Who Was the Most Accurate NFL Draft Expert This Year?
Every year The Huddle Report grades the top mock drafts and top 100 boards from analysts around the web.
Mock drafts are scored by awarding two points for every player correctly matched to a team in the first round, and one point for every player correctly placed in the first round. A perfect mock draft would produce a score of 96.
This year, The Huddle Report graded the mock drafts of 114 entrants. Here are the top five:
|The Huddle Report Mock Draft Rankings - Top Five|
|1. Reginald Brooks - Fantasy Football 1on1||50|
|2. Jason Boris - Times News||50|
|3. Mike Mayock - NFL Network||49|
|4. Brian Philpot - The Football Hub||47|
|5. Brad Clark - NFL's Future||46|
Note: Bleacher Report's writers did not participate in the The Huddle Report's grading. Had they entered, Michael Schottey's final mock draft would have ranked 91st overall. Matt Miller would have been ranked 109th overall.
Top 100 boards are graded strictly based on the number of players who are selected within the top 100 picks of the draft. Here are this year's top five:
|The Huddle Report Top 100 Rankings - Top Five|
|1. Bob McGinn - Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel||87|
|T-2. Ryan McCrystal - DraftAce||85|
|T-2. Draft Board Guru||85|
|T-2. NFL Draft Scout||85|
|T-5. Draft Board Insider||84|
|T-5. Lance Zierlein - The Sideline View||84|
Now let's take a look at how some of the other well-known draft analysts fared this year.
Todd McShay, ESPN
Todd McShay isn't included in the The Huddle Report mock rankings because he posts his final mock draft on the morning of the draft, missing the deadline of 1 am ET the night before.
However, McShay's final mock draft consistently ranks among the best in the business when compared to those included in The Huddle Report's rankings.
Had he been included in this year's rankings, McShay would have been tied for fifth overall.
McShay also contribute's to Scouts Inc.'s Top 100 board, which is graded by The Huddle Report.
Scouts Inc. correctly predicted 82 of this year's top 100, tied for 12th overall, and is currently ranked eight overall in the five-year averages.
Mel Kiper, ESPN
The Huddle Report scored the mock draft Kiper submitted prior to their deadline, rather than his updated version on Thursday afternoon.
In his almost-final mock draft, Kiper held strong to his prediction of Luke Joeckel to the Chiefs, which cost him four points in the standings. As a result, Kiper's mock draft score of 38 was his lowest in five years.
Despite the down year, Kiper's mock draft average still ranks among the best in the business.
Kiper has a five-year average mock draft score of 42, placing him fifth overall.
Despite his success with the mock draft, Kiper typically struggles to predict the top 100. He correctly predicted just 77 of this year's top 100 picks, and his five-year average of 77.8 ranks 20th out of 26 analysts.
Mike Mayock, NFL.com
Mike Mayock, who lets his distaste for mock drafts be known at every opportunity on the NFL Network, has been hit or miss in his projections over the years.
The 2013 draft proved to be Mayock's best effort to date, as he correctly predicted 11 of the first-round player-team matches and placed 27 of the actual first-round picks in his final mock draft.
Mayock's mock draft ranked third overall this year, falling one point shy of the leader.
Mayock also connected on a career-best 82 picks on his top 100 board, which bumped his five-year average just over 80. His top 100 board is currently ranked ninth overall in the five-year averages.
Bob McGinn, Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel
Since draft guru Rick Gosselin of the Dallas Morning News was shifted to other assignments, Bob McGinn has stepped up to fill the void.
While the television analysts are the most recognizable names in draft coverage, McGinn has established himself as the one with the best inside information.
His annual draft series, featuring in-depth analysis from scouts, is a must-read for every draft fan.
McGinn suffered a down year for his mock draft, but still ranked 23rd overall and is second in The Huddle Report's five-year averages.
Jason Boris, Times News
You've probably never heard of Jason Boris, but no one is more accurate at predicting the NFL draft.
For the past 13 years, Boris has been publishing his mock draft in the Times News, a newspaper based out of Lehighton, Pennsylvania.
Boris' five-year average score of 46.2 on the The Huddle Report is over three points higher than the next best on the list, Bob McGinn.
This year, Boris' mock draft finished second with a score of 50, losing a tiebreaker to Reginald Brooks of Fantasy Football 1on1. It was the second time in the last three years that Boris placed second overall, and the seventh time he has finished in the top 10.
Boris, who also works as the Executive Director of the Eastern Schuylkill Recreation Commission, describes his draft coverage as "just a fun hobby that started 27 years ago and is still going strong today."
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