Miami Dolphins' 2013 Mock Draft: What If Miami Trades Up in Round 1?
If I had a nickle for every Miami Dolphins mock draft that has been released this week, I'd have 10 cents from Bleacher Report alone.
Yes, the mock draft is an already over-saturated market; however, there's one thing that isn't taken into account.
What if the Miami Dolphins decide it would be in their best interest to trade up or trade down? How come that doesn't get taken into account?
The reason for this? I haven't a clue, really. I'd assume this is because you can't predict what trades are made/can be made until said trades are reported to be in discussion.
Whether they are or not, we don't know. Odds are the pre-draft trade market won't pick up until a Darrelle Revis deal is made, or until draft day. Most draft trades take place on draft day.
So with that in mind, how is it that trades are made? In this mock draft we'll talk about that, while also looking at how the draft could shake out for the Dolphins if they decided to trade up (with a potential deal for that).
Next week, you will get the opposite: a mock draft for if the Dolphins decide to trade down in Round 1.
How to Tell What a Draft Pick's Value Is...
Here's a look at how I'm determining what would be traded to whom in these fantasy mock drafts. It's the infamous NFL Draft Trade Value Chart, which is often credited to former Dallas Cowboys and Miami Dolphins head coach Jimmy Johnson (or as I like to call him, former University of Miami head coach Jimmy Johnson).
The full chart is available right here courtesy of New Era Scouting, a company founded by Bleacher Report's own Matt Miller. According to the chart, the No. 1 pick in the draft is worth 3,000 points.
Here are Miami's current draft picks, along with the value assessed to those picks on the Draft Trade Value Chart.
Round 1: Pick 12 (1,200)
Round 2: Pick 42 (480)
Round 2: Pick 54 (360)
Round 3: Pick 77 (205)
Round 3: Pick 82 (180)
Round 4: Pick 110 (74)
Round 5: Pick 146 (33)
Round 5: Pick 166 (Compensatory, cannot be traded)
Round 7: Pick 217 (4.6)
Round 7: Pick 224 (2)
Round 7: Pick 250 (Compensatory, can not be traded)
Now that we have the draft list, let's take a look at how the Dolphins' draft would go if they decided to trade up.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 1, Pick 6: Dee Milliner-Cornerback, Alabama
Here's the deal I propose for the Dolphins to trade up from the 12th pick in Round 1 to the sixth pick in Round 1, currently held by the Cleveland Browns.
Miami Gets: Sixth pick in Rd. 1 (1,600 points)
Cleveland Gets: 12th pick in rd. 1 (1,200 points), 54th pick in rd. 2 (360 points), 217th pick in rd. 7 (4.6 points). Total: 1,564.6 points.
Why make this trade? Simple: Milliner is the best available cornerback in the draft.
Just about every mock draft involving the Dolphins has them taking Xavier Rhodes, and for good reason: Miami desperately needs a cornerback. Of all the needs addressed in free agency, secondary has been the most neglected. The thought behind that is to solve this problem in the draft.
However, instead of solving that problem by waiting to get to 12 and then picking the next Sean Smith, why can't the Dolphins sacrifice their second-rounder from Chicago and a seventh-rounder and instead pick the best corner available in the draft? Milliner not only has tremendous upside, but would be an immediate starter on just about any team he joins.
With the Dolphins he'd automatically become their best corner, as well as a Revis-like cornerstone of the Miami Dolphins' defense for years.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 2, Pick 42: Zach Ertz-Tight End, Stanford
With the signing of Dustin Keller, one might think tight end isn't a need for the Dolphins.
Not so fast my friend, to quote Lee Corso, Keller's not the greatest blocking tight end, which Miami will need.
Ertz can provide the blocking for the Dolphins, while at the same time giving Ryan Tannehill another weapon, adding to what has to be a tremendous offseason for the second-year quarterback. On top of that, Ertz is a necessary pick due to Keller only being signed to a one-year deal with no guarantees that he will be back in 2014.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 3, Pick 77: Jordan Poyer-Cornerback, Oregon State
There's a good chance that Poyer will be gone by this point; however, all season long I've seen him projected as a second- to third-round pick, and I can still see him going in that range.
Despite the fact that he has the experience in zone coverage and great hands, his speed isn't that of a second-round cornerback. He's a No. 2 guy, which is why, despite a great Pro Day, combine and a good career at Oregon State, I see Poyer slipping to Miami in Round 3.
Which would be great for the Dolphins, especially if they do as I said earlier and trade up for Milliner.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 3, Pick 82: Margus Hunt-DE/DT, SMU
If the idea is to draft Margus Hunt in the first two rounds, I'm not a fan.
But with the second pick in Round 3? I can go for that.
Hunt is certainly a developmental project, and his workouts over the offseason have been a bit uneven (and I think I'm being generous by saying that).
However, he does have a lot of raw potential as a pass rusher opposite Cam Wake, while also providing the versatility to move into the defensive tackle spot in the future if neither Paul Soliai or Randy Starks are retained after the 2013 season.
A lot of upside with Hunt makes him a good pick late in Round 3, but no earlier.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 4, Pick 110: Brennan Williams-OT, North Carolina
The only reason a tackle as talented as Brennan Williams would be available in Round 4 would be injuries.
A torn labrum hampered Williams' 2012 at North Carolina, forcing him to miss the final four games. Despite this, he still earned an honorable mention on the all-ACC team at tackle.
Williams has great size at 6'6" and 318 pounds, as well as the athleticism necessary for the zone blocking scheme utilized by the Dolphins, and should be a name to keep an eye out for when it comes to looking for Miami's next right tackle.
Williams would still be the best pick even if Miami signs Eric Winston, as he'd provide depth as well as hope for the future at the position.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 5, Pick 146: Hugh Thornton-Guard, Illinois
Thornton has shown great agility and power and can tie up his man at the line of scrimmage, forcing him practically out of the play. He's also quick to get to the second level and block the interior linebacker.
Ideally, Miami would sign Brandon Moore (who came in for a visit on Thursday, per The Miami Herald) then draft Thornton for depth along the offensive line. But if that can't be accomplished, Thornton does have the skill to become a starter in the NFL—just not exactly right off the bat.
Translation: one more year of John Jerry at right guard.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 5, Pick 166: Christine Michael-Running Back, Texas A&M
Oversleeping at the combine might not exactly be the best harbinger of things to come in the NFL, but you can forgive Christine Michael for doing that. Who hasn't overslept for a job interview?
Alright, I'm reaching with that because I'm sure many of you haven't. Michael, however, fits this Dolphins offense well. He already has experience working with both offensive coordinator Mike Sherman (who recruited him) and quarterback Ryan Tannehill, and would provide the perfect compliment to Lamar Miller in the backfield.
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 7, Pick 224: Marquess Wilson-WR, Washington State
Yes, a wide receiver in Round 7, but none before: such a Jeff Ireland-thing to do.
I get it. You want Tavon Austin, you want Quinton Patton, you want Ryan Swope. I do, too!
However, there are too many needs that Miami has to address in this draft, and the Dolphins have spent most of their free agency locking up wide receivers. If this draft didn't exist in a world where Miami trades up for Milliner, there would be an early-round wide receiver. But we'll get to that when we talk about the Dolphins trading down, which is still a good two slides away.
As for Marquess Wilson, he actually has first-round prototypical wide receiver size at 6'3" and 194 pounds, but his speed isn't elite—not slow either, as he ran a 4.51 40-yard dash at the combine.
Wilson could use some help with route-running, which isn't a strong suit for him, but he has great body control and great hands.
One issue that has propped up is him leaving Washington State on bad terms after claiming that head coach Mike Leach was "abusive" (per Yahoo! Sports).
Trade-Up Mock Draft Round 7, Pick 250: Caleb Sturgis-Kicker, Florida
Have I mentioned that Dan Carpenter makes $3 million in 2013?
Yes, Carpenter will make $3 million in 2013. That's at least $2.7 million more than the Dolphins should have to pay a kicker.
This is why they should be vigilant in bringing in competition for Carpenter. Last season, Carpenter finished strong prior to his injury, but you could make the argument that he was the difference between 9-7 and 7-9. Maybe that doesn't mean much to you, considering that 9-7 likely doesn't get Miami into the playoffs, but it would've meant Miami starting off the season at 6-1 going into its contest with the Colts as opposed to 4-3.
How big of a difference could that have made in terms of developing confidence in Ryan Tannehill and the rest of the team?
Click here for the so-called "Perfect" 7 Round Draft.
Coming Friday: How a Dolphins Mock Draft would look if Miami chose to trade down in the 2013 draft.