NFL Predictions Week 13: Teams That Will Use Home-Field Advantage to Earn Wins

Rob GoldbergFeatured ColumnistNovember 30, 2013

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 13: Defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson #96 of the New York Jets celebrates with teammate Antonio Allen #39 after Wilkerson's sack of quarterback Ben Roethlisberger #7 of the Pittsburgh Steelers in the fourth quarter during a game at MetLife Stadium on October 13, 2013 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Steelers defeated the Jets 19-6. (Photo by Rich Schultz /Getty Images)
Rich Schultz/Getty Images

There is nothing quite like playing at home, especially when things are not going that well on the road.

As is the case with other sports, the NFL features a number of squads that are clearly better in their home stadiums. This has led to a great deal of inconsistent play, but at least you can count on success or failure based on location.

These games should be close, but various factors on and off the field will lead to positive results for the home teams.

 

New York Jets vs. Miami Dolphins

While Geno Smith has shown potential this season, he is clearly a few years away from being an above-average NFL quarterback. The rookie has failed to complete 50 percent of his passes in the last three games, and he has zero touchdowns to go with five interceptions over that stretch.

Like the entire squad, however, he is much better at home. His quarterback rating in Met Life Stadium is 71.1 compared to 53.7 on the road, which has helped the Jets go 4-1 in New Jersey.

The defense has also fared better, allowing only one team to top 20 points.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins have not won a road game since Week 2 and are still shorthanded on the offensive line. The Jets should dominate the line of scrimmage and put Ryan Tannehill under pressure the entire game.

New York should be able to get back into the playoff race with a home win.

 

Buffalo Bills vs. Atlanta Falcons

CLEVELAND, OH - OCTOBER 3: Quarterback EJ Manuel #3 of the Buffalo Bills passes during the first half against the Cleveland Browns at FirstEnergy Stadium on October 3, 2013 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)
Jason Miller/Getty Images

This game is not just about the Bills' success at home, but also the Falcons struggles on the road. Not only is Atlanta 0-5 away from the Georgia Dome, but it has allowed an average of 30.4 points in those losses.

Fred Jackson and C.J. Spiller are healthy coming out of the bye, and they will dominate this 29th-ranked rushing defense. Meanwhile, the young secondary likely has not had to perform in weather this cold, and Buffalo's receivers should run right by them.

On the other side of the ball, Matt Ryan has not been playing well in any stadium. He has thrown nine interceptions during the current five-game losing streak, and veteran receiver Roddy White is not providing much help.

This has put a lot of pressure on the inexperienced Harry Douglas, and the one-dimensional offense has been really easy to stop.

Buffalo will perform well once again at home, and the squad will earn a close win.

 

Seattle Seahawks vs. New Orleans Saints

This is the game that everyone will be talking about all week, and rightfully so. Based on what we have seen, these could legitimately be the two best teams in the NFL.

However, the Saints have looked shaky on the road this season. Even with a 3-2 record, it is important to note that the squad barely escaped games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Falcons. If these squads gave New Orleans trouble, it is hard to imagine what it will be like when the Saints face Seattle.

CenturyLink Field has long been considered one of the best home stadiums in the league, but Seattle's recent success at home has still been surprising. The Seahawks have won 13 straight games on their own field, with the last defeat coming in December of 2011 to the San Francisco 49ers.

With an extra week to prepare for the matchup, Pete Carroll will have figured out a way to at least slow down Drew Brees and the Saints offense. He can then let Marshawn Lynch run wild to help secure a big win on Monday night.

NFL Picks Week 13
AwayHomePick
Jacksonville JaguarsCleveland BrownsBrowns
Tennessee TitansIndianapolis ColtsColts
Chicago BearsMinnesota VikingsBears
Miami DolphinsNew York JetsJets
Arizona CardinalsPhiladelphia EaglesEagles
Tampa Bay BuccaneersCarolina PanthersPanthers
New England PatriotsHouston TexansPatriots
Atlanta FalconsBuffalo BillsBills
St. Louis RamsSan Francisco 49ers49ers
Denver BroncosKansas City ChiefsBroncos
Cincinnati BengalsSan Diego ChargersBengals
New York GiantsWashington RedskinsGiants
New Orleans SaintsSeattle SeahawksSeahawks

 

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