Fantasy Football: Cam Newton Headlines Week 13 Stock Report

Jay Clemons@ATL_JayClemonsFantasy Sports Lead WriterNovember 28, 2012

Fantasy Football: Cam Newton Headlines Week 13 Stock Report

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    The following countdown details The Fantasy Blog's stock report heading into NFL Week 13.

    Just like the American stock market, these 12 assets are prone to evolving (or devolving) value swings throughout the season.

    But, alas, that's why the NFL schedules the games. Fantasy life, as we know it, undergoes substantial change every weekend.

    Enjoy the show!

Rising: QB Matthew Stafford, Detroit Lions

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    2012 Stats: 3,429 yards passing, 17 TD (three rushing)

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. With a modest uptick in weekly production, Matthew Stafford (on pace for 4,987 yards) could become the first NFL quarterback in history to pass for 5,000 yards in back-to-back seasons.

    2. In his last five games, Stafford boasts stellar averages of 334 yards passing and 1.8 touchdowns.

    3. Through 11 games, Stafford has attempted 39 or more passes nine times.

Slipping: QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, Buffalo Bills

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    2012 Stats: 2,359 yard passing, 18 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Of his last seven games, Ryan Fitzpatrick has (head-scratchingly) accounted for zero or one touchdown five times.

    2. Fitzpatrick has averaged only 17 completions and 174 yards passing in his last two outings.

    3. Of his 13 post-Thanksgiving career starts at home (with Buffalo), Fitzpatrick racked up either 300 yards passing or three touchdowns only twice.

    4. Fitz is one of the few fantasy assets to be on the positive and negative side of my weekly stock report.

Rising: RB Steven Jackson, St. Louis Rams

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    2012 Stats: 853 total yards (724 rushing), 2 TDs

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Steven Jackson has rushed for 100-plus yards in two of his last three games. Of equal importance, he logged 70 touches (66 carries) during that span.

    2. In his last five games against the 49ers (the Rams' Week 13 opponent), Jackson boasts healthy averages of 92.6 total yards and 0.6 touchdowns.

Slipping: RB Rashard Mendenhall, Pittsburgh Steelers

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    2012 Stats: 174 total yards (113 rushing), 1 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Rashard Mendenhall (missed seven games to injury) has struggled this season, a consequence of a quick comeback from major knee surgery in January. He's also been plagued by Achilles soreness.

    2. On Tuesday, Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin demoted Mendenhall to third string on the running back depth chart.

    3. In his last three outings, Mendenhall has accounted for only 73 yards (and zero scores).

Rising: WR Dez Bryant, Dallas Cowboys

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    2012 Stats: 65 catches, 880 yards, 6 TDs

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Dez Bryant has scored four touchdowns in his last three games.

    2. Bryant is on pace to eclipse career highs in receiving yards (928) and touchdowns (nine). The 65 catches for 2012 already stand as a personal best.

    3. Since Week 3 (spanning nine games), Bryant has collected double-digit targets five times. In that span, he crossed the PPR-elite threshold of six catches, 95 yards and/or one touchdown seven times.

    4. Bryant has hardly taken a backseat to Calvin Johnson and Andre Johnson this month. In his last two games, Bryant racked up 20 catches, 26 targets, 290 yards and three scores.

    5. The Cowboys star could be a top-five wideout from this point forward.

Slipping: WR Darrius Heyward-Bey, Oakland Raiders

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    2012 Stats: 28 catches, 440 yards, 3 TDs

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. For the season, Darrius Heyward-Bey has already recorded three games of zero or one reception.

    2. Heyward-Bey has yet to collect nine targets in a single game this year. In 2011, DHB tallied nine or more targets seven times.

Rising: RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, Cincinnati Bengals

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    2012 Stats: 844 total yards (767 rushing), 5 TDs

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. BenJarvus Green-Ellis rushed for the third-most yards in Week 12 (trailing only Bryce Brown and Steven Jackson). This also clinched the first back-to-back 100-yard outings of his career.

    2. Along those lines, Green-Ellis trailed only Arian Foster in tailback points for the weekend (standard-scoring leagues).

    3. Green-Ellis has scored a touchdown in three of his last four games.

Falling: RB Ryan Mathews, San Diego Chargers

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    2012 Stats: 813 total yards (594 rushing), 1 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Ryan Mathews is way off the pace of last year's superb fantasy campaign—1,546 total yards and six touchdowns.

    2. For the season, Mathews has notched 100 total yards only twice. As a point of comparison, he crossed the 100-yard threshold 10 times in 2011.

    3. On Sunday (against the Bengals), Mathews could tie the longest touchdown-less streak of his career (seven games).

    4. The following stat bears repeating: In three NFL seasons, Mathews has never posted a receiving TD.

Rising: TE Dallas Clark, Tampa Bay Buccaneers

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    2012 Stats: 31 catches, 320 yards, 3 TDs

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Since Week 10, Dallas Clark ranks as the No. 6 tight end in standard-scoring leagues.

    2. Clark has accounted for either 65 receiving yards or one touchdown in his last three outings.

    3. Of his last six games, Clark posted a catch-per-target ratio of 50 percent or higher five times.

    4. For what it's worth, Clark scored three TDs against the Broncos in 2009.

    Of course, Peyton Manning was his quarterback then (with the Colts). That's the same Manning who'll be lining up against Clark on Sunday.

Falling: TE Brent Celek, Philadelphia Eagles

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    2012 Stats: 43 catches, 528 yards, 1 TD

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Brent Celek is well off the pace of last season's five touchdowns. He's also not a lock to match the 2011 output in catches (62) or receiving yards (811).

    2. In his last six games, Celek hasn't registered more than five catches or 47 yards. In that span, he hasn't scored a touchdown, either.

    3. With Nick Foles as his quarterback (Weeks 11 and 12), Celek has a deflating two-game tally of seven catches for 61 yards.

    4. For the fantasy playoffs, Celek is no longer an automatic starting consideration in 12-team leagues.

Rising: QB Cam Newton, Carolina Panthers

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    2012 Stats: 2,701 yards passing, 17 TDs (6 rushing)

    Fantasy Reasons To Believe

    1. Last week, Cam Newton accounted for four TDs (two passing) in the Panthers' road win over the Eagles.

    2. For the season, Newton has either thrown for 300 yards or tallied multiple touchdowns seven times.

    3. In his last five outings, Newton has averaged 297 total yards and 1.8 TDs.

Slipping: QB Mark Sanchez, New York Jets

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    2012 Stats: 2,339 yards passing, 12 TDs

    Fantasy Reasons To Be Feeling Blue

    1. Mark Sanchez hasn't produced multiple touchdowns since Week 6. And for that particular outing, he passed for only 82 yards. (Ugh!)

    2. Sanchez's infamous run-into-his-own-lineman-then-fumble on Thanksgiving Night—resulting in an easy Patriots touchdown—is the signature moment of a Jets season gone horribly wrong.

    3. Sanchez has already posted four games of 13 or fewer completions this season. He's like the Tim Tebow of last year.

    4. Speaking of which...there's a chance that Tebow will get the Jets' starting nod in the final five weeks.