย base stealerย are behind him.ย
Defense
As a shortstop,ย Seagerโsย range is only average, but itโs good enough for him to remain at the position in the short term. At 6โ4โ, 215 pounds,ย Seagerย is expected to physically outgrow the position sometime down the line, but his impact bat and defensive profile should also be a clean fit at the hot corner.
Overall
Regardless of where he ends up defensively,ย Seagerโsย bat will have him hitting in the middle of a big league lineup sooner rather than later. To put it simply, the 20-year-old rakes, and the fact that his production has translated at the Double-A level, outside the hitter-friendly California League, during the second half has only further confirmed his status as a top-tier prospect.ย
22. Adeiny Hechavarria, Miami Marlins
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Hitting
Not that he was disciplined to begin with, but 2014 has seen Adeinyย Hechavarriaย turn into aย swing-at-everything hitter. Fortunately, he could be a worse contact hitter heโs become even more of aย line-drive and ground-ball hitter, and he is becoming Jeter-esqueย in his ability to punch the ballย to the opposite field. Heโs not a good hitter yet, but this is progress in the right direction.
Power
Hechavarriaโs increasing abandonment of left field isnโt going to make it any easier for him to hit for power, but itโs not by accident that heโs a good triples hitter. Hisย main power alleyย is up the middle. Thatโs a tough place to hit home runs at Marlins Park, but Hechavarria at least has the power to get it over the center fielderโs head. Add in his speed, and you have a guy who can survive without home runs.
Baserunning
Hechavarriaโsย a rarity in that he has good speed but, at best, a mediocre ability to steal bases. After going 11-for-21 in 2013, he really hasnโt been markedly better this year. Heโs better at taking extra bases on balls in play and is actually only getting better inย the XBT% department. Heโs jumped from 41 percent to 56 percent, with increased aggressiveness going first-to-third being part of the equation.
Defense
The defensive metricsย rateย Hechavarriaย as a subpar defender, which might sound like blasphemy for those who have seen his plus range and arm strength on the highlights. And it is indeed hard to buy him as a below-average shortstop in light of those plays. But his vice is inconsistency.ย FanGraphsโ Jeff Sullivanย did a fine job of showing how, highlightingย Hechavarriaโsย come-and-go focus and tendency to misplay the ball. ย
Overall
Right now,ย Hechavarriaย is a shortstop with a suspect bat and an inconsistent glove, realistically making him barely a viable regular. Fortunately, heโs getting better rather than worse. In particular, hereโs thinking we havenโt seen his best defense yet.
21. Jean Segura, Milwaukee Brewers
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Hitting
Jean Seguraโs approach isย aggressive and undisciplined, and his solid contact habit is wastedย on ground balls. The combination makes him more reliant on good luck than most hitters. That luck simply hasnโt been there this year, as his average on ground ballsย has plummeted. A turnaround could happen in 2015, but this year has made the point that Seguraโs performance will be prone to fluctuate until he makes some changes.
Power
Like with any ground-ball hitter, Seguraโs power potential is in limited simply by how infrequent balls in the air occur. Which is a shame, because he does have some pretty good raw power. He made that clear by making center field hisย main power alley in 2013, and this yearโs strugglesย havenโt completely robbed himย of that ability. That puts Seguraโs power in a weird category: limited but also better than it looks.
Baserunning
Seguraโs base-stealing habit has been limited mainly by how infrequently heโs been on base in 2014, but heโs also hurt himself with his efficiency. Heโs looked nothing like the guy who stole 44 bases in 2013. But because heโs at least kept himself in range of the 20-steal discussion while putting togetherย a rock-solid 68 XBT%,ย baserunningย has hardly become a weakness for him.
Defense
Just as they were in 2013,ย the defensive metricsย are split on how good Segura is in the field. It doesnโt help that errors are still very much a part of the equation and that his arm strength is nothing special for short, but the range he gets from his quick acceleration helps him make up for those shortcomings. That doesnโt make him a great defender, but it at least makes him a solid one.
Overall
Not much has gone right for Segura in 2014, and in the process the various shortcomings in his game have been revealed. Itโs not as hopeless as it looks, though. He still has a good mix of pop and speed, and he has an approach to hitting that makes a sudden rush of good luck a legit possibility.
20. Zack Cozart, Cincinnati Reds
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Hitting
Zack Cozartโsย approach is neitherย particularly patient nor disciplined. He has yet to show aย consistent line-drive ability,ย specializing insteadย in ground balls to the left side of the infield and pop-ups over the right side of the infield. And after anything inside was an adventureย in 2013, anything away has been an adventureย this year. All this leaves but one silver lining: At least heโs gotten better at making contact.
Power
Cozartโsย power is typically his saving grace as a hitter, but heโs hadย less and less to offerย every year. That he hits so many ground balls and pop-ups doesnโt help, nor does it help that heโs gettingย worse and worseย at pulling the ball in the air to left field. Thatโs especially true this year, as virtually all of his well-hit balls haveย been to center field. He doesnโt have the raw power to succeed at doing that.
Baserunning
Cozartย has at least provided some stolen bases to make up for his decline, setting a new career high and teasing that heย mightย have 10-steal potential going forward. Heโs alsoย kept his XBT%ย over 40 percent, albeit barely. These things donโt make him an explosiveย baserunningย threat, but he's good enough to pass for solid.
Defense
The defensive metricsย already likedย Cozartโsย defense at short, and theyย reallyย like it this year. That heโs played a largely mistake-free shortstop has helped. And while the metrics probably like his range and playmaking ability a bitย tooย much this year, he does have a good first step and an innate knowledge for how to play each ball. Both of these things help make up for whatโs really just OK athleticism.
Overall
Itโs only becoming more clear thatย Cozartย is little more than a low-.200s hitter, and itโs not a good look that pitchers seem to have figured out how to avoid his power. But when you can run the bases reasonably well while playing plus defense at short, you can hold your own as a solid regular.
19. Carlos Correa, Houston Astros (Prospect)
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Hitting
The right-handed hitting Carlosย Correa has a simple, direct swing that allows him to stay inside the ball and utilize the entire field. Heโs batted at least .320-plus at both Class-A levels, while hisย advanced plate disciplineย and pitch recognition (12.3% BB%, 15.4% K%) have produced on-base percentages consistently north of .400.
Power
At 6โ4โ, 205 pounds, Correa, 19, possessesย plus raw powerย but doesnโt swing for the fences, instead employing an approach thatโs geared toward consistent hard contact and getting on base. Considering his age, Correa will show more pop as he fills out, with the potential to hit upward of 20 home runs in his prime.
Baserunning
Correaโs speed is a shade above average, while his long strides help him gain ground once underway. He suffered anย ugly ankle injuryย in late June that required season-ending surgery, so itโll be interesting to see how he runs next spring. If he stays healthy, Correa should be able to swipe 10-15 bases over a full season.
Defense
Despite his large frame, Correa is an excellent athlete with the tools to stick at shortstop long term, includingย soft hands, good rangeย and plus-plus arm strength that produces lasers in the mid- to upper-90s across the infield. Meanwhile, his profile on both sides of the ball could also make him an impact third baseman should he become too thick and/or lose a step.
Overall
Correa is a physically blessed player with present plus makeup and the potential for five average-or-better tools at maturity, and heโs still on the fast track to the major leagues despite the ankle injury. In general, the 19-year-old has one of the highest ceilings in the minors, with the potential to be a perennial All-Star and possibly even an MVP candidate in his prime.
18. Eduardo Escobar, Minnesota Twins
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Hitting
Eduardo Escobar is aย hyper-aggressive hitterย with poor plate discipline and a weak contact ability, and heย has yetย to proveย he can hit slow stuff from righty pitchers. And while heโs gotten a high average on balls in play courtesy of aย high line-drive rate, heโs achieved that exclusively by hittingย hard pitches for line drives. Because heโs seeingย fewer of those ever year, his 2014 performance doesnโt look too sustainable.
Power
While Escobarโs hitting is questionable, that his power isย continuing on an upward trendย is less questionable. Heโs been driving balls to both fieldsย as a righty hitterย andย as a lefty hitterย this season. It doesnโt look like heโs about to develop any real home run power anytime soon, but the power he has now is a terrific fit for Target Field and its big outfield.ย
Baserunning
Escobar leaves stealing bases up to other shortstops. He was a solid base stealer in the minors but has yet to take up the habit in the majors. Heโs also not a very aggressive baserunner, asย his XBT% has fallenย from 56 in 2012 to 47 in 2013 to 35 this year. By shortstop standards, his baserunning is inadequate now and only becoming more so.
Defense
Escobar isnโt strictly a shortstop, but itโs where he plays the most.ย The defensive metricsย are split on whether heโs above average or below average defensively. In reality, heโs likely in between the two. Heโs sure-handed, but his limited quickness gives him limited range. Even still, an average defensive shortstop who can also fill in at other positions is a good guy to have.
Overall
Escobarโs subdued score here is largely owed to how heโs overachieving at the plate while continuing to provide subparย baserunningย for a shortstop. Heโs not a bad power source, though, and heโs at least versatile defensively if not particularly talented. Thatโs a decent regular.
17. Addison Russell, Chicago Cubs (Prospect)
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Hitting
Addison Russell makes lots of hard contact thanks to his plus bat speed and innate bat-to-ball skills, and heโs really startedย driving the ball to all fieldsย over the last year. His swing will get long at times, but Russell gets through the zone so quickly that his average won't suffer due to strikeout totals. Lastly, his mature approach and pitch recognition will lead to plenty of walks and high on-base percentages during his career.
Power
The right-handed hitterโs combination of plus bat speed and a deep point of contact should generateย above-average powerย at the highest level, possibly more depending on his physical development in the coming years. And given his ability to use the entire field, Russell should always tally a high number of doubles and triples.
Baserunning
Russell is an above-average runner with the athleticism and instincts to swipe 15-20 bags annually, but heโs been significantly less aggressive this season after missing the first half with a hamstring injury.
Defense
Russell still has room left to improve defensively, but he already possessesย incredible rangeย to both sides and is especially slick when charging the ball. His plus arm strength allows him to make throws from virtuallyย anywhere on the infield, but there also are times when he doesn't set himself properly and uncorks inaccurate throws.
Overall
Russell has the makings of an All-Star-caliber shortstop, but thereโs still a sizableย gap between his present ability and overall potential. He should be ready to make an impact in the major leagues at some point next season, though the Cubs first will have to determine where heโll play given their impressive depth up the middle.
16. Elvis Andrus, Texas Rangers
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Hitting
Elvis Andrus is one of baseballโsย most discerning hitters, and his good bat controlย allows himย to pepper center and right with line drives and ground balls. That he still hitsย a lot more ground ballsย than line drives holds him back, however, and heโsย not getting better at drawing walks,ย even despite his good eye. Pitchers go right at him, which is what theyโll do with ground-ball hitters who aren't dangerousย in the zone.
Power
Andrus isnโt totally without power. He provides occasional reminders of that when he blasts line drives into the gapsย for doubles and triples. But extreme ground-ball hitters like Andrus do have a tendency to struggle in the power department. Heโs no different, as his power looks considerably worse if you take away the career-high number of doubles heโsย gotten on ground ballsย this year.
Baserunning
Following a 42-steal season, Andrusโ base-stealing habit has taken a turn for the worse. Itโs doubtful heโll even make it to 30 steals, and heโll likely end up leading the league in caught-stealings. The bright side is that a 20- to 25-steal shortstop is still a good thing to have, and Andrusโย 70 XBT% this seasonย is superb by his standards. And since heโs still only 26, it shouldnโt get any worse than this.
Defense
Andrusโ defensive reputation precedes him, yetย the defensive metricsย arenโt buying it in 2014. Both have him as a below-average defender. But while it might not be too far-fetched that Andrus is losing a stepโthere are times when heโs slow to accelerate after his first stepโhe still has a fantastic feel for the position. He knows how to play every ground ball, and he still has the arm to make tough throws.
Overall
Andrus is still a capable everyday player, as he can still hit and run the bases reasonably well while playing defense thatโs better than the defensive metrics think it is. But even though we can give him that much credit, itโs hard to ignore how heโs not as good at these things as he used to be.
15. Francisco Lindor, Cleveland Indians (Prospect)
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Hitting
The switch-hitting Franciscoย Lindorโsย offensive skills have steadily improved over the last four years, as heโs developed an outstanding hitting eye and aptitude from both sides. Heโs also refined his ability to read pitchers and stay withinย hisย zone, which in turn has led to him working deeper counts and chasing fewer pitches out of the zone.
Power
Lindorย never will offer much power, but he has enough strength and bat speed, especiallyย from the left side, to hit 10 to 12 homers at maturity. Heโs more likely to be a line-drive machine who accrues roughly 20 to 25 doubles and a handful of triples over a full season in The Show.
Baserunning
Lindorโsย above-average speed fuels his extra-base hit total, as his wheels and base-running instincts help him turn singles into doubles and doubles into triples.ย Lindorย is also an adept base stealer who knows how to pick his spots, while his on-base skills suggest numerous seasons with 15 to 20 stolen bases.
Defense
Lindorย is anย absolute wizardย with the glove and profiles as an elite defensive shortstop in the major leagues.ย The 20-year-oldโs phenomenal instincts always have himย in the right spotย to make plays, and that doesnโt take into account his impressive range and quick feet. Meanwhile, his plus arm strength is ideal for the position.
Overall
Even ifย Lindorโsย bat doesnโt develop as hoped, he still has the potential to enjoy a long, successful career in the major leagues based on his defensive prowess, superb makeup and ability to control the speed of the game. However, even modest offensive production could makeย Lindorย a perennial All-Star.
14. Brandon Crawford, San Francisco Giants
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Hitting
Brandon Crawfordโs eye is getting better, as heโsย dropped his chase rateย each of the last two years. Heโs also liable to smack a line drive to any field. But alas, the whiff correction he made last yearย hasnโt stuck. Itโs also alarming to see a leftyย struggle so badlyย against righties, who can get him outย with anything slowย and, increasingly, hard stuff on theย inner third of the zone.ย
Power
Fly balls are the best way to power, and Crawfordโs boosted his powerย by hittingย a lot more of them. But while thatโll do for progress, itโs not the best sign thatย relatively few of thoseย have been fly balls to right field, where his home run power resides. That doesnโt mean his extra fly balls are a waste, but it also doesnโt mean heโs transitioning that quickly from a gap power guy to a home run hitter.ย
Baserunning
Crawfordโs a good athlete, but his is the kind of athleticism that doesnโt apply to stealing bases. Heโs done more harm than good in that department in his career and hasnโt shown any signs of getting better. As such, itโs a good thing he can at least manageย a 46 XBT%ย rate that passes well enough for an acceptable rate for a shortstop.
Defense
Crawford is becoming less of the darling ofย the defensive metrics. They now rate him as an average defensive shortstopย at best, in part due to the occasional carelessness that has led to a career-worst season for errors. But while those canโt go unpunished, heโs certainly not lacking in ability. His combination of good first-step quickness, a quick release and a strong arm is still intact, and it still makes for some pretty plays.ย
Overall
Despite what the metrics indicate, Crawfordโs defense is his best talent. Heโs also a solid power threat whoโs at least teasing an ability to get batter. That just leaves him with some holes to fix in his hitting, which unfortunately will not be an easy process.
13. Chris Owings, Arizona Diamondbacks
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Hitting
Chris Owings has shown that heโs definitely an aggressive and undisciplined hitterโand one whoโs not going to be elite at making contact. Thatโs ordinarily a recipe for disaster, but give Owings credit for showing that he canย hit anything on a lineย when he does make contact. He also has the look of aย good low-ball hitterย by righty standards. His wild approach is going to limit his potential, but perhaps not as much as it should.
Power
As long as Owings continues to favorย ground balls and line drives, his power potential is only going to go so high. But it is encouraging thatย heโs teased powerย in directions other than left field, with enough raw power to drive the ball to center. The question, though, is if his long absence due to aย bad left shoulderย could have lingering effects, as itโs not like weโve never seen an injury to a front shoulder sap power.
Baserunning
The base-stealing potential Owings flashed in the minors looks pretty real. Albeit in small sample sizes, heโs been able to steal bases pretty much at will. His merely decentย 38 XBT% this yearย goes to show how he hasnโt lit up theย basepathsย much when he hasnโt been stealing bases, but heโll be a good baserunning asset if he realizes his legit 20-steal potential in 2015.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have dug what theyโve seen, rating Owings as an above-average defender at short. Theyโre probably overstating his range somewhat to do so. While Owings reacts fine off the bat, heโs not one to cover a ton of ground in a hurry. Beyond that, throwing accuracy looks like it could potentially be a real issue. So pardon me for not being ready to take the metricsโ word for it just yet.
Overall
Thanks to his shoulder injury, weโre still in the โgetting to know youโ phase with Owings. And in reality, he probably did look a littleย tooย good before his injury. Doubts aside, though, he does look like a shortstop who can play at least passable defense while hitting for some power and making things happen on theย basepaths. Thatโll do.
12. Starlin Castro, Chicago Cubs
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Hitting
Starlin Castroโs swinging-strike rateย keeps climbing, and the issues he had hitting slow stuffย in 2013ย havenโt been solvedย in 2014. But it looks good that heโsย laid off low-and-away junkย so well despiteย seeing more of itย than ever, and heโs beenย absolutely punishingย fastballs. That doesnโt mean he has this hitting thing solved, but good discipline doing one thing and good consistency doing another can count for a lot.
Power
The revival of Castroโs power can be traced largely to theย revival of his fly-ball rateย but also to greater consistency hitting the ball in the air to his pull side. Heโs doing thatย better than ever, and he's definitely been rewardedย with extra-base hits. Add in the power he has to right-center, and you have a guy whoโs safely back in the 15-homer-plus-doubles-power discussion.
Baserunning
Itโs beginning to look like the league-high 13 caught-stealingsย Castro racked up in 2012 were the last straw. His base stealing has gone into hiding since then. So has his aggressiveness on theย basepaths. Heโs working onย a 27 XBT%,ย well below his career norm of 40 percent. He doesn't appear to be in any hurry to put his athleticism to more frequent use, and his recent high-ankle sprainย mightย further convince him.
Defense
The defensive metricsย still donโt like Castroโs defense, once again rating him as a subpar defender. The silver lining is that heโs at least cleaned up his errors somewhat, as he should finish with less than 20 for the first time in his career. Thatโll do for a start, but he needs to work on taking better paths to ground balls, as right now heโs still a little too content to let the ball come to him.
Overall
Itโs been a fine rebound season for Castro, as heโs tightened up his discipline while also attacking fastballs and taking better advantage of his power. But a good bat withoutย baserunningย and defense is only worth so much. Castro seems to have given up on one and is still working on improving at the other.
11. Erick Aybar, Los Angeles Angels
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Hitting
Erick Aybarย beingย aggressive at the plateย is a constant. That heโs responded to anย increase in breaking ballsย byย taking more of themย shows how heโs selective in his own way, however, and heโs still a good contact hitter whoย favors line drives and ground ballsย and canย use the whole fieldย as a lefty. But despite all that he does well, heโs basically cursed to live with averages on balls in play around the .300 threshold.
Power
Thatย Aybarย rarely hits the ball in the air means thereโs a natural cap on his power production. Itโs further limited by how he has virtually no ability toย drive the ball to left fieldย when batting lefty despite his strong ability to go that direction consistently. He does have some pull home run power, however, and the slap power he has down the foul lines helps make up for modest gap power.
Baserunning
Aybarย can still steal bases, but his ugly success rate does do a good job of reflecting how heโs lost a step at age 30. With his 31stย birthday due up soon, that step presumably isnโt coming back. And while itโs all well and good that he has aย face-saving 54 XBT%, itโs only good for so much knowing that his longstanding problem with running into outs on the bases is still alive and well. He's now a pretty ordinary baserunner.
Defense
The defensive metricsย are split onย Aybarโsย defense, with one viewing him as above average and the other viewing him as below average. Heโs likely somewhere in between. Itโs good that he still has a quick release and strong arm and that heโs cut back on his fielding errors, but the latter looks like itโs thanks to fading range. There are times when he looks slow getting after balls, yet another way in which he looks his age.
Overall
Thatย Aybarย appears to be slowing down in his 30s isnโt good, but the silver lining is that heโs shown he can still be a capableย baserunnerย and defender even despite that. Add in his average to above-average bat, and you still have a quality player on your hands.
10. Jose Reyes, Toronto Blue Jays
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Hitting
Jose Reyes isย more aggressiveย and is more likely to swing and miss than heโs been in a long time. And because itโs only getting easier to get him toย whiff on slow stuff, you wonder if heโs beginning to cheat a little. But if he is, heโs making it work. Reyes is back to hittingย hard stuff on a lineย like he did in 2011 and 2012, and heโs turned around a downward trend onย hard stuff over 90. If he keeps that up, heโll be fine.
Power
Whether as aย righty hitterย or as aย lefty hitter, Reyes is inching more and more toward being a strictly pull-power guy. But that would be more concerning if he was having trouble turning on balls and hitting them hard. Heโs not, with hisย primary strengthย still being his ability to whack fly balls and line drives down the right field line as a lefty hitter. Itโs not much, but itโll work as a good cushion for his power.
Baserunning
Due to both his age and the ever-growing pile of leg injuries heโs sustained, Reyes is more than likely done as a 40-steal guy. But heโs shown this year that the 25-30 range is still in playโand with excellent efficiency to boot. And though heโs still liable to make outs on theย basepaths,ย that his XBT%ย simply wonโt dip below 50 is a good sign. Heโs losing speed, but not aggressiveness.
Defense
The defensive metricsย arenโt changing the opinion that theyโve had for a couple years now: that Reyes is a below-average defender. Errors are still a problem, as heโs made over 15 of them for a fourth year out of five. And while he still has good range to help make up for that, the fact heโs inconsistent about setting his feet costs him valuable seconds and/or zip on his throws.ย
Overall
That Reyes struggles to even play passable defense at shortstop definitely helps drag down his overall value, and heโs neither the hitter nor theย baserunnerย that he used to be. But since his bat andย baserunningย are still valuable tools, heโs not done as a quality everyday player.
9. Alcides Escobar, Kansas City Royals
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Hitting
Alcides Escobar is stillย an aggressive hacker, but keeping his swings confined to the zone more consistently has helped. Hisย career-best line-drive rateย exists largely thanks toย swings inside the zone. This is not to say he doesnโt have limitations, as heโs still not one to take a walk and, just as important, is a mediocre contact hitter for such an aggressive swinger. Especiallyย on slow stuff, which opposing pitchersย know all too well.
Power
The sheer volume of line drives Escobar has hit this year hasย helped his power, and heโs helped himself by being a line-drive threat who canย cover both foul lines. As long as that remains the case, heโll continue to be a solid source of doubles and triples. He doesnโt have much power in the gaps, however, and it says it all that anย elevated fly-ball rateย has done nothing to give him more home run power.
Baserunning
Escobar is not only one of the more productive base stealers in the league, but one of the most efficient base stealers in the league too. Heโs not going to post a 100 percent success rate like he did in 2013, but thereโs a good chance heโll finish the season with 30 steals and a success rate around 90 percent. On top of that,ย his XBT% is going strongย at 55 percent, making him one of the leagueโs better baserunners.
Defense
There was a slight difference of opinion withย the defensive metricsย over Escobarโs defense in 2013, but this year, they agree that heโs closer to average. Thereโs something to that, as he doesnโt play the most mistake-free shortstop and his speed probably plays better on theย basepathsย than it does on defense. Still, his range is plenty good enough, and his strong arm makes it count.
Overall
Escobar has his limitations, but heโs arguably a more well-rounded player now than he was in any of his first three seasons with the Kansas City Royals. More consistent contact has made him at least a passable hitter and power source, and heโs still running the bases well and playing a quality shortstop.ย
8. Ian Desmond, Washington Nationals
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Hitting
Ian Desmond is doing his best toย tone downย his aggressiveness, and heโs better atย spreading his batted balls aroundย than I think people realize. But he otherwise struggles badly with swings and misses.ย Fastballs up and inย kill him, and heโsย had no answerย for theย increased amount of breaking stuffย heโs seen. And because the problem is getting worse rather than better, you do have to worry about the future.
Power
Youโd think Desmond would be a fly-ball guy, but heโsย actually not. And outside of 2013, he hasnโt been much of a line-drive guy either. Itโs a good thing he has the raw power to make up for these shortcomings, as he canย blast the ballย all over the yard when he does square pitches up. That kind of power is rare for a shortstop, and it ensures Desmondโs spot as one of the best power bats at the position.
Baserunning
Desmond still belongs in the realm of 20-steal shortstops, but he hasnโt come any closer to patching up the relative inefficiency that accompanies his base stealing. Thatโs a bummer, and so is how heโs working onย having a 40 XBT%ย for the second time in three years. The bright side: Unlike in past years, outs on theย basepathsย have been rare for him. He may not be perfect, but heโs still good.
Defense
Desmondโs one of those guys who tends to confuseย the defensive metrics, but they agree his defense hasnโt been good this season. But really, the best way to sum up Desmondโs defense is that heโs just plain inconsistent. That applies not only to his proneness for errors, but in how he reacts off the bat and in the paths he takes to ground balls. In all, he relies too much on his (admittedly quite good) athleticism.
Overall
Between his speed, power and general athleticism, Desmond is one of the best packages of tools youโre going to find at shortstop. But consistency is something he struggles mightily with, especially when it comes to hitting the baseball. And thatโs a problem thatโs getting worse rather than better.
7. Jimmy Rollins
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Hitting
Jimmy Rollins hasnโt lost hisย strong batting eye, and this yearโsย spike in breaking ballsย is something pitchers should reconsider knowing that heโsย only getting betterย at squaring up breaking balls. But that doesnโt change how heโsย mainly a fly-ball hitter, making it tough to hit for average. Then thereโs hisย escalating strikeout problemย and how easy he is toย beat with good heat. Thatโs where he looks his age (35) the most.
Power
It turns out that last yearโs rumors of the demise of Rollinsโ power were exaggerated. Heโsย getting around on ballsย as a lefty batter in a way he simply wasnโt doingย in 2013. Keeping that up is of paramount importance knowing that pull power from the left side is really all he has. But itโs probably not something we want to lean too heavily on looking ahead to Rollinsโ age-36 season.
Baserunning
Though it should be at his age, this part of Rollinsโ game simply refuses to die. He has a shot to hit 30 steals for a third year out of four, which is good stuff for a 35-year-old. So isย his 40 XBT%, even if it is subpar by his usual standards. This is probably as good as it gets at Rollinsโ age, but itโs plenty good enough to pass for quality baserunning.
Defense
The defensive metricsย have been up and down on Rollinsโ defense in recent years, but this year, they both view him as roughly average. Iโll rate him slightly better than that. He doesnโt have the range he once did, but he still has good hands and a strong arm, and he deserves props for his awareness. He has a knack for knowing how much time he has to make a play, especially with speedy baserunners.
Overall
Rollins has welcomed back his power and speed while continuing to play at least a decent shortstop. Heโs at that age where he canโt keep this up forever, but heโs at least shown that he can keep doing it for longer than we were all thinking last year.
6. Hanley Ramirez, Los Angeles Dodgers
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Hitting
Hanley Ramirez hasย toned down his 2013 aggressiveness, treating himself to fewer whiffs and more walks. Heโs also retained some of last yearโs ability toย hit line drives. But his drop-offย against hard stuffย is hard to ignore, as heโsย neither hit it as solidlyย nor covered theย top and bottom of the zoneย like he did in 2013. That could be owed to how banged up heโs been, but it could also be him showing his 30 years.
Power
Iโm not sure any other hitter clobbered the ball as consistently as Ramirez in 2013. I mean,ย seriously. And if weโre being fair, heโs doneย plenty to demonstrateย that he can still drive the ball all over. But his fly-ball tendency has essentially gone back to normal, and his power production has really only been impressive in how heโsย peppered left fieldย with line-drive doubles. Once again, you fear the age factor.
Baserunning
Credit where itโs due, Ramirez has responded to his power decline by ramping up hisย baserunningย again. Beyond stealing more bases, heโs gone from a 38 XBT% toย a 46 XBT%, thereby putting a transformation into a full-on slugger on hold. This is probably as good as it gets knowing how old (relatively speaking, of course) and banged up Ramirez is, but itโs good to know his athleticism hasnโt dried up yet.
Defense
The defensive metricsโย insistence that Ramirez played good defense in 2013 was believable. He seemed to find some kind of spark that wasnโt there before on defense, helping make up for iffy skills with simple energy. But now itโs equally believable that itโs all gone back the other way. His slow movements make him look like a corner infielder whoโs out of position, and his throws are all too often adventures.
Overall
Ramirezโs bat is still very good by shortstop standards, and heโs absolutely a quality player because of that. But his bat does have some concerning holes in it, and his defense...well, thereโs no defense for it. And while injuries definitely havenโt helped Ramirez, itโs not a good idea to trust too heavily in a turnaround. Itโs not like he was a picture of health before 2014, and heโs not getting any younger.
5. J.J. Hardy, Baltimore Orioles
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Hitting
J.J. Hardyโs still not taking any walks, and his formerly strong ability to makeย contact outside the zoneย has been killed by a career-worst seasonย whiffing on junk slow stuff. Whatโs saving him is that heโs still getting better at hitting all pitchesย for line drives, and heโsย upheld last yearโs increaseย on grounders and liners to the right side. So yeah, Hardyโs still a weird hitter who keeps finding ways to get by.
Power
It took until June 21 for Hardy to hit his first dinger. But he never lost his ability toย hit the ball in the air, and his power has been more normal ever since that first dinger. A comparison ofย beforeย andย afterย batted-ball maps makes that clear, as Hardy really has been driving the ball more regularly. And yet we wonder: With Hardy now safely beyond 32, was that early season power outage a warning?
Baserunning
Hardy may play a position where there are plenty of base stealers to be found, but heโs never been one of them. And at his age, heโs not going to become one. Beyond that, itโs a bad look that heโs following up last yearโs 25 XBT% withย a 25 XBT%ย in 2014. As far as shortstops go, heโs very much a station-to-station runner.
Defense
The defensive metricsย still like what they see from Hardy. The eye test does too. Heย doesnโt wow you with athleticism, but there might be nobody better at knowingย exactlyย how to play every ground ball. And once the ballโs in his glove, his quick release and arm strength take care of the rest. Thereโs the slight worry about those aging legs, but heโs definitely one of the best.
Overall
The rebound of Hardyโs power since his first home run in June only inspires so much optimism, and he still barely passes for a capable hitter. But as long as he has at least a solid bat to go with his outstanding defense at shortstop, heโll continue being one of the best in the business at the position.
4. Alexei Ramirez, Chicago White Sox
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Hitting
Compared to 2012 and 2013, Alexei Ramirez has dialed back his aggressiveness. As a bonus, heโs hit hard stuff in the zoneย for line drivesย more frequently and is working on one ofย his best batting averagesย against it. Despite all this, he still wonโt take a walk, his longstanding tendencies to pop upย andย hit the ball on the groundย are still thereย and heโs gone back to being aย dead pull hitter. His hitting potential is still limited.
Power
With a likeness for pop-ups, ground balls and hitting the ball to left field, Ramirezโs power potential only goes so high. And at his age, 32, power doesnโt tend to stay for very long. The guy does deserve some credit, though. Hard-hit drivesย down the left field lineย are a common occurrence, and he can pick up his share ofย both homers and doublesย on those. Limited power though it may be, itโs reasonably effective.
Baserunning
Ramirez isnโt going to make it to 30 steals like he did in 2013, but he'll likely reach 20 for a third straight year. And with better efficiency than usual, to boot. Factor inย a 51 XBT%, and a guy whoโs long been a quality baserunner is still just that. Really the only thing worth worrying about is how much longer he can keep this up for knowing that heโs quickly approaching his 33rdย birthday.
Defense
The defensive metricsย arenโt sold on Ramirezโs defense, rating him as roughly average. Thatโs a bit harsh. Though heโs sometimes been slow to react, he's having one of his best seasons avoiding errors and a heโs probably made more athletic plays (hisย list of highlightsย is definitely worth a scroll) this year than in any other year. His best defense could well be behind him, granted, but heโs more than good enough at short.
Overall
For all his various imperfections, Ramirez is still a shortstop who can handle the bat, run the bases and play above-average defense. How much better he can get at any of these things at his age is a good question, but heโs done enough this year to show that heโs not ready to go into a harsh decline just yet.
3. Andrelton Simmons, Atlanta Braves
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Hitting
Thatย Andrelton Simmonsย can be aggressiveย without being undisciplined with an outstanding contact ability is impressive. Itโs also for the best that heโs toned downย his fly-ball habitย and taken to punching ground ballsย all around. But good contact is still too infrequent, with the most disturbing trend this season being how many fastballs heโs been late on andย popped to right field. Heโs still searching for the right balance.
Power
One thing Simmonsโ 2013 fly-ball habit did was keep his power production afloat, particularly in how consistent he was at pullingย fly balls to left field. Beyond his fly-ball rate dropping, itโs remarkable how infrequent fly balls to left field have beenย in 2014. The raw power is still thereโheโs made that clear enough on several occasionsโbut this is yet another area where Simmons is still searching for the right balance.ย
Baserunning
Youโd expect a talented athlete like Simmons to be a qualityย baserunner, but heโs really just OK. He hasnโt figured out how to steal bases yet. Itโs therefore a good thing that heโs increased his XBT% rates each year, topping outย at 50 percentย this year. As long as he keeps that up, he should be a qualityย baserunningย asset even without steals.
Defense
No, Simmons isnโt blowing awayย the defensive metricsย like he did in 2013. But they still love him. And so does the eye test. With quick reactions, good acceleration, good paths to balls and the strongest throwing arm in the shortstop industry, Simmons is still very much the ideal defensive shortstop.ย This thingย pretty much nails it.
Overall
Simmonsโ defense is good enough to make him not only one of the gameโs elite shortstops, but one of the gameโs top players. But until he settles on the right way to make good use of his contact-making ability at the plate, his bat will continue to lag well behind his glove and render him a lesser player than he should be.
2. Jhonny Peralta, St. Louis Cardinals
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Hitting
Jhonny Peralta has been theย right kind of aggressiveย in 2014. His extra hacks have occurred mainly in the strike zoneโandย on fastballs, to boot. And against those, heโs padded his production byย hitting them to all fields. Whatโs less encouraging is howย little of his productionย has come on slow stuff, and what little production there is has been achieved almost exclusivelyย through hitting mistakes.ย
Power
Suddenly, Peralta is back in the discussion of 20- to 25-homer shortstops. Uppingย his fly-ball rateย from where it had been the last two seasons has helped. And though somewhat alarming that heโs needed toย rely so heavilyย on straightaway left field for his homers, it has been something of a vintage year for himย hitting line drives and fly balls in that direction. If he can keep that up, he can keep the power coming.
Baserunning
Youโre not going to confuse Peralta for a goodย baserunningย shortstop anytime soon. If he had any best stolen-base days, theyโre long behind him at this point. And though notย tooย bad,ย the 35 XBT%ย heโs working on is both unspectacular by shortstop standards and normal by his standards. In other words, him being a subparย baserunningย shortstop is nothing new.
Defense
This is where it gets tough to evaluate Peralta.ย The defensive metricsย think heโs an elite defender. I have a hard time believing that heโs actually that good, but there is something to the notion of him being better than advertised. His first-step quickness is better than youโd expect, and beyond that he does seem to have a knack for using efficient paths and throws to make some of the tougher plays.
Overall
You can look at Peraltaโs WARย and conclude that heโs one of the gameโs elite position players. But that owes a lot to his debatable defensive value. In reality, whatโs likely only solid defense combines with a good power bat to make him a quality player but less than a great player.
1. Troy Tulowitzki, Colorado Rockies
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Hitting
I mean, sure, we can talk about the Coors Field effect. Troy Tulowitzki didย finish his seasonย with a .417 averageย at homeย and a .257 average in road games. But when you have aย measured plate approach, a solid contact habit,ย zone coverageย that has few holes and an ability toย hit rockets all over the field,ย onlyย giving Troy Tulowitzkiย a perfect score here is really the biggest way we can knock him for the Coors Field effect.
Power
Again, you can focus on the Coors Field effect. But it says it all that evenย Tulowitzikiโsย .191 road ISOย (Isolated Power) is elite byย this yearโs shortstop standards. He really does have power thatโs unrivaled at shortstop. His preference forย line drives and fly ballsย allows him to easily tap into it, and he can pick up extra-base hits inย any direction he pleases.
Baserunning
And now for the point where theย Tulowitzkiย love fest gets put on hold. Injuries have helped influence a decline into a subparย baserunnerย by shortstop standards. He doesnโt steal bases anymore, and he finished his season with (by far) aย career-low 25 XBT%. Knowing that heโs headed for his age-30 season with yet another significant lower-half injury in his wake, no, things probably arenโt getting better.
Defense
Tulowitzkiย had yet another strong defensive season as far asย the defensive metricsย are concerned, playing mistake-free defense and making a boatload of tough plays. On those, itโs not so much amazing quickness. Itโs more so his arm strength, as he can salvage seemingly un-makeable plays by unleashing throws that maybe nobody other thanย Andreltonย Simmons can make. The one worry: How much longer can his body hold up at short?
Overall
For much of 2014,ย Tulowitzkiย was the best player in baseball thanks to insanely hot hitting and terrific defense at shortstop. Itโs too bad that yet another injury came along and ruined everything. And with so many injuries now on his soon-to-be-30-year-old body, itโs best if we expect him to be, you know, onlyย slightly elite going forward.






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