Mark Duncan/Associated Press
According to the early average draft position data at My Fantasy League, Cleveland Browns quarterback Johnny Manziel is currently the 17th quarterback being drafted, just behind Andy Dalton of the Cincinnati Bengals and ahead of Super Bowl champions Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning and Joe Flacco.
An argument could be made for that call in dynasty leagues, where fantasy owners have one eye on both the future and the present.
But that ADP is for redraft leagues, and that's just nuts.
Yes, Manziel was an electrifying player at Texas A&M, and in theory Manziel's scrambling ability could be a huge boost to his fantasy value.
That is, if he were starting.
The problem is, as of yet there's been no sign that's going to happen, at least early in the season.
While Brian Hoyer has quietly looked very good in his return from an ACL tear, Manziel has made more headlines for Vegas trips and swan rides than anything he's done on the practice field.
In fact, despite the fact that Hoyer's been limited in practice as he rehabs, head coach Mike Pettine made it clear to Mary Kay Cabot of the Northeast Ohio Media Group that when training camp opens next month, Hoyer will start atop the depth chart:
"It's been hard to evaluate because Brian hasn't been able to take the 11-on-11 reps, but when we put the depth chart together, Brian will be No. 1,'' said Pettine at the conclusion of mandatory minicamp.
Pettine agrees with general manager Ray Farmer that Hoyer, who's eight months removed from surgery to repair a torn anterior cruciate ligament, is substantially better than Manziel right now -- but is confident Manziel can catch up during the open competition in camp.
"I think when Ray made the comment, (it was) just because of the circumstances, that Brian had been here for those seven, eight weeks before the draft even started,'' said Pettine. "That was essentially a head start and I don't think it's insurmountable. Brian is securely ahead of him right now, but we will compete and we will decide."
Granted, things could change between now and September, and it's still reasonable to assume that at some point in 2014 Manziel will start a game.
However, given Manziel's struggles in minicamps, there's been no indication that's coming anytime soon, which leaves Manziel's redraft value floundering right now.