Here are my top 30 quarterbacks for championship Week 16.
This countdown doesn't lean on a particular stat. It's merely an educated early guess of which signal-callers will have the best combination of total yards (passing/rushing) and total touchdowns this weekend.
Regardless of how these rankings shake out every week, it shouldn't supersede two important factors that go into regular lineup consideration:
1. Always play your healthy superstars.
2. Always ride your gut instinct over a certain guru's analysis.
Top 30 QBs For Week 16
1. Tom Brady @ Jacksonville
2. Aaron Rodgers vs. Tennessee
3. Tony Romo vs. New Orleans
4. Peyton Manning vs. Cleveland
5. Matt Ryan @ Detroit
6. Cam Newton vs. Oakland
7. Drew Brees @ Dallas
8. Ben Roethlisberger vs. Cincinnati
9. Matthew Stafford vs. Atlanta
10. Andrew Luck @ Kansas City
11. Robert Griffin III @ Philadelphia (assuming he'll be good to go)
12. Eli Manning @ Baltimore
13. Russell Wilson vs. San Francisco
14. Sam Bradford @ Tampa Bay
15. Colin Kaepernick @ Seattle
16. Matt Schaub vs. Minnesota
17. Joe Flacco vs. N.Y. Giants
18. Carson Palmer @ Carolina
19. Andy Dalton @ Pittsburgh
20. Chad Henne vs. New England
21. Philip Rivers @ N.Y. Jets
22. Ryan Fitzpatrick @ Miami
23. Josh Freeman vs. St. Louis
24. Jay Cutler @ Arizona
25. Jake Locker @ Green Bay
26. Ryan Tannehill vs. Buffalo
27. Nick Foles vs. Washington
28. Brandon Weeden @ Denver
29. Greg McElroy vs. San Diego
30. Christian Ponder @ Houston
30a. Brady Quinn vs. Indianapolis
30b. Ryan Lindley vs. Chicago
1. Against AFC South foes this season, Tom Brady has a three-game track record of 863 yards and nine touchdowns...for averages of 288 yards passing and three scores.
2. How's this for fantasy ambivalence? Of his last 12 games, Peyton Manning has accounted for either 300 yards passing or three touchdowns 10 times. But against the AFC North this season, Manning claims modest averages of only 249 yards passing and two TDs.
3. Cincy's Andy Dalton hasn't thrown for 235-plus yards in his last six games, and that's not a good sign heading into Sunday's showdown with Pittsburgh. Another bad memory: Dalton completed just 14 passes for 105 yards against the Steelers in Week 7.
4. In two career meetings with New Orleans, Tony Romo has somewhat underwhelming averages of 281 yards passing and one touchdown. But that cannot deter me from doling out the highest Romo ranking of the season—thanks to Dez Bryant's rising star (eight TDs in six games)...and the Saints' 31st-ranked pass defense.
5. For those on the fence about starting Sam Bradford in the Fantasy Bowl, here are two major factors to consider:
a. Last week against the Vikings, Bradford established seasonal highs in completions (35), pass attempts (55) and yards passing (377).
b. Bradford has a juicy Sunday matchup with the Buccaneers, the NFL's worst pass defense (310 yards per game).
Jay Clemons can be reached on Twitter, day or night, at @ATL_JayClemons.